Although positive Indian markets but under performing therefore view is cautious and firstly sustaining beyond 8790-8880 should be watched for next immediate moves confirmations.
ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Jan 27 to Jan 30,2015)
Nifty-Weekly Chart (23-Jan-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- 6357.10 on 08-01-2008(15 Years high formation)
2- 2252.75 on 27-10-2008(Wave-1 begining after 2008 correction completion)
3- 6338.50 on 05-11-2010(Wave-1 completion and Corrective Wave-2 beginning)
4- Wave-1 gained 4085.75 points.
5- 4531.15 on 20-12-2011( 13 Months Wave-2 correction completion and Impulsive Wave-3 beginning)
6- Wave-3 continuation(35 Months rally with recent top formation at 8,866.40 on 23-01-2015)
Conclusions from Weekly chart analysis
Wave-3 is on and no signal of its completion yet therefore its continuation is expected.
Wave-1 started from 2252 and completed at 6338. Fibonacci retracements levels of this wave are as follows:-
[1.130] 6,869 (Done)
[1.236] 7,302 (Done)
[1.270] 7,441 (Done)
[1.382] 7,898 (Done)
[1.414] 8,029 (Done)
[1.500] 8,381 (Done)
[1.618] 8,863 (Done on 23-01-2015)
[1.764] 9,459
[1.886] 9,958
[2.000] 10,424
[2.236] 11,388
[2.618] 12,949
[3.140] 15,082
[3.618] 17,035
[4.236] 19,564
(Although not easy to accept or imagine also but above higher levels will be seen in coming years)
Nifty-EOD Chart (23-Jan-2015):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Wave-5 completion at 8626.95 on 04-12-2014 and correction beginning.
2- Correction completion at 7961.35 on 17-12-2014 and correction beginning.
3- 'Pennant Pattern'formations in 28 Sessions Correction
4- 'Pennant Pattern' broken out on 15-01-2015 after RBI Repo Rates cut
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Correction in 'Pennant Pattern' started after Wave-5 completion which completed on 15-01-2015 after RBI Repo Rates cut and forcefully broken out as well as sustained above it.
Fibonacci retracements levels of 'Pennant Pattern'(7961-8626) are as follows:-
[1.130] 8,712 (Done)
[1.236] 8,782 (Done)
[1.270] 8,805 (Done)
[1.382] 8,880
[1.414] 8,901
[1.500] 8,958
[1.618] 9,036
[1.764] 9,134
[1.886] 9,215
[2.000] 9,291
[2.236] 9,447
[2.618] 9,701
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (23-Jan-2015):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 8848-8865(Immediate Resistances)
2- Buying between 8796-8815(Immediate Supports)
3- Higher bottom formations
4- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
5- Up moves with intraday correction
6- Whole day actual trading between 8796-8865
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although firstly higher levels selling but lower levels buying was also seen with following consolidation patterns:-
1- Higher bottom formations
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
3- Up moves with intraday correction
As sufficient consolidation was also seen therefore intraday charts are suggesting that rally continuation expectation are alive despite first hour higher levels selling.
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
'Pennant Pattern' completed 1.270%(8805) retracement and may face some resistance at 1.382%(8880) because some selling was seen just below it last Friday. 1.618% retracement(8,863) has been completed on 23-01-2015 and Nifty slipped as well as closed below it last Friday but consolidation was also seen at lower levels therefore rally continuation hopes are still alive but follow up consolidation is firstly required.
Fibonacci numbers are as follows:-
1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233,...
Wave-2 completed its correction exactly in 13 Months on 20-12-2011 at 4531.15 and impulsive Wave-3 is on for the last 35 months. As Fibonacci number of 34 is crossed therefore Wave-3 continuation hopes have emerged till 55 months means next 20 months.
All trends are up,Indian markets are most Bullish and fresh rally is on after correction completion in 'Pennant Pattern'formations. Until complete selling patterns will not develop on EOD Charts till then decisive down moves or any big correction will not be considered. As Oscillators are overbought and sentiment is heated therefore minor,intraday or 1/2 sessions correction may be seen for cooling down of sentiment but finally rally is still expected.
