8695 Will decide Depth of Correction
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Feb 02 to Feb 06,2015)
Nifty-EOD Chart (30-Jan-2015):- |
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1- 4531.15 on 20-12-2011(Rally beginning after 13 Months correction completion)
2- Wave-1(6229.45 on 20-05-2013)
3- Wave-2(5118.85 on 28-08-2013)
4- Wave-3 continuation with recent top formation at 8996.60 on 30-01-2015
Nifty-EOD Chart (30-Jan-2015):-
 |
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1- 5118.85 on 28-08-2013(Wave-i of Wave-3 beginning after 'ABC' correction completion)
2- Wave-i of Wave-3(6415.25 on 09-12-2013)
3- Wave-ii of Wave-3(5933.30 on 04-02-2014)
4- Wave-iii of Wave-3(8626.95 on 04-12-2014)
5- Wave-iv of Wave-3(7961.35 on 17-12-2014)
6- Wave-v of Wave-3 continuation with recent top formation at 8996.60 on 30-01-2015
Nifty-EOD Chart (30-Jan-2015):-
 |
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1- Wave-v of Wave-3 started after correction completion at 7961.35 on 17-12-2014
2- Wave-v of Wave-3 continuation with recent top formation at 8,996.60 on 30-01-2015
3- 143.45(1.60%) correction on 30-01-2015 with Bearish Engulfing Candle formation
Conclusions from EOD charts analysis
All trends are up and Bullish rally is very much on and new life time high formation at 8996.60 on 30-01-2015 but immediate after that 1.60% correction was seen which will be understood intraday/Very Short Term correction. Wave-v of Wave-3 continuation and this wave will be correction after Short Term correction confirmation. Wave-v of Wave-3 started from 7961.35 and correction started after high formation at 8,996.60,Fibonacci retracement levels of this Wave are as follows:-
[0.130] 8,862.0200(Done)
[0.236] 8,752.2800
[0.270] 8,717.0800
[0.382] 8,601.1300
[0.500] 8,478.9800
[0.618] 8,356.8200
[0.707] 8,264.6800
[0.764] 8,205.6700
[0.786] 8,182.8900
[0.886] 8,079.3700
Bearish Engulfing Candle formation on 30-01-2015 which signifies that the uptrend has been hurt and the bears may be gaining strength. Next supports are as follows:-
1- Supports between 8796-8815
2- Gap support between 8775-8795
3- Supports between 8727-8755
4- Supports between 8695-8720
As Short Term Oscillators were overbought after strong rally in last 10 sessions and sentiment turned heated after Dow Jones 225 points rally on 29-01-2015 therefore intraday correction was seen on 30-01-2015 for cooling down. As Bearish Engulfing Candle formation which closed at 5 sessions lowest after 5 sessions lowest formation therefore view is cautious and firstly sustaining beyond lowest of above supports will decide deeper correction beginning below(8695) or correction completion above(8695).