Firstly watch levels for next decisive moves beginning confirmations

Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis & 

Market Outlook(17-03-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (16-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- Sideways trading between 14941-15009

2- Sharp up

3- Selling between 15025-15051

4- Selling between 14978-14991

5- Sharp fall

6- Consolidation between 14891-14944

7- Whole day actual trading between 14891-15051

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although rally remained continued and gained more than 120 points also after positive opening but higher levels selling developed and follow up selling was seen in Mid-session also therefore closing with minor losses after last hours negative zone trading.

As lower levels some consolidation was also seen in last hours therefore today trading will be understood with Mixed Patterns formation between 14891-15051 and finally sustaining it beyond should be firstly watched in the coming sessions for next decisive moves beginning confirmations. 

 Rally continuation towards next resistances

Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook

(16-03-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (15-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- 225 Points sharp fall in first 30 minutes

2- 4 Hours consolidation between 14746-14845(immediate supports)

3- Up moves in last hours

4- Whole day actual trading between 14746-15048

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Firstly 225 Points sharp fall in 30 minutes after positive opening but lower levels 4 Hours consolidation therefore Up moves were seen in last hours.

3rd Supports between 14663-14742 were updated yesterday in "Levels will indicate and confirm next big moves" and Nifty consolidated just above it between 14746-14845 today. It means that previous supports have been strengthen therefore expected that today started rally will remain continued towards following next resistances:-

1- 15201-15241

2- 15262-15319 

 Levels will indicate and confirm

 next big moves

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook

(Mar 15 to Mar 19,2021)

Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis (Averages)

Nifty-EOD Chart (12-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Impulsive Wave-1 beginning from 7511.10 on 24-03-2020  

2- Impulsive Wave-3 completion indications after its top formation at 15431.8 on 16-02-2021

3- Long Black candle formation with lowest at 14953.60 on 12-3-2021

4-Averages

A- 5-Day SMA is today at 15039

B- 13-Day SMA is today at 14963

C- 21-Day SMA is today at 15022 

D- 55-Day SMA is today at 14602   

Conclusions from EOD 

chart analysis (Averages)

As Waves structure from Impulsive Wave-1 beginning(7511.10 on 24-03-2020) was updated in previous weekly Outlook and no material change in it since then not being posted now.

Although Impulsive Wave-3 continuation and no confirmation of its completion yet but indications of its completion after recent top formation at 15431.8 on 16-02-2021. 

Short Term Averages(5,13 and 21 Day SMA) are flat and and last Friday long Black candle lowest formation was at 14953.60  which was below all these short Term Averages therefore if Nifty sustains below it in next week then it will be first indication correction beginning on EOD charts.

Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis 

(Stochastic & MACD)

Nifty-EOD Chart (12-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Stochastic %K(5) is at 60.28 & %D(3) is at 56.33

2- Stochastic is showing negative divergence from over bought zone through moving down when Nifty is moving up.

3- MACD line intersected Average line downward

4- Last 28 sessions sideways trading between 14468-15421

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

(Stochastic & MACD)

Stochastic and MACD are indication Short Term correction in following manner:-

1- Stochastic is showing negative divergence from over bought zone.

2- MACD line intersected Average line downward.

As 28 sessions like big sideways trading between 14468-15421 therefore sustaining beyond this range will generate big moves which should be finally watched in the coming week/weeks for confirmations.

Nifty-Last 28 Sessions 

intraday charts analysis

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Feb 02 to Mar 12,2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in last 28 Sessions intraday charts

1- Union-Budget day rally on 01-02-2021

2- Last 28 sessions sideways trading between 14468-15421

3- Selling(Resistances) in last 28 sessions are between:-

A- 15201-15241  

B- 15262-15319

C- 15335-15431 

4- Sideways trading last Friday between 14954-15057    

5- Consolidation(Supports) in last 28 sessions are sessions:-

A- 14866-14906

B- 14788-14855

C- 14663-14742

D- 14504-14615

6- Supports below last 28 sessions trading range are as follows:-

A- 13817-13865 

B- 13725-13776

C- 13606-13701

Conclusions from 28 Sessions 

intra day chart analysis 

Last 28 sessions sideways trading between 14468-15421 after 701 points huge rally on Union-Budget day(01-02-2021) with higher levels 3 resistances and lower levels 4 supports and valid break out of this range will confirm next big moves which will be seen in the coming week/weeks.