Next most crucial levels are follows:-
1- 1.618%(8863) of Wave-3
2- 1.382%(8880) retracement of 'Pennant Pattern'
As some selling was seen just below 8863 last Friday therefore follow consolidation is firstly required and once sustaining above 8880 will mean fresh rally towards and above those higher levels which have been updated above because that will mean Wave-3 continuation up to next 20 months also.
Expected that finally Nifty will sustain above 8880 and impulsive Wave-3 will remain continued till next 20 months.
Live Proofs of profitable calls to our Paid Clients and 100% Accurate Analysis
1- 23-01-2015-Bulls are roaring like Lion
2- 22-01-2015-Rally Continuation after follow up consolidations
3- 21-01-2015-4 Characters of Bull Markets Correction
4- 20-01-2015-Fresh Rally continuation after Pennant Pattern broken out Confirmations
As was told 100% same happened and strong rally was seen in last 4 days and Nifty is trading 93 points up today
We updated 100% accurate above analysis in this Blog and also sent following profit making calls(SMS) to our paid clients:-
SMS No 1- At 12:18 PM on 20-01-2015- NIFTY-Jan CE(8600)-Buy-Positional-SL-74 & TGT-114-CMP-90(Lalit39)
SMS No 2- At 01:58 PM on 20-01-2015- NIFTY-Jan CE(8600)-Bought on 20-01-2015-Target achieved,Cover and book profit immediately-CMP-114(Lalit39)
SMS No 3- At 03:16 PM on 22-01-2015-NIFTY-Jan CE(8800)-Buy-Positional-SL-49 & TGT-91-CMP-68(Lalit39)
SMS No 4- At 09:16 AM on 23-01-2015-NIFTY-Jan CE(8800)-Bought on 22-01-2015-Target achieved,Cover and book profit immediately-CMP-97(Lalit39)
We always send 2 SMS for each and every call from those fastest websites which deliver SMS within 15 seconds. As we always talk with those proofs which no one can deny therefore updating following live proofs of above mentioned SMS pictures which were sent to our paid clients:-
1- SMS No 1,2 and 3 Picture from 1st Website(Trading and covering SMS):-
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| Just click on above picture for enlarged view of those SMS which were sent to paid clients |
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| Just click on above picture for enlarged view of those SMS which were sent to paid clients |
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| Just click on above picture for enlarged view of those SMS which were sent to paid clients |
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1- Firstly click on above SMS picture and enlarge it.
2- If unable to read then Save picture on yours desktop and after that
3- Open and again enlarge the picture in Windows Picture Viewer.
Only 2 following information are deleted in above SMS Picture due to official secrecy rules:-
1- Numbers of sent SMS.
2- SMS sending Website name.
As we always send 2 SMS for each and every trading call and 2 SMS for each its covering therefore Wherever Our clients are moving they need not to watch market and only have to keep Mobile in their pocket because in any worst condition also minimum 1 SMS will be delivered and our clients will be able to trade and cover without any delay.
We always talk with only those proofs which no one can deny therefore live proofs have been updated and even though if anyone has any doubt then may call us and then he will be given the Mobile Numbers of those who enjoyed profits from any part in India.
Bulls are roaring like Lion
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(23-01-2015)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (22-Jan-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 8762-8772 (Immediate Resistances)
2- Selling between 8760-8766 (Immediate Resistances)
3- Consolidation between 8728-8742 (Immediate Supports)
4- Whole day Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
5- Whole day actual trading between 8728-8774
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although firstly selling and more than 3 hours slipping also from higher levels but Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel and lower levels consolidations also therefore it is very much clear that as such selling was not seen today that would suggest correction beginning.
All trends are up,Indian markets are most Bullish and fresh rally is on after correction completion confirmation on 20-01-2015 therefore until complete selling patterns will not develop till then decisive down moves or any big correction will not be considered. As Oscillators are overbought and sentiment is heated therefore minor,intraday or 1/2 sessions correction may be seen for cooling down but finally rally will remain continued.
Rally Continuation after follow up consolidations
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(22-01-2015)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (21-Jan-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 8722-8741(Immediate Resistance)
2- Higher levels patterns formation
3- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
4- 3 Times supports and consolidation Patterns between 8690-8713(Immediate Supports)
5- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
6- Whole day actual trading between 8690-8741
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As very short term Oscillators were overbought and sentiment turned heated also after last 4 sessions strong rally therefore cooling down was required and it was seen today through whole day sideways trading within 51 points. Intraday patterns of today are completely mixed because both buying and selling patterns formation and more preparation is firstly required within and near about today trading range(8690-8741) for next decisive moves/trend.
