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Just Watch 200-Day SMA for Blasting rally
Nifty-EOD Chart(27-Jan-2012):-
Averages are as follows:
200-Day EMA is at-5131
200-Day SMA is at-5202
Conclusions
Short and Intermediate term trends are up and long term trend turning up confirmation will be after sustaining above 200-Day EMA as well as 200-Day SMA. Last 2 sessions closing above 200-Day EMA and testing of 200-Day SMA on 27-01-2012.
Strong breathless rally seen in last one month but last confirmation for blasing rally is left through sustaining above 200-Day SMA because Nifty got stiff resistance at 200-Day SMA 3 times earlier.
Long term trend turning up final confirmation will be after sustaining above 200-Day SMA and should be watched firstly in next week.
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
200-Day EMA is at-5131
200-Day SMA is at-5202
Conclusions
Short and Intermediate term trends are up and long term trend turning up confirmation will be after sustaining above 200-Day EMA as well as 200-Day SMA. Last 2 sessions closing above 200-Day EMA and testing of 200-Day SMA on 27-01-2012.
Strong breathless rally seen in last one month but last confirmation for blasing rally is left through sustaining above 200-Day SMA because Nifty got stiff resistance at 200-Day SMA 3 times earlier.
Long term trend turning up final confirmation will be after sustaining above 200-Day SMA and should be watched firstly in next week.
Rally after very short term correction
Technical Analysis and Research For 30-01-2012
Nifty-EOD Chart(27-Jan-2012):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Begining of strong rally on 20-12-2011 from 4531.15.
2- Trend Reversal 113 Sessions sideways market between 4720-5229 is intact.
3- Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern at the bottom of 14 months correction is intact.
4- Falling Trendline Correction from 5399 and its upward cross over.
5- Testing of Falling trend line from 6336 and Nifty retraced 7 times earlier from this falling trendline.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Bullish pattrens are very much intact and Nifty is trading near the higher levels of these patterns. Testing of Falling trend line from 6336 and Nifty retraced 7 times earlier from this falling trendline. As sentiment is heated therefore therefore very short term correction is due now.
Nifty-EOD Chart(27-Jan-2012):-
1- Begining of strong rally on 20-12-2011 from 4531.15.
2- Trend Reversal 113 Sessions sideways market between 4720-5229 is intact.
3- Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern at the bottom of 14 months correction is intact.
4- Falling Trendline Correction from 5399 and its upward cross over.
5- Testing of Falling trend line from 6336 and Nifty retraced 7 times earlier from this falling trendline.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Bullish pattrens are very much intact and Nifty is trading near the higher levels of these patterns. Testing of Falling trend line from 6336 and Nifty retraced 7 times earlier from this falling trendline. As sentiment is heated therefore therefore very short term correction is due now.
Very Short Term Correction is Due
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 30-01-2012
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(27-Jan-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Support between 5163-5185
2- Selling Patterns between 5187-5194
3- Selling Patterns between 5200-5210
4- Up moves without force in rising channel.
5- Whole day trading between 5163-5210
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although closing near the top of the day after lower levels support but up moves have been without force as well as higher levels selling patterns also therefore view is cautions. Rally is on but correction is over due because short term indicators are heated and very short term correction may be seen for cooling down of overbought indicators.
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(27-Jan-2012)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Closing near the top of the day after lower levels support.
2- Mixed closing in Indices,some close positive and some in Red.
3- Intraday patterns are showing mixed patterns.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.31
Nifty P/E Ratio(27-Jan-2012): 18.55
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1799
BSE Declines : 1099
NSE Advances : 961
NSE Declines : 492
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5100 CE(Jan)- -89100(-3.46%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Jan)- +1358950(+46.20%)
Nifty- 5200 CE(Jan)- +406850(+9.38%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Jan)- +1255550(+99.08%)
Nifty- 5300 CE(Jan)- +1008850(+34.44%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Jan)- +161450(+26.38%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,204.70(+46.40 Points & +0.90%)
Sensex- closed at 17,233.98(+156.80 Points & +0.92%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,089.65(+38.65 Points & +0.55%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,491.69(+83.24 Points & +1.30%)
1- Closing near the top of the day after lower levels support.
2- Mixed closing in Indices,some close positive and some in Red.
