FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 12-Mar-2012

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(12-Mar-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed in Green except IT.
2- Black Candle formation.
3- Although big news but range bound trading.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.02
Nifty P/E Ratio(12-Mar-2012): 18.94

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1601
BSE Declines : 1267
NSE Advances :  861
NSE Declines :  577

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5200 CE(Mar)- -87150(-2.90%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Mar)- +322350(+4.45%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Mar)- -102900(-2.97%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Mar)- -493500(-8.14%)

Nifty- 5400 CE(Mar)- +266700(+6.34%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Mar)- +512250(+15.00%)

Nifty- 5500 CE(Mar)- +491050(+10.05%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Mar)- -9950(-0.35%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,359.55(+26.00 Points & +0.49%)
Sensex- closed at 17,587.67(+84.43 Points & +0.48% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,759.75(+70.25 Points & +91%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,796.26(+47.05 Points & +0.70%)

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 12-Mar-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 12-Mar-2012 4375.76 3077.12 1298.64

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 12-Mar-2012 1121.41 918.09 203.32

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-03-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5505
R2 5463
R1 5411
Avg 5369
S1 5317
S2 5275
S3 5223

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5453     Trgt 2
H5 5432     Trgt 1
H4 5410     Long breakout
H3 5384     Go Short
H2 5376
H1 5367
L1 5350
L2 5341
L3 5333     Long
L4 5307     Short Breakout
L5 5285     Trgt 1
L6 5264     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-03-2012

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5522
R2 5478
R1 5433
Avg 5389
S1 5344
S2 5300
S3 5255

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5477      Trgt 2
H5 5457     Trgt 1
H4 5436     Long breakout
H3 5412     Go Short
H2 5404
H1 5396
L1 5379
L2 5371
L3 5363     Long
L4 5339     Short Breakout
L5 5318     Trgt 1
L6 5298    Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-03-2012

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 11074
R2 10950
R1 10818
Avg 10694
S1 10562
S2 10438
S3 10306

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10945     Trgt 2
H5 10886     Trgt 1
H4 10827     Long breakout
H3 10757    Go Short
H2 10733
H1 10710
L1 10663
L2 10640
L3 10616     Long
L4 10546     Short Breakout
L5 10487     Trgt 1
L6 10428     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(12-03-2012)

Although higher levels selling and lower levels buying but intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations therefore finally upward break out of today trading range is expected in the coming sessions.

Mid-session Outlook(12-03-2012)

Fositive news based first 2 hours selling between 5366-5376 and last one hours trading with mixed intraday trading patterns between 5350-5362 today.

Fristly forceful break out or sustaining beyond 5350-5362 and then break out of 5330-5380 will be short term next moves confirmation.

Mid-session Outlook(12-03-2012)

Heated sentiment in Indian markets due to following 2 news;-

1- 75 Basis points CRR cut by RBI.
2- Good increase of Jan IIP at 6.8% vs 1.8% in Dec.

Cooling down exercise through slipping from higher levels and Nifty is hovering around intermediate term trend decider 5340. As profit booking on the back of positive news today therefore firstly sustaining beyond 5340 should be watched for next moves confimations.

Finally Rally above 5458 after Budget-2012

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook 
(Mar 12 to Mar 16,2012)

'ABC' Correction of 1098 Nifty Points rally

Nifty-EOD Chart(09-Mar-2012):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- 1098.80 Nifty Points Wave-1(rally) in 45 sessions from 4531.15
2- Completion of Wave-1(rally) at 5629.95 and beginning of Wave-2(Corrective Wave-A).
3- Corrective Wave-A completion at 5268.15 and beginning of Corrective Wave-B.
4- Corrective Wave-B completion at 5458.80 and beginning of Corrective Wave-C.
5- Corrective Wave-2(Wave-c) completion at 5171.45 and beginning of Wave-3 after completion of 'ABC' Correction.
6- Testing of Intermediate term trend decider 5340 on 09-03-2012

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Sharp corrective down moves below 5340 were seen in previous week but Nifty got support at 5171.45 and surged sharply also after gap up opening on 09-03-2012. Importance of Next support range(5120-5190) below 5340 was told in following topic on 03-03-3012:-

Crucial Supports in Assembly Election Results Week

Nifty got support exactly within mentioned range on 07-03-3012 and moved up on 09-03-3012 after gap up opening and tested Intermediate term trend decider 5340. Long term trend is up,Intermediate term and Short term trends are down. Both downward trends will be up after sustaining above 5340.

Nifty slipped below 5340 after intraday selling between 5340-5458 and require frech consolidations for sustaining above 5458. Impulsive Wave-3 beginning on 09-03-3012 and following levels will give next moves confirmations;-

1- Sustaining above 5340 will mean Intermediate and Short term trends turning up.
2- Sustaining above 5458 will be confirmation of impulsive Wave-3 and that will mean sharp rally like Dec 2011 to form new highs above 5629.95.

Supports at Crucial Levels & Trend Reversal 

Nifty-EOD Chart(09-Mar-2012):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- 38.2% Retracement completion at 5209
2- Support at 200-Day EMA(today at 5190).
3- Support above 200-Day SMA(today at 5164).

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Firstly support at Long term trend deciding 200-Day averages after 38.2% retracement completion and after that sharp surge means strong indication of fresh up moves after correction completion in previous week.

