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Pre-closing Outlook(26-02-2014)
All trends are up and whole day up moves today but lacking required force therefore confirmation is required through sustaining above 6200 and should be firstly watched in the coming sessions for further up moves confirmations.
Mid-session Outlook(26-02-2014)
Rally continuation was told in previous Outlook yesterday and it is being seen also since opening today and now trading near the higher levels of the day but up moves are lacking required force therefore sustaining above 6200 will be firstly watched now for further up moves confirmations.
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(26-02-2014)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (25-Feb-2014):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 6206-6216
2- Consolidation Patterns between 6177-6192
3- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel in last hour.
4- Whole day actual trading between 6177-6216
39 Points range bound trading with higher levels selling but lower levels consolidation and Bullish Falling Channel formation in last hour also therefore on going rally continuation hopes are alive after intraday correction completion today. All the next resistances of Nifty are as follows:-
1- 6265-6292
2- 6320-6358
3- 6350-6380
As Feb. Derivative expiry tomorrow therefore next moves beyond 6200 should also be firstly watched tomorrow because both selling above it and buying below it today as well as valid break out of today trading range(6177-6216) will be next trend confirmations while finally rally continuation is expected within next 1/2 sessions..
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 6206-6216
2- Consolidation Patterns between 6177-6192
3- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel in last hour.
4- Whole day actual trading between 6177-6216
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
39 Points range bound trading with higher levels selling but lower levels consolidation and Bullish Falling Channel formation in last hour also therefore on going rally continuation hopes are alive after intraday correction completion today. All the next resistances of Nifty are as follows:-
1- 6265-6292
2- 6320-6358
3- 6350-6380
As Feb. Derivative expiry tomorrow therefore next moves beyond 6200 should also be firstly watched tomorrow because both selling above it and buying below it today as well as valid break out of today trading range(6177-6216) will be next trend confirmations while finally rally continuation is expected within next 1/2 sessions..
Mid-session Outlook-2(25-02-2014)
Today trading between 6177-6216 with firstly down moves after higher levels some selling but confirmation of lower levels supports and consolidation also therefore on going rally continuation hopes are alive after intraday correction completion. As Feb. Derivative expiry tomorrow therefore next moves beyond 6200 should also be watched.
Mid-session Outlook(25-02-2014)
Although gap up and good above 6200 opening but not strong and Indian markets under performed Global cues therefore following line was told today in Post-open Outlook:-
As was told same happened and Nifty slipped after higher levels profit booking and now trading in Red. Minor correction was expected and it is being seen but some consolidation with lower lever levels supports confirmation is still required yet for the stopping of down moves. Let it happen then will be updated accordingly.
"emergence of profit booking possibility"
As was told same happened and Nifty slipped after higher levels profit booking and now trading in Red. Minor correction was expected and it is being seen but some consolidation with lower lever levels supports confirmation is still required yet for the stopping of down moves. Let it happen then will be updated accordingly.
Post-open Outlook(25-02-2014)
As Indian markets are under performing Global cues since opening today therefore emergence of profit booking possibility and firstly sustaining beyond psychological level of 6200 should be watched.
NIFTY-Feb Call Option(6200)-Positional Buying of 21-02-2014-Covering
NIFTY-Feb CE(6200)-Bought on 21-02-2014-Cover and book profit immediately-CMP-30(Lalit39)
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(25-02-2014)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (24-Feb-2014):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Consolidation between 6132-6155
2- Up moves with continuous consolidations.
3- Whole day actual trading between 6131-6191.
As most Asian markets were depressing therefore sentiment turned weak and firstly negative zone trading after weak opening today. Firstly lower levels good consolidations and after that whole day up moves with follow up consolidations therefore following lines are being repeated which were today yesterday in Bullish Rally continuation:-
Rally is on and strong up moves continuation possibility is also very much alive but follow up consolidation is firstly required because Nifty closed within next resistance range after lower levels very good consolidation in last 3 weeks.
Next resistances are between 6130-6180 and once valid break out above 6180 will mean fast and strong rally toward next resistances:-
6265-6292
6320-6358
Expected that finally up moves toward 6265 will be seen after follow up consolidation in next week.
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidation between 6132-6155
2- Up moves with continuous consolidations.
3- Whole day actual trading between 6131-6191.
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As most Asian markets were depressing therefore sentiment turned weak and firstly negative zone trading after weak opening today. Firstly lower levels good consolidations and after that whole day up moves with follow up consolidations therefore following lines are being repeated which were today yesterday in Bullish Rally continuation:-
Rally is on and strong up moves continuation possibility is also very much alive but follow up consolidation is firstly required because Nifty closed within next resistance range after lower levels very good consolidation in last 3 weeks.
Next resistances are between 6130-6180 and once valid break out above 6180 will mean fast and strong rally toward next resistances:-
6265-6292
6320-6358
Expected that finally up moves toward 6265 will be seen after follow up consolidation in next week.
