Last more than 2 hours trading above 5625 with consolidation patterns and after that trading above 5639 today. Let Nifty sustains above 5639 then that will be confirmation of false break down on 30-10-20
ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
Mid-session Outlook(01-11-2012)
10 Hours trading between 5583-5624 in last 2 sessions and today also first 2 hours trading within this range between 5601-5621.
More than 12 hours continuous trading between 5583-5624 in 3 sessions and sustaining beyond this range will give following conclusions:-
1- Sustaining below 5583 will validate 24 sessions breaking down below 5639 on 30-10-2012 and then far deeper correction will be seen.
2- Firstly sustaining above 5624 and after that sustaining above 5639 will mean false breaking down below 5639 on 30-10-2012 and reentering into previous 24 sessions range(5639-5733)
As sufficient selling formations between 5583-5624 in last 2 sessions therefore high possibility of sustaining below 5583 but above mentioned moves technical confirmation is must through sustaining beyond 5583-5624.
More than 12 hours continuous trading between 5583-5624 in 3 sessions and sustaining beyond this range will give following conclusions:-
1- Sustaining below 5583 will validate 24 sessions breaking down below 5639 on 30-10-2012 and then far deeper correction will be seen.
2- Firstly sustaining above 5624 and after that sustaining above 5639 will mean false breaking down below 5639 on 30-10-2012 and reentering into previous 24 sessions range(5639-5733)
As sufficient selling formations between 5583-5624 in last 2 sessions therefore high possibility of sustaining below 5583 but above mentioned moves technical confirmation is must through sustaining beyond 5583-5624.
Correction continuation
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (30-Oct-2012):-
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (31-Oct-2012):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in above 2 intraday charts
1- Last more than 4 hours trading between 5590-5615 with higher levels intraday selling patterns on 30-10-2012.
2- Whole day trading between 5583-5624 on 31-10-2012.
3- Last 2 hours trading with Bearish Rising Wedge formation on 31-10-2012.
4- Whole day intraday selling patterns formation on 31-10-2012 despite closing near day's high.
4- More than 10 hours trading between 5583-5624 in last 2 sessions with intraday selling patterns formations.
Although Indian markets closed near the highs of the day with Green closing today but sufficient selling formations between 5583-5624 in last 2 sessions therefore high possibility of sustaining below the lowest(5583) of above mentioned 10 hours trading range.
Expected that finally NIfty will sustain below 5583 and on going correction will remain continued in the coming sessions.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Last more than 4 hours trading between 5590-5615 with higher levels intraday selling patterns on 30-10-2012.
2- Whole day trading between 5583-5624 on 31-10-2012.
3- Last 2 hours trading with Bearish Rising Wedge formation on 31-10-2012.
4- Whole day intraday selling patterns formation on 31-10-2012 despite closing near day's high.
4- More than 10 hours trading between 5583-5624 in last 2 sessions with intraday selling patterns formations.
Conclusions from intra day charts analysis
Although Indian markets closed near the highs of the day with Green closing today but sufficient selling formations between 5583-5624 in last 2 sessions therefore high possibility of sustaining below the lowest(5583) of above mentioned 10 hours trading range.
Expected that finally NIfty will sustain below 5583 and on going correction will remain continued in the coming sessions.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 31-Oct-2012
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(31-Oct-2012)
1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green.
2- Closing near higher levels of the day after slow up moves.
3- White Candle formation.
