Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Jul 01 to Jul 05,2013)
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1- 4531.15 on 20-12-2011(Rally beginning after 13 Months correction completion)
2- Wave 1(5629.95 on 22-02-2012)
3- Wave 2(4770.35 on 04-06-2012)
4- Wave 3(6111.80 on 29-01-2013)
5- Wave 4(5477.20 on 10-04-2012)
6- Wave-5(6229.45 on 20-05-2013) and 5 waves correction continuation
7- Recent bottom formation at 5566.25 on 24-06-2013
Nifty-EOD Chart (28-Jun-2013):-
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1- Wave-5 top formation at 6229.45 on 20-05-2013 and 5 waves correction continuation
2- Wave 1(5936.80 on 24-05-2012)
3- Wave 2(6133.75 on 30-05-2012)
4- Wave 3(5683.10 on 13-06-2013)
5- Wave 4(5863.40 on 13-06-2013)
6- Wave-5(5566.25 on 24-06-2013)
7- Strong Pull Back in previous 2 sessions and its high formation at 5852.95 on 28-06-2013.
8- 200 Day EMA(today at 5761)
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Strong Pull Back rally in previous 2 sessions and 5 waves correction completion confirmation but it does not mean that correction has been completed which started on 20-05-2013 from 6229.45 because that correction was after completion of 5 Bullish market waves and Nifty has to correct whole up move which started from 4531.15 on 20-12-2011.
It should be kept in mind that Wave-5 completion at 5566.25 on 24-06-2013 may be the completion of correction Wave-A completion and previous 2 sessions may be Wave-B as well as corrective Wave-C possibility is still alive to move below recent low(5566.25)
As Global blasting markets and CCEA approval of gas price hike therefore strong Pull Back rally seen in previous 2 sessions and Nifty closed well above Long Term Trend decider 200-Day EMA. Sustaining it beyond should be firstly watched in the beginning of next week then next Long Term Trend will be considered accordingly.
There should not be hurry for investments because on going correction is after completion of 5 Bullish market waves and much deeper correction may also be seen after confirmation of sustaining below 200-Day EMA(today at 5761).