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Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 21-11-2012

Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels

R3 5675
R2 5645
R1 5614
Avg 5584
S1 5553
S2 5523
S3 5492

Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5644     Trgt 2
H5 5630     Trgt 1
H4 5616     Long breakout
H3 5599     Go Short
H2 5594
H1 5588
L1 5577
L2 5571
L3 5566     Long
L4 5549     Short Breakout
L5 5535     Trgt 1
L6 5521     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook-2(20-11-2012)

Following line was told in Pre-Closing Outlook today:-

firstly sustaining beyond yesterday support range(5550-5566) should be watched for next trend confirmation.

Nifty slipped below 5550 but did not sustained and got support just below it at 5,548.35. Yesterday most time trading and consolidation between 5550-5566 and today again support within this range with consolidation patterns indications therefore firstly sustaining it beyond should be watched tomorrow for next trend confirmations.

Pre-Closing Outlook(20-11-2012)

Slipping from intraday higher levels after some profit booking but minor indications of consolidation patterns also today. As mixed intraday patterns today and Short term trend is down also therefore firstly sustaining beyond yesterday support range(5550-5566) should be watched for next trend confirmation.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(20-11-2012)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (19-Nov-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Most time trading between 5550-5576
2- Consolidation between 5550-5566
3- Whole day actual trading between 5550-5592

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As lower levels consolidation patterns seen between 5550-5566 therefore following lines were told yesterday:-

1- In Mid-session Outlook:- "emergence of consolidation paterns formations and expectation of small up moves from here"
2- In Pre-Closing Outlook:- "Although Nifty traded most time in negative zone and now trading also near today lower levels but with intraday consolidation patterns formations therefore up moves expectations are alive"
3- In Post-open Outlook:- "if sustains below 5583 then steep fall will be expected"

As intraday consolidation yesterday and therefore positive opening is expected but multiple resistances at higher levels therefore complete consolidation and minimum sustaining above 5583 is must for the beginning of any decisive up move. Good consolidation seen above 5550 yesterday therefore until Nifty will not sustain below 5550 till then next down move will not be considered but view should remain cautious because political uncertainty can not be ruled out after No-Confidence motion decision by Mamta Banerjee.

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 19-Nov-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII19-Nov-20121738.251739.77-1.52

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII19-Nov-2012766.471269.07-502.6

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-11-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5635
R2 5613
R1 5592
Avg 5570
S1 5549
S2 5527
S3 5506

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5614     Trgt 2
H5 5604     Trgt 1
H4 5594     Long breakout
H3 5582     Go Short
H2 5578
H1 5574
L1 5567
L2 5563
L3 5559     Long
L4 5547     Short Breakout
L5 5537     Trgt 1
L6 5527     Trgt 2

Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-11-2012

Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels

R3 5649
R2 5626
R1 5607
Avg 5584
S1 5565
S2 5542
S3 5523

Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5631     Trgt 2
H5 5621     Trgt 1
H4 5612     Long breakout
H3 5600     Go Short
H2 5596
H1 5592
L1 5585
L2 5581
L3 5577     Long
L4 5565     Short Breakout
L5 5556     Trgt 1
L6 5546     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-11-2012

Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels

R3 11521
R2 11460
R1 11410
Avg 11349
S1 11299
S2 11238
S3 11188

Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11472     Trgt 2 
H5 11447     Trgt 1
H4 11422     Long breakout 
H3 11391     Go Short 
H2 11381
H1 11371
L1 11350
L2 11340
L3 11330     Long 
L4 11299     Short Breakout 
L5 11274     Trgt 1 
L6 11249     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(19-11-2012)

Today trading between 5550-5590 formations and this range final break out will give confirmation to the validity of last Friday breaking down of 5583.

Although Nifty traded most time in negative zone and now trading also near today lower levels but with intraday consolidation patterns formations therefore up moves expectations are alive.

As more than 5 hours trading within above mentioned range therefore this range break out will give following confirmations:-

1- Above 5590 will mean false break down last Friday and again trading between last 36 sessions trading range.
2- Below 5550 will be confirmation of deep down moves.

Mid-session Outlook(19-11-2012)

Although negative zone trading for the last 3 hours but emergence of consolidation paterns formations and expectation of small up moves from here.

Post-open Outlook(19-11-2012)

Although most Asian markets in Green and some are more than 1% up also but Indian markets under performing and slipped into Red after Positive opening. Nifty tested next trend decider 5583 but could not sustained above and trading below it now,if sustains below 5583 then steep fall will be expected.

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook(Nov 19 to Nov 23,2012)

Nifty-EOD Chart (16-Nov-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- 4770.35 on 04-06-2012(Wave-2 completion and Wave-3 beginning)
2- 5815.35 on 05-10-2012(Wave-3 completion and corrective Wave-3 beginning)
3- Correction in Falling Channel formation.
4- Lower Falling Trend Line testing last Friday.
5- 36 Sessions trading range(5583-5815) broken down last Friday.

