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Big Moves and Trend developing in Last 11 Sessions

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
 (May 28 to Jun 01,2012)

Nifty-EOD Chart (25-May-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Impulsive Wave-1 completion at 5629.95 on 22-02-2012.
2- 66 Sessions corrective Wave-2 continuation.
3- Long and Intermediate term trends are down and Short term is sideways between 4789-4960.
4- Breaking down of 200-Day SMA and corrective Falling Channel(Bullish Flag).
5- Last 11 sessions range bound trading between 4789-4960.

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Bearish Indian markets after breaking down of all crucial levels and last 11 sessions range bound trading between 4789-4960. As Indian markets are sideways for the last 11 sessions therefore it is confirm that some big moves are being cooked within it.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of 11 Sessions Intra Day Chart
 (May 11to May 25,2012)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (May 11to May 25,2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 11 Sessions intraday charts

1- Strong supports between 4789-4860
2- Strong Resistances between 4910-4960
3- Mixed Patterns between 4890-4934 on 25-05-2012
4- Last 11 Sessions trading between 4789-4960

Conclusions from 11 Sessions intra day chart analysis 

Nifty sustained above 4789 amid most depressing national and internationl news flow and consolidated also between 4789-4860 therefore this range has developed as  strong support. As good selling was also seen between 4910-4960 in previous sessions therefore strong resistances are also visible at higher levels.

It is clear that Indian markets requires more follow up consolidations/distribution for break out and sustaining beyond last 11 Sessions trading range(4789-4960).

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 28-05-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (25-May-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Support between 4890-4909
2- Selling between 4920-4934
3- Whole day upmoves in Rising Channel(Bearish Pattern).
4- Whole day trading between with mixed patterns between 4890-4934

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although whole day upmoves but it should also be kept in mind that recovery from lower levels was on the back of following 3 positive news:-

1- More than 50 paisa recovery in Indian Rupee.
2- US Futures turned more than .40% up from negative zone.
3- All European markets were also in Green and some were more than 1% up.

As positive news flow led recovery therefore selling on the back of good news can not be ruled out.

Technically whole day upmoves in Rising Channel(Bearish Pattern) with lower levels intraday support and higher levels selling therefore final conclusion is mixed intraday patterns and requiring next moves confirmations through sustaining beyond intraday trading range(4890-4934).

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

As something big is being developed in last 11 sessions therefore Keys of next big moves and next Trends are hidden in last 11 sessions trading range(4789-4960), Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next decisive moves within it in next week. As break out and sustaining it beyond will give next big moves confirmations therefore firstly follow up consolidations/distribution will be decided through intraday charts formations in next week and sustaining beyond (4789-4960) will give following conclusions:-

1- Sustaining above 4960 will mean strong Pull Back Rally.
2- Sustaining below 4789 will mean sharp down moves to test following supports:-


a- 4635-4663
b- 4602-4624
c- 4560-4590 

As strong supports have developed in last 11 days therefore expected that finally follow up consolidations will develop in next week and 11 days range will be broken out as well as strong Pull Back Rally will be seen above 4960.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 25-May-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 25-May-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII25-May-20121001.531625.29-623.76

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII25-May-2012927.63492.98434.65

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(25-May-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed flat but Midcap and Smallcap closed more tha 0.50% up..
2- Small Doji like White Candle formation.
3- Indices closed completely mixed with some closed positive and some others closed in Red.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.10
Nifty P/E Ratio(25-May-2012): 16.68

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1456
BSE Declines : 1304
NSE Advances :  823
NSE Declines :  588

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4700 CE(May)- -311950(-33.51%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(May)- -38600(-0.41%)

Nifty- 4800 CE(May)- -565350(-20.50%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(May)- -48750(-0.62%)

Nifty- 4900 CE(May)- +589150(+12.870%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(May)- +450800(+8.26%)

Nifty- 5000 CE(May)- +177300(2.66%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(May)- -285100(-9.56%)

Nifty- 5100 CE(May)- -250150(-3.70%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(May)- -15400(-0.65%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 4,920.40(-1.00 Points & -0.02%)
Sensex- closed at 16,217.82(-4.48 Points & -0.03% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 6,914.30(+40.50 Points & +0.59%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,318.33(+33.49 Points & +0.53%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 28-05-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 4986
R2 4960
R1 4940
Avg 4914
S1 4894
S2 4868
S3 4848

