ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥


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which is updating Nifty & Indian Stock Markets
"Daily and Weekly accurate Outlooks" 
with "Intraday Charts Analysis"for the 
last more than "14 years" means from "2010"
For its live Proofs just see "Archive"
in the "bottom of this Website".

Trading "calls" from our "Software" with more than "90% accuracy"

Pre-Closing Outlook(21-10-2011)


As whole day intraday charts formations are suggesting selling formations therefore more down moves are expected in the next week and Nifty may slip below 5000 also in next week.

Mid-session Outlook-3(21-10-2011)


Although support also seen at lower levels after higher level selling but whole day intraday charts formations are suggesting selling formations therefore down moves are expected in the next week.

Mid-session Outlook-2(21-10-2011)

As soon as selling signals seen then it updated in Mid-session Outlook and markets slipped fast after our message. Although 5108-5125 broken down but strong supports between 5012-5050 therefore complete selling is required to move below 5012.

Next moves preparation and trading range is 5050-5108 and intraday support signals also emerged at lower levels today. Mixed signals today therefore let market ripe for next moves within today trading range(5072-5120) then final conclusions will be drawn from intraday patterns formations and its break out.

Mid-session Outlook(21-10-2011)

Market is positive but selling signals seen therefore keep in mind and watch sustaining beyond 5108-5125 for confirmations.

Post-open Outlook(21-10-2011)


Strong support developed between 5012-5155 in last 6 sessions and complete selling formations are required to move below 5012.

Nifty traded 3 Hours with mixed intra day patterns between 5108-5125 on 17-10-2011 and again same trading on 19-10-2011. Total 6 hours trading with mixed intra day patterns between 5108-5125 in 2 sessions and finally sustaining beyond this range will be next moves confirmations.

Just watch sustaining beyond 5108-5125 for next big moves confirmations.

Technical Analysis and Research For 21-10-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(20-Oct-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Down moves in Falling Channel.
2- Consolidation between 5034-5050.
3- Last 2 hours up moves between 5053-5097.
4- Whole day trading between 5034-5097.

Conclusions

On going pull back rally started on 05-10-2011 and its correction begun from 5160 after 8 sessions as well as good support also seen between 5012-5035 on 18-10-2011. As Global markets were bleeding therefore Indian markets dipped sharply after weak opening but again good intraday support and base formation seen between 5034-5050 today.

Huge violent volatility in Global markets nowadays therefore trading levels will be finalised accoring to global mood and sentiment tomorrow morning. Dow Jones is more than 110 points down after European markets near about 2% down closing but in Indian markets good support and base formation at lower levels(5012-5050) in last 6 sessions therefore expected that indian markets will remain range bound between 5012-5155.

Although Indian markets could not sustain at higher levels in last 6 corrective sessions but selling are not strong at higher levels therefore 5012-5155 break out should be watched for next moves confirmations despite whatsoever depressing global markets because good support and base formation between 5012-5050 also.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(20-Oct-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Red closing even after good recovery from lower levels.
2- Bullish Hammer candle.
3- All the Indices closed in Red except IT.
4- Good support and base formation at lower levels today.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.06
Nifty P/E Ratio(20-Oct-2011): 18.14

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1106
BSE DECLINES : 1713
NSE ADVANCES :  495
NSE DECLINES :  905

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5000 CE(Oct)- +1206250(+53.73%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Oct)- +34900(+0.56%)

Nifty- 5100 CE(Oct)- +1575200(+39.70%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Oct)- +124550(+2.53%)

Nifty- 5200 CE(Oct)- +1670700(+24.48%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Oct)- -42250(-2.54%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,091.90(-47.25 Points & -0.92%)
Sensex- closed at 16,936.89(-148.45 Points & -0.87% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,062.95(-79.40 Points & -1.11%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 6,866.27(-32.39 Points & -0.47%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 21-10-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5181
R2 5140
R1 5115
Avg 5074
S1 5049
S2 5008
S3 4983

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5157     Trgt 2
H5 5142    Trgt 1
H4 5127    Long breakout
H3 5109     Go Short
H2 5103
H1 5097
L  5084
L2 5078
L3 5072    Long
L4 5054     Short Breakout
L5 5039     Trgt 1
L6 5024     Trgt 2

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 21-10-2011

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 5209
R2 5160
R1 5131
Avg 5082
S1 5053
S2 5004
S3 4975

