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NIFTY-Dec Put Option-1st Buying of 05-12-2012-Trade

NIFTY-Dec Put Option(5900)-Buy-Positional-SL-54-TGT-94-CMP-70

Pre-Closing Outlook(05-12-2012)

Although sentiment was completely Bullish today morning but condition of sustaining above 5900 and possibility of hovering around 5900 was updated in all the intraday Outlooks today and Nifty is trading near 5900 at 5698.95 at this moment.

Narrow range(5895-5916) trading in Bullish sentiment with intraday selling patterns at higher levels and breaking down of today lowest(5895) will mean sharp down moves despite Congress victory on FDI issue in Parliament today.

Mid-session Outlook(05-12-2012)

As today gap up opening was strong Global cues led therefore condition of sustaining above 5900 was told in both previous Outlooks because intraday selling was seen at higher levels in previous 2 sessions and fresh consolidation was required for sustaining above last 2 sessions selling ranges. Although Indian markets slipped from intraday higher levels after minor profit booking but it may be a part of consolidation also because Bullish markets consolidate at higher levels.

Global news based up moves today,Nifty is hovering around 5900 for the last 2 hours and finally sustaining it beyond should be firstly watched for next moves confirmation.

Post-open Outlook-2(05-12-2012)

As higher levels selling in last 2 sessions therefore Nifty could not sustain above 5900 despite strong Global cues and it may be for consolidation also. Expected that Nifty will firstly hover around 5900 and finally sustaining beyond 5900 will be next trend confirmation. Sustaining above 5900 will mean strong more than 7% rally also. 

Post-open Outlook(05-12-2012)

All the Asian markets are in Green with Hangsang and SSEC(China) are more than 1.25% up therefore strong and gap up  opening above 5900 today. Let Nifty sustain above 5900 then more than 7% rally will be seen.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(05-12-2012)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Nov 30 to Dec 04,2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 3 Sessions intraday charts

1- More than 16 hours trading in 3 sessions between 5855-5898.
2- support between 5829-5848.
3- support between 5860-5871.
4- Selling between 5878-5898.
5- Last 1 hour up moves with Bearish Rising wedge formation and news based on 04-12-2012 because up moves after beginning of Parliament at 02:00 PM.

Conclusions from 3 Sessions intra day chart analysis

Higher levels selling in last 3 sessions therefore consolidation was must for any up moves above 5900 and it was seen at lower levels also. Although closing near higher levels yesterday but sufficient selling at higher levels in last 3 sessions therefore more consolidation is required for sustaining above 5900.

44 Sessions sideways trading range( 5549-5815) broken out on 29-11-2012 and last 4 sessions closing above 5815 also but selling also seen at higher levels in last 2 sessions. Although good consolidation also seen at lower levels in last 3 sessions but 44 Sessions range break out final confirmation will be after sustaining above 5900 because higher levels selling in last 3 sessions with Bearish Rising wedge formation also yesterday.

Indian markets may be volatile according to news flow from Parliament therefore valid break out of 5815-5900 should be watched for next decisive trend confirmation.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 04-Dec-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 04-Dec-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII04-Dec-20122371.341831.39539.95

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII04-Dec-20121062.211496.31-434.1 

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(04-Dec-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green with nominal gains.
2- All Indices closed in Green except CNX AUTO,CNX IT and CNX MNC.
3- White Candle formation.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.81
Nifty P/E Ratio(04-Dec-2012): 18.34

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,599
BSE Declines : 1,344
NSE Advances : 1,006
NSE Declines :   801

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5700 CE(Dec)- -23,900(-1.07%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Dec)-  221,500(3.84%)

Nifty- 5800 CE(Dec)- -175,950(-4.94%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Dec)-  137,850(2.42%)

Nifty- 5900 CE(Dec)-  276,700(6.30%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Dec)-  464,200(14.85%)

Nifty- 6000 CE(Dec)-  834,800(11.29%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Dec)-   82,750(4.42%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,348.12(42.80 Points & 0.22%)
Nifty- closed at  5,889.25(18.30 Points & 0.31%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,290.95(62.30 Points & .76%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,678.75(0.95 Points & 0.03%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-12-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5937
R2 5915
R1 5902
Avg 5880
S1 5867
S2 5845
S3 5832

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5924     Trgt 2 
H5 5916     Trgt 1
H4 5908     Long breakout 
H3 5898     Go Short 
H2 5895
H1 5892
L1 5885
L2 5882
L3 5879     Long 
L4 5869     Short Breakout 
L5 5861     Trgt 1 
L6 5853     Trgt 2

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-12-2012

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 5972
R2 5950
R1 5936
Avg 5914
S1 5900
S2 5878
S3 5864

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5959     Trgt 2 
H5 5951     Trgt 1
H4 5942     Long breakout 
H3 5932     Go Short 
H2 5929
H1 5926
L1 5919
L2 5916
L3 5913     Long 
L4 5903     Short Breakout 
L5 5895     Trgt 1 
L6 5886     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-12-2012

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 12504
R2 12397
R1 12333
Avg 12226
S1 12162
S2 12055
S3 11991

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12442     Trgt 2 
H5 12402     Trgt 1
H4 12363     Long breakout 
H3 12316     Go Short 
H2 12300
H1 12284
L1 12253
L2 12237
L3 12221     Long 
L4 12174     Short Breakout 
L5 12135     Trgt 1 
L6 12095     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(04-12-2012)

More than 14 hours trading in 3 sessions between 5852-5898 with:-

1- support between 5829-5848 on 30-11-2012. 
2- support between 5860-5871 today.
1- Selling between 5890-5898 yesterday.
2- Selling between 5884-5876 today. 

