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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-07-2013
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5858
R2 5836
R1 5803
Avg 5781
S1 5748
S2 5726
S3 5693
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5825 Trgt 2
H5 5812 Trgt 1
H4 5800 Long breakout
H3 5785 Go Short
H2 5780
H1 5775
L1 5764
L2 5759
L3 5754 Long
L4 5739 Short Breakout
L5 5727 Trgt 1
L6 5714 Trgt 2
R3 5858
R2 5836
R1 5803
Avg 5781
S1 5748
S2 5726
S3 5693
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5825 Trgt 2
H5 5812 Trgt 1
H4 5800 Long breakout
H3 5785 Go Short
H2 5780
H1 5775
L1 5764
L2 5759
L3 5754 Long
L4 5739 Short Breakout
L5 5727 Trgt 1
L6 5714 Trgt 2
Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-07-2013
Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels
R3 5864
R2 5840
R1 5803
Avg 5779
S1 5742
S2 5718
S3 5681
Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5828 Trgt 2
H5 5814 Trgt 1
H4 5800 Long breakout
H3 5783 Go Short
H2 5778
H1 5772
L1 5761
L2 5755
L3 5750 Long
L4 5733 Short Breakout
L5 5719 Trgt 1
L6 5705 Trgt 2
R3 5864
R2 5840
R1 5803
Avg 5779
S1 5742
S2 5718
S3 5681
Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5828 Trgt 2
H5 5814 Trgt 1
H4 5800 Long breakout
H3 5783 Go Short
H2 5778
H1 5772
L1 5761
L2 5755
L3 5750 Long
L4 5733 Short Breakout
L5 5719 Trgt 1
L6 5705 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-07-2013
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels
R3 11792
R2 11693
R1 11527
Avg 11428
S1 11262
S2 11163
S3 10997
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11627 Trgt 2
H5 11567 Trgt 1
H4 11507 Long breakout
H3 11434 Go Short
H2 11410
H1 11386
L1 11337
L2 11313
L3 11289 Long
L4 11216 Short Breakout
L5 11156 Trgt 1
L6 11096 Trgt 2
R3 11792
R2 11693
R1 11527
Avg 11428
S1 11262
S2 11163
S3 10997
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11627 Trgt 2
H5 11567 Trgt 1
H4 11507 Long breakout
H3 11434 Go Short
H2 11410
H1 11386
L1 11337
L2 11313
L3 11289 Long
L4 11216 Short Breakout
L5 11156 Trgt 1
L6 11096 Trgt 2
Mid-session Outlook(03-07-2013)
Sentiment is most depressed since morning today and Indian markets out performed Global markets as well view is watchful now. Nifty is trading sideways between 5762-5780 for the last 3 hours and valid break out of this range should be firstly watched now for next immediate move confirmations.
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(03-07-2013)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (02-Jul-2013):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 5880-5893
2- Whole day actual trading between 5853-5898
As Nifty traded more than 3 hours between 5863-5895 with mixed Patterns(means both buying and selling) yesterday therefore fresh one sided positions was required for decisive moves and Nifty traded most time within this range with selling patterns as well as prepared for next decisive down moves today. Next resistance range is between 5900-5969 and Nifty traded whole day below this range with intraday selling patterns therefore mentioned resistance range has become stronger and today started down moves will remain continued tomorrow.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 5880-5893
2- Whole day actual trading between 5853-5898
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As Nifty traded more than 3 hours between 5863-5895 with mixed Patterns(means both buying and selling) yesterday therefore fresh one sided positions was required for decisive moves and Nifty traded most time within this range with selling patterns as well as prepared for next decisive down moves today. Next resistance range is between 5900-5969 and Nifty traded whole day below this range with intraday selling patterns therefore mentioned resistance range has become stronger and today started down moves will remain continued tomorrow.