Follow up moves with sustaining beyond today trading range should be firstly watched tomorrow for next decisive moves confirmations but finally rally continuation is expected above today highest(8741) after follow up consolidations.
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Intraday Levels and Trading Strategy
For 20-01-2015
For 20-01-2015
-----------------------------------
For Intraday traders- "Levels" and "Trading Strategy" are updated daily in the left of this Blog
For Intraday trading Policies- Just click on following "Topic link" and trade according to given "Levels" and "Trading Strategy":-
4 Characters of Bull Markets Correction
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(21-01-2015)
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(21-01-2015)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (20-Jan-2015):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- First 4 hours consolidations between 8575-8620
2- Strong 100 points rally in last 2 hours
3- Whole day actual trading between 8575-8707
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Following line was told on 19-01-2015 in "Fresh Rally continuation after Pennant Pattern broken out Confirmations"
some more consolidation is firstly required for fresh up moves above all time highest.
Nifty consolidated first 4 hours between 8575-8620 and after that new life time formation above 8626.95,then strong 100 points rally was seen in last 2 hours.
Following topic was posted on 12-01-2015
Nifty will give First Strong Indication of Next Big Moves from Pennant Pattern Break Out
As Pennant Pattern formation therefore Wave'C' failed after RBI Repo rates cut and Pennant Pattern broken out after huge gap up opening.
Nifty sustained 3 days above Upper line of Pennant and higher levels consolidations was also seen in intraday charts of 19-01-2015 therefore 'Pennant Pattern' broken out got confirmations and we posted following lines on 19-01-2015 in "Fresh Rally continuation after Pennant Pattern broken out Confirmations"
1- fresh rally after correction completion confirmations
2- emergence of fresh rally expectations after last 31 sessions correction completion.
3- expected that rally will remain continued:-
As was told 100% same happened and strong 144 points rally was seen yesterday.
All trends are up and Indian markets are so Bullish that 2693 points rally corrected only 665 points as well as corrective Wave'C' failed. Certainly fresh rally starting confirmation and Indian markets are trading in new zone as well as no selling at higher levels therefore rally will remain continued. Following 4 characters of such Bull markets should be kept in mind:-
1- Such Bull markets reuqire complete selling patterns on EOD charts before any big correction.
2- Such Bull markets completes its correction after intraday or 1/2 sessions dorn moves.
3- Such Bull markets completes its correction side markets with minor moves also.
4- Such Bull markets completes its correction at higher levels also without any down moves if any positive new flow.
As very short term Oscillators are overbought after also last 4 sessions strong rally therefore minor correction may be seen any day but finally rally will remain continued.
Pre-closing Outlook(20-01-2015)
Nifty is traded more than 150 points up after new life time high formation today but we told for such rally 3 times yesterday in "Fresh Rally continuation after Pennant Pattern broken out Confirmations"
1- fresh rally after correction completion confirmations
2- emergence of fresh rally expectations after last 31 sessions correction completion.
3- expected that rally will remain continued
1- fresh rally after correction completion confirmations
2- emergence of fresh rally expectations after last 31 sessions correction completion.
3- expected that rally will remain continued
Certainly fresh rally after 31 sessions correction completion and until complete selling patterns will not develop on EOD Charts till then correction will not begin and clear caution that fresh short positions must be built up only after such selling patterns formations.
Fresh Rally continuation after Pennant Pattern broken out Confirmations
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(20-01-2015)
Nifty-EOD Chart (19-Jan-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Wave-5 completion at 8626.95 on 04-12-2014 and correction beginning.