As Nifty got intraday supports and traded sideways between 14468-15421 in last 2 hours on 12-03-2021 therefore sustaining beyond this range will generate first signal of next big moves which should be firstly watched in the beginning of next week.

Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis

(12-Mar-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (12-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 15262-15319 in first 3 hours

2- Selling between 15201-15241

3- Sideways trading between 14954-15057

4- Whole day actual trading between 14954-15336

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As US markers closed strong in last 2 sessions and Indian markets could not react on it due to Indian Stock markets closing on 11th March therefore in its reaction huge gap up opening of Indian markets on 12-03-2021. 

Last resistances between 15335-15431 were updated in previous weekly Outlook(Mar 08 to Mar 12,2021) and Nifty crashed 382 points last Friday after intraday highest formation at 15336.30 which means that Nifty honored its last resistance.

As good selling in first 3 hours and after that follow up selling in Mid-session therefore sharp fall was seen last Friday.Some supports developed at lower levels and last hours sideways trading between 14954-15057 are suggesting that firstly sustaining beyond this range should be watched in next week for the life of last Friday started correction.

Keep in mind that until complete consolidation will not develop till then Nifty will not be able to move above last Friday highest(15336.30) because good selling was seen below it that day and Fresh selling in the beginning of next week will mean correction continuation towards above mentioned next supports.

Conclusions

(After Putting All Studies Together)

1- Long Term Trend is up.

2- Intermediate Term Trend is up.

3- Short Term Trend is sideways between 14468-15421 for the last 28 sessions.

As stimulus package in USA therefore strong rally was seen in US markets and resultant some up moves were seen in Indian markets also but Indian markets completely under performed US markets and Nifty weekly closing was with less than 100 points gains while Dow Jones formed new life time highs daily in previous week which is a sign of Short Term weakness in Indian markets.

Although Averages and Indicators are showing weakness in Short Term  but some supports are also lying at lower levels as well as last 28 sessions sideways trading between 14468-15421  therefore Nifty will trade within this range in the beginning of next week and prepare for next big moves. 

3 Next Resistances and 4 next supports between 14468-15421 has been updated above and sustaining them beyond should be firstly watched in next week/weeks in following manner:-

1- Sustaining beyond 14954-15057 will give first indication of next big moves.

2- Sustaining beyond 14468-15421 will give final confirmation of next big moves.

 Firstly watch 15100 for the life of on going rally after fresh selling and honoring next resistances today

Mid-session Outlook(12-03-2021)

Following conclusive lines were told yesterday in "Rally continuation towards next resistances":-

rally continuation will be seen towards following next resistances:-

 

1- 15274-15315

2- 15335-15431  

Second resistance was given from 15335 and today highest was formed at 15336.3 amid rally continuation after gap up opening today.

As Nifty has honored this resistance range(15335-15431) today and slipped 140 points from this level till this moment today after fresh good selling therefore firstly sustaining beyond 15100 will be watched in the coming sessions for the life of on going rally because consolidation was seen above it on 10-03-2021.

Rally continuation towards next resistances

Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis & 

Market Outlook(12-03-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (10-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 15176-15193

2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels

3- Up moves with downward correction 

4- Whole day actual trading between 15100-15218

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As firstly some selling after positive opening but after that consolidation was seen through down moves in Bullish Falling Channels hence Up moves begun in Mid-Session.

Follow up consolidation was seen in last hours also through up moves with downward correction and down moves in Bullish Falling Channel therefore rally continuation will be seen towards following next resistances:-

 

1- 15274-15315

2- 15335-15431  

 Sustaining above 15126 will confirm 

rally towards next resistances

Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis & 

Market Outlook(10-03-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (09-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 15064-15126

2- Consolidation between 14926-15025

3- Sharp up moves in last hour

4- Whole day actual trading between 14926-15126

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As Dow Jones Futures was trading 180 points up and all the Asian markets were trading with good gains today morning therefore strong opening of Indian markets but higher levels selling developed and down moves were seen in Mid-session.

