Supports at Crucial Levels on 11-02-2011

Supports at Crucial Levels on 11-02-2011:-

1- Strong Support at 5210
2- Support at Wave-3 Corrections Rising Trend Line

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy for 14-02-2011

H6 5475      Trgt 2 
H5 5438      Trgt 1
H4 5401      Long breakout 
H3 5359      Go Short 
H2 5345
H1 5331
L1 5302
L2 5288
L3 5274      Long 
L4 5232      Short Breakout 
L5 5195      Trgt 1 
L6 5158      Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy for 14-02-2011

H6 10902     Trgt 2 
H5 10798     Trgt 1
H4 10695     Long breakout 
H3 10578     Go Short 
H2 10539
H1 10500
L1 10423
L2 10384
L3 10345     Long 
L4 10228     Short Breakout 
L5 10125     Trgt 1 
L6 10021     Trgt 2

Trading Levels for 14-02-11

Nifty Spot Levels for 14-02-2011

R3 5502
R2 5410
R1 5360
AVG 5268
S1 5218
S2 5126
S3 5076

Nifty Feb Futures Levels for 14-02-2011

R3 5526
R2 5427
R1 5372
AVG 5273
S1 5218
S2 5119
S3 5064

Bank Nifty Feb Futures Levels for 14-02-2011

R3 11041
R2 10772
R1 10617
AVG 10348
S1 10193
S2 9924
S3 9769

Nifty Spot Weekly Levels (14 Feb to 18 Feb 2011)

R3 5704
R2 5572
R1 5441
AVG 5309
S1 5178
S2 5046
S3 4915

Fibonacci levels For on going Wave-3 Correction

Correction of Wave-3 is on and this correction will be according to those Fibonacci levels which are as follows:-

38.2%- 5414
50.0%- 5129
61.8%- 4843
70.7%- 4628
76.4%- 4490
78.6%- 4436
88.6%- 4194

Targets of ongoing "ABC" Correction

3rd impulsive wave termination at 6339 is confirmed on 05-11-2010 and 'A' wave of 4th corrective wave started same day.

"ABC" correction Target

1- 'A' Wave- 6339-5690= 649 points down
2- 'B' Wave- 6181-5690= 491 points UP
3- 'C' Wave- Target-

1-6181-649(100.0% Retracement)=5532
2-6181-897(138.2% Retracement)=5284
3-6181-974(150.0% Retracement)=5207
4-6181-1050(161.8% Retracement)=6131

Pre-closing outlook(11-02-2011)

Following conclusive Bullish lines were told in today outlooks:-

1- Pre-open outlook- "Sustaining above 5220 and positive closing expected today"

2- Mid-session outlook(When Nifty was below 5200)- "As support seen near 5200 yesterday therefore it has to be ascertained today that today move below 5200 is genuine down move or IIP data negative news impact only"

3- Mid-session outlook-2(When Nifty noved above 5200)- "As no clear distribution pattern in last 4 months EOD charts therefore 1st Jan 2011 bullish markets hopes are still alive despite all negative developments"

Although Nifty moved below 5200 sharply but doubts expressed on that down moves and again and again whole day told for that rally which was seen despite depressing IIP data.

Mid-session outlook-2(11-02-2011)

Nifty slipped below 5200 after weaker IIP data but sustaining below was not expected therefore doubts were expressed in Mid-session outlook. It should be kept in mind that 5200 is most strong support and trend decider at present also. Sustaining beyond 5200 will decide:-

1- Sustaining below will mean levels much below 5000.
2- Sustaining above will mean revival of all those bullish expectation from which 2011 begun.

As no clear distribution pattern in last 4 months EOD charts therefore 1st Jan 2011 bullish markets hopes are still alive despite all negative developments.

Mid-session outlook(11-02-2011)

2011 is Indian stock markets Adverse News Year and markets loosing crucial supports after every such depressing news.

5210 was the most strong support and it is broken down after weaker IIP data today. As this support broken down in most bearish sentiment today therefore sustaining below 5210 will be watched first and if Nifty sustains below today then no hopes for Bulls and levels below 5000 will be seen.

As support seen near 5200 yesterday therefore it has to be ascertained today that today move below 5200 is genuine down move or IIP data negative news impact only.

Pre-Budget Pull Back Rally Possible

Pre-Open Market Outlook(11-02-2011)

Most bullish begun 2011 lost 982 Nifty points in just only 28 sessions and all the trends turned negative as well Indian markets entered into Bear Phase also. Although Nifty could not suustained at higher levels and  tested lowest point of strong support(5210) after sharp slipping as well as closed near it at 5226 yesterday but no intraday distribution formations and on the contrary whole day consolidation patterns seen. Genuine intraday consolidation patterns within 5200-5220 yesterday therefore this range will be first support now and if Nifty sustains above it today begining of Pre-Budget Pull Back Rally Possibility can not be ruled out.