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 4966     Trgt 2
H5 4955     Trgt 1
H4 4945     Long breakout
H3 4932     Go Short
H2 4928
H1 4924
L1 4915
L2 4911
L3 4907     Long
L4 4894     Short Breakout
L5 4884     Trgt 1
L6 4873     Trgt 2

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 28-05-2012

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 4997
R2 4965
R1 4941
Avg 4909
S1 4885
S2 4853
S3 4829

Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 4974     Trgt 2
H5 4961     Trgt 1
H4 4948     Long breakout
H3 4933     Go Short
H2 4928
H1 4923
L1 4912
L2 4907
L3 4902     Long
L4 4887     Short Breakout
L5 4874     Trgt 1
L6 4861     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 28-05-2012

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 9639
R2 9552
R1 9484
Avg 9397
S1 9329
S2 9242
S3 9174

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9572     Trgt 2
H5 9537     Trgt 1
H4 9501     Long breakout
H3 9458     Go Short
H2 9444
H1 9430
L1 9401
L2 9387
L3 9373     Long
L4 9330     Short Breakout
L5 9294     Trgt 1
L6 9259    Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(May 28 to Jun 01,2012)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5134
R2 5045
R1 4982
Avg 4893
S1 4830
S2 4741
S3 4678

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5075     Trgt 2
H5 5039     Trgt 1
H4 5003     Long breakout
H3 4961     Go Short
H2 4947
H1 4933
L1 4906
L2 4892
L3 4878     Long
L4 4836     Short Breakout
L5 4800     Trgt 1
L6 4764     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(May 28 to Jun 01,2012)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 9964
R2 9743
R1 9599
Avg 9378
S1 9234
S2 9013
S3 8869

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 9832     Trgt 2
H5 9744     Trgt 1
H4 9656     Long breakout
H3 9556     Go Short
H2 9522
H1 9489
L1 9422
L2 9389
L3 9355     Long
L4 9255    Short Breakout
L5 9167     Trgt 1
L6 9079     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook-2(25-05-2012)

As today up moves are positive news generated and in rising channel therefore precautionally long positions should be created in next week after confirmations of sustaining above 4915,4936 or 4960.  

Pre-Closing Outlook(25-05-2012)

Following 3 positive news generated recovery form lower levels in Indian markets:-

1- More than 50 paisa recovery in Indian Rupee
2- US Futures turned more than .40% up from negative zone trading. .
3- All European markets in Green and some are more than 1% up.

Lower levels supports at 4890 have already been seen in Indian markets today and above mentioned positive news flow triggered up moves also. Nifty traded most time above 4915 in last 2 hours with lower levels intra day consolidation patterns and sustaining above 4915 will be next up move confirmations.

Although confirmations are must but finally Pull Back Rally is expected after sustaining above 4960.

Mid-session Outlook(25-05-2012)

Level of 4890-4960 was given at 08:49:00 AM today in Technical Analysis & Market Outlook and following lines were told;-

1- firstly trading is expected between 4890-4960.
2- Sustaining beyond 4890-4960 will decide the fate of yesterday begun up moves and should be firstly watched today.

Lower level of 4890 was given and Nifty got first intraday support at 4889.35.

More than 22 Nifty points up move was seen after getting first intraday support but Complete consolidations/distributions are required for next moves from here and its fundations are being laid between 4890-4915 today therefore:-

Get next moves confirmations through sustaining beyond 4890-4915

Post-open Outlook(25-05-2012)

Today trading range between 4892-4915 with intra day slipping from higher levels but complete selling patterns are required for reversal of yesterday strong up moves. Let markets prepare then next moves then will get confirmations through intraday charts formations.

Technical Analysis & Market Outlook(25-05-2012)

Nifty-Micro Analysis of 11 Sessions Intra Day Chart
 (May 10 to May 24,2012)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (May 10 to May 24,2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 11 Sessions intraday charts

1- Strong supports between 4789-4860
2- Strong Resistances between 4910-4960

Conclusions from 11 Sessions intra day chart analysis 

As Nifty survived between 4789-4860 amid most depressing national and internationl news flow therefore this range has developed as  good support. Although negative news of Petroleum price hike and no support from global markets but strong up moves were seen yesterday and Nifty countered next strong resistance range as well as closed within it.