As soon as intraday patterns got selling confirmations today then it was updated at 12:14 PM in Mid-session Outlook when Nifty was trading at 5890 and expected that Blog visitors would have built up their trading positions accordingly.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 02-Jul-2013
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-07-2013
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5932
R2 5915
R1 5886
Avg 5869
S1 5840
S2 5823
S3 5794
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5903 Trgt 2
H5 5892 Trgt 1
H4 5882 Long breakout
H3 5869 Go Short
H2 5865
H1 5861
L1 5852
L2 5848
L3 5844 Long
L4 5831 Short Breakout
L5 5821 Trgt 1
L6 5810 Trgt 2
R3 5932
R2 5915
R1 5886
Avg 5869
S1 5840
S2 5823
S3 5794
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5903 Trgt 2
H5 5892 Trgt 1
H4 5882 Long breakout
H3 5869 Go Short
H2 5865
H1 5861
L1 5852
L2 5848
L3 5844 Long
L4 5831 Short Breakout
L5 5821 Trgt 1
L6 5810 Trgt 2
Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-07-2013
Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels
R3 5921
R2 5905
R1 5882
Avg 5866
S1 5843
S2 5827
S3 5804
Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5898 Trgt 2
H5 5889 Trgt 1
H4 5880 Long breakout
H3 5869 Go Short
H2 5866
H1 5862
L1 5855
L2 5851
L3 5848 Long
L4 5837 Short Breakout
L5 5828 Trgt 1
L6 5819 Trgt 2
R3 5921
R2 5905
R1 5882
Avg 5866
S1 5843
S2 5827
S3 5804
Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5898 Trgt 2
H5 5889 Trgt 1
H4 5880 Long breakout
H3 5869 Go Short
H2 5866
H1 5862
L1 5855
L2 5851
L3 5848 Long
L4 5837 Short Breakout
L5 5828 Trgt 1
L6 5819 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-07-2013
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels
R3 11897
R2 11832
R1 11732
Avg 11667
S1 11567
S2 11502
S3 11402
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11797 Trgt 2
H5 11760 Trgt 1
H4 11722 Long breakout
H3 11677 Go Short
H2 11662
H1 11647
L1 11616
L2 11601
L3 11586 Long
L4 11541 Short Breakout
L5 11503 Trgt 1
L6 11466 Trgt 2
R3 11897
R2 11832
R1 11732
Avg 11667
S1 11567
S2 11502
S3 11402
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11797 Trgt 2
H5 11760 Trgt 1
H4 11722 Long breakout
H3 11677 Go Short
H2 11662
H1 11647
L1 11616
L2 11601
L3 11586 Long
L4 11541 Short Breakout
L5 11503 Trgt 1
L6 11466 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(02-07-2013)
When Nifty was trading near the highest of the day at 5890 then following lines were told at 12:12 PM in previous Outlook today:-
1- intraday charts of today are showing selling indications
2- recovery from lower levels because continuous recovery in Dow's Futures and now trading 52 points up
3- As selling indications today therefore finally down moves are expected.
As was told same happened and Nifty traded today at 5852.30 after slipping from higher levels.
1- intraday charts of today are showing selling indications
2- recovery from lower levels because continuous recovery in Dow's Futures and now trading 52 points up
3- As selling indications today therefore finally down moves are expected.
As was told same happened and Nifty traded today at 5852.30 after slipping from higher levels.
As good selling at higher levels today therefore finally weakness is expected in the coming sessions.
Mid-session Outlook(02-07-2013)
Although intraday charts of today are showing selling indications but recovery from lower levels because continuous recovery in Dow's Futures and now trading 52 points up. As selling indications today therefore finally down moves are expected.
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(02-07-2013)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (01-Jul-2013):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Consolidation between 5848-5862
2- Mixed Patterns between 5863-5895
3- Whole day up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
4- Whole day actual trading between 5833-5905
Although some supports at lower levels and mixed trading patterns near higher levels but whole day up moves in Bearish rising Channel therefore whole day mixed intraday trading patterns and market will firstly prpare for next moves between yesterday trading range. Upward Wave-B of of 'ABC' correction is on and strong resistance range above yesterday trading range is between 5900-5969. As mixed intraday patterns yesterday and follow up selling today will mean completion of Wave-B and downward Wave-C continuation toward the lowest of Wave-A(5566.25) with possibility of slipping below it also.
Pre-open Outlook(02-07-2013)
US markets closed with almost .50% gains yesterday and Asian markets are mixed therefore sentiment is quiet today morning. As US markets closed after slipping from higher levels therefore cautious approach is required today because European markets may open weak today and resultant sentiment may disturb after its opening. Although Indian markets closed near intraday higher levels but Indian Rupee closed near the lower levels of the day after loosing all intraday gains yesterday therefore sentiment is weak today morning and negative opening is expected in Indian markets today. Follow up selling after mixed intraday patterns yesterday will mean possibility of fresh down moves beginning toward above defined lower levels.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidation between 5848-5862
2- Mixed Patterns between 5863-5895
3- Whole day up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
4- Whole day actual trading between 5833-5905
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although some supports at lower levels and mixed trading patterns near higher levels but whole day up moves in Bearish rising Channel therefore whole day mixed intraday trading patterns and market will firstly prpare for next moves between yesterday trading range. Upward Wave-B of of 'ABC' correction is on and strong resistance range above yesterday trading range is between 5900-5969. As mixed intraday patterns yesterday and follow up selling today will mean completion of Wave-B and downward Wave-C continuation toward the lowest of Wave-A(5566.25) with possibility of slipping below it also.
Pre-open Outlook(02-07-2013)
US markets closed with almost .50% gains yesterday and Asian markets are mixed therefore sentiment is quiet today morning. As US markets closed after slipping from higher levels therefore cautious approach is required today because European markets may open weak today and resultant sentiment may disturb after its opening. Although Indian markets closed near intraday higher levels but Indian Rupee closed near the lower levels of the day after loosing all intraday gains yesterday therefore sentiment is weak today morning and negative opening is expected in Indian markets today. Follow up selling after mixed intraday patterns yesterday will mean possibility of fresh down moves beginning toward above defined lower levels.
