Pre-Closing Outlook-2(19-10-2012)

20 sessions sideways market range(5639-5733) with higher levels good selling and lower levels strong supports. As good selling at higher levels today therefore market slipped but got intraday supports also at lower levels.

Big moves are being riped in last 20 sessions between 5639-5733 but higher levels good selling lower levels strong supports therefore forceful break out and sustaining beyond 5639-5733 will be next big moves confirmation.

Pre-Closing Outlook(19-10-2012)

Follow up good selling at higher levels today. As today selling is within and below previous resistance range(5700-5733) therefore more down will be seen to test again levels near 5639 and possibility of slipping below it also.

Mid-session Outlook-3(19-10-2012)

As soon as intraday selling emerged then it was immediately updated within 1st hour today in Post-open Outlook(19-10-2012). Although Nifty slipped forcefully below 5685 after higher levels selling today but strong supports also above 5639 therefore complete follow up selling is required for decisive down moves below 5639.

Following line should be kept in mind which was told today in Mid-session Outlook-2:-

"sustaining beyond 5685 should be firstly watched today" 

Mid-session Outlook-2(19-10-2012)

Nifty traded last more than 3 hours yesterday between 5685-5710 with intraday consolidation patterns and also first 3 hours trading within this range between 5693-5710 with higher levels intraday selling.  .

Although consolidation patterns seen between 5685-5710 yesterday but selling at higher levels also seen within this range today therefore sustaining beyond 5685 should be firstly watched today. 

Mid-session Outlook(19-10-2012)

First 2 hours trading between 5694-5710 with firstly slipping after some higher levels profit booking but immediately intraday supports also at 5694. Following lines were told today in Pre-open Outlook and should be kept in mind today:-

"consolidation patterns seen between 5685-5710 yesterday therefore until Nifty will not sustain below 5685 after follow up selling till then next down moves will not be considered"

Post-open Outlook(19-10-2012)

Emergence of intraday selling patterns at higher levels of today.

Pre-open Outlook(19-10-2012)

As most of the Asian markets are weak today morning therefore negative to flat opening is expected today but higher levels consolidation patterns seen between 5685-5710 yesterday therefore until Nifty will not sustain below 5685 after follow up selling till then next down moves will not be considered.

As 5700-5733 is already a resistance range therefore fresh consolidation is must within it before a decisive rally above 5733/5756.

Next moves deciding first range for today is 5685-5733 and should be firstly watched. 

Nifty on the Verge of strong rally above 19 sessions range

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(19-10-2012)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (18-Oct-2012):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation between 5650-5668
2- Consolidation patterns between 5685-5710 
3- Whole day acual trading between 5650-5721

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Strong up moves after lower levels good consolidation and last more than 3 hours trading between 5685-5710 with intraday consolidation patterns. As consolidation patterns seen within next strong resistance range(5700-5733) also therefore last 19 sessions sideways market range(5639-5733) upward break out possibility increased today,subject to the condition of follow up consolidations in the coming sessions.

Indian markets are on the verge of strong rally after 19 sessions trading range(5639-5733) upward break out but confirmation is must through forceful surge or sustaining above 5733/5756.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 18-Oct-2012

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 18-Oct-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 18-Oct-2012 2336.35 2405.22 -68.87

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 18-Oct-2012 1208.96 1393.52 -184.56

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(18-Oct-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed in Green except CNX PHARMA
2- Whole day strong up moves after positive opening.
3- Long White Candle formation.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.04
Nifty P/E Ratio(18-Oct-2012): 17.99

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1696
BSE Declines : 1161 
NSE Advances :  951
NSE Declines :  500

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5600 CE(Oct)- -654,000(-28.42%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Oct)-  863,600(10.94%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Oct)- -1,498,850(-22.13%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Oct)-  1,777,400(33.66%)

Nifty- 5800 CE(Oct)- -2,204,850(-18.78%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Oct)-  633,250(53.88%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 18,791.93(181.16 Points & 0.97%)
Nifty- closed at 5,718.70(58.45 Points & 1.03%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,945.35(83.80 Points & 1.07%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,545.40(52.00 Points & 1.49%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-10-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5815