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Nifty traded sideways between 5583-5815 with following selling ranges and these ranges are next resistances also:-

1- Selling between 5700-5720/5733/5777/5815.
2- Selling between5672-5705.
3- Selling between 5620-5650.

As good selling at higher levels therefore 36 sessions lowest(5583) broken down last Friday but after following negative news flow:-

1- Indian Rupee weakening.
2- Sudden fall in US Futures and European markets.

Although good selling at higher levels but last Friday fall was negative news generated therefore 36 Sessions trading range(5583-5815) broken down confirmation is required through:-

1- 3 Days sustaining below 5583
2- Minimum 3% down moves from the lowest((5583) of the previous trading range.

Minimum 10% deeper correction will be seen after breaking down but confirmation is must and market require complete consolidations for next up moves. Until Nifty will not cross above mentioned multiple resistances till then any up trend will not be considered. 

Up moves will be slow while down moves will be fast in the coming week.

Pre-open Outlook(19-11-2012)

Intraday indicators are oversold after last Friday steep fall and Asian markets are also positive today morning therefore sentiment is good and Positive opening will be seen and finally sustaining beyond 5583 should be watched today for next big down moves or any decisive move confirmation.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(16-Nov-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed in Red except CNX IT.
2- 36 Sessions trading range broken down.
3- Long Blck Candle formation.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.97
Nifty P/E Ratio(16-Nov-2012): 17.50

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,073
BSE Declines : 1,779   
NSE Advances :   608 
NSE Declines : 1,143  

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5400 CE(Nov)- 9,000(0.59%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Nov)- 457,700(7.74%)

Nifty- 5500 CE(Nov)- 1,305,050(162.46%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Nov)- 507,900(7.85%)

Nifty- 5600 CE(Nov)- 867,900(23.77%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Nov)- -900,050(-11.59%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Nov)- 1,267,600(18.57%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Nov)- -582,750(-12.32%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 18309.37(-162.00 Points & -0.88%)
Nifty- closed at 5,574.05(-56.95 Points & -1.01%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,855.45(-84.35 Points & -1.06%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,518.45(-42.30 Points & -1.19%)

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 16-Nov-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 16-Nov-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII16-Nov-20122992.052482.34509.71

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII16-Nov-2012919.181293.9-374.72

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-11-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5720
R2 5685
R1 5629
PIVOT 5594
S1 5538
S2 5503
S3 5447

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5665     Trgt 2 
H5 5644     Trgt 1
H4 5624     Long breakout 
H3 5599     Go Short 
H2 5590
H1 5582
L1 5565
L2 5557
L3 5548     Long 
L4 5523     Short Breakout 
L5 5503     Trgt 1 
L6 5482     Trgt 2

Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-11-2012

Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels

R3 5736
R2 5700
R1 5640
PIVOT 5604
S1 5544
S2 5508
S3 5448

Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6  5676    Trgt 2 
H5  5654    Trgt 1
H4  5632    Long breakout 
H3  5606    Go Short 
H2  5597
H1  5588
L1  5571
L2  5562
L3  5553    Long 
L4  5527    Short Breakout 
L5  5505    Trgt 1 
L6  5483    Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-11-2012

Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels

R3 11774
R2 11677
R1 11518
PIVOT 11421
S1 11262
S2 11165
S3 11006

Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11616     Trgt 2 
H5 11558     Trgt 1
H4 11500     Long breakout 
H3 11430     Go Short 
H2 11406
H1 11383
L1 11336
L2 11313
L3 11289     Long 
L4 11219     Short Breakout 
L5 11161     Trgt 1 
L6 11103     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Nov 19 to Nov 23,2012)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5835
R2 5777
R1 5675
PIVOT 5617
S1 5515
S2 5457
S3 5355

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5734     Trgt 2 
H5 5698     Trgt 1
H4 5662     Long breakout 
H3 5618     Go Short 
H2 5603
H1 5588
L1 5559
L2 5544
L3 5530     Long 
L4 5486     Short Breakout 
L5 5449     Trgt 1 
L6 5413     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Nov 19 to Nov 23,2012)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 11830
R2 11719
R1 11527
PIVOT 11416
S1 11224
S2 11113
S3 10921

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 11638     Trgt 2 
H5 11570     Trgt 1
H4 11501     Long breakout 
H3 11418     Go Short 
H2 11390
H1 11362
L1 11307
L2 11279
L3 11251     Long 
L4 11168     Short Breakout 
L5 11099     Trgt 1 
L6 11031     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(16-11-2012)

As almost first 2 hours selling between 5636-5646 today therefore follow up consolidation and sustaining above 5646 was must and it was updated Mid-session Outlook-2 today.

As Indian Rupee weakened and now trading above 55.11 against $ as well as all European markets also forcefully down after sharp 60 points fall of Dow's Futures therefore sentiment depressed and Indian markets 36 sessions trading range(5583-5815) broken down

Finally sustaining below 5583 will mean deeper correction in next week.