4 Big Events in next Week

1- Petroleum price hike news any day.
2- IIP Data on 12-03-2012
3- RBI Credit Policy on 15-03-2012
4- Union Budget on 16-03-2012

Intraday moves will be effected by IIP Data on 12-03-2012 and RBI Credit Policy may trigger intraday rally through reduction in interest rates but finally Union Budget will decide next trend and fate of last Friday begun impulsive Wave-3. Volatility may be seen any day after Petroleum price hike news but market will eye on bigger event of Union Budget and next decisive trend will be formed according to its proposals and announcements on 16-03-2012.

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

Strong indications of corretion completion in previous week and now Indian markets are technically well poised for strong moves in the form of previous week started Wave-3 for following levels:-

1- New top of the on going rally above 5629.95.
2- To cross next resistance of 5600-5700.
2- Fast up moves To test next resistance of 5800-5900
3- To test next resistance of 6100-6200 in the coming months.

As strong indications of impulsive Wave-3 beginning in previous week therefore expected that market will firstly turn range bound near 5400 in the coming week and will prepare for post Budget moves as well as also expected that finally Indian markets will move up,sustaining above 5458 and strong rally will be seen after Union Budget-2012.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(09-Mar-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed in Green except FMCG.
2- Strong market after gap up opening.
3- White Candle.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.16
Nifty P/E Ratio(09-Mar-2012): 18.90

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1828
BSE Declines : 1030
NSE Advances : 1074
NSE Declines :  381

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5200 CE(Mar)- -131100(-4.14%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Mar)- +650750(+9.54%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Mar)- -331650(-8.61%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Mar)- +1187300(+24.36%)

Nifty- 5400 CE(Mar)- -127850(-2.95%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Mar)- +206150(+6.29%)

Nifty- 5500 CE(Mar)- -225800(-4.42%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Mar)- -115850(-3.92%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,333.55(+113.10 Points & +2.17%)
Sensex- closed at 17,503.24(+357.72 Points & +2.09% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,689.50(+218.95 Points & +2.93%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,749.21(+89.84 Points & +1.35%)

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 09-Mar-2012

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 09-Mar-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 09-Mar-2012 4039.93 2755.28 1284.65

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 09-Mar-2012 1106.66 1119.56 -12.9

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-03-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5404
R2 5373
R1 5353
Avg 5322
S1 5302
S2 5271
S3 5251

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5384     Trgt 2
H5 5372     Trgt 1
H4 5361     Long breakout
H3 5347     Go Short
H2 5342
H1 5337
L1 5328
L2 5323
L3 5318     Long
L4 5304     Short Breakout
L5 5293     Trgt 1
L6 5281     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-03-2012

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5449
R2 5411
R1 5387
Avg 5349
S1 5325
S2 5287
S3 5263

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5426     Trgt 2
H5 5412     Trgt 1
H4 5398     Long breakout
H3 5381     Go Short
H2 5375
H1 5369
L1 5358
L2 5352
L3 5346     Long
L4 5329     Short Breakout
L5 5315     Trgt 1
L6 5301     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-03-2012

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 10894
R2 10745
R1 10659
Avg 10510
S1 10424
S2 10275
S3 10189

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10813     Trgt 2
H5 10758     Trgt 1
H4 10703     Long breakout
H3 10638     Go Short
H2 10617
H1 10595
L1 10552
L2 10530
L3 10509     Long
L4 10444     Short Breakout
L5 10389     Trgt 1
L6 10334     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Mar 12 to Mar 16,2012)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5630
R2 5506
R1 5419
Avg 5295
S1 5208
S2 5084
S3 4997

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5550     Trgt 2
H5 5499     Trgt 1
H4 5449     Long breakout
H3 5391     Go Short
H2 5371
H1 5352
L1 5313
L2 5294
L3 5274     Long
L4 5216     Short Breakout
L5 5166     Trgt 1
L6 5115     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Mar 12 to Mar 16,2012)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 11293
R2 10909
R1 10707
Avg 10323
S1 10121
S2 9737
S3 9535

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 11124     Trgt 2
H5 10975     Trgt 1
H4 10827     Long breakout
H3 10666     Go Short
H2 10612
H1 10558
L1 10451
L2 10397
L3 10343     Long
L4 10182     Short Breakout
L5 10034     Trgt 1
L6  9885    Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(09-03-2012)

Following line was told at 09:46AM today in Post-open Outlook

sustaining beyond 5290-5340 will be correction completion/continuation confirmation therefore should be firstly watched.

Nifty traded whole day between mentioned range and now trading at 5330 after forming high at 5342.30.

Intraday selling patterns seen between 5318-5332 today and Nifty moved above it also but retraced and again trading between this range. Whole day market is More than 1.75% up today and psychologically tough for general trader to hold their buying positins at such higher rates therefore they sells their buying in little down moves therefore sustaining above 5332/5340(intermediate term trend decider) will be firstly watched next up moves confirmations.

Although Indian markets are going to closed more than 2% up today but intraday charts are suggesting for the requirements of more confirmations. It will be better to get next decisive move confirmations from sustaining beyond today trading. 3 Big events in next week and sustaining beyond today trading range will give first indication of next moves direction after those events.

Mid-session Outlook(09-03-2012)

Selling confirmation between 5318-5332 and until Nifty will not sustain above 5332 till then next up move will not be considered.

Post-open Outlook(09-03-2012)

Intraday support at 200-Day EMA on 07-03-2012 and good Global markets rally yesterday therefore huge gap up opening today. As huge gap up after testing of 200-Day EMA therefore strong indication of correction completion today and confirmation will be sustaining above intermediate term trend decider 5340.

Expected that market will consolidate near 5300 for next up moves and sustaining beyond 5290-5340 will be correction completion/continuation confirmation therefore should be firstly watched.