Ratios
Nifty P/E Ratio(31-Oct-2012): 17.61
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1,473
BSE Declines : 1,328
NSE Advances : 791
NSE Declines : 635
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5400 CE(Nov)- 33,000(1.97%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Nov)- 452,150(10.39%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Nov)- 94,700(11.13%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Nov)- 393,600(8.91%)
Nifty- 5600 CE(Nov)- 498,300(21.15%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Nov)- 539,650(11.01%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(Nov)- 809,200(16.91%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Nov)- 100,250(2.76%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 18505.38(74.53 Points & 0.40%)
Nifty- closed at 5,619.70(21.80 Points & 0.39%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,763.05(80.70 Points & 1.05%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,410.25(27.70 Points & 0.82%)
Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 01-112012
R3 5698
R2 5674
R1 5660
Avg 5636
S1 5622
S2 5598
S3 5584
Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5684 Trgt 2
H5 5675 Trgt 1
H4 5666 Long breakout
H3 5656 Go Short
H2 5652
H1 5649
L1 5642
L2 5639
L3 5635 Long
L4 5625 Short Breakout
L5 5616 Trgt 1
L6 5607 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 01-112012
R3 11564
R2 11464
R1 11401
Avg 11301
S1 11238
S2 11138
S3 11075
Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11502 Trgt 2
H5 11465 Trgt 1
H4 11427 Long breakout
H3 11382 Go Short
H2 11367
H1 11352
L1 11323
L2 11308
L3 11293 Long
L4 11248 Short Breakout
L5 11210 Trgt 1
L6 11173 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 01-112012
R3 5675
R2 5649
R1 5634
Avg 5608
S1 5593
S2 5567
S3 5552
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5660 Trgt 2
H5 5650 Trgt 1
H4 5641 Long breakout
H3 5630 Go Short
H2 5626
H1 5622
L1 5615
L2 5611
L3 5607 Long
L4 5596 Short Breakout
L5 5587 Trgt 1
L6 5577 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(31-10-2012)
As Dow'Futures is more than 60 points up and European markets are trading positive therefore sentiment improved and recovery seen from lower levels today and Nifty is trading above 5615. Nifty traded last more than 10 hours between 5583-5624 with intraday selling formation at higher levels within this range and until Nifty will not sustain above this range till then deeper correction will be expected below 5583.
Mid-session Outlook-2 (31-10-2012)
Last more than 4 hours trading between 5590-5615 with higher levels intraday selling patterns yesterday and today again almost same range first 4 hours trading between 5583--5610. More than 8 hours trading between 5583-5615 in 2 sessions and this range final break out will give following conclusions:-
1- Below 5583 will be validation of 24 sessions trading range breaking down. As selling formations seen within this range yesterday therefore its possibility is very much alive.
2- Above 5615 will mean reentering possibility into 24 sessions trading range after false break down on 30-10-2012.
1- Below 5583 will be validation of 24 sessions trading range breaking down. As selling formations seen within this range yesterday therefore its possibility is very much alive.
2- Above 5615 will mean reentering possibility into 24 sessions trading range after false break down on 30-10-2012.
Mid-session Outlook(31-10-2012)
Firstly forceful breaking down of last 24 sessions range and after that last more than 4 hours trading between 5590-5615 yesterday with intraday selling patterns at higher levels within this range. Today first 2 hours trading between 5,586-5,610 and until Nifty will not sustain above 5615 till then next up move will not be considered because intraday selling patterns just below it yesterday.
Emergence of Bearish pattern of Head and Shoulders in last 24 sessions and its Neckline broken down at 5634 yesterday but broken down confirmation is left. As selling just below 5615 yesterday therefore expected that more down moves will be seen below today lows(5586) also.
Emergence of Bearish pattern of Head and Shoulders in last 24 sessions and its Neckline broken down at 5634 yesterday but broken down confirmation is left. As selling just below 5615 yesterday therefore expected that more down moves will be seen below today lows(5586) also.
Big Correction below Head & Shoulder's Neckline
Technical Analysis and Research For 31-10-2012
Nifty-EOD Chart (30-Oct-2012):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Wave-2 completion and Wave-3 beginning (4770.35 on 04-06-2012)
2- Sub Wave-1 of Wave-3(5348.55 ON 10-07-2012)
3- Sub Wave-2 of Wave-3(5032.40 on 26-07-2012)
4- Sub Wave-3 of Wave-3(5448.40 on 23-08-2012)
5- Sub Wave-4 of Wave-3(5215.70 on 05-09-2012)
6- Sub Wave-5 of Wave-3 completion at 5815.35 on 05-10-2012.
7- Sub Wave-5 of Wave-3 gained 600 Nifty points.
8- Wave-3 gained 1045 Nifty points.
7- 16 Sessions sideways correction between 5639-5733.
8- 24 Sessions most time trading between 5639-5733 with Bearish Head & Shoulders formation and its Neckline forcefully broken down on 30-10-2012.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
16 Sessions sideways correction between 5639-5733 but strong indication of deeper correction after Bearish Head & Shoulders formation in last 24 sessions as well as its neckline broken down on 30-10-2012 after RBI Credit Policy announcement. Although forceful break down and closing also well below neckline but firstly break down validity confirmation is required through following 2 filters:-
1- 3 Days sustaining below Neckline and/or
2- Slipping 3% below Neckline.