44 Sessions sideways trading range( 5549-5815) broken out on 28-11-2012 but follow up consolidation is must for sustaining above 5815. As higher levels selling therefore consolidation is must for any up moves above 5900 and its signals also seen at lower levels today. As down moves seen after above mentioned higher levels selling therefore:-

1- Today intraday lowest(5860) should be firstly watched for correction continuation/completion confirmation.
2- Above mentioned support(5829) should be finally watched for correction continuation/completion confirmation.

Indian markets may be volatile according to news flow from Parliament therefore valid break out of 5815-5900 should be watched for next decisive trend confirmation.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(04-12-2012)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (01-Dec-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5890-5898
2- Mixed Patterns between 5856-5862
3- Whole day actual trading between 5856-5898

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

All trends are up and 44 Sessions sideways trading range( 5549-5815) broken out in previous week after 350 points forceful rally in 10 sessions. As such blasting rally in previous weeks therefore minimum very short term correction was due and it signals were seen through quiet sideways market yesterday.

Firstly selling between 5890-5898 and after that sideways trading with mixed intraday patterns between 5856-5882 seen yesterday. Follow up confirm buying/selling today between 5856-5882 will start following next moves:-

1- Rally continuation without any deep correction above 5882 or
2- Correction of previous week rally below 5856 and then sustaining beyond 5815 will also decide the fate of 44 sessions sideways market between 5549-5815.

Sustaining beyond following ranges should be firstly watched today for next sustained moves:-

1- For 1st signal: 5856-5882
2- For confirmation: 5815-5900

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 03-Dec-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII03-Dec-20121955.341652.67302.67

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII03-Dec-20121087.321423.26-335.94

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(03-Dec-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Red.
2- Broad based Indices closed in Green.
3- Doji Candle formation.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.97
Nifty P/E Ratio(03-Dec-2012): 18.32

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,645
BSE Declines : 1,273  
NSE Advances : 1,117
NSE Declines :   683 

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5700 CE(Dec)- -128,050(-5.43%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Dec)-  364,550(6.74%)

Nifty- 5800 CE(Dec)- -250(-0.01%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Dec)-  726,400(14.61%)

Nifty- 5900 CE(Dec)- 255,550(6.18%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Dec)- 352,050(12.69%)

Nifty- 6000 CE(Dec)- 829,100(12.63%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Dec)- 22,550(1.22%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,305.32(-34.58 Points & -0.18%)
Nifty- closed at  5,870.95(-8.90 Points & -0.15%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,228.65(88.85 Points & 1.09%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,677.80(39.20 Points & 1.08%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-12-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5939
R2 5919
R1 5894
Avg 5874
S1 5849
S2 5829
S3 5804

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5915     Trgt 2
H5 5904     Trgt 1
H4 5894     Long breakout
H3 5882     Go Short
H2 5878
H1 5874
L1 5865
L2 5861
L3 5857     Long
L4 5845     Short Breakout
L5 5835     Trgt 1
L6 5824     Trgt 2

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-12-2012

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 5978
R2 5955
R1 5933
Avg 5910
S1 5888
S2 5865
S3 5843

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6  5956    Trgt 2 
H5  5945    Trgt 1
H4  5935    Long breakout 
H3  5923    Go Short 
H2  5919
H1  5915
L1  5906
L2  5902
L3  5898    Long 
L4  5886    Short Breakout 
L5  5876    Trgt 1 
L6  5865    Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-12-2012

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 12746
R2 12483
R1 12331
Avg 12068
S1 11916
S2 11653
S3 11501

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12607     Trgt 2 
H5 12507     Trgt 1
H4 12407     Long breakout 
H3 12293     Go Short 
H2 12255
H1 12217
L1 12140
L2 12102
L3 12064     Long 
L4 11950     Short Breakout 
L5 11850     Trgt 1 
L6 11750     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(03-12-2012)

Detailed analysis has already been updated in 3 previous Outlooks and only following change in 1st signal range:- 

1- For 1st signal: 5856-5882

Mid-session Outlook(03-12-2012)

Quiet sideways market today after previous week blasting rally,firstly profit booking and after that sideways trading between 5861-5882. All trends are up after previous week strong rally but very short term indicators are overbought therefore small correction is due and being seen today.

Follow up confirm buying/selling today and tomorrow will give confirmation to:-

1- Rally continuation without any deep correction or
2- Correction of previous week rally and then sustaining beyond 5815 will also decide the fate of 44 sessions sideways market between 5549-5815.

Sustaining beyond following ranges should be firstly watched:-

1- For 1st signal: 5861-5882
2- For confirmation: 5827-5900