R2 5768

R1 5743

Avg 5696

S1 5671

S2 5624

S3 5599

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5790     Trgt 2 

H5 5774     Trgt 1

H4 5757     Long breakout 

H3 5737     Go Short 

H2 5731

H1 5724

L1 5711

L2 5704

L3 5698     Long 

L4 5678     Short Breakout 

L5 5661     Trgt 1 

L6 5645     Trgt 2

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-10-2012

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 5843

R2 5793

R1 5764

Avg 5714

S1 5685

S2 5635

S3 5606

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5816     Trgt 2 

H5 5797     Trgt 1

H4 5779     Long breakout 

H3 5757    Go Short 

H2 5750

H1 5743

L1 5728

L2 5721

L3 5714     Long 

L4 5692     Short Breakout 

L5 5674     Trgt 1 

L6 5656     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-10-2012

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 11958

R2 11797

R1 11710

Avg 11549

S1 11462

S2 11301

S3 11214

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11877     Trgt 2 

H5 11818     Trgt 1

H4 11760     Long breakout 

H3 11692     Go Short 

H2 11669

H1 11646

L1 11601

L2 11578

L3 11555     Long 

L4 11487     Short Breakout 

L5 11429     Trgt 1 

L6 11370     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(18-10-2012)

As Indian markets traded whole day yesterday with intraday consolidation patterns and also got lower levels supports therefore deeper correction was not projected and following lines were told in both previous Outlooks yesterday:-

1- supports strengthened near 5639
2- sideways correction(5634-5733) will remain continued tomorrow. 
3- Indian markets are in sideways correction mode between 5639-5733.

Today trading within adove mentioned ranges without any deeper correction today. Indian markets are in sideways correction mode between 5639-5733 and today trading within it as well as today trading also betweeen next resistance range(5700-5733)

As today intraday patterns are also showing good consolidation therefore possibility of above mentioned range break out above 5733/5756 increased but 19 sessions sideways market and its break out confirmation is must through forceful break out or sustaining above 5733/5756.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(18-10-2012)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (17-Oct-2012):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Minor selling between 5656-5670
2- Down moves in Falling Channel.
3- Support between 5634-5646.
4- Whole day intraday consolidations patterns 
5- Whole day acual trading between 5634-574

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Firstly down moves in Falling Channel after minor selling at higher levels and intraday supports also at lower levels. Although crucial support of 5639 broken but got support just below at 5634 and Whole day intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations also therefore supports strengthened near 5639.

Nifty traded most time between 5639-5733 in last 18 sessions and correcting sideways after 600 Nifty points strong rally in 21 sessions from 05-09-2012 to 05-10-2012. As Whole day intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations with lower levels good supports today therefore expected that on going range bound sideways correction(5634-5733) will remain continued tomorrow. 

Market takes its own time for building up positions and one has to wait for final forceful break out or sustaining beyond 

5634-5733/5656. 

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 17-Oct-2012

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 17-Oct-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 17-Oct-2012 2176.6 2141.06 35.54

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 17-Oct-2012 893.12 1141.52 -248.4

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(17-Oct-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green with nominal gains.
2- Sideways narrow range market.
3- Black Candle formation.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.90
Nifty P/E Ratio(17-Oct-2012): 17.83

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1324
BSE Declines : 1543
NSE Advances :  626
NSE Declines :  811

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5500 CE(Oct)- -14,650(-1.36%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Oct)- 2,108,600(32.61%)

Nifty- 5600 CE(Oct)- 218,950(9.54%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Oct)- 658,950(8.53%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Oct)- -147,850(-2.05%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Oct)-  292,750(5.81%)

Nifty- 5800 CE(Oct)- 2,133,500(21.22%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Oct)- -161,800(-11.95%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 18,610.77(33.07 Points & 0.18%)
Nifty- closed at 5,660.25(12.25 Points & 0.22%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,861.55(2.25 Points & 0.03%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,493.40(11.00 Points & 0.32%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-10-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5736
R2 5710
R1 5685
Avg 5659
S1 5634
S2 5608
S3 5583

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6  5711    Trgt 2
H5  5699    Trgt 1
H4  5688    Long breakout
H3  5674    Go Short
H2  5669
H1  5664
L1  5655
L2  5650
L3  5645    Long
L4  5631    Short Breakout
L5  5620    Trgt 1
L6  5608    Trgt 2

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-10-2012

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 5742

R2 5718

R1 5693

Avg 5669

S1 5644

S2 5620

S3 5595

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6  5718    Trgt 2 

H5  5707    Trgt 1

H4  5695    Long breakout 

H3  5682    Go Short 

H2  5677

H1  5673

L1  5664

L2  5660

L3  5655    Long 

L4  5642    Short Breakout 

L5  5630    Trgt 1 

L6  5619    Trgt 2