As last 2 sessions good selling above 14991 therefore slipped below it and consolidation was seen below and above it between 14926-15025 hence sharp up moves in last hour. 

Last 3 sessions trading between 14863-15126 with higher levels selling and lower levels consolidation today therefore sustaining above today highest(15126) will confirm rally towards following next resistances:-

1- 15145-15196

2- 15213-15245 

3- 15274-15315

4- 15335-15431  

 Sharp fall expectations despite most Bullish US & European markets

Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis & 

Market Outlook(09-03-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (08-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- Up moves after strong opening

2- Selling between 15070-15111

3- Sharp fall

4- Selling between 14991-15042

5- Whole day actual trading between 14920-15111

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although firstly up moves after strong opening but selling developed therefore sharp fall was seen. Follow up selling was seen in Mid-sessions therefore closing was near the lower levels of the day.

4 Hours selling was seen between 15007-15092 on 05-03-2021 and follow up selling was seen just below and above it today also therefore last 2 sessions good selling will be understood between 14991-15111 and once sustaining below 14991 will mean sharp big fall.

Although Dow Jones is now trading 490 points up and all the European markets are also 1.30% to 3.25% up as well as SGX Nifty has also trading 142 points positive but view will not be Bullish and until Nifty will not sustain above 15111 after complete consolidation till then decisive up moves will not be seen.

Fresh selling tomorrow and once sustaining below 14991 will mean sharp fall and it is expected also in the coming sessions.

 Levels will confirm next big moves amid US Bond yield led huge volatility

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook

(Mar 08 to Mar 12,2021)

Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis 

(Waves structure)

Nifty-EOD Chart (05-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Corrective Wave-C completion and Impulsive Wave-1 beginning from 7511.10 on 24-03-2020  

2- Impulsive Wave-1 completion at 11794.30 on 31-08-2020 and corrective Wave-2 beginning

3- Wave-1 gained 4283.20 points

4- Corrective Wave-2 completion at 10790.20 on 24-09-2020 and Impulsive Wave-3 beginning

5- Impulsive Wave-3 completion indications after new life time highest top formation at 15431.8 on 16-02-2021

7- Wave-3 has gained 4641.60 points which are more than Wave-1 gained

8- Correction continuation with recent last Friday bottom formation at 14467.75 on 26-02-2021 which is below last 24 sessions lowest.

9- Last 24 sessions sideways trading between 14468-15421

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis(Waves structure)

Impulsive Wave-3 continuation and no confirmation of its completion yet but indications of its completion after new life time highest top formation at 15431.8 on 16-02-2021 because:-

1- last Friday closing is below Short Term averages(5,13,and 21 SMA) 

2- Last 24 sessions sideways trading between 14468-15421 with higher levels good intraday selling within this range.

3- As Wave-3 has gained more points than Wave-1 then it may correct to form Wave-4.

Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis 

(Wave-3 Fibonacci retracement )

Nifty-EOD Chart (05-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Corrective Wave-2 completion at 10790.20 on 24-09-2020 and Impulsive Wave-3 beginning

2- Impulsive Wave-3 completion indications after new life time highest top formation at 15431.8 on 16-02-2021

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis (Wave-3 Fibonacci retracement Fibonacci retracement levels)

Wave-3 correction beginning confirmation will mean its continuation according to following Fibonacci Retracement levels of Wave-3(10790.20-15431.8):-

1- 13.0%- 14,828.40(Corrected)

2- 23.6%- 14,336.34

3- 27.0%- 14,178.60

4- 38.2%- 13,658.68(Crucial)

5- 50.0%- 13,110.97(Crucial)

6- 61.8%- 12,563.27(Crucial)

7- 70.7%- 12,150.20

8- 76.4%- 11,885.60

9- 78.6%- 11,783.50 

10-88.6%- 11,319.30 

Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis (Stochastic)

Nifty-EOD Chart (05-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Stochastic %K(5) is at 73.29 & %D(3) is at 73.10

2- Stochastic is showing negative divergence from over bought zone through moving down when Nifty is moving up.

