Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 06-03-2013

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5909

R2 5858

R1 5830

Avg 5779

S1 5751

S2 5700

S3 5672

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5882     Trgt 2 

H5 5863     Trgt 1

H4 5845     Long breakout 

H3 5823     Go Short 

H2 5816

H1 5809

L1 5794

L2 5787

L3 5780     Long 

L4 5758     Short Breakout 

L5 5740     Trgt 1 

L6 5721     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 06-03-2013

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 12118

R2 11988

R1 11914

Avg 11784

S1 11710

S2 11580

S3 11506

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12047     Trgt 2 

H5 11999     Trgt 1

H4 11952     Long breakout 

H3 11896     Go Short 

H2 11877

H1 11858

L1 11821

L2 11802

L3 11783     Long 

L4 11727     Short Breakout 

L5 11680     Trgt 1 

L6 11632     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(05-03-2013)

As extremely busy therefore Mid-session Outlooks could not be updated today

Only Up moves,Bounce back or Pull Back rally was told in almost all the previous Outlooks and Benchmark Indices are more than 1.3% up today. As multiple resistances between 5800-5895 therefore more consolidation is required for any decisive up moves above it. Today rally has not shown any selling formation yet therefore more up moves possibility is still alive

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(05-03-2013)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (04-Mar-2013):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Support between 5667-5685
2- Whole day actual trading between 5667-5708 

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As same view therefore being repeated which was told in following lines yesterday in Pre-Closing Outlook:-

"lower levels supports and consolidations patterns but up moves were without force and it is selling  signal therefore valid break out above 5704 should be firstly watched now for the  possibility of bounce back or Pull Back rally"

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 04-Mar-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 04-Mar-2013 3422.48 3452.58 -30.1

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 04-Mar-2013 958.88 1069.96 -111.08

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 04-Mar-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-03-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5768
R2 5740
R1 5719
Avg 5691
S1 5670
S2 5642
S3 5621

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5747     Trgt 2
H5 5736     Trgt 1
H4 5724     Long breakout
H3 5711     Go Short
H2 5706
H1 5702
L1 5693
L2 5689
L3 5684     Long
L4 5671     Short Breakout
L5 5659     Trgt 1
L6 5648     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-03-2013

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5781

R2 5753

R1 5734

Avg 5706

S1 5687

S2 5659

S3 5640

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5763     Trgt 2 

H5 5752     Trgt 1

H4 5741     Long breakout 

H3 5728     Go Short 

H2 5724

H1 5720

L1 5711

L2 5707

L3 5703     Long 

L4 5690     Short Breakout 

L5 5679     Trgt 1 

L6 5668     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-03-2013

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 11842

R2 11749

R1 11686

Avg 11593

S1 11530

S2 11437

S3 11374

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11780     Trgt 2 

H5 11744     Trgt 1

H4 11708     Long breakout 

H3 11665     Go Short 

H2 11651

H1 11637

L1 11608

L2 11594

L3 11580     Long 

L4 11537     Short Breakout 

L5 11501     Trgt 1 

L6 11465     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(04-03-2013)

Trading near higher levels(5704) of today after lower levels supports and consolidations patterns but up moves were without force and it is selling  signal therefore valid break out above 5704 should be firstly watched now for the  possibility of bounce back or Pull Back rally.

Mid-session Outlook-2(04-03-2013)

Although lower levels supports and consolidations patterns formation but signals of selling patterns also at higher levels today.  Valid break out of today trading range(5668-5704) should be firstly watched for next immediate moves confirmations.

Mid-session Outlook(04-03-2013)

Negative zone trading since opening between 5668-5704 with lower levels supports and consolidation patterns formations therefore emergence of some up moves possibilities. As lot of consolidation is required for decisive up moves and Indian markets are in the grip of as well therefore valid break out of mentioned today trading range should be firstly watched for next immediate moves confirmations.

Long Term Trend Decider 5548

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook

(Mar 04 to Mar 08,2013)

Nifty-EOD Chart (01-Mar-2013):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- 4770.35 on 04-06-2012(Corrective Wave-2 completion and impulsive Wave-3 beginning)
2- Sub Wave-1(5348.55 on 10-07-2012)
3- Sub Wave-2(5032.40 on 26-07-2012)
4- Sub Wave-3(5815.35 on 05-10-2012)
5- Sub Wave-4(5548.35 on 20-11-2012)
6- Sub Wave-5(6111.80 on 29-01-2013)
7- 'ABC' correction after Sub Wave-5 completion.-
8- Wave-A(5853.90 on 15-02-2013)
9- Wave-B(5971.00 on 20-02-2013)
10- Wave-C continuation(5671.90 on 28-02-2013)
11- Correction after Bearish Head and Shoulders pattern formations in 61 sessions with Neckline at 5823
11- Strong Support at 5548.35. 
12- 200 Day EMA-5650.

