Firstly Rally continuation before
Short Term Correction beginning
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Aug 01 to Aug 05,2022)
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Waves structure)
Nifty-EOD Chart (29-Jul-2022):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Corrective Wave-C completion and Impulsive Wave-1 beginning from 7511.10 on 24-03-2020
2- Impulsive Wave-1 completion at 11794.30 on 31-08-2020
3- Corrective Wave-2 completion at 10790.20 on 24-09-2020
4- Impulsive Wave-3 completion at 15431.8 on 16-02-2021
5- Corrective Wave-4 completion at 14151.4 on 22-04-2021
6- Impulsive Wave-5 completion after new life time top formation at 18604.50 on 19-10-2021 and corrective Wave-A of "ABC" correction beginning with Double Zig-Zag pattern formation
7- Wave-A completion at 16410.20 on 20-12-2021
8- Wave-B completion at 18351.00 on 18-01-2022
9- Wave-C bottom formation at 15671.5 on 08-03-2022
10- Wave-X completion at 18114.70 on 04-04-2022
11- Wave-A completion at 15735.80 on 12-05-2021
12- Wave-B completion at 16793.80 on 03-06-2022
13- Wave-C completion at 15183.4 on 17-06-2022
14- Wave-A continuation with recent top formation at 17172.8 on 29-07-2022
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Waves structure)
Impulsive Wave-1 of which Waves structure begun from 7511.10 on 24-03-2020 that completed from its Impulsive Wave-5 after new life time top formation at 18604.50 on 19-10-2021 and corrective Wave-A of "ABC" correction started.
Now more than 9 months old "ABC" correction is on with Double Zig-Zag pattern formation and at present its Wave-A continuation with recent top formation at 17172.8 on 29-07-2022.
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Stochastic & MACD)
Nifty-EOD Chart (29-Jul-2022):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Wave-C completion at 15183.4 on 17-06-2022
2- Wave-A continuation with recent top formation at 17172.8 on 29-07-2022
3- Stochastic- %K(5) line has intersected %D(3) line upward and its both lines are rising towards and within Over bought zone.
4- Stochastic:- %K(5)- 86.41 & %D(3)- 64.22.
5- Stochastic is showing negative divergence
6- In MACD- MACD line has intersected Average line upward and its both lines are rising in positive zone.
7- MACD(26,12)- 432.19 & EXP(9)- 322.82 & Divergence- 109.37
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Stochastic & MACD)
Now Wave-A continuation with recent top formation at 17172.8 on 29-07-2022 after Wave-C completion at 15183.4 on 17-06-2022 and during these almost 2000 rally:-
1- In Stochastic indicator %K(5) line has intersected %D(3) line upward and its both lines are rising towards and within Over bought zone. As this indicator is showing negative divergence also therefore indicating Short Term correction beginning signals.
2- In MACD indicator MACD line has intersected Average line upward and its both lines are rising in positive zone therefore showing upward trend formations and suggesting up moves continuation in the coming sessions.
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Averages)
Nifty-EOD Chart (29-Jul-2022):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
Averages:-
A- 5-Day SMA is today at 16768
B- 21-Day SMA is today at 16299
C- 55-Day SMA is today at 16133
D- 100-Day SMA is today at 16544
E- 200-Day SMA is today at 17025
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Averages)
As Nifty closed above Intermediate Term Trend decider 55-Day SMA in last 10 sessions therefore confirmations of its turning up. Nifty closed well above Long Term Trend decider 200-Day SMA at 17158.25 last Friday after huge gap up opening therefore strong indications of its also turning up. As Nifty sustaining above 200-Day SMA(17025) in next week will confirm on going rally continuation after all trends turning up therefore should be firstly watched in next week for its confirmations.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis
(29-Jul-2022)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (29-Jul-2022):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- Sharp down after strong opening
2- Consolidation between 17061-17121
3- Sharp up moves in last hour
4- Whole day actual trading between 17019-17172
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although firstly sharp down moves after gap up strong opening but good consolidation developed between 7061-7121 in Mid-session therefore sharp up moves were seen in last hour and last Friday closing was at the top of the day.
As only consolidation and no selling patterns formations last friday therefore firstly up moves will be seen in the beginning of next week.
Conclusions (After putting all studies together)
Short and Intermediate Term Trends are up. As Long Term Trend will be up after sustaining above its decider 200-Day SMA(17025) therefore it should be watched in the coming week/weeks.
Although MACD is confirming upward trend but Stochastic is showing Short Term correction beginning signals which may be seen in next week and finally decisive fresh up moves will be considered after expected Short Term correction completion.
Almost 19 months rally of on going Waves structure completed at 18604.50 on 19-10-2021 and after that corrective Wave-A of "ABC" correction started which is with Double Zig-Zag pattern formation and now more than 9 months old.
Now Wave-A of on going correction is in continuation with recent top formation at 17172.8 on 29-07-2022 after Wave-C completion at 15183.4 on 17-06-2022 and no indication of its completion yet on EOD and intraday charts therefore firstly rally continuation is expected. As Short Term Correction beginning signals generation from Stochastic indicator therefore it will also be seen in next week after some up moves.