3- Last 24 sessions sideways trading between 14468-15421

Conclusions from EOD 

chart analysis (Stochastic)

As Stochastic is showing negative divergence from over bought zone therefore signalling Short Term Correction and its beginning confirmation will be after sustaining below last 24 sessions sideways trading range lowest(14468).

Nifty-Last 25 Sessions 

intraday charts analysis

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Febr 01 to Mar 05,2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in last 25 Sessions intraday charts

1- Union-Budget day rally on 01-02-2021

2- Last 24 sessions sideways trading between 14468-15421

3- Selling(Resistances) in last 24 Sessions are between:-

A- 15007-15092  

B- 15145-15196

C- 15213-15245 

D- 15274-15315

E- 15335-15431  

3- Consolidation(Supports) in last 24 Sessions are sessions:-

A- 14788-14855

B- 14663-14742

C- 14504-14615

Supports below last 24 sessions trading range are as follows:-

 

A- 13817-13865 

B- 13725-13776

C- 13606-13701

Conclusions from 25 Sessions 

intra day chart analysis 

Strong 701 points rally was seen on Union-Budget day(01-02-2021) and after that Nifty traded sideways last 24 sessions between 14468-15421. 

As above mentioned 5 resistances and 3 supports exists in last 24 sessions trading range therefore expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next trend within this range and finally sustaining beyond last 24 sessions trading range(14468-15421) will generate big moves which will be seen in next week/weeks.

Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis

(05-Mar-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (05-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- 4 Hours selling between 15007-15092(immediate Resistances)

2- Sharp fall

3- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channels 

4- Whole day actual trading between 14863-15092

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As firstly 4 Hours selling between 15007-15092 therefore sharp fall was seen after that. Although some up moves were seen in last hour but in  Bearish Rising Channels hence these up moves will be understood follow up selling. 

Immediate resistances of Nifty have been developed between 15007-15092 last Friday and until Nifty will not sustain above 15092 after complete consolidation till then decisive up moves will not be seen. 

As last Friday whole day trading will be understood with selling patterns formations therefore sustaining below 14863 will mean sharp fall towards next supports.

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

1- Long Term Trend is up.

2- Intermediate Term Trend is up.

3- Short Term Trend is sideways between 14468-15421.

Nifty has turned sideways for the last 24 sessions between 14468-15421 after Union-Budget day(01-02-2021) strong 701 points rally and finally sustaining beyond this range will form following next trend:-

1- Above 15421 will mean strong rally but complete consolidation is firstly required because multiple resistances are lying below it.

2- Below 14468 will mean Short Term correction continuation towards above given next supports and Fibonacci Retracement levels of Wave-3(10790.20-15431.8).

As intraday charts of last Friday are showing good selling therefore firstly some down moves are expected in the beginning of next week hence sustaining beyond next supports should be firstly watched in next week. 

US Bond yield led huge volatility is being seen in all the Global and Indian markets and finally sustaining beyond last 24 sessions trading range(14468-15421) will confirm its impact on Indian markets which should be watched for next big moves confirmations.

 Firstly watch levels amid Global 

markets led huge volatility

Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis & 

Market Outlook(05-03-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (04-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- Global cues led whole day only intraday volatility

2- Whole day actual trading between 14981-15202

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As Global markets led too much depressed sentiments today morning therefore firstly weaker opening of Indian markets and after that whole day only intraday volatility and as such one sided trading positions formations were not seen therefore firstly sustaining beyond following immediate supports and resistances should be watched tomorrow for next trend confirmations because Dow Jones which was trading more than 200 points up 2 hours before is now trading more than 390 points down also:-

Supports:-

1- 15062-15081

2- 15016-15034

3- 14788-14855(Strong supports)

   

Resistances:-

1- 15274-15315

2- 15335-15431 

 Down moves towards next supports after Global markets led depressed sentiments

Pre-open Outlook(04-03-2021)

As Bond yield increased in USA yesterday therefore Dow Jones futures is trading in Red today morning after negative closing yesterday hence all the Asian markets are trading 1% to 1.60% weak today and resultant now SGX Nifty is also more than 220 points down.