2- 'Pennant Pattern'formations in last 28 Sessions Correction
3- 'Pennant Pattern' broken out on 15-01-2015 after RBI Repo Rates cut
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
As waves structure was not completed and 'Pennant Pattern' broken out after RBI Repo Rates cut as well as Nifty sustained above Upper line of Pennant in last 3 sessions therefore 'Pennant Pattern' broken out and fresh rally after correction completion confirmations.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (19-Jan-2015):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Up moves with intraday consolidations
2- Consolidation between 8532-8548
3- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
4- Whole day actual trading between 8532-8570
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although some selling patterns were seen in last 2 sessions but higher levels consolidations was seen today therefore emergence of fresh rally expectations after last 31 sessions correction completion. Next resistances are as follows:-
1- 8558-8582
2- 8600-8616
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
'Pennant Pattern' broken out with huge gap on 15-01-2015 and higher levels consolidations was seen today therefore expected that rally will remain continued. As Short term Oscillators are Overbought and above mentioned resistances are lying just above today highest therefore some more consolidation is firstly required for fresh up moves above all time highest.
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Intraday Levels and Trading Strategy
For 20-01-2015
For 20-01-2015
-----------------------------------
For Intraday traders- "Levels" and "Trading Strategy" are updated daily in the left of this Blog
For Intraday trading Policies- Just click on following "Topic link" and trade according to given "Levels" and "Trading Strategy":-
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(19-01-2015)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (16-Jan-2015):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Consolidation between 8455-8480
2- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
3- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
4- Mixed Patterns between 8507-8526
5- Whole day actual trading between 8453-8530
Following lines were told on 15-01-2015 in "Most Bullish news led Strong Rally require Confirmation"
Last 3 hours trading between 8469-8527 and this range broken down therefore higher levels Profit Booking will be considered and firstly sustaining above today highest should be watched for next up moves confirmations.
Although selling patterns formations were also seen on 16-01-2015 but Indian markets out performed Global cues in following manner:-
1- When all the Asian markets were in deep Red and Dow's Futures was trading more than 140 points down then at that time Nifty opened flat.
2- Most Indian Indices closed in Green despite Red closing of Most Asian markets
Although Dow's Futures traded in deep Red during Indian trading hours but Dow Jones closed 190 points up last Friday and resultant SGX Nifty also closed 88 points up therefore sentiment may remain strong and gap up opening can not be ruled out next Monday. It should be kept in mind that both consolidation and selling patterns formations were seen between 8453-8530 in last 2 sessions therefore firstly sustaining beyond this range should be watched in the beginning of next week for next trend confirmations
As Waves structure suddenly changed after Repo Rate Cut by RBI and completely mixed patterns on intraday charts last Friday therefore firstly follow up moves and sustaining beyond 8453-8530 will be watched in the coming 1/2 sessions and then next decisive moves will updated after final conclusions.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidation between 8455-8480
2- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
3- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
4- Mixed Patterns between 8507-8526
5- Whole day actual trading between 8453-8530
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Following lines were told on 15-01-2015 in "Most Bullish news led Strong Rally require Confirmation"
Last 3 hours trading between 8469-8527 and this range broken down therefore higher levels Profit Booking will be considered and firstly sustaining above today highest should be watched for next up moves confirmations.
Profit booking was told between 8469-8527 and Nifty traded most time as well as closed within this range on 16-01-2015.
Although selling patterns formations were also seen on 16-01-2015 but Indian markets out performed Global cues in following manner:-
1- When all the Asian markets were in deep Red and Dow's Futures was trading more than 140 points down then at that time Nifty opened flat.
2- Most Indian Indices closed in Green despite Red closing of Most Asian markets
Although Dow's Futures traded in deep Red during Indian trading hours but Dow Jones closed 190 points up last Friday and resultant SGX Nifty also closed 88 points up therefore sentiment may remain strong and gap up opening can not be ruled out next Monday. It should be kept in mind that both consolidation and selling patterns formations were seen between 8453-8530 in last 2 sessions therefore firstly sustaining beyond this range should be watched in the beginning of next week for next trend confirmations
As Waves structure suddenly changed after Repo Rate Cut by RBI and completely mixed patterns on intraday charts last Friday therefore firstly follow up moves and sustaining beyond 8453-8530 will be watched in the coming 1/2 sessions and then next decisive moves will updated after final conclusions.