3- Intraday patterns are showing mixed patterns.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.31
Nifty P/E Ratio(27-Jan-2012): 18.55
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1799
BSE Declines : 1099
NSE Advances : 961
NSE Declines : 492
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5100 CE(Jan)- -89100(-3.46%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Jan)- +1358950(+46.20%)
Nifty- 5200 CE(Jan)- +406850(+9.38%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Jan)- +1255550(+99.08%)
Nifty- 5300 CE(Jan)- +1008850(+34.44%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Jan)- +161450(+26.38%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,204.70(+46.40 Points & +0.90%)
Sensex- closed at 17,233.98(+156.80 Points & +0.92%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,089.65(+38.65 Points & +0.55%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,491.69(+83.24 Points & +1.30%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 30-01-2012
R3 5281
R2 5249
R1 5226
Avg 5194
S1 5171
S2 5139
S3 5116
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5259 Trgt 2
H5 5246 Trgt 1
H4 5234 Long breakout
H3 5219 Go Short
H2 5214
H1 5209
L1 5198
L2 5193
L3 5188 Long
L4 5173 Short Breakout
L5 5161 Trgt 1
L6 5148 Trgt 2
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 30-01-2012
R3 5286
R2 5255
R1 5233
Avg 5202
S1 5180
S2 5149
S3 5127
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5265 Trgt 2
H5 5253 Trgt 1
H4 5241 Long breakout
H3 5226 Go Short
H2 5221
H1 5216
L1 5207
L2 5202
L3 5197 Long
L4 5182 Short Breakout
L5 5170 Trgt 1
L6 5158 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 30-01-2012
R3 10205
R2 10075
R1 9934
Avg 9804
S1 9663
S2 9533
S3 9392
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10067 Trgt 2
H5 10004 Trgt 1
H4 9942 Long breakout
H3 9867 Go Short
H2 9842
H1 9817
L1 9768
L2 9743
L3 9718 Long
L4 9643 Short Breakout
L5 9581 Trgt 1
L6 9518 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jan 30 to Feb 03,2012)
R3 5469
R2 5343
R1 5273
Avg 5147
S1 5077
S2 4951
S3 4881
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 5407 Trgt 2
H5 5359 Trgt 1
H4 5311 Long breakout
H3 5257 Go Short
H2 5239
H1 5221
L1 5186
L2 5168
L3 5150 Long
L4 5096 Short Breakout
L5 5048 Trgt 1
L6 5000 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jan 30 to Feb 03,2012)
R3 10549
R2 10259
R1 10036
Avg 9746
S1 9523
S2 9233
S3 9010
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 10345 Trgt 2
H5 10220 Trgt 1
H4 10095 Long breakout
H3 9954 Go Short
H2 9907
H1 9860
L1 9765
L2 9718
L3 9671 Long
L4 9530 Short Breakout
L5 9405 Trgt 1
L6 9280 Trgt 2
Mid-session Outlook(27-01-2012)
Although intraday mixed patterns with selling indications between 5150-5174 on 25-01-2012 but positive markets today after strong global cues led gap up opening but mixed signals are visible today also.
As today positive market is on the back of strong global cues therefore sustaining beyond today trading range will be watched next moves confirmation because mixed intraday(5163-5195) patterns.
As today positive market is on the back of strong global cues therefore sustaining beyond today trading range will be watched next moves confirmation because mixed intraday(5163-5195) patterns.
Very Short Term Correction is Due
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 27-01-2012
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(25-Jan-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Support between 5130-5140
2- Intraday mixed patterns with clear selling indications between 5150-5174 in last 3 hours.
3- Whole day trading between 5130-5174
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Whole day sideways trading between 5130-5174 with lower levels support between 5130-5140 and last 3 hours volatile market with intraday mixed intraday patterns but clear selling indications also seen between 5130-5174 today.
As already over bought indicators and intraday selling indications also today therefore very short term correction possibility can not be ruled out for cooling down of heated indicators.
Nifty traded with mixed intraday patterns between 4120-4140 on 24-01-2012 and today again mixed patterns(5130-5174) with higher levels selling indications therefore firstly trading between 5120-5174 and then slipping below 5120 may be seen next Friday. Running Bullish market and deeper correction will get confirmation after follow up selling and sustaining below 5120 only.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 25-Jan-2012
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(25-Jan-2012)
1- Selling Indications from intraday patterns today
2- All the Indices closed in Green except CG and Reality.
3- Midcap and Smallcap closed more than 1% up while benchmark Indices closed with minor gains.
4- Whole day trading in sideways market within 44 points.
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.07
Nifty P/E Ratio(25-Jan-2012): 18.38
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1810
BSE Declines : 1050
NSE Advances : 961
NSE Declines : 483
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5000 CE(Jan)- +205150(+9.77%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Jan)- +1259850(+44.99%)
Nifty- 5100 CE(Jan)- +351550(+15.82%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Jan)- +1031750(+51.15%)
Nifty- 5200 CE(Jan)- +777050(+21.64%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Jan)- +512950(+68.09%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,158.30(+30.95 Points & +0.60%)
Sensex- closed at 17,077.18(+81.41 Points & +0.48% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,051.00(+96.95 Points & +1.39%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,408.45(+70.44 Points & +1.11%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 27-01-2012
R3 5222
R2 5198
R1 5178
Avg 5154
S1 5134
S2 5110
S3 5090
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5202 Trgt 2
H5 5192 Trgt 1
H4 5182 Long breakout
H3 5170 Go Short
H2 5166
H1 5162
L1 5153
L2 5149
L3 5145 Long
L4 5133 Short Breakout
L5 5123 Trgt 1
L6 5113 Trgt 2
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 27-01-2012
R3 5251
R2 5224
R1 5202
Avg 5175
S1 5153
S2 5126
S3 5104
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5230 Trgt 2
H5 5219 Trgt 1
H4 5207 Long breakout
H3 5194 Go Short
H2 5189
H1 5185
L1 5176
L2 5172
L3 5167 Long
L4 5154 Short Breakout
L5 5142 Trgt 1
L6 5131 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 27-01-2012
R3 10075
R2 10001
R1 9920
Avg 9846
S1 9765
S2 9691
S3 9610
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 9996 Trgt 2
H5 9960 Trgt 1
H4 9925 Long breakout
H3 9882 Go Short
H2 9868
H1 9854
L1 9825
L2 9811
L3 9797 Long
L4 9754 Short Breakout
L5 9719 Trgt 1
L6 9683 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(25-01-2012)
Whole day sideways trading between 5130-5174 with lower levels consolidation between 5130-5140 and last more than 3 hours volatile moves with intraday mixed patterns between 5150-5174. As Nifty is trading between resistance range(5130-5225) therefore such slow moves are possible but more or less mixed intraday patterns today therefore sustaining beyond will be confirmation.next Friday.
Whole day trading above 200-Day EMA and sustaining above will be strong signal of rally.
Whole day trading above 200-Day EMA and sustaining above will be strong signal of rally.
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