Minimum 10% rally after more than
350 seats victory of NDA
on 23-05-2019
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Apr 15 to Apr 19,2019)
Nifty-EOD Chart Analyis from 29-02-2016
Nifty-EOD Chart (12-Apr-2019):-
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Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Impulsive Wave-1 beginning from 6825.80 on 29-02-2016 after 1 financial year(2015-16) correction completion.
2- Corrective Wave 2 beginning after Wave 1 completion at 8968.70 on 07-09-2016
3- Impulsive Wave 3 beginning after Corrective Wave-2 completion at 7893.80 on 26-12-2016
4- Corrective Wave 4 beginning after Wave 3 completion at 11760.20 on 28-08-2018
5- Impulsive Wave 5 beginning after Corrective Wave-4 completion at 10004.55 on 26-10-2018
6- Impulsive Wave-5 continuation with recent news top formation at 11761.00 on 03-04-2018
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Indian markets are most Bullish and 5th wave of that rally continuation which started from 6825.80 on 29-02-2016.
Although new life time high formations at 11761.00 on 03-04-2018 but since then Nifty has turned sideways between 11550-11761 for the last 11 sessions and valid break out of this range should be firstly watched in coming week/weeks for the next decisive big moves just before or after Election results on 23rd May 2019.
Nifty-Micro Analysis of 11 Sessions Intra Day
Chart(Mar 29 to Apr 12,2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Mar 29 to Apr 12,2019):-
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Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Technical Patterns formation in last 11 Sessions intraday charts
1- 11 Sessions sideways trading with lower levels supports and higher levels resistances
2- Supports between 11550-11603(Immediate Supports)
3- 1st Resistance between 11645-11682
4- 2nd Resistance between 11728-11761
5- 11 Sessions actual trading between 11550-11761
Conclusions from 11 Sessions intra day chart analysis
As last 11 Sessions sideways trading between 11550-11761 with lower levels supports and higher levels selling therefore firstly nifty will remain sideways and prepare for next decisive moves within this range in the beginning of next week.
Intra Day Chart Analysis(12-04-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (12-Apr-2019):-
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Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
2- Consolidation between 11579-11603(Immediate Supports)
3- Up moves with intraday corrections
4- Whole day actual trading between 11579-11657
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As whole day good intraday consolidation last Friday through Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel,lower levels consolidation and last hours upmoves with intraday corrections therefore finally rally continuation is expected above last Friday highest(11657) but follow up consolidation is also required because resistances between 11645-11682 are also lying near about last Friday highest.
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
Impulsive Wave-5 continuation and as such big selling patterns formations have not been developed till now on EOD and intraday charts which may result big correction. Only 2 sessions intraday selling resistances are lying above last Friday highest which will weaken after 1/2 sessions intraday follow up consolidation. Although some selling developed between 11728-11761 on new life time formations day but lower levels strong supports have also developed in last 11 sessions.
In fact Indian markets are waiting for clear signals from 2019 Parliamentary Elections but as per our views Nifty will witness strong rally above life time highest(11761) because we are expecting more than 350 seats victory for NDA and resultant minimum 10% rally will be seen after Election results declaration day(23-05-2019) but fresh rally will begin before this date also.