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5181     Trgt 2
H5 5162     Trgt 1
H4 5144     Long breakout
H3 5123     Go Short
H2 5116
H1 5109
L1 5094
L2 5087
L3 5080     Long
L4 5059     Short Breakout
L5 5041     Trgt 1
L6 5022     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 21-10-2011

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 10023
R2 9908
R1 9840
Avg 9725
S1 9657
S2 9542
S3 9474

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9958     Trgt 2
H5 9915     Trgt 1
H4 9872     Long breakout
H3 9822     Go Short
H2 9805
H1 9788
L1 9755
L2 9738
L3 9721     Long
L4 9671     Short Breakout
L5 9628     Trgt 1
L6 9585     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(20-10-2011)

Support range of 5012-5035 was mentioned in both previous outlooks and Nifty bounced from 5033.95 after good consolidation between 5034-5050.

Indian markets are range bound between 5012-5155 and global cues led random moves within this range for the last 6 sessions therefore will be safer to get confirmation through sustaining beyond this range.

Mid-session Outlook(20-10-2011)


Markets are highly volatile on violent global cues and without much intraday trading positions therefore next moves confirmation will be only sustaining beyond any crucial level.

Intraday support was seen between 5012-5035 on 18-10-2011 and Nifty is trading at higher levels of this range for the last 2 hours. 10 days old pull back rally and interpretation of sustaining beyond this range will be as follows:-

1- Finally sustaining above 5035 will mean pull back rally correction completion and up moves for testing resistances between 5145-5220.
2- Finally sustaining below 5012 will mean pull back rally termination and beginning of fresh down moves towards lower levels of 51 sessions old trading range(4720-5229).

Post-open Outlook(20-10-2011)


Weakness clearly seen today and Indian markets are under performing global cues as well. 6 hours trading range(5108-5125) was mentioned in two previous topics which was broken out yesterday and broken down today on the back of strong/weaker global cues.

Global cues led high volatility nowadays and Nifty slipped below 5108 today. Next supports are between 5012-5035, as real weakness is clearly visible today therefore its testing is possible and on going rally termination confirmation will be after sustaining below 5012.

Pre-open Outlook(20-10-2011)

Nifty traded 6 hours trading within or near about 5108-5125 in last 2 days.This range was broken out and Nifty traded last one hour above 5125 yesterday. As up move was without force therefore doubts were expressed in both previous outlooks(Pre-Closing and Nifty-Micro Analysis) following line were told:-

1- confirmation is required tomorrow through sustaining above 5125 and crossing first resistance range of 5125-5155.

2- If Nifty fails to sustain above 5125 then  break out and sustaining beyond 6 hours trading range(5108-5125) should be watched for next moves confirmations.

More than 40/50 points up/down opening nowadays on the back of extreme bullish/bearish Global cues. As global cues are weak therefore 40/50 points down opening will be seen today but sustaining below 5108 will be down moves confirmation therefore should be firstly watched today.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 20-10-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(19-Oct-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation Patterns between 5076-5085
2- Consolidation between 5095-5102
3- 3 Hours mixed patterns between 5108-5125
4- Last 1 hour up move without force between 5122-5148
5- Whole day trading between 5095-5148

Conclusions

Nifty traded last 3 hours between 5108-5125 with mixed patterns on 17-10-2011 and Nifty again traded 3 hours within same same range today. Firstly trading with mixed patterns today and after that up move in last 1 hour without force between 5122-5148 therefore more requirement of consolidation and up moves confirmation through sustaining above 5125 and minimum crossing first resistance range of 5125-5155 tomorrow or in the coming sessions.

Resistances at higher levels are as follows;-

1- Selling between 5135-5155(on 17-10-2011)
2- Old Resistance 5145-5220

Resistances at higher levels therefore follow up buying and consolidation is must for crossing above resistances and sustaining above last 50 sessions trading range highest(5229)

Firstly watch sustaining above 5125 and that will be first strong signal of blasting rally beginning above 5229. If Nifty fails to sustain above 5125 then  break out and sustaining beyond 6 hours trading range(5108-5125) should be watched for next moves confirmations.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 19-Oct-2011


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 19-Oct-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII19-Oct-20111768.891783.34-14.45


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII19-Oct-2011763.47857.93-94.46

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(19-Oct-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Long White Candle after gap up opening.
2- All the Indices closed in Green and most with good gains.
3- Closing at the top of on going rally.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.16
Nifty P/E Ratio(19-Oct-2011): 18.36

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1664
BSE DECLINES : 1151
NSE ADVANCES :  949
NSE DECLINES :  459

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5000 CE(Oct)- -1007750(-30.08)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Oct)- +521500(+8.91%)