As Global markets led such depressed sentiments today morning therefore firstly down moves will be seen in Indian markets also towards following next supports and sustaining beyond should be firstly watched today:-

1- 15062-15081

2- 15016-15034

3- 14788-14855(Strong supports)

 Rally continuation towards next resistances 

Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis & 

Market Outlook(04-03-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (03-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- Whole day up moves with downward corrections

2- Whole day actual trading between 14996-15273

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As whole day up moves with downward corrections after gap up opening and intraday selling patterns were not seen therefore on going rally continuation will be considered towards following next resistances.

1- 15274-15315

2- 15335-15431 

 Sustaining above 14919 will mean sharp up

Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis & 

Market Outlook(03-03-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (02-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channels

2- 160 Points sharp fall

3- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel

4- Consolidation between 14788-14855

5- Sharp up in last hour

6- Whole day actual trading between 14751-14959

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although firstly Up moves after gap up opening but in Bearish Rising Channels therefore 160 points sharp fall. As these Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel and after that more than 2 hours lower levels consolidation therefore sharp up in last hour.

Resistances between 14856-14919 were updated on 28-02-2021 and consolidation was seen below it today therefore Nifty moved above it but closed at 14919.10 and sustaining above 14919 is must for fresh rally because gap resistances above it are still up to 15065.

As good consolidation between 14788-14855 today therefore until complete selling will not develop till then decisive down moves will not be seen below 14788 and fresh consolidation tomorrow with sustaining above 14919 will mean sharp up towards 15065 which should be firstly watch tomorrow.

Live proofs of our Levels accuracy

Following lines were told at 11:57 PM yesterday in "Firstly watch 14919 amid Bullish Global cues sentiments led up moves":-

1- firstly sustaining beyond next resistance range(14856-14919) should be watched tomorrow. 

2- Until Nifty will not sustain above 14919 till then decisive up moves will not be considered

Firstly watch 14919

 was told yesterday

 & 

today closing is at 

14919.10

 Firstly watch 14919 amid Bullish Global cues sentiments led up moves

Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis & 

Market Outlook(02-03-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (01-Mar-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- Sharp up

2- Selling between 14777-14806

3- Sharp down

4- Consolidation between 14639-15708

5- Selling between 14753-14774

6- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel

7- Whole day actual trading between 14639-14806

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As Dow Jones futures was trading more than 200 points up today morning therefore all the Asian markets were more than 1% up and resultant strong opening of Indian markets and closed 01.60% up because ta the time of Indian markets closing Dow Jones futures was trading more than 300 points up and all the European markers more than 1% up.

Although Global cues led 01.60% Green closing today but higher levels some selling was also seen after lower levels consolidation and today trading will be understood with  Mixed Patterns formation.  

As Dow Jones is now trading more than 600 points up and such storng closing will mean Bullish sentiment tomorrow morning and then firstly sustaining beyond next resistance range(14856-14919) should be watched tomorrow. Until Nifty will not sustain above 14919 till then decisive up moves will not be considered because some selling patterns were seen today and up moves are only due to Bullish Global cues sentiments led.

 Firstly watch 14635-14696 for next Short Term moves confirmations

Post-open Outlook(01-03-2021)

As Bond yield decreased in USA therefore Dow Jones futures is trading more than 200 points up since today morning hence all the Asian markets are more than 1% up and resultant strong opening of Indian markets.

Immediate next resistances are between 14635-14696 and Nifty hovered around it in first half hour today,firstly sustaining it beyond should be watched today for next Short Term moves confirmations.

Correction continuation towards much deeper supports

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook

(Mar 01 to Mar 05,2021)

Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis (Waves structure)

Nifty-EOD Chart (26-Feb-2021):-

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Corrective Wave-C completion and Impulsive Wave-1 beginning from 7511.10 on 24-03-2020  

2- Impulsive Wave-1 completion at 11794.30 on 31-08-2020 and corrective Wave-2 beginning

3- Corrective Wave-2 completion at 10790.20 on 24-09-2020 and Impulsive Wave-3 beginning

4- Impulsive Wave-3 completion indications after new life time highest top formation at 15431.8 on 16-02-2021

5- Correction continuation with recent last Friday bottom formation at 14467.75 on 26-02-2021 which is below last 19 sessions lowest.