Live proofs of 100% accurate Levels and Predictions
Today highest formation is at 6181.85 and it proved my following predictions 100% accurate which was done in Pre-closing Outlook on 21-02-2014:-
Range of 6130-6180 was given and today trading range at this moment is 6130.80-6181.85
Only Bullish Outlooks were posted in following 3 weekly analysis topics and now Nifty is trading at the highest of February 2014:-
1- Bullish Rally continuation(Posted on 23-02-2014)
2- View is Bullish(Posted on 16-02-2014)
3- Bullish Week Ahead(Posted on 09-02-2014)
Nifty will trade above 6180 in next week after follow up consolidations between 6130-6180.
Range of 6130-6180 was given and today trading range at this moment is 6130.80-6181.85
Only Bullish Outlooks were posted in following 3 weekly analysis topics and now Nifty is trading at the highest of February 2014:-
1- Bullish Rally continuation(Posted on 23-02-2014)
2- View is Bullish(Posted on 16-02-2014)
3- Bullish Week Ahead(Posted on 09-02-2014)
Just click on above topic and understand technical reasons of our Bullish views since beginning of on going rally
Mid-session Outlook(24-02-2014)
Now Nifty is trading 12 points up but when was near the lower levels of today and was in Red then we told following line in previous Outlook at 09:44 AM today:-
finally up moves are expected after follow up consolidations
Now Nifty is trading at 6167 and fast rally is expected after sustaining above 6180,should be firstly watched today.
Post-open Outlook(24-02-2014)
As most Asian markets are .50% to 2% down today therefore negative zone trading after weaker opening in Indian markets today. Lower levels good consolidations in previous weeks therefore finally up moves are expected after follow up consolidations because now trading within resistance range(6130-6180) and weak Asian markets also today.
Bullish Rally continuation
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Feb 24 to Feb 28,2014)
Nifty closed at the top of last 14 sessions last Friday and proved 100% accuracy of our following 2 weekly analysis topics:-
1- Bullish Week Ahead(Posted on 09-02-2014)
2- View is Bullish(Posted on 16-02-2014)
(Just click on above topic and understand the reasons of our Bullish views since beginning of on going rally)
Nifty-EOD Chart (21-Feb-2014):-Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
As per previous waves counting:-
1- Wave-ii of Wave-3(5972.45 on 13-11-2013)
2- Wave-iii of Wave-3(6415.25 on 09-12-2013)
3- Wave-iv of Wave-3(5933.30 on 04-02-2014)
As per wave theory Wave-4 of any degree should not bottom below the bottom of Wave-2 of the same degree. As Nifty slipped below the bottom of Wave-ii of Wave-3(5972.45) and recent lowest formation at 5933.30 on 04-02-2014 therefore Waves are being recounted as follows:-
1- Bottom formation at 5118.85 on 28-08-2013 and Wave-1 beginning
2- Wave-1(6142.50 on 19-09-2013)
3- Wave-2(5700.95 on 01-10-2013)
4- Wave-i of Wave-3(6415.25 on 09-12-2013)
5- Wave-ii of Wave-3(5933.30 on 04-02-2014)
6- Wave-iii of Wave-3 continuation
7- 200-Day EMA(today at 6010)
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Short term trend is up and finally Long term trend remained up after sustaining above its decider 200-Day EMA(today at 6010) in previous week. Intermediate term trend is sideways and that will be up after sustaining above 6188.55.
Wave-iii of Wave-3 continuation for new all time high and its possibilities turned high after sustaining above 200-Day EMA and saving of up trend.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Jan 24 to Feb 21,2014):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Huge gap down(6189-6264) opening on 27-01-2014
2- 20 Sessions(27-01-2014 to 21-02-2014) actual trading between 5934-6189.
3- Firstly down moves after selling between 6130-6180
4- Multiple and strong supports development at lower levels between 5934-6065 in last 14 sessions.
5- Last 4 sessions trading between 6087-6160 with mixed trading patterns.
Conclusions from 21 Sessions intra day chart analysis
20 Sessions(27-01-2014 to 21-02-2014) actual trading between 5934-6189 with lower levels strong supports and higher levels selling and last Friday closing within last resistance range(6130-6180) of 20 sessions. Nifty traded between 6087-6160 with mixed trading patterns and traded within mentioned resistance range also. As more consolidation seen in last 4 sessions between 6087-6160 therefore emergence of break out possibility of last 20 sessions range after follow up consolidation between mentioned resistance range.
Conclusions (After Putting All Indicators Together)
Rally is on and strong up moves continuation possibility is also very much alive but follow up consolidation is firstly required because Nifty closed within next resistance range after lower levels very good consolidation in last 3 weeks.
Next resistances are between 6130-6180 and once valid break out above 6180 will mean fast and strong rally toward next resistances:-
6265-6292
6320-6358
Expected that finally up moves toward 6265 will be seen after follow up consolidation in next week.
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