Nifty- 5100 CE(Oct)- -448900(-8.84%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Oct)- +2488050(+87.20%)

Nifty- 5200 CE(Oct)- +485400(+7.29%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Oct)- +606350(+55.79%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,138.05(+101.65 Points & +2.02%)
Sensex- closed at 17,085.34(+337.05 Points & +2.01% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,142.55(+94.70 Points & +1.34%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 6,898.66(+44.28 Points & +0.65%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-10-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5239
R2 5193
R1 5166
Avg 5120
S1 5093
S2 5047
S3 5020

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5212     Trgt 2
H5 5196     Trgt 1
H4 5179     Long breakout
H3 5159     Go Short
H2 5152
H1 5145
L1 5132
L2 5125
L3 5118     Long
L4 5098     Short Breakout
L5 5081     Trgt 1
L6 5065     Trgt 2

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-10-2011

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 5267
R2 5212
R1 5180
Avg 5125
S1 5093
S2 5038
S3 5006

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5237     Trgt 2
H5 5217     Trgt 1
H4 5196     Long breakout
H3 5172     Go Short
H2 5164
H1 5156
L1 5141
L2 5133
L3 5125     Long
L4 5101     Short Breakout
L5 5080     Trgt 1
L6 5060     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-10-2011

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 10180
R2 10028
R1 9942
Avg 9790
S1 9704
S2 9552
S3 9466

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10099     Trgt 2
H5 10043     Trgt 1
H4  9986     Long breakout
H3  9921     Go Short
H2  9899
H1  9877
L1  9834
L2  9812
L3  9790    Long
L4  9725    Short Breakout
L5  9668    Trgt 1
L6  9612    Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(1910-2011)


Nifty traded last 3 hours between 5108-5125 with mixed patterns on  on 17-10-2011 and it was mentioned on same day. Nifty again traded within or near about same range for more than 3 hours and it was again mentioned in Mid-session Outlook today.

6 hours trading within or near about 5108-5125 and Nifty moved above 5125 and also trading above for the last half hour but lacking force therefore confirmation is required tomorrow through sustaining above 5125 and crossing first resistance range of 5125-5155.

Resistances at higher levels are as follows;-

1- Selling between 5135-5155(on 17-10-2011)
2- Old Resistance 5145-5220

Finally sustaining above 5125 will mean high possibility of blasting rally.

Mid-session Outlook(1910-2011)

Nifty traded 3 hours with mixed intraday patterns between 5108-5125 on 17-Oct-2011 and Nifty is again trading within or near about this range for the last 90 minutes. Selling and resistances above this range and minor supports also below this range. Sustaining beyond this range will be first strong indication next moves beginning therefore

Firstly watch sustaining beyond 5108-5125 for next moves confirmation.

Post-open Outlook(1910-2011)


Strong opening,trading near today highs but sentiment turned heated therefore buying should be done after some intraday correction.

Technical Analysis and Research For 19-10-2011

Post-open Outlook(1910-2011)

Nifty-EOD Chart(18-Oct-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- 49 Sessions range bound market between 4720-5229
2- Gap of resistance 18-10-2011(5058-5085)
3- 3 Days range bound market within 5070-5155

Conclusions

Indian markets consolidated at lower levels yesterday and it was updated during trading hours yesterday in Pre-Closing Outlook and following lines were told:-

Although deep Red closing today but consolidation signals also in today intraday patterns therefore view should be bearish after sustaining below 5012.

Following lines were told yesterday in Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 19-10-2011

As whole day consolidation patterns today therefore positive market as well as up moves continuation expected tomorrow.

Gap up opening today and Nifty is trading within mentioned 3 Days range bound market of 5070-5155 in which mixed patterns were seen between 13th oct to 17th oct 2011.

Follow up buying,up moves and positive market expected today.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 19-10-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(18-Oct-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5030-5057
2- Consolidation between 5011-5029
3- Whole day trading between 5011-5057

Conclusions

Gap down opening and whole day deep Red today trading was due to crashing Global markets cues therefore finally sustaining point of market will decide next trend. Although selling seen at higher levels but support also seen at lower levels today.

8 Days rally from the bottom of 49 sessions range lowest(4728) with 3 days range bound market with mixed intraday patterns within 5070-5155. As lower levels support today and and whole day intraday consolidation patterns also seen therefore sustaining above today high(5057) will be confirmation of 8 days corrction and its completion also today.

Today down moves were not the result of higher levels pure selling but depressing global cues therefore follow up buying in the coming sessions will mean up moves to test 8 days rally highest.