Nifty intraday chart of 10-02-2011

(Just click on chart for its enlarged view)

Oscillators are showing positive divergence in oversold zone therefore an up move is due now and after yesterday intraday charts consolidation patterns Pull Back Rally may be seen but Indian markets have entered into Bear phase therefore minimum one resistance upward crossing is must for rally confirmation.Next resistance ranges are as follows:-

1- 5315-5365
2- 5400-5460
3- 5660-5780(Strong resistance)

Pull Back Rally from here may test 200-Day EMA(today at 5627) therefore this possibility should be kept in mind after Pull Back Rally confirmation. Opening will depend on Asian markets cues but sustaining beyond 5200-5220 should be watched first and crossing upward 5270 will be fresh up move confirmation.

Sustaining above 5220 and positive closing expected today.

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy for 11-02-2011

H6 5305     Trgt 2 
H5 5288     Trgt 1
H4 5271     Long breakout 
H3 5250     Go Short 
H2 5243
H1 5236
L1 5223
L2 5216
L3 5209     Long 
L4 5188     Short Breakout 
L5  5171    Trgt 1 
L6  5154    Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy for 11-02-2011

                                                                                                                        
H6 10338      Trgt 2 
H5 10283      Trgt 1
H4 10227      Long breakout 
H3 10160      Go Short 
H2 10138
H1 10116
L1 10071
L2 10049
L3 10027      Long 
L4 9960       Short Breakout 
L5 9904       Trgt 1 
L6 9849       Trgt 2

Trading Levels for 11-02-11

Nifty Spot Levels for 11-02-2011 

R3 5342

R2 5307
R1 5266
AVG 5231
S1 5190
S2 5155
S3 5114

Nifty Feb Futures Levels for 11-02-2011

R3 5348
R2 5316
R1 5273
AVG 5241
S1 5198
S2 5166
S3 5123

Bank Nifty Feb Futures Levels for 11-02-2011

R3 10477
R2 10375
R1 10234
AVG 10132
S1 9991
S2 9889
S3 9748

Mid-session outlook(10-02-2011)

Support and base formation seen at lowr levels within 5200-5220 today but it is only sufficient for very short term up move/minor pull back rally.

Firstly Nifty consolidated near 200-Day EMA but broken it down after little up moves and in the same manner again consolidated near 5460 and again broken it down after little up moves. Nifty could not sustain at higher levels after sudden surge and slipped sharply from higher level today also.

Confirm support between 5200-5220 today but follow up buying is must and minimum sustaining above immediate 1st resistance will give confirmation to any decisive up move.

Pre-Open Market Outlook(10-02-2011)

All trends are down and only very short term up move/minor pull back rally/intraday surge will be seen after very short term consolidations. Until sufficient buying will not develop till then any up move will not be considered. Minimum 1 resistance range crossing should be used for any upmove/rally confirmation.

Nifty was volatile and traded within 5225-5340 yesterday. Minor support seen within 5225-5240 and selling seen within 5300-5340. 5210 is strong support and Nifty moving below 5210 will mean sharp declines. As intraday supports and resistances within yesterday trading range(5225-5340) therefore Nifty will first trade near the lower band of yesterday range. As we are in bear market and yesterday higher levels selling therefore 5210 testing is possible today.

As 5210 have been strong support therefore will be watched today for:-

1- Minor pull back rally after sustaining above or
2- Sharp fall after sustaining below.

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy for 10-02-2011

H6 5380      Trgt 2 
H5 5353      Trgt 1
H4 5326      Long breakout 
H3 5293      Go Short 
H2 5282 
H1 5271 
L1 5249 
L2 5238 
L3 5227      Long 
L4 5194      Short Breakout 
L5 5166      Trgt 1 
L6 5139      Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy for 10-02-2011

H6 10420      Trgt 2 
H5 10354      Trgt 1
H4 10288      Long breakout 
H3 10209      Go Short 
H2 10182
H1 10156
L1 10103
L2 10077
L3 10050      Long 
L4 9971       Short Breakout 
L5 9905       Trgt 1 
L6 9839       Trgt 2

Trading Levels for 10-02-11

Nifty Spot Levels for 10-02-2011

R3 5434
R2 5386
R1 5320
AVG 5272
S1 5206
S2 5158
S3 5092

Nifty Feb Futures Levels for 10-02-2011

R3 5449
R2 5398
R1 5329
AVG 5278
S1 5209
S2 5158
S3 5089

Bank Nifty Feb Futures Levels for 10-02-2011

R3 10579
R2 10452
R1 10291
AVG 10164
S1 10003
S2 9876
S3 9715

Mid-session outlook(09-02-2011)

Panic bottom formation and sharp recovery from oversold zones seen today morning. Pull back rally is due and it is its begining signal. It was told in Pre-Open Market Outlook today:-

"5335-5365 is first resistance range and its testing expected"

Nifty made today high at 5336.75 and sliped but mentioned resistance will watched for next up move in the form of pull back rally. Although move above 5365 expected but will be better to wait for confirmation from crossing 5265.

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