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Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(29-11-2012)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (27-Nov-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- More than 4 hours sideways trading between 5697-5713.
2- Whole day actual trading between 5682-5732.

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although Up moves on 27-11-2012 but it was clearly and continuously projected in last 5 days and following lines were told-

1- In Pre-open Outlook on 27-11-2012:-"fresh up moves above 5700 will be seen now"

2-In Mid-session Outlook on 26-11-2012:- "Nifty will move above 5650 and short term up moves will be seen in the coming sessions"

3-In Bullish Flag formation confirming strong Wave-5 Rally on 24-11-2012:- firstly up moves will be seen in the beginning of next week and Nifty will counter following next resistances:-

1- 5620-5650(Immediate resistance)
2- 5652-5660(Gap created on 15-11-2012)
3- 5672-5705.
4- 5700-5720/5733/5777/5815(Multiple Resistances)

Nifty traded and closed above 5700 and all above predictions and projections proved true on 
27-11-2012.

As lower levels good intraday consolidations in last 6 sessions therefore only up moves were projected and strong rally was seen also on 27-11-2012 with more than 4 hours sideways trading between 5697-5713 but with mixed intraday patterns despite this range good break out and closing near intraday higher levels.

43 sessions sideways trading with multiple resistances between 5700-5815 therefore complete consolidation is required before any up move within this range. As mixed intraday patterns last Tuesday within this range between 5697-5713 therefore follow up consolidations and sustaining above 5713 is must for decisive up moves within mentioned resistance range.

Expected that rally will remain continued after follow up consolidation but up moves will be slow and after complete consolidations. sustaining above 5713 should be firstly watched because that will be consolidation confirmation between multiple and rather big resistance range.

Detailed technical analysis have already been updated on 24-11-2012 in following topic. Just click following topic link and understand Indian markets:-

"Bullish Flag formation confirming strong Wave-5 Rally"  

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 27-Nov-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 27-Nov-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII27-Nov-20123888.032805.291082.74

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII27-Nov-20121333.021541.53-208.51

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(27-Nov-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed in Green with good gains.
2- Strong rally after Greece bail out package news.
3- Long White Candle formation.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.11
Nifty P/E Ratio(27-Nov-2012): 17.88

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,720
BSE Declines : 1,165
NSE Advances : 1,131
NSE Declines :   582

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5600 CE(Nov)- -2,478,750(-57.19%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Nov)- -57,300(-0.67%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Nov)- -3,342,900(-38.52%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Nov)-  3,182,950(84.78%)

Nifty- 5800 CE(Nov)- 721,800(8.81%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Nov)- 349,900(40.25%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 18,842.08(305.07 Points & 1.65%)
Nifty- closed at 5,727.45(91.55 Points & 1.62%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,947.70(94.20 Points & 1.20%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,567.25(31.25 Points & 0.88%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 29-11-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5829
R2 5781
R1 5754
Avg 5706
S1 5679
S2 5631
S3 5604

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5802     Trgt 2 
H5 5785     Trgt 1
H4 5768     Long breakout 
H3 5747     Go Short 
H2 5740
H1 5733
L1 5720
L2 5713
L3 5706     Long 
L4 5685     Short Breakout 
L5 5668     Trgt 1 
L6 5651     Trgt 2

Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 29-11-2012

Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels

R3 5843
R2 5790
R1 5761
Avg 5708
S1 5679
S2 5626
S3 5597

Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5815     Trgt 2 
H5 5796     Trgt 1
H4 5777     Long breakout 
H3 5754     Go Short 
H2 5747
H1 5739
L1 5724
L2 5716
L3 5709     Long 
L4 5686     Short Breakout 
L5 5667     Trgt 1 
L6 5648     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 29-11-2012

Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels

R3 11936
R2 11811
R1 11743
Avg 11618
S1 11550
S2 11425
S3 11357

Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11872     Trgt 2
H5 11827     Trgt 1
H4 11782     Long breakout
H3 11729     Go Short
H2 11711
H1 11693
L1 11658
L2 11640
L3 11622     Long
L4 11569     Short Breakout
L5 11524     Trgt 1
L6 11479     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(27-11-2012)

As good lower levels consolidation therefore up moves were very much due in Indian markets and Greece package given that trigger today,resultant more than 1.4% rally today. Multiple resistances above 5700 and Nifty is trading above it for the last more than 3 hours but follow up consolidations and sustaining above 5700 is must for next up moves

As Indian markets are sideways within 5549-5815 for the last 42 sessions therefore only short term trend within this range will be considered at present. As last more than 3 hours trading between 5700-5713 without any clear pattern formation therefore valid break out of this range will decide next Short term trend within 42 sessions range and:-

1- Above 5713 will mean up moves after follow up consolidations.
2- Below 5549 will mean retesting of previous week supports near 5600.

Although on going rally continuation is expected but follow up consolidations is must and valid break out of 5700-5713 will also be watched for next decisive short term trend.