As whole day consolidation patterns today therefore positive market as well as up moves continuation expected tomorrow.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 18-Oct-2011


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 18-Oct-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII18-Oct-20111821.62106.79-285.19


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII18-Oct-2011830.19963.08-132.89

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(18-Oct-2011)


Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Red closing.
2- Black Candle.
3- All the Indiced in Red.
4- Intraday support seen at lower levels today.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.15
Nifty P/E Ratio(18-Oct-2011): 18.00

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 896
BSE DECLINES : 1891
NSE ADVANCES :  344
NSE DECLINES : 1077

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5000 CE(Oct)- +703750(+25.53%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Oct)- -13200(-0.21%)

Nifty- 5100 CE(Oct)- +1100(+0.02%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Oct)- -1185600(-29.40%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,037.50(-80.75 Points & -1.58%)
Sensex- closed at 16,748.29(-276.80 Points & -1.63% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,047.65(-91.90 Points & -1.29%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 6,854.38(-68.59 Points & -0.99%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-10-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5105
R2 5081
R1 5059
Avg 5035
S1 5013
S2 4989
S3 4967

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5083     Trgt 2
H5 5072     Trgt 1
H4 5062     Long breakout
H3 5049     Go Short
H2 5045
H1 5041
L1 5032
L2 5028
L3 5024     Long
L4 5011     Short Breakout
L5 5001     Trgt 1
L6 4990     Trgt 2

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-10-2011

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 5117
R2 5090
R1 5067
Avg 5040
S1 5017
S2 4990
S3 4967

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5094     Trgt 2
H5 5082     Trgt 1
H4 5071     Long breakout
H3 5057     Go Short
H2 5053
H1 5048
L1 5039
L2 5034
L3 5030     Long
L4 5016     Short Breakout
L5 5005     Trgt 1
L6 4993     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-10-2011

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 9886
R2 9785
R1 9682
Avg 9581
S1 9478
S2 9377
S3 9274

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9785     Trgt 2
H5 9738     Trgt 1
H4 9691     Long breakout
H3 9635     Go Short
H2 9616
H1 9597
L1 9560
L2 9541
L3 9522     Long
L4 9466     Short Breakout
L5 9419     Trgt 1
L6 9372     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(18-10-2011)


Crashed global cues led down moves today with intraday selling patterns between 5030-5045 and supports at lower levels also. Intraday positions are not one sided today and Nifty will again trade near about today trading range(5012-5045) therefore its break out will be next moves confirmation.

Although deep Red closing today but consolidation signals also in today intraday patterns therefore view should be bearish after sustaining below 5012.

Pre-open Outlook(18-10-2011)

All the Asian markets are showing crashing character after US markets more than 1.5% down closing yesterday and Indian markets will also react Global weakness through gap down opening today. Sustaining below 5080 will mean breaking down of last 3 days range and confirmation of 7 days old pull back rally termination as well as beginning of down moves within 48 sessions range bound markets(4720-5229) and next support of 4960-4980 may be tested.

Blog may not be updated in next 2/3 hours.

Technical Analysis,Researches & Market Outlook(18-10-2011)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(17-Oct-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5135-5155
2- Selling between 5121-5133
3- Last 3 hours mixed patterns between 5108-5125
4- Whole day trading between 5086-5155

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(Oct 13 to Oct 17,2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 3 sessions intraday charts

1- Last 3 days trading between 5070-5155
2- Buying,Selling and Mixed intraday patterns in last 3 days. 

Conclusions

Lower levels buying,higher levels selling and also mixed intraday patterns in last 3 days. When all the global markets were blasting then we did not posted bullish views because strong resistance at higher levels between 5145-5220. 

US markets are more than 1.75% down at this moment then also we are not bearish because pure selling patterns not seen in last 3 days and it has also been shown in above charts.

Expected that sentiment will be depressed today morning and weak opening will be seen in Indian markets also. Nifty traded between 5080-5155 in last 3 days and sustaining below 5080 is must for the confirmation of 7 days old pull back rally termination.

Violent volatility in Global markets nowadays. US markets were more than 1.5% up last Friday and today down in same pct terms. Indian markets did not responded strong Global cues yesterday and closed with minor loss. Let Indian markets react Global weakness then Indian markets reaction will be understood and will be updated in the Blog as lesser strength was told within first 2 minutes yesterday.