Follow up consolidations/distribution will be decided from coming sessions intraday charts formations and sustaining beyond mentioned resistance range will give following conclusions:-

1- Sustaining above 4960 will mean strong Pull Back Rally.
2- Sustaining below 4910 will mean retesting of above mentioned supports.

Pre-open Outlook(25-05-2012)

No specific cue from Asian markets today morning after US markets flat closing yesterday therefore sentiment is quiet and firstly trading is expected between 4890-4960. As Nifty has to cross above mentioned strong resistances therefore therefore complete consolidations are required for crossing and sustaining above 4960.

Sustaining beyond 4890-4960 will decide the fate of yesterday begun up moves and should be firstly watched today because flood of news adverse flow from national and internationl avenues.
                         
Although following of above mentioned precautions are must but finally Pull Back Rally is expected after sustaining above 4960.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 24-May-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 24-May-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII24-May-20121633.591739.32-105.73

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII24-May-2012732.16602.14130.02

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(24-May-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Long White Candle.
2- All the Indices closed in Green.
3- Benchmark Indices closed near the top of the day.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.02
Nifty P/E Ratio(24-May-2012): 16.69

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1557
BSE Declines : 1135
NSE Advances :  888
NSE Declines :  512

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4700 CE(May)- -277850(-22.49%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(May)- +695100(+7.57%)

Nifty- 4800 CE(May)- -1140700(-27.91%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(May)- +1432700(+21.37%)

Nifty- 4900 CE(May)- -403950(-7.65%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(May)- +1873300(+38.28%)

Nifty- 5000 CE(May)- -264300(-3.71%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(May)- +6750(+0.22%)

Nifty- 5100 CE(May)- +210600(+3.12%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(May)- -23400(-0.92%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 4,921.40(+85.75 Points & +1.77%)
Sensex- closed at 16,222.30(+274.20 Points & +1.72% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 6,873.80(+51.95 Points & +0.76%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,284.84(+46.61 Points & +0.75%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 25-05-2012

Levels

R3 5059
R2 4995
R1 4958
Avg 4894
S1 4857
S2 4793
S3 4756

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5023     Trgt 2
H5 5000     Trgt 1
H4 4976     Long breakout
H3 4948     Go Short
H2 4939
H1 4930
L1 4911
L2 4902
L3 4893     Long
L4 4865     Short Breakout
L5 4841     Trgt 1
L6 4818     Trgt 2

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 25-05-2012

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 5066
R2 4995
R1 4954
Avg 4883
S1 4842
S2 4771
S3 4730

Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5027     Trgt 2
H5 5000     Trgt 1
H4 4974     Long breakout
H3 4943     Go Short
H2 4933
H1 4923
L1 4902
L2 4892
L3 4882     Long
L4 4851     Short Breakout
L5 4825     Trgt 1
L6 4798     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 25-05-2012

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 9774
R2 9597
R1 9490
Avg 9313
S1 9206
S2 9029
S3 8922

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9674     Trgt 2
H5 9606     Trgt 1
H4 9539     Long breakout
H3 9461     Go Short
H2 9435
H1 9409
L1 9356
L2 9330
L3 9304     Long
L4 9226     Short Breakout
L5 9159     Trgt 1
L6 9091    Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(24-05-2012)


Finally closing above 4890 after huge volatility and lower levels supports but strong resistances upto 4955. As markets survived above 4789 amid worst news flood therefore 4789-4860 has developed a strong support and until Nifty will not sustain below 4789 till thrn more down moves will not be considered.

As strong resistances upto 4955 therefore follow up consolidations and sustaining above 4955 will mean confirm Pull Back Rally.

Mid-session Outlook-2 (24-05-2012)

Intra day high formation at 4907.85 today but sustaining above 4890 should be firstly watched because it is the top of next 1st Resistance(4870-4890)

Market has seen worst between 4789-4890 in last 9 sessions and sustaining above 4890 will be strong indication of minimum a Pull Back Rally.

Nifty is hovering around 4890 for the last one hour and firstly watch sustaining it beyond for next trend confirmations. As selling markets remains highly volatile therefore this confirmation is must for any up move confirmations.

Mid-session Outlook (24-05-2012)

As positive zone trading in first hour despite series of negative news therefore indications of strength in Indian markets. As selling at higher levels and next resistances are between 4870-4890 and 4904-4955 therefore market require complete consolidation for sustaining above 4955.