Breaking down confirmation will mean possibility of following 2 corrective moves:-
1- Firstly correction of 600 Nifty points up moves of Sub Wave-5 of Wave-3 from 05-09-2012 to 05-10-2012
2 As correction of Wave-3 started after completion of Sub Wave-5 therefore Indian markets are technically mature for 'ABC' correction of whole 1045 Nifty points up moves of Wave-3 from 04-06-2012 to 05-10-2012
Firstly understand the validity of correction and get confirmation through above mentioned 2 filters and then prepare yourself for above 2 corrective deeper down moves.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 30-Oct-2012
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(30-Oct-2012)
1- All the Indices closed in Red except CNX IT and CNX MEDIA.
2- Sharp fall after RBI Credit policy.
3- Long Black Candle formation.
Ratios
Nifty P/E Ratio(30-Oct-2012): 17.56
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 969
BSE Declines : 1,838
NSE Advances : 506
NSE Declines : 1,219
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5400 CE(Nov)- -6,600(-0.39%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Nov)- 323,200(8.02%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Nov)- 64,700(8.23%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Nov)- 943,400(27.16%)
Nifty- 5600 CE(Nov)- 1,151,100(95.55%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Nov)- 404,450(8.99%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(Nov)- 1,394,700(41.15%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Nov)- -414,650(-10.24%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 18430.85(-204.97 Points & -1.10%)
Nifty- closed at 5,597.90(-67.70 Points & -1.19%)
CNX Midcap - 7,682.35closed at (-84.20 Points & -1.08%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,382.55(-46.05 Points & -1.34%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 31-10-2012
R3 5761
R2 5725
R1 5661
Avg 5625
S1 5561
S2 5525
S3 5461
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5697 Trgt 2
H5 5674 Trgt 1
H4 5652 Long breakout
H3 5624 Go Short
H2 5615
H1 5606
L1 5587
L2 5578
L3 5569 Long
L4 5542 Short Breakout
L5 5519 Trgt 1
L6 5496 Trgt 2
Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 31-10-2012
Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels
R3 5800
R2 5762
R1 5695
Avg 5657
S1 5590
S2 5552
S3 5485
Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5733 Trgt 2
H5 5709 Trgt 1
H4 5685 Long breakout
H3 5656 Go Short
H2 5647
H1 5637
L1 5618
L2 5608
L3 5599 Long
L4 5570 Short Breakout
L5 5546 Trgt 1
L6 5522 Trgt 2
R3 5800
R2 5762
R1 5695
Avg 5657
S1 5590
S2 5552
S3 5485
Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5733 Trgt 2
H5 5709 Trgt 1
H4 5685 Long breakout
H3 5656 Go Short
H2 5647
H1 5637
L1 5618
L2 5608
L3 5599 Long
L4 5570 Short Breakout
L5 5546 Trgt 1
L6 5522 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 31-10-2012
R3 11993
R2 11839
R1 11559
Avg 11405
S1 11125
S2 10971
S3 10691
Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11714 Trgt 2
H5 11615 Trgt 1
H4 11517 Long breakout
H3 11398 Go Short
H2 11358
H1 11318
L1 11239
L2 11199
L3 11159 Long
L4 11040 Short Breakout
L5 10942 Trgt 1
L6 10843 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(30-10-2012)
24 Sessions trading range(5639-5733) forcefully breaking down as well as deeper correction strong indication after RBI Credit Policy announcement today. As Head and Shoulders like strong Bearish formation confirmation after its neckline breaking down therefore more down moves can not be ruled out in the coming sessions.
Mid-session Outlook-2(30-10-2012)
Finance Minister P. Chidambaram clearly showed his surprise and disappointment on today RBI Credit Policy announcement and it seems that there is lack of coordination between both key institutions. As such high level contradiction and confrontation therefore forceful breaking down and sustaining below(5639) last 24 sessions trading range.
As sustaining below 5639 will mean deeper correction therefore its technical form was updated in following topic on 27-10-2012. Just click following topic link and understand technical points:-
As sustaining below 5639 will mean deeper correction therefore its technical form was updated in following topic on 27-10-2012. Just click following topic link and understand technical points:-
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