Only watch that Nifty is sustaining below 5080 or not after weak opening today. Something cooked between 5080-5155 in last 3 days and sustaining beyond this range will be next strong moves confirmation therefore will be watched firstly today.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 17-Oct-2011


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 17-Oct-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII17-Oct-20111857.51478.79378.71


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII17-Oct-2011634.39955.8-321.41

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(17-Oct-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Red.
2- Black Candle.
3- No clear trend and most Indices closed with minor gains/loss

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.12
Nifty P/E Ratio(17-Oct-2011): 18.50

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1314
BSE DECLINES : 1453
NSE ADVANCES :  669
NSE DECLINES :  761

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5000 CE(Oct)- -36500(-1.29%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Oct)- -28300(-0.43%)

Nifty- 5100 CE(Oct)- +1269500(+30.21%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Oct)- +121650(+2.89%)

Nifty- 5200 CE(Oct)- +1069150(+16.90%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Oct)- +74450(+5.25%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,118.25(-14.05 Points & -0.27%)
Sensex- closed at 17,025.09(-57.60 Points & -0.34% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,139.55(+3.60 Points & +0.05%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 6,922.97(+15.01 Points & +0.22%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-10-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5233
R2 5196
R1 5157
Avg 5120
S1 5081
S2 5044
S3 5005

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5194     Trgt 2
H5 5177     Trgt 1
H4 5159     Long breakout
H3 5138     Go Short
H2 5131
H1 5124
L1 5111
L2 5104
L3 5097     Long
L4 5076     Short Breakout
L5 5058     Trgt 1
L6 5041     Trgt 2

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-10-2011

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 5238
R2 5200
R1 5157
Avg 5119
S1 5076
S2 5038
S3 4995

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5196     Trgt 2
H5 5178     Trgt 1
H4 5159     Long breakout
H3 5137     Go Short
H2 5129
H1 5122
L1 5107
L2 5100
L3 5092     Long
L4 5070     Short Breakout
L5 5051     Trgt 1
L6 5033     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-10-2011

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 9906
R2 9847
R1 9774
Avg 9715
S1 9642
S2 9583
S3 9510

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9834     Trgt 2
H5 9804     Trgt 1
H4 9774     Long breakout
H3 9738     Go Short
H2 9726
H1 9714
L1 9689
L2 9677
L3 9665     Long
L4 9629     Short Breakout
L5 9599     Trgt 1
L6 9569     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(17-10-2011)

Following lines were told in Pre-Closing Outlook(14-10-2011)

last 90 minutes intraday patterns are also showing mixed formations therefore sustaining beyond 5112-5140 will be firstly watched for confirmation on next Monday.

Today intraday charts are showing that Nifty traded most of the time between last Friday range(5112-5140) and again traded with mixed intraday patterns in last 3 hours between 5108-5125.

It is clear that next strong moves have been cooked between 5108-5140 in last 2 days and this range break out will give following decisive moves:-

1- Termination of 6 days old pull back rally below 5108/5085 or
2- Continuation of rally above 5125/5160 but strong resistances at higher levels therefore complete consolidation is required.

Mixed intraday patterns therefore will be safer to get confirmation through break out of above mentioned ranges for next strong trend.

Mid-session Outlook(17-10-2011)


Although gap up opening but was not strong therefore it was updated within  first 2 minutes after opening in Post-open Outlook today and Nifty slipped also more than 30 points after our above message.

Minor intraday selling seen at higher levels today and until Nifty will not cross 5155 till then next up move will not be considered but market require complete formations for any side decisive moves and will prepare in the coming hpurs for that.

Intraday selling after lesser strength opening is weakness signal and sustaining below 5112 will be down moves confirmation. Indian markets are trading within mentioned range(5112-5172) since opening today and its break out will be next moves confirmations.

Post-open Outlook(17-10-2011)


Gap up opening today but not strong.

Bullish'W' Pattern in last 47 sessions


Technical Analysis and Research For 17-10-2011

Nifty-EOD Chart(14-Oct-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Bullish'W' Pattern in last 47 sessions range bound market
2- Falling Trend line break out last Friday

Conclusions

Correction begun on Deepawali-2010 from 6339 and range bound market within 4720-5229 in last 47 sessions. Many times Market take pause,become range bound and prepare for next moves. Indian markets remained range boud 5 months after 2008 crash and then strong rally begun in March 2009 and same possibility can not be ruled out this time also.

Bullish'W' Pattern in last 47 sessions range bound market,falling trend line break out last Friday and gap up opening will be seen today after strong global cues today morning. Nifty will trade between strong resistance range(5145-5220) today and follow up consolidation is must in the coming sessions for crossing and sustaining above 5229.

Expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves within 5112-5172. As heated sentiment therefore profit booking possibility will also be kept in mind. Mentioned range will be watched first and break out of this range will be result of next moves today preparation as well as confirmation will be sustaining beyond 5112-5220.

Technical Analysis & Market Outlook(17-10-2011)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(14-Oct-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation between 5073-5100
2- Last 90 minutes mixed patterns 5112-5140
3- Whole day trading between 5073-5141

Conclusions

Good lower levels consolidations last friday but next strong resistances are between 5145-5220 and mixed trading patterns also seen last Friday between 5073-5141 therefore Indian markets require complete consolidation firstly to cross 5141 and then finally to sustain above 5229.

Expected that sentiment will be strong Monday morning due to following reasons;-

1- Good RIL results last Saturday.
2- US market strong rally last Friday.
3- Indian markets benchmark Indices closing more than 1% up last Friday. 

Coming couple of sessions will be crucial for deciding the net conclusion of last 47 sessions range bound market(4720-5229). It is confirm that market require complete consolidation to clear next strong resistances(5145-5220) therefore Follow up buying/selling intraday patterns will be firstly watched for first indication of next big moves and will be updated in the Mid-session Outlooks in the Blog as being done for the last one year.

All the possibilities are very much open at this moment and Indian markets are not prepared for any side trending market therefore no guessing and let market prepare for a decisive market after(or without) break out then final conclusions will be drawn accrding to markets positions and intraday charts formations.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(14-Oct-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Long White candle.
2- All the Indices closed in Green except metals.
3- Whole day up moves and trading between last resistance range of last 47 trading sessions.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.17 
Nifty P/E Ratio(14-Oct-2011): 18.55

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1419
BSE DECLINES : 1361
NSE ADVANCES :  735
NSE DECLINES :  687

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5000 CE(Oct)- -416850(-12.74%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Oct)- +1284150(+23.00%)

Nifty- 5100 CE(Oct)- -626550(-12.59%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Oct)- +1507700(+53.94%)

Nifty- 5200 CE(Oct)- +71100(+1.11%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Oct)- +478200(+48.90%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,131.35(+54.45 Points & +1.07%)
Sensex- closed at 17,082.69(+198.77 Points & +1.18% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,133.45(+29.55 Points & +0.42%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 6,907.96(+21.69 Points & +0.31%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 17-10-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5247
R2 5194
R1 5162
Avg 5109
S1 5077
S2 5024
S3 4992

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5217     Trgt 2
H5 5197     Trgt 1
H4 5177     Long breakout
H3 5154     Go Short
H2 5146
H1 5138
L1 5123
L2 5115
L3 5107     Long
L4 5084     Short Breakout
L5 5064     Trgt 1
L6 5044     Trgt 2

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 17-10-2011

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 5275
R2 5214
R1 5178
Avg 5117
S1 5081
S2 5020
S3 4984

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5241     Trgt 2
H5 5219     Trgt 1
H4 5196     Long breakout
H3 5169     Go Short
H2 5160
H1 5151
L1 5134
L2 5125
L3 5116     Long
L4 5089     Short Breakout
L5 5066     Trgt 1
L6 5044     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 17-10-2011

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 9967
R2 9833
R1 9753
Avg 9619
S1 9539
S2 9405
S3 9325

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9892     Trgt 2
H5 9841     Trgt 1
H4 9791     Long breakout
H3 9732     Go Short
H2 9713
H1 9693
L1 9654
L2 9634
L3 9615     Long
L4 9556     Short Breakout
L5 9506     Trgt 1
L6 9455     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Oct 17 to Oct 21,2011)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5479
R2 5310
R1 5220
Avg 5051
S1 4961
S2 4792
S3 4702

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5403     Trgt 2
H5 5338     Trgt 1
H4 5273     Long breakout
H3 5202     Go Short
H2 5178
H1 5154
L1 5107
L2 5083
L3 5059     Long
L4 4988     Short Breakout
L5 4923     Trgt 1
L6 4858     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Oct 17 to Oct 21,2011)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 10616
R2 10154
R1 9907
Avg 9445
S1 9198
S2 8736
S3 8489

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 10422     Trgt 2
H5 10236     Trgt 1
H4 10049     Long breakout
H3 9854      Go Short
H2 9789
H1 9724
L1 9595
L2 9530
L3 9465     Long
L4 9270     Short Breakout
L5 9083     Trgt 1
L6 8897     Trgt 2