As good supports at lower levels therefore up moves continuation is expected and sustaining above 4890/4955 will be strong rally confirmation.

Post-open Outlook(24-05-2012)

Positive zone trading in first hour despite negative news of Petroleum Price hike news but indian rupee declining process is continued and traded at new low @ 56.27/$. Indian markets also slipped and formed new intra day lows.

Selling signals at higher levels but Supports at lower levels yesterday therefore let market prepare for next short term moves then will be updated according to intra day charts formations.

Technical Analysis,Researches & Market Outlook(24-05-2012)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (23-May-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Support between 4807-4825
2- Selling between 4838-4853
3- Whole day trading between 4807-4853

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis

Intraday patterns of today are showing lower levels supports and higher levels selling with Bullish Hammer Candle today therefore technically more preparation is required for sustaining beyond today trading range.

As huge down moves in previous sessions and Short term Indicators are oversold in all the Global markets therefore corrective Up moves may also be seen in Global markets and firstly Asian markets opening and trading(positive or negative) should be seen tomorrow morning despite whatsoever negative closing of US markets today.

Most depressing sentiment today after Crashing Indian Rupee and  Global markets as well as Petroleum rates hike also today therefore Weak opening will be seen tomorrow morning. Although all trends are down and Indian markets are in most Bearish phase but Indicators are oversold therefore Bounce Back,Minor Pull Back Rally and volatility may be seen after weak opening tomorrow.

Indian markets are in deep Bearish mode and decisive up moves will be seen only after completion consolidations and suatining above crucial resistances. Ler it happen then rally will be considered otherwise only intraday up moves will be seen accoring to markets sentiments,Global cues and  intraday news flow.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 23-May-2012


Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(23-May-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Red.
2- Bullish Hammer Candle formation.
3- Whole day negative zone range bound trading.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio:1.02
Nifty P/E Ratio(23-May-2012):16.38

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1049
BSE Declines : 1690
NSE Advances :  481
NSE Declines :  923

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4700 CE(May)- +380800(+44.56%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(May)- +1787150(+23.24%)

Nifty- 4800 CE(May)- +977950(+31.45%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(May)- +480150(+7.13%)

Nifty- 4900 CE(May)- -126550(-2.34%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(May)- -646650(-11.67%)

Nifty- 5000 CE(May)- +85050(+1.19%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(May)- -480550(-13.30%)

Nifty- 5100 CE(May)- +65400(0.98%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(May)- -32950(-1.28%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 4,835.65(-24.85 Points & -0.51%)
Sensex- closed at 15,948.10(-78.31 Points & -0.49% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 6,821.85(-35.50 Points & -0.52%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,238.23(-36.46 Points & -0.58%)

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 23-May-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII23-May-20121534.161895.23361.07

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII23-May-2012780.79612.3168.49

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 24-05-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 4907
R2 4880
R1 4857
Avg 4830
S1 4807
S2 4780
S3 4757

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 4885     Trgt 2
H5 4873     Trgt 1
H4 4862     Long breakout
H3 4848     Go Short
H2 4844
H1 4839
L1 4830
L2 4825
L3 4821     Long
L4 4807     Short Breakout
L5 4796     Trgt 1
L6 4784     Trgt 2

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 24-05-2012

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 4896
R2 4867
R1 4840
Avg 4811
S1 4784
S2 4755
S3 4728

Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 4870     Trgt 2
H5 4857     Trgt 1
H4 4844     Long breakout
H3 4829     Go Short
H2 4824
H1 4819
L1 4808
L2 4803
L3 4798     Long
L4 4783     Short Breakout
L5 4770     Trgt 1
L6 4757     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 24-05-2012

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 9361
R2 9291
R1 9212
Avg 9142
S1 9063
S2 8993
S3 8914

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9284     Trgt 2
H5 9249     Trgt 1
H4 9215     Long breakout
H3 9174     Go Short
H2 9161
H1 9147
L1 9120
L2 9106
L3 9093     Long
L4 9052     Short Breakout
L5 9018     Trgt 1
L6 8983     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(23-05-2012)

When Nifty was trading the intraday highs of today then following line was told in Mid-session Outlook-2 today:-

Let market sustain above any crucial Resistance then decisive up moves will be considered otherwise only volatility

Nifty lost almost all intraday gains and again traded near about today lows and proved intraday volatilite markets for today.

