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Trading Calls
correction continuation towards next supports
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis &
Market Outlook(18-09-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (17-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 11552-11587(immediate Resistances)
2- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channels
3- Sharp fall
4- Whole day actual trading between 11499-11587
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As Dow Futures was in deep Red and resultant all the Asian markets were trading in Negative zone trerefore weaker opening of Indian markets and firstly selling was seen between 11552-11587 hence this range will be immediate Resistances of Nifty and until Nifty will not sustain above it till then decisive up moves will not be seen.
Most of the up moves were in Bearish Rising Channels in Mid-session therefore sharp fall in last hour hence today closing was near the lowest of the day.
As Short Term indicators are Over bought and whole day good selling patterns were seen therefore today started correction continuation in expected towards following next supports:-
1- Double bottom supports at 11366
2- 11301-11357
3- 11186-11243
Finally sharp down after follow up selling
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis &
Market Outlook(17-09-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (16-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 11537-11588
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
3- Selling between 11595-11618
4- Whole day actual trading between 11517-11618
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although today closing was at the top of the day but selling patterns were also seen 2 times and little consolidation was through in Mid-session through Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel.
As soon as Dow Jones Futures started to move up and good opening of European markets also therefore Indian markets also have recovered.
As Short Term indicators are Over bought and selling patterns are also being seen as well as only positive sentiments drives up moves therefore finally sharp down moves will be seen in the coming 1/2 sessions after follow up selling.
Finally slip below today lowest after follow up selling
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis &
Market Outlook(16-09-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (15-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 11485-44508
2- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channels
3- Sideways trading between 11510-11535
4- Whole day actual trading between 11443-11535
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As all the Asian markets were trading in Green after strong closing of US markets yesterday therefore positive opening of Indian markets.
Although Nifty closed 81 points up today but it was due to strong rally in Dow Jones Futures which was trading 175 points up and all the European markets were in Green.
As firstly selling between 11485-44508 and after that selling through Up moves in Bearish Rising Channels also therefore expected that Nifty will not sustain above today highest(11535) and will finally slip below today lowest(11443) after follow up selling in the coming 1/2 sessions.
Finally down moves towards next supports
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook(15-09-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (14-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- More than 4 hours sideways trading between 11520-11568
2- Sharp fall
3- Volatility in last hours
4- Whole day actual trading between 11384-11568
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Live Proofs of levels accuracy:-
1st resistances between 11550-11569 were posted on 12-09-2020 in "More down moves expectations after fresh selling" and today highest is exactly at 11568.90.
Nifty traded sideways more than 4 hours within and just below above mentioned resistances(11550-11569) between 11520-11568 under heated sentiments due to following positive news flow:-
1- DOW Futures was trading more than 300 points up.
2- All the Asian markets were trading in Green.
3- Oxford University said in a statement on Saturday that it is resuming the ‘paused’ vaccine trial of the ChAdOx1 COVID vaccine in clinical trial sites in the United Kingdom.
4- SEBI, in a circular, on Friday announced new set of portfolio allocation rules for multi cap mutual funds where the Market Regulator made it mandatory for the multi cap funds to invest a minimum of 25% of their portfolio each in large cap stocks, mid caps and small cap companies.
As some selling due to above Bullish developments therefore sharp fall was seen just before 02:00 PM and last hours Volatility therefore until Nifty will not sustain above today highest after complete fresh consolidation till then decisive up moves will not be seen.
Next resistances below today lowest are as follows:-
1- Double bottom supports at 11366
2- 11301-11357
3- 11186-11243
As some selling today and Very Short Term indicators have also turned over bought therefore expected that finally down moves will be seen towards above mentioned next supports after fresh selling in the coming sessions.
More down moves expectations
after fresh selling
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Sep 14 to Sep 18,2020)
Nifty-Weekly Chart Analysis
(Wave B structure & Stochastics)
Nifty-Weekly Chart (11-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in Weekly charts
1- Corrective Wave-A completion at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020 and Wave-B beginning
2- Wave-B completion indications with recent top formation at 11794.3 on 31-08-2020
3- Stochastic-%K(5) is at 65.47 & %D(3) is at 75.73
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Wave B structure & Stochastics)
As Nifty crashed 406 points higher levels and closed 260 points down on 31-08-2020 as well as formed long Bearish Engulfing candle on both EOD and Weekly chart therefore generated strongest indication of Wave-B completion at 11794.3 and Wave-C beginning to move towards and below the ogigin of Wave-B(7511.10).
Emergence of following bearish signals from weekly Stochastics:-
1- Both lines have started to move down from over bought zone.
2- %K has intersected %d downward.
Nifty-Last 9 Sessions
intraday charts analysis
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Sep 01 to Sep 11,2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in last 9 Sessions intraday charts
1- Selling(Resistances) in last 9 sessions are between:-
A- 11550-11569
B- 11400-11460
C- 11382-11437
D- 11451-11493
2- Consolidation(Supports) in last 9 sessions are sessions:-
A- 11301-11339
B- 11186-11243
C- 11343-11357
D- Double bottom supports at 11366
3- 9 Sessions actual trading between 11186-11585
Conclusions from 9 Sessions intra day chart analysis
Nifty crashed 406 points higher levels on 31-08-2020 and after that traded last 9 sessions of this month between 11186-11585 with higher levels selling and lower levels buying.
As both higher levels higher levels good selling and lower levels equally good buying in last 9 sessions therefore Nifty will firstly trade within last 9 sessions trading range as well as prepare in the coming week for next decisive big moves beyond this range.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis
(11-Sep-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (11-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 11467-11493
2- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
3- Selling between 11451-11470
4- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
5- Selling between 11457-11477
6- Whole day actual trading between 11420-11493
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As whole day sideways trading with only selling patterns formations therefore expected that down moves will be seen below last Friday lowest(11419.90) in next week.
Conclusions
(After Putting All Studies Together)
1- Long term trend is down.
2- Intermediate term trend is sideways between 11186-11585.
3- Short term trend is up.
Although higher levels good selling but lower levels some supports have also been developed in previous week therefore Nifty will firstly trade in next week between last 9 sessions trading range(11186-11585). As last Friday good intraday selling patterns formations therefore firstly Nifty will counter above mentioned supports(D & C)
As strongest indications of Wave-C formation to move below 7511.10 after 260 points fall on 31st Aug 2020 and weekly Stochastics is also indicating more down moves therefore expected that finally Nifty will move below the lowest(11186) of last 9 sessions trading range after fresh selling in next week.