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Pre-Open Market Outlook(21-03-2011)

Nifty traded between 5200-5600 in last 36 sessions and most of the days traded within 5400-5600. Double round top formation near 5600 and after that Nifty closed below 5400 last Friday. All trends are down and Nifty traded whole day near 5400 before closeing below it last Friday. War excalated in Libya in last 2 days but Gddafi acceped Ceasefire late in the night yesterday. If US and NATO accept then peace may be restored otherwise situation will worsen and crude price will rise  then global markets melting down will be seen. Indian markets will also not be spared and firstly 5200 will be tested as well as more down may also be seen. Mass revolt erupted in Middle-East and Internal disturbances witnessed in Yemen and Syria also yesterday therefore fresh down moves are very much possible in global stock markets.

1-Double Round Top Formations Chart-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Indian markets are already weak and all trends are down therefore any negative news will mean more down moves. 5400 has been strong support and Nifty traded most of the last Friday near it within 5375-5410 last Friday and sustaining below it today will mean 5200 fast.

Selling patterns below 5400 last Friday therefore testing of levels near 5200 possibility is high. Opening will depend oo global cues and expected that Indian markets will slip below last Fiday rnge and will close in Red today.