It should be kept in mind that Volatility may remain high today and until Nifty will not sustain above 5900/5969 till then next up move will not be considered and follow up selling today will mean fast down moves after confirmation of sustaining below 5848.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 01-Jul-2013
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-07-2013
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 6009
R2 5956
R1 5927
Avg 5874
S1 5845
S2 5792
S3 5763
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5981 Trgt 2
H5 5962 Trgt 1
H4 5943 Long breakout
H3 5920 Go Short
H2 5913
H1 5905
L1 5890
L2 5882
L3 5875 Long
L4 5852 Short Breakout
L5 5833 Trgt 1
L6 5814 Trgt 2
R3 6009
R2 5956
R1 5927
Avg 5874
S1 5845
S2 5792
S3 5763
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5981 Trgt 2
H5 5962 Trgt 1
H4 5943 Long breakout
H3 5920 Go Short
H2 5913
H1 5905
L1 5890
L2 5882
L3 5875 Long
L4 5852 Short Breakout
L5 5833 Trgt 1
L6 5814 Trgt 2
Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-07-2013
Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels
R3 5988
R2 5942
R1 5917
Avg 5871
S1 5846
S2 5800
S3 5775
Trading Strategy
H6 5963 Trgt 2
H5 5947 Trgt 1
H4 5931 Long breakout
H3 5911 Go Short
H2 5905
H1 5898
L1 5885
L2 5878
L3 5872 Long
L4 5852 Short Breakout
L5 5836 Trgt 1
L6 5820 Trgt 2
R3 5988
R2 5942
R1 5917
Avg 5871
S1 5846
S2 5800
S3 5775
Trading Strategy
H6 5963 Trgt 2
H5 5947 Trgt 1
H4 5931 Long breakout
H3 5911 Go Short
H2 5905
H1 5898
L1 5885
L2 5878
L3 5872 Long
L4 5852 Short Breakout
L5 5836 Trgt 1
L6 5820 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-07-2013
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels
R3 11951
R2 11853
R1 11796
Avg 11698
S1 11641
S2 11543
S3 11486
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11895 Trgt 2
H5 11860 Trgt 1
H4 11824 Long breakout
H3 11781 Go Short
H2 11767
H1 11753
L1 11724
L2 11710
L3 11696 Long
L4 11653 Short Breakout
L5 11617 Trgt 1
L6 11582 Trgt 2
R3 11951
R2 11853
R1 11796
Avg 11698
S1 11641
S2 11543
S3 11486
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11895 Trgt 2
H5 11860 Trgt 1
H4 11824 Long breakout
H3 11781 Go Short
H2 11767
H1 11753
L1 11724
L2 11710
L3 11696 Long
L4 11653 Short Breakout
L5 11617 Trgt 1
L6 11582 Trgt 2
Finally Next Trend will be decided by 5761
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Jul 01 to Jul 05,2013)
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- 4531.15 on 20-12-2011(Rally beginning after 13 Months correction completion)
2- Wave 1(5629.95 on 22-02-2012)
3- Wave 2(4770.35 on 04-06-2012)
4- Wave 3(6111.80 on 29-01-2013)
5- Wave 4(5477.20 on 10-04-2012)
6- Wave-5(6229.45 on 20-05-2013) and 5 waves correction continuation
7- Recent bottom formation at 5566.25 on 24-06-2013
Nifty-EOD Chart (28-Jun-2013):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Wave-5 top formation at 6229.45 on 20-05-2013 and 5 waves correction continuation
2- Wave 1(5936.80 on 24-05-2012)
3- Wave 2(6133.75 on 30-05-2012)
4- Wave 3(5683.10 on 13-06-2013)
5- Wave 4(5863.40 on 13-06-2013)
6- Wave-5(5566.25 on 24-06-2013)
7- Strong Pull Back in previous 2 sessions and its high formation at 5852.95 on 28-06-2013.
8- 200 Day EMA(today at 5761)
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Strong Pull Back rally in previous 2 sessions and 5 waves correction completion confirmation but it does not mean that correction has been completed which started on 20-05-2013 from 6229.45 because that correction was after completion of 5 Bullish market waves and Nifty has to correct whole up move which started from 4531.15 on 20-12-2011.
It should be kept in mind that Wave-5 completion at 5566.25 on 24-06-2013 may be the completion of correction Wave-A completion and previous 2 sessions may be Wave-B as well as corrective Wave-C possibility is still alive to move below recent low(5566.25)
As Global blasting markets and CCEA approval of gas price hike therefore strong Pull Back rally seen in previous 2 sessions and Nifty closed well above Long Term Trend decider 200-Day EMA. Sustaining it beyond should be firstly watched in the beginning of next week then next Long Term Trend will be considered accordingly.
There should not be hurry for investments because on going correction is after completion of 5 Bullish market waves and much deeper correction may also be seen after confirmation of sustaining below 200-Day EMA(today at 5761).
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