Post-open Outlook(27-11-2012)

Although Up moves today but it was clearly projected in last 4 days and following lines were told-

1- In Pre-open Outlook on 27-11-2012:-"fresh up moves above 5700 will be seen now"

2-In Mid-session Outlook on 26-11-2012:- "Nifty will move above 5650 and short term up moves will be seen in the coming sessions"

3-In Bullish Flag formation confirming strong Wave-5 Rally on 24-11-2012:- firstly up moves will be seen in the beginning of next week and Nifty will counter following next resistances:-

1- 5620-5650(Immediate resistance)
2- 5652-5660(Gap created on 15-11-2012)
3- 5672-5705.
4- 5700-5720/5733/5777/5815(Multiple Resistances)

Nifty traded above 5700 today and all above predictions and projections proved true today.

Up moves above 5700 will be seen but strong and multiple resistances between 5700-5815 therefore moves above 5700 may be slow because fresh consolidation will also be required before any up move.

Pre-open Outlook(27-11-2012)

Greece bail out package boosted sentiment today morning and all the Asian markets are positive,some Asian markets are more than 1% up as well. Indian markets will also respond heated mood with positive opening and finally sustaining above immediate resistance range(5620-5650) will mean strength in on going up trend.

As lower levels consolidation seen yesterday after last week good consolidation between 5549-5606 therefore fresh up moves above 5700 will be seen now but strong and multiple resistances between 5700-5815 therefore moves above 5700 may be slow because fresh consolidation will be required before any up move.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(27-11-2012)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (26-Nov-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Falling Channel down moves.
2- Falling Channel break out.
3- Consolidation and supports between 5624-5634 
4- Selling between 5638-5644
3- Whole day actual trading between 5624-5646

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Following lines were told in "Bullish Flag formation confirming strong Wave-5 Rally" on 24-11-2012

"As selling between 5620-5650 also therefore follow up consolidation is also required for sustaining above 5650"

Nifty traded whole day today within above mentioned range between 5623.45-5649.20 but with mixed intraday patterns. Although only follow up consolidation was required and it was seen also at lower levels between 5624-5634 but higher levels selling also seen between 5624-5646.

Nifty actual trading within 22 points between 5624-5646 with both buying and selling patterns therefore more technical positions are required for one sided decisive moves. Coming sessions markets may be affected by political news also because 3 consecutive days Parliament adjournments on FDI and if this situation does not resolve early then sentiment may be nervous and fresh selling can not be ruled out.

Follow up buying/selling and sustaining beyond immediate resistance range(5620-5650) will decide next Short Term moves and should be firstly watched in the coming sessions.

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 26-Nov-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII26-Nov-20121546.551383.41163.14

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII26-Nov-2012600.01795.67-195.66

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(26-Nov-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows


1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green with nominal gains.
2- Broad based Midcap and Smallcap Indices closed with good gains.
3- Black Candle formation.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.03
Nifty P/E Ratio(26-Nov-2012): 17.64

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,595
BSE Declines : 1,226
NSE Advances :   837
NSE Declines :   591

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5400 CE(Nov)- -40,950(-2.69%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Nov)- -340,550(-4.72%)

Nifty- 5500 CE(Nov)- -296,350(-20.41%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Nov)-  261,050(3.10%)

Nifty- 5600 CE(Nov)- -127,250(-2.78%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Nov)-  1,636,200(22.41%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Nov)-  483,050(5.51%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Nov)-  74,850(2.03%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 18,537.01(30.44 Points & 0.16%)
Nifty- closed at 5,635.90(9.30 Points & 0.17%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,853.50(66.25 Points & 0.85%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,536.00(43.95 Points & 1.26%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 27-11-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5674
R2 5661
R1 5648
Avg 5635
S1 5622
S2 5609
S3 5596

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5661     Trgt 2
H5 5655     Trgt 1
H4 5649     Long breakout
H3 5642     Go Short
H2 5639
H1 5637
L1 5632
L2 5630
L3 5627     Long
L4 5620     Short Breakout
L5 5614     Trgt 1
L6 5608     Trgt 2

Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 27-11-2012

Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels

R3 5679
R2 5666
R1 5654
Avg 5641
S1 5629
S2 5616
S3 5604

Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5667     Trgt 2 
H5 5661     Trgt 1
H4 5655     Long breakout 
H3 5648     Go Short 
H2 5646
H1 5644
L1 5639
L2 5637
L3 5635     Long 
L4 5628     Short Breakout 
L5 5622     Trgt 1 
L6 5616     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 27-11-2012

Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels

R3 12120
R2 11827
R1 11641
Avg 11348
S1 11162
S2 10869
S3 10683

Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11951     Trgt 2 
H5 11834     Trgt 1
H4 11718     Long breakout 
H3 11586     Go Short 
H2 11542
H1 11498
L1 11411
L2 11367
L3 11323     Long 
L4 11191     Short Breakout 
L5 11075     Trgt 1 
L6 10958     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(26-11-2012)

Whole day trading between immediate resistance range(5620-5650) today with mixed intraday patterns. Firstly support at lower levels with intraday consolidation patterns as well as small intraday up moves also seen but minor profit booking development at higher levels also therefore next short term trend confirmation will be after valid break out of immediate resistance range(5620-5650).

Mid-session Outlook(26-11-2012)

First 4 hours trading between immediate resistance range(5620-5650) today with intraday consolidation patterns formation therefore expected that Nifty will move above 5650 and short term up moves will be seen in the coming sessions.