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

(Waves structure)

Impulsive Wave-3 completion indications after new life time highest top formation at 15431.8 on 16-02-2021 because recent last Friday bottom formation formation below last 19 sessions lowest.

Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis (Averages)

Nifty-EOD Chart (26-Feb-2021):-

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Impulsive Wave-1 beginning from 7511.10 on 24-03-2020

2- Impulsive Wave-3 completion indications at 15431.8 on 16-02-2021

3- Correction continuation with recent bottom formation at 14467.75 on 26-02-2021

4-Averages

A- 5-Day SMA is today at 14798

B- 13-Day SMA is today at 15028

C- 21-Day SMA is today at 14893

D- 55-Day SMA is today at 14364

E- 200-Day SMA is today at 12126 

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis (Averages)

As last Friday closing was below 5,13 and 21 SMA therefore indications of Indian markets weakness deepening and firstly sustaining beyond 55-Day SMA(14364) should be watched in next week for the life of on going correction.

Nifty-Weekly Chart Analysis (Stochastic)

Nifty-Weekly Chart (26-Feb-2021):-

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Impulsive Wave-1 beginning from 7511.10 on 24-03-2020

2- Impulsive Wave-3 completion indications at 15431.8 on 16-02-2021

3- Correction continuation with 2 continuous weekly Black Candles formation

4- Stochastic %K(5) is at 73.54 & %D(3) is at 75.03

5- %K(5) intersected %D(3) downward 

6- Stochastic is showing negative divergence in over bought through moving down when Nifty is moving up.

Conclusions from Weekly chart

analysis (Stochastic)

Correction is very much on and indications of more down moves because:-

1- 2 weekly Black Candles formation continuously.

2- Above mentioned No 5 & 6 developments on Weekly Stochastic. 

Nifty-Last 20 Sessions intraday 

charts analysis

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Feb 01 to Feb 26,2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in last 20 Sessions intraday charts

1- Union-Budget day rally on 01-02-2021

2- Last 19 sessions trading between 14468-15421

3- Selling(Resistances) in last 19 Sessions are between:-

A- 14635-14696 

B- 14856-14919 

C- 15125-15176

D- 15213-15245 

E- 15274-15315

F- 15335-15431  

3- Consolidation(Supports) in last 20 Sessions are sessions:-

A- 14504-14615(Last Friday closing was within at 14529.15) 

B- 13817-13865 

C- 13725-13776

D- 13606-13701

Conclusions from 20 Sessions 

intra day chart analysis 

Strong 701 points rally was seen on Union-Budget day(01-02-2021) and after that Nifty traded last 19 sessions of Feb 2021 between 14468-15421. As good selling in last 9 sessions therefore last Friday closing was near 19 previous sessions lowest. 

As multiple resistances have developed in last 9 sessions therefore expected that more down moves will be seen towards above mentioned supports in next week.  

Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis(26-Feb-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (26-Feb-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 14856-14919

2- Down moves

3- Selling between 14635-14696

4- Down moves

5- Whole day actual trading between 14468-14919

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As first 2 hours selling after gap down opening therefore after that down moves were seen. Again follow up selling in last hours hence closing at lowest of the day after last half hour down moves.

Whole day selling last Friday and no consolidation therefore correction continuation is expected in the beginning of next week.

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

1- Long Term Trend is up.

2- Intermediate Term Trend is up.

3- Short Term Trend is down.

As last Friday closing was below short term Averages and Weekly Stochastic is also suggesting more down moves therefore last 2 weeks old correction continuation is expected in next week. Remain cautious also because once sustaining below 14468 will mean sharp fall because it will be breaking down confirmation of 19 sessions trading range and next supports are much below it.