Our Policy is:- "No gossiping never guessing and whatsoever market suggest,only that is always updated"
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Intraday Levels and Trading Strategy
For 19-01-2015
For 19-01-2015
-----------------------------------
For Intraday traders- "Levels" and "Trading Strategy" are updated daily in the left of this Blog
For Intraday trading Policies- Just click on following "Topic link" and trade according to given "Levels" and "Trading Strategy":-
Most Bullish news led Strong Rally require Confirmation
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(16-01-2015)
Nifty-EOD Chart (15-Jan-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- 'Pennant Pattern'formations in last 28 Sessions Correction
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
28 Sessions Correction was seen within 'Pennant Pattern' and its upward line was broken out forcefully and got intraday support also on it today but on the back of most Bullish news of RBI repo rates cut therefore sustaining above it should be firstly watched for on going correction completion after break out of 'Pennant Pattern'.
As today strong moves were on the back of most Bullish news therefore Waves will be recounted according to sustainability at higher levels and will be updated accordingly in the coming sessions's Outlooks
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (15-Jan-2015):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidation Patterns between 8400-8437
2- Last 3 hours range(8469-8527) broken down after higher levels Profit Booking
3- Whole day actual trading between 8381-8527
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although good selling in last 2 sessions and correction continuation was expected also but RBI cuts repo rates by 25 basis points a fortnight ahead of the scheduled date of monetary policy announcement on February 3. As RBI has been keeping the benchmark interest rate at elevated level at 8 per cent since January 2014 therefore this news most happily surprised and huge gap up opening seen today. As Bull markets consolidate at higher levels also therefore Nifty consolidated firstly because selling was seen in previous sessions.
Last 3 hours trading between 8469-8527 and this range broken down therefore higher levels Profit Booking will be considered and firstly sustaining above today highest should be watched for next up moves confirmations.
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
All trends are up and Indian markets are most Bullish but corrections are technical requirements which is being seen for the last 29 sessions. As correction was within Pennant Pattern formations therefore its importance was updated on 12-01-2015 in "Nifty will give First Strong Indication of Next Big Moves from Pennant Pattern Break Out".
Although Waves structure was suggesting more down moves but Pennant was forcefully broken out today. As whole day trading of today was Most Bullish news led therefore firstly sustaining beyond following levels should be watched in the coming sessions for:-
1- Next strong rally after correction completion above 8527 because last 3 hours selling below it
2- For correction continuation towards and below 7961 because Nifty got supports exactly at upper line on 8381 and its broken down will mean most Bullish news led false break out
Correction continuation
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(15-01-2015)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (14-Jan-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 8300-8326 (Immediate Resistances)
2- Support between 8237-8264 (Immediate Supports)
3- Pennant Pattern formations
4- Whole day actual trading between 8237-8326
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Both higher levels selling patterns and lower levels supports with high intraday volatility therefore no clear signals from today intraday patterns. As Pennant Pattern formations today therefore valid break out of its lines will be next immediate moves first indication but more consolidation is firstly required for any decisive up moves.
Wave'c' of Wave'C' started yesterday after good selling and its continuation is expected towards 7961 because as such consolidation was not seen today which may suggest any decisive up move.
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Intraday Levels and Trading Strategy
For 15-01-2015
For 15-01-2015
-----------------------------------
For Intraday traders- "Levels" and "Trading Strategy" are updated daily in the left of this Blog
For Intraday trading Policies- Just click on following "Topic link" and trade according to given "Levels" and "Trading Strategy":-
Strong Indication of Fresh Down Moves beginning
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(14-01-2015)
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 8336-8356
2- Whole day actual trading between 8268-8356
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As more than 5 hours selling within 20 points range between 8336-8356 and this range broken down forcefully therefore this range will be immediate Resistance of Nifty and it is strong indication of fresh down moves beginning towards/below 7961 as well as until complete consolidation will not happen till then Nifty will not sustain above 8356.
Wave'b' of Wave'C' continuation with its recent top formation at 8356.65 on 13-01-2015 and follow up selling as well as finally sustaining below 8336 will mean Wave'b' of Wave'C' completion and Wave'c' of Wave'C' beginning for fresh down moves below 7961.
As Dow's Futures is trading more than 100 points up and most European markets are also trading more than 1% up as well as SGX Nifty is 47 points up at this moment therefore if such Bullishness maintains in Global markets tomorrow then Indian markets may open strong nad close in Green on 14-01-2015 but our view is same which has been updated above.