Intraday support little above yoday lows seen  today and it is higher bottom formation also. In this manner both intraday support and intraday selling within 4807-4853 today therefore break out and sustaining beyond today trading range will be next moves confirmations and should be firstly watched now.

Mid-session Outlook-2(23-05-2012)

Following line was told at 11:42:00 AM  in Mid-session Outlook today:-

bounce back possibility may be seen.

Sharp surge and Nifty 45 Points fast moved up from 4807 to 4852 seen today. 

Intraday support also seen at lower levels today and intraday volatility possibility should also be kept in mind. Let market sustain above any crucial Resistance then decisive up moves will be considered otherewise only volatility.

Mid-session Outlook(23-05-2012)

Down moves continuation after higher levels intraday selling but sentiment is extremely and indicators are oversold therefore intraday volatility and and bounce back possibility may be seen.

Technical Analysis and Research For 23-05-2012

Nifty-EOD Chart (22-May-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

All trends are down in Wave-2 correction and its bottom formation at 4788.95.95 on 18-05-2012. Although some up moves seen after bottom formation on 18-05-2012 but correction completion confirmation is required yet. As weakening of Indian Rupee therefore Indian markets moved down yesterday and could not be able to respond positive Global cues.

Minor supports at lower levels and multiple resistances at higher levels and market require compltete consolidation for any decisive up move and only Pull Back rally will be seen after after getting supports at lower levels.

Pre-open Outlook(23-05-2012)

All the Asian markets are in deep Red with most Indices are more than 1% down today morning therefore sentiment is weak today morning and negaive opening will be seen in Indian markets. Following supports should be firstly watched:-

1- 4790-4807
2- 4635-4663
3- 4602-4624
4- 4560-4590 

Next Resistances are as follows;-

1-4904-4955
2-5003-5036
3-5065-5125

Most depressed sentiment today morning therefore volatile market is expected and until Nifty will not sustaining minimum first resistance(4955) till then any up move will not be considered. Expected that Nifty will firstly trade between 4790-4904 and its break out will give next moves first indication.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(22-May-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Long Black Candle.
2- All the Indices closed in Red except IT.
3- Sharp down with weakening of Indian Rupee.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.88
Nifty P/E Ratio(22-May-2012): 16.46

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1051
BSE Declines : 1618
NSE Advances :  508
NSE Declines :  887

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4700 CE(May)- -15950(-1.83%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(May)- +913200(+13.16%)

Nifty- 4800 CE(May)- +473000(+17.94%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(May)- +250900(+3.79%)

Nifty- 4900 CE(May)- +677200(+13.85%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(May)- -258400(-4.46%)

Nifty- 5000 CE(May)- +1150850(+19.23%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(May)- +8800(+0.24%)

Nifty- 5100 CE(May)- -512350(-7.12%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(May)- -76850(-2.90%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 4,860.50(-45.55 Points & -0.93%)
Sensex- closed at 16,026.41(-156.85 Points & -0.97% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 6,857.35(-45.90 Points & -0.66%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,274.69(-42.72 Points & -0.68%)

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 22-May-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 22-May-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII22-May-20121611.911895.25-283.34

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII22-May-2012927.65720.05207.6

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 23-05-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5034
R2 4995
R1 4927
Avg  4888
S1 4820
S2 4781
S3 4713

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 4967     Trgt 2
H5 4943     Trgt 1
H4 4918     Long breakout
H3 4889     Go Short
H2 4879
H1 4869
L1 4850
L2 4840
L3 4830     Long
L4 4801     Short Breakout
L5 4776     Trgt 1
L6 4752     Trgt 2

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 23-05-2012

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 5020
R2 4980
R1 4910
Avg  4870
S1 4800
S2 4760
S3 4690

Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 4951     Trgt 2
H5 4926     Trgt 1
H4 4901     Long breakout
H3 4871     Go Short
H2 4861
H1 4851
L1 4830
L2 4820
L3 4810     Long
L4 4780     Short Breakout
L5 4755     Trgt 1
L6 4730     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 23-05-2012

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 9648
R2 9548
R1 9366
Avg  9266
S1 9084
S2 8984
S3 8802

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9466     Trgt 2
H5 9402     Trgt 1
H4 9339     Long breakout
H3 9261     Go Short
H2 9235
H1 9209
L1 9158
L2 9132
L3 9106     Long
L4 9028    Short Breakout
L5 8965     Trgt 1
L6 8901     Trgt 2

Post-open Outlook(22-05-2012)

Nifty slipped below 4937 immediately after positive opening today. Selling was between 4928-4937 yesterday and Nifty is trading between this range for the last 45 Minutes after forming lows at 4927.15.