55-Day SMA is today at 14364 and sustaining below it will mean Intermediate Term Trend turning down confirmation which indicates correction life from 3 weeks to 3 months therefore this levels should be firstly watched in next week for the period of on going correction.

As good intraday selling in last 9 sessions and no consolidation last Friday therefore on going correction will remain continued towards above mentioned supports which are much deeper. 

 Down moves towards next supports

Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis & 

Market Outlook(26-02-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (25-Feb-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 15130-15170

2- Selling between 15125-15176

3- Consolidation between 15066-15094

4- Whole day actual trading between 15066-15176

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Pull Back Rally was told from 23-02-2021 and after that more than 450 points strong rally was seen in last 3 sessions. 

Although lower levels some consolidation but higher levels good selling therefore firstly sustaining below today lowest(15066) should be watched tomorrow for the completion confirmation of that rally which started on 23-02-2021.

As next supports below today lowest are between 14652-14763 therefore expected down moves will be considered towards these supports.

 As busy therefore Stock Market Outlook of today(25-02-2021) is not being updated.

Levels will confirm next decisive moves

 Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis & 

Market Outlook(24-02-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (23-Feb-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- Volatility in first 2 hours

2- More than 4 hours sideways trading between 14675-14787

3- Whole day actual trading between 14652-14854

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Following conclusive line was told at 07:55 AM on 23-02-2021 in "Pull Back Rally expectations":-

Pull Back Rally will be considered

As was told 100% same happened and Nifty moved up 179 Points in first 30 minutes today.

Although more than 200 points volatility in first 2 hours but after that quiet market and more than 4 hours sideways trading between 14675-14787. 

As consolidation patterns were also seen in last 4 hours sideways trading therefore until complete selling patterns will not develop till then Nifty will not sustain below today lowest. Follow up consolidation tomorrow will mean strong rally and it is expected also. 

Expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next decisive moves between 14675-14787 and finally sustaining it beyond will confirm following next decisive moves:-

1- Below 14675 will mean correction towards next supports(14504-14615)

2- Above 14787 will mean Pull Back rally continuation above today highest.

 Pull Back Rally expectations

Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis & 

Market Outlook(01-02-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (01-Feb-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- Down moves with upward corrections

2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel in last 45 minutes

3- Whole day actual trading between 14636-15010

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Following lines were told on 20-02-2021 in "Firstly watch next supports for the life of on going correction":-

1- More down moves expectations in next week

2- correction continuation towards following those next supports which were posted in previous weekly Outlook also:-

1- 14811-14913

2- 14717-14765

3- 14504-14615

As was told 100% same happened and correction remained continued below 2nd supports in the beginning of this week.

As whole day down moves with upward corrections are suggesting that continuous selling development hence more than 2% down moves were seen after positive opening.

Although closing was near the lower levels of the day but last 45 minutes down moves in Bullish Falling Channel therefore Pull Back Rally will be considered because Very Short Term indicators have also turned Oversold after last 5 sessions down moves.

Firstly watch next supports for 

the life of on going correction 

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook

(Feb 22 to Feb 26,2021)

Live Proofs of our accuracy

Following lines were told in previous Weekly Outlook on 13-02-2021 in "Firstly watch levels amid Short term correction possibility"

1- Short term correction possibility below 14977

2- sustaining below 14977 will mean correction beginning towards following supports:- 

1- 14811-14913

2- 14717-14765

3- 14504-14615

As was told 100% same happened and:-

1- Topic name was "Short term correction possibility" and continuous down moves were seen in last 4 sessions as well as previous weekly closing was negative. 

2- Short term correction was seen below 14977 last Friday.

3- Nifty got supports last Friday within above mentioned 1st supports range(14811-14913) at 14898.20 .

"Short term correction possibility" was told on 13-02-2021 & previous weekly closing was negative after last 4 sessions down moves.