Nifty will give First Strong Indication of Next Big Moves from Pennant Pattern Break Out
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(13-01-2015)
Nifty-EOD Chart (12-Jan-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Wave-5 completion at 8626.95 on 04-12-2014 and 'ABC' correction beginning.
2- Wave'A'(7961.35 on 17-12-2014)
3- Wave'a' of Wave'B'(8364.75 on 23-12-2014)
4- Wave'b' of Wave'B'(8147.95 on 26-12-2014)
5- Wave'c' of Wave'B'(8445.60 on 05-01-2015)
6- Wave'a' of Wave'C'(8065.45 on 07-01-2015)
7- Wave'b' of Wave'C' continuation with its recent top formation at 8332.60 on 12-01-2015
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
It should also be kept in mind that 26 Sessions Correction continuation with Pennant Pattern formations and valid break out of Pennant line(Upper or lower) will be strong indication of correction completion/continuation.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (12-Jan-2015):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 8287-8297
2- Buying between 8275-8283
3- Consolidation between 8253-8369
4- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
5- Whole day actual trading between 8245-8332
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As Dow's Futures recovered more than 100 points from lower levels and traded more than 80 points up after 12:30 PM and all European markets started to trade with good gains after positive opening therefore sentiment improved and Indian markets recovered from lower levels and closed near the higher levels of the day.
Although Nifty closed 0.46% up but as such consolidation was not seen and selling patterns were also seen therefore view will not be Bullish because today up moves were on the back of Global markets Bullish sentiments and not after complete consolidation as well as Up moves were with Bearish Rising Channel.
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
26 Sessions Correction between 7961-8626 with lower levels supports/consolidations and higher levels Resistances/selling therefore some more preparations(fresh positions formations) is still required for valid break out of this range and confirmation of deeper correction continuation below 7961 or correction completion above 8626. As correction continuation with Pennant Pattern formations therefore valid break out of its lines will give first strong indication of next big moves.
As Waves theory is suggesting that Wave'C' is on for down moves below 7961 therefore expected that Nifty will not move above Wave'c' of Wave'B'(8445.60) and will slip below 7961 after follow up selling in the coming sessions.
Mid-session Outlook(12-01-2015)
As Nifty is trading almost flat for the last 2 hours between 8275-8297 with mixed patterns formations(means both buying and selling) therefore view is cautious and firstly valid break out of this range should be watched for next decisive moves confirmations because Indian markets will react to IIP and CPI also.
Correction continuation
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(12-01-2015)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (09-Jan-2015):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 8275-8303 (Immediate Resistances)
2- Selling between 8238-8272 (Immediate Resistances)
3- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel after 02:00 PM
4- Whole day actual trading between 8191-8303
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although closing near the highest of the day but good selling and last hour up moves in Bearish Rising Channel also therefore expected that finally Nifty will slip and sustain below day's lowest(8191) as well as correction will remain continued.
Correction continuation and no Confirmation of its Completion yet
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(09-01-2015)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (08-Jan-2015):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidation between 8169-8205(recent supports)
2- Whole day actual trading between 8169-8243
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As Dow's Futures was 120 points up before the opening of Indian markets and all the Asian markets were trading with good gains therefore huge gap up and 89 points positive opening today. Firstly more than 4 hours consolidation and closing of today near the higher levels of the day therefore signals of today started Pull Back Rally continuation.
As US markets are trading more than 1.70% up at this moment after European markets strong(2.26% to 3.69% up) closing therefore all the Asian markets may also remain in blasting mood tomorrow and resultant Indian markets will also remain positive after gap up opening. Although most Bullish sentiments but it should be kept in mind that Indian markets are in correction mode and Wave'C' is on for down moves below 7961 therefore expected that finally selling will develop within 1/2 sessions and downward moves will start.
More than 4 hours selling between 8194-8233 on 06-01-2015 and Nifty crossed as well as closed above it today but on the back of strong Global cues therefore firstly sustaining above 8233 should be firstly watched tomorrow. Good consolidation at lower levels today therefore complete selling is required for decisive down moves below today lowest but expected that finally down moves will restart after follow up selling in the coming sessions because correction is very much on and no confirmation of its completion yet.