Although Pull Back Rally continuation is expected after sustaining above 4937 but Petroleum Price hike may also be seen within couple of sessions therefore volatility may be seen.

Nifty is trading exactly at 4937 at this moment therefore firstly watch sustaining it beyond for next moves confirmations.

Pull Back rally continuation after its formation through consolidations

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (21-May-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Support between 4904-4918
2- Selling between 4928-4937
3- New bottom formation after sharp fall
4- Whole day trading between 4889-4937

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis

Clear supports at lower levels but selling patterns were also seen at higher levels yesterday. Although intraday technical correction through last half hour sharp fall with new bottom formation was also seen yesterday therefore sustaining beyond yesterday trading range is main demand for next short term moves confirmations.

Pre-open Outlook(22-05-2012)

Nowadays main trigger comes from Global markets and all the Asian markets are in Green today after strong recovery in all the European and US markets therefore sentiment is pleasant today morning and positive opening will be seen in Indian markets.

Following Weekly topic was posted on 19-05-2012.

Only Watch 4790-4907 Break out for Short Term / Intermediate Term Trend

As yesterday closing was at 4906.05 therefore no damage to supports below 4907 despite sharp fall yesterday. As intraday selling formations were seen between 4928-4937 yesterday therefore sustaing above 4937 is must today for next up moves confirmation.

Next 4 Resistances of last 11 sessions are as follows:-

R1-4904-4922
R2-4936-4953
R3-5003-5036
R4-5065-5125

As 4904-4922 was resistance therefore sharp fall was seen within this range yesterday for consolidations and snatching buying positions from weaker traders. Multiple resistances at higher levels therefore complete consolidations are rquired for decisive up moves.

Expected that market will sustain above 4937 and Pull Back rally continuation will be seen after its formation through higher levels consolidations today and in the coming sessions.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 21-May-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 21-May-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII21-May-20121334.721414.31-79.59

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII21-May-2012662.44513.24149.2

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-05-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 4981
R2 4959
R1 4932.67
Avg 4910
S1 4883
S2 4861
S3 4834

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 4955     Trgt 2
H5 4944     Trgt 1
H4 4932     Long breakout
H3 4919     Go Short
H2 4914
H1 4910
L1 4901
L2 4897
L3 4892     Long
L4 4879     Short Breakout
L5 4867     Trgt 1
L6 4856     Trgt 2

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-05-2012

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 4971
R2 4951
R1 4922
Avg 4902
S1 4873
S2 4853
S3 4824

Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 4942     Trgt 2
H5 4931     Trgt 1
H4 4919     Long breakout
H3 4906     Go Short
H2 4901
H1 4897
L1 4888
L2 4884
L3 4879    Long
L4 4866    Short Breakout
L5 4854     Trgt 1
L6 4843     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-05-2012

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 9560
R2 9487
R1 9412
Avg 9339
S1 9264
S2 9191
S3 9116

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9486     Trgt 2
H5 9452     Trgt 1
H4 9418     Long breakout
H3 9377    Go Short
H2 9364
H1 9350
L1 9323
L2 9309
L3 9296     Long
L4 9255     Short Breakout
L5 9221     Trgt 1
L6 9187     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(21-05-2012)

Indian markets showed out performnace in first session but did not responded in the Mid Session after good recovery in US Futures and European markets. Dow's Futures is more than 75 points up and all the European markets have turned positive but Indian markets slipped from intra day highs.

Clear supports at lower levels but selling patterns also seen at higher levels therefore today trading range (4904-4936) break out should be firstly watched out for next short term confirmations.

Mid-session Outlook(21-05-2012)

Asian markets are mixed but All the European markets are in Red but Indian markets are again out performing today with trading .50% up. Last 3 hours trading betwen 4904-4924 with intraday mixed patterns. As Indian markets are sustaining in Green despite negative European markets thereofore it is a signal of strength.

Sustaining above 4924 will be continuation confirmation of last Friday begun up move.