 

Nifty-Weekly Analysis (Waves structure)

Nifty-Weekly Chart (19-Feb-2021):-

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Corrective Wave-C completion and Impulsive Wave-1 beginning from 7511.10 on 24-03-2020  

2- Impulsive Wave-1 completion at 11794.30 on 31-08-2020 and corrective Wave-2 beginning

3- Corrective Wave-2 completion at 10790.20 on 24-09-2020 and Impulsive Wave-3 beginning

4- Impulsive Wave-3 completion indications after new life time highest top formation at 15431.8 on 16-02-2021

5- Bearish Engulfing weekly candle formation in previous week.

Conclusions from Weekly chart analysis(Waves structure)

Impulsive Wave-3 completion indications after new life time highest top formation at 15431.8 on 16-02-2021 because Bearish Engulfing weekly candle formation in previous week.

Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis 

(Averages & Stochastic)

Nifty-EOD Chart (19-Feb-2021):-

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Impulsive Wave-3 completion indications after new life time highest top formation at 15431.8 on 16-02-2021

2-Averages

A- 5-Day SMA is today at 15187  

B- 13-Day SMA is today at 15093 

C- 21-Day SMA is today at 14750 

D- 55-Day SMA is today at 14231 

E- 200-Day SMA is today at 11986

3- 10 Previous sessions sideways trading between 14977-15431

4- 10 Sessions trading range broken down on 19-02-2021

5- Stochastic- %K(5) is at 22.13 & %D(3) is at 44.13

6- %K(5) has intersected downward %D. 

 

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Averages & Stochastic)

10 Previous sessions sideways trading between 14977-15431 and this range was forcefully broken down on 19-02-2021 but closing was within it at 14981.75 therefore breaking down confirmation is still required.

As previous weekly closing was below  5-Day and 13-Day SMA therefore indications of Wave-3 completion at 15431.8 on 16-02-2021.

%K(5) has intersected downward %D in Stochastic and and both lines are moving down towards Oversold zone therefore indications of more down moves in next week.

Nifty-Last 10 Sessions intraday charts analysis

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Feb 08 to Feb 19,2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in last 10 Sessions intraday charts

1- Selling(Resistances) in last 10 Sessions are between:-

A- 15031-15144 

B- 15213-15245 

C- 15274-15315

D- 15335-15431  

2- 10 Sessions sideways trading between 14977-15431  

3- 10 Sessions trading range broken down on 19-02-2021

Conclusions from 10 Sessions 

intra day chart analysis 

As good selling in last 4 sessions therefore 10 previous sessions sideways trading range(14977-15431) was forcefully broken down on 19-02-2021 but closing was within it at 14981.75 therefore its breaking down confirmation is still required.

Sustaining below 14977 will mean last 10 sessions trading range breaking down confirmation and that will mean more decisive down moves therefore should be firstly watched in next week.

Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis

(19-Feb-2021)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (19-Feb-2021):-

Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 15031-15144

2- Sharp fall

3- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel

4- Sharp up

5- Whole day actual trading between 14899-15144

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As more than 4 hours selling between 15031-15144 therefore sharp fall was seen but after that some consolidation at lower levels through Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel hence sharp up moves in last half hour. 

Firstly sustaining beyond last Friday lowest(14899) should be watched in the beginning of next week because some consolidation was seen above it last Friday and once its breaking down confirmation will mean more decisive down moves beginning towards next supports.

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

1- Long Term Trend is up.

2- Intermediate Term Trend is up.

3- Short Term Trend is sideways between 14977-15257 and will be down after sustaining below 14977.

As following reasons therefore more down moves are expected in next week:-

1- Higher levels good intraday selling in last 4 sessions and only minor consolidation at lower levels last Friday

2- Previous weekly closing was below 13-Day SMA which is a weakness indication

3- Stochastic indicator has not turned over sold and its both lines are moving down towards it

More down moves expectations in next week and once sustaining below last 10 sessions lowest(14977) will mean 10 sessions trading range breaking down confirmation which will open the doors of correction continuation towards following those next supports which were posted in previous weekly Outlook also:-

1- 14811-14913

2- 14717-14765

3- 14504-14615

As Nifty got support within above mentioned 1st supports range(14811-14913) at 14898.20 last Friday therefore firstly sustaining it beyond and after that sustaining beyond next 2 supports ranges should be watched one by one in next week for the life of on going correction.