Finally down after 2/3 sessions Sideways Trading
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(08-01-2015)
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 8130-8151
2- Selling between 8113-8136
3- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
4- Support between 8066-8092
5- Whole day actual trading between 8066-8151
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although recovery from lower levels and closing near the higher levels of the day but sufficient selling patterns formations also seen at higher levels therefore correction continuation possibility remains alive. As Dow's Futures is more than 150 points up at this moment and most European markets are more than 1.20% up therefore sentiment may be strong tomorrow and some up moves may be seen in Indian markets also.
If Global markets remain strong tomorrow then Nifty will trade in Green but finally Nifty will not sustain above today highest and will remain sideways 8151-8233 with positive zone trading. Expected that Nifty will not sustain above today highest(8151) and will finally slip below today lowest(8066) in the coming 2/3 sessions.
Wave'C' is on for down moves below 7961
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(07-01-2015)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (06-Jan-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- More than 4 hours selling between 8194-8233(Immediate Resistance)
2- Whole day actual trading between 8111-8267
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
We posted following topic on 31-12-2014:-
Today was 4th trading session of 2015 and Nifty lost 251 points with closing at the lowest of last 12 sessions(8127.35) as well as such huge fall was seen 6 years before on 22-01-2008
Following conclusive lines were told yesterday in "8550 is most crucial level":-
1- Wave'c' of Wave'B' will complete between 8431-8550
2- Wave'C' will begin towards new lows below 7961
3- Next resistances above today highest are between 8510-8614 and 8550 is lying within it therefore Nifty will not easily cross this resistance range.
Nifty could not cross mentioned resistance range(8510-8614) and moved sharply down today after loosing 3% Nifty points.
Nifty closed near the lowest of the day today after more than 4 hours selling between 8194-8233 and until complete consolidation will not happen as well as Nifty will not sustain above 8233 till then next up moves will not be seen. As very Short Term Indicators are oversold therefore only Pull back rally may be seen any day which will not be abole to sustain above 8233. Wave'C' is on for down moves below the lowest of Wave'A'(7961) and finally that will be seen in the coming sessions.
8550 is most crucial level
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Jan 06 to Jan 09,2015)
Nifty-EOD Chart (05-Jan-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Wave-5 completion at 8626.95 on 04-12-2014 and 'ABC' correction beginning.
2- Wave'A' completion at 7961.35 on 17-12-2014 and Wave'B' beginning
3- Wave'a' of Wave'B' completion at 8364.75 on 23-12-2014
4- Wave'B' of Wave'B' completion at 8147.95 on 26-12-2014
5- Wave'c' of Wave'B' continuation with its recent top formation at 8445.60 on 05-05-2015
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Wave'A' of 'ABC' correction begun after Wave-5 completion at 8626.95 on 04-12-2014 which completed at 7961.35 on 17-12-2014 and Wave'B' started in "abc" mode. Now Wave'c' of Wave'B' continuation with its recent top formation at 8445.60 on 05-01-2015.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels of Wave'B' are as follows(7961-8626):-
13.0%-8047
23.6%-8117
27.0%-8140
38.2%-8215
50.0%-8293
61.8%-8371
70.7%-8431
76.4%-8469
78.6%-8483
88.6%-8550
Nifty-EOD Chart (05-Jan-2015):-
 |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Wave'B' of Wave'B' completed at 8147 and Wave'c' of Wave'B' started.
If Wave'c' of Wave'B' gains 100% points of Wave'a' of Wave'B' then its maximum target will be at 8550(8147+403)
8550 becomes most crucial level because 88.6% Retracement Level is also exactly at 8550.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (05-Jan-2015):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 8430-8445
2- Selling between 8405-8515
3- Support between 8383-8387
4- Support between 8364-8375
5- Whole day actual trading between 8364-8445
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
It was a volatile day today with higher levels selling and lower levels buying as well therefore firstly sustaining beyond today trading range should be watched for first strong signal of next decisive moves commencement and the continuation/completion of Wave'c' of Wave'B'.
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
Expected that Wave'c' of Wave'B' will complete between 8431-8550 and Wave'C' will begin towards new lows below 7961. Next resistances above today highest are between 8510-8614 and 8550 is lying within it therefore Nifty will not easily cross this resistance range.
Follow up moves and finally sustaining beyond 8364-8445 will decide the fate of Wave'c' of Wave'B'for up moves up to 8550/down moves below 7961.
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