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Most Bearish Head and Shoulders pattern formations in 61 sessions and its neckline broken down confirmation through sustaining below 5823 in previous week. As Correction after Sub Wave-5 completion at 6111.80 therefore whole up moves will be corrected which started from 4770.35 on 04-06-2012 and firstly complete retracement of Sub Wave-5 which begun from 5548.35 can not be ruled. Although Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA is at 5650 but possibility of slipping below also. As strong support at 5548.35 therefore finally sustaining it beyond will decide Long Term Trend in the coming week.  

Following Fibonacci Retracement Levels should be watched for completion of on going correction:-

13.0%- 5936 (Corrected)
23.6%- 5794 (Corrected)
27.0%- 5748 (Corrected)
38.2%- 5598 (Most crucial Levels)
50.0%- 5440 (Most crucial Levels)
61.8%- 5282 (Most crucial Levels)
70.7%- 5162
76.4%- 5086
78.6%- 5056
88.6%- 4922

Short Term Indicators are oversold therefore Pull Back Rally may be seen any day after some intraday or 1/2 days consolidations but complete consolidations are required for decisive up moves and crossing multiple resistances at higher levels.

Pre-open Outlook(04-03-2013)

Following conclusive line was told in Pre-Closing Outlook on 01-03-2013:-

"As intraday selling also at higher levels today therefore more down moves possibility is still alive"

As Nifty traded narrow between 5692-5739 last Friday with higher levels selling therefore more down moves possibility toward 5548 today,

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 01-Mar-2013

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 01-Mar-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 01-Mar-2013 3876.99 3250.1 626.89

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 01-Mar-2013 1251.36 1297.21 -45.85

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(01-Mar-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.86

Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.85

Nifty P/E Ratio(01-Mar-2013): 17.26

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,287

BSE Declines : 1,568 

NSE Advances :   664

NSE Declines :   863

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5600  CE(Mar)- 201,200(33.39%) 

Nifty- 5600  PE(Mar)- 875,250(22.49%)

Nifty- 5700  CE(Mar)- 991,950(63.64%) 

Nifty- 5700  PE(Mar)- 561,000(9.11%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Mar)- 111,750(3.02%)

Nifty- 5800  PE(Mar)- -451,550(-8.85%)

Nifty- 5900  CE(Mar)- 698,950(15.54%)

Nifty- 5900  PE(Mar)- 68,850(2.45%)

Nifty- 6000  CE(Mar)- 505,900(9.45%)

Nifty- 6000  PE(Mar)- -135,750(-6.45%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 18,918.52(56.98 Points & 0.30%)

Nifty- closed at 5,719.70(26.65 Points & 0.47%)

CNX Midcap - closed at 7,622.40( 82.05Points & 1.09%)

CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,268.35(0.70 Points & 0.02%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-03-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

3 5805

R2 5772

R1 5745

Avg 5712

S1 5685

S2 5652

S3 5625

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5779     Trgt 2 

H5 5765     Trgt 1

H4 5752     Long breakout 

H3 5735     Go Short 

H2 5730

H1 5724

L1 5713

L2 5708

L3 5702     Long 

L4 5686     Short Breakout 

L5 5672     Trgt 1 

L6 5658     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-03-2013

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5810
R2 5783
R1 5756
Avg 5729
S1 5702
S2 5675
S3 5648

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5783     Trgt 2
H5 5770     Trgt 1
H4 5758     Long breakout
H3 5743     Go Short
H2 5738
H1 5733
L1 5724
L2 5719
L3 5714     Long
L4 5699     Short Breakout
L5 5687     Trgt 1
L6 5674     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-03-2013

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 11779

R2 11712

R1 11645

Avg 11578

S1 11511

S2 11444

S3 11377

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6  11712    Trgt 2 

H5  11682    Trgt 1

H4  11651    Long breakout 

H3  11614    Go Short 

H2  11602

H1  11590

L1  11565

L2  11553

L3  11541    Long 

L4  11504    Short Breakout 

L5  11473    Trgt 1 

L6  11443    Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Mar 04 to Mar 08,2013)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 6046
R2 596
R1 5840
Avg 5756
S1 5634
S2 5550
S3 5428

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5926     Trgt 2
H5 5879     Trgt 1
H4 5832     Long breakout
H3 5775     Go Short
H2 5756
H1 5737
L1 5700
L2 5681
L3 5662     Long
L4 5605     Short Breakout
L5 5558     Trgt 1
L6 5511     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Mar 04 to Mar 08,2013)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 12722
R2 12430
R1 11985
Avg 11693
S1 11248
S2 10956
S3 10511

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 12285     Trgt 2
H5 12115     Trgt 1
H4 11945     Long breakout
H3 11742     Go Short
H2 11675
H1 11607
L1 11472
L2 11404
L3 11337     Long
L4 11134     Short Breakout
L5 10964     Trgt 1
L6 10794     Trgt 2