8365 will trigger Blasting Rally
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(May 18 to May 22,2015)
Nifty-EOD Chart (15-May-2015):- |
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1- 7961.35 on 17-12-2014(Wave-5 beginning after Wave-4 completion)
2- Sub Wave-1(8445.60 on 05-01-2015)
3- Sub Wave-2(8065.45 on 07-01-2015)
4- Sub Wave-3(8996.60 on 30-01-2015)
5- Sub Wave-4(8470.50 on 10-02-2015)
6- Sub Wave-5 of Wave-5 completion at 9119.20 on 04-03-2015 and 'ABC'correction beginning
7- Wave-'A'(8269.15 on 27-03-2015)
8- Wave-'B'(8844.40 on 15-04-2015)
9- Wave-'C'(7997.15 on 07-05-2015)
10- Last 15 sessions trading between 7997-8365
11- Nifty is hovering around Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA(today at 8190) for the last 11 sessions.
Bullish Inverted Head and Shoulders formations in last 15 sessions
Nifty-EOD Chart (15-May-2015):-
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1- Sub Wave-5 of Wave-5 completion at 9119.20 on 04-03-2015 and 'ABC'correction beginning
2- Wave-'A'(8269.15 on 27-03-2015)
3- Wave-'B'(8844.40 on 15-04-2015)
4- Wave-'C'(7997.15 on 07-05-2015)
5- Bullish Inverted Head and Shoulders formations in last 15 sessions
6- Neckline of Inverted Head and Shoulders at 8365
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (May 12 to May 15,2015):-
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1- 3 Sessions most time trading trading range with Mixed Patterns between 8090-8254 from 12th May to 14th May 2015
2- Most time trading above the highs of last 3 sessions(8254) on 15-05-2015 with consolidation below 8254
Conclusions from 4 Sessions intra day chart analysis
Although Mixed Patterns between 8090-8254 in last 3 sessions buy good consolidation below 8254 and closing above it on 15-05-2015 therefore strong indications of fresh rally after valid break out of last 3 sessions range.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (15-May-2015):-
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1- Consolidation Patterns between 8229-8250
2- Consolidation Patterns between 8247-8255
3- Minor selling patterns at higher levels.
4- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
5- Whole day actual trading between 8213-8279
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although minor selling at higher levels but good consolidation at lower levels and Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels were also seen therefore expected that Nifty will move above day's highest(8279).
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
Trends of Nifty are as follows:-
1- Short Term Trend is up
2- Intermediate Term Trend is down which will be up above 8505.
3- Long Term Trend is sideways and Nifty is hovering around its decider 200 Day EMA(today at 8190) for the last 11 sessions.
Wave-4 completed and Wave-5 begun at 7961.35 on 17-12-2014 which completed at 9119.20 on 04-03-2015 and 'ABC'correction started. Corrective Wave-'C' finished at 7997.15 on 07-05-2015 and since then sideways market between 7997-6333.
Last 15 sessions sideways trading between 7997-8365 and Nifty is hovering around Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA(today at 8190) for the last 11 sessions which is within 15 sessions range. It means that valid break out of last 15 sessions range will be Long Term Trend confirmation which is sideways within this range. As question of Long Term Trend valid break out confirmation therefore it is confirm that one sided big moves will be seen beyond 7997-8365.
Bullish Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern formations in last 15 sessions and its Neckline is at 8365 which means that strong rally after sustaining above 8365. 42 Sessions correction from 04-03-2015 and 15 sessions Bullish pattern formation is time wise sufficient for correction completion. It should be kept in mind that once valid break out of its Neckline(8365) will mean high possibility of fresh rally above life time high(9119.20) after 42 Sessions correction completion.
Nifty traded 3 sessions from 12-05-2015 to 14-05-2015 with both buying and selling between 8090-8254 but this range was broken out and Nifty closed above 8254 on 15-05-2015. As sufficiently good intraday consolidations was also seen therefore expected that 3 sessions broken out will get confirmation in next week and that will mean testing possibility of 15 sessions trading range top and Neckline(8365).
Certainly emergence correction completion strong signals and high possibility fresh rally above 8365 as well as new life time high formation above 9119.20 is also being considered because Bullish Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern formations in last 15 sessions. Firstly sustaining above 8365 should be watched for the beginning of Blasting rally.