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Rally after sustaining above 5305

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (17-Apr-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation and support between 5210-5255
2- Volatility after Credit Policy
3- Whole day trading between 5210-5296

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Consolidation and support between 5210-5255 within that huge volatility today which was the result of two adverse news. Good news of .50% Repo rate cut and negative news of Congress defeat in Delhi MCD Elections generated huge volatility today.

Strong support range of 5175-5236 had been updated more than 20 times in last one month,Nifty tested and traded within this range in last 6 days but did not slipped below 5175 and sharply surged today. As again support confirmation between 5175-5236 in last 6 sessions therefore this support range has strengthened and now high possibility of rally.

Range bound bound market between 5175-5305 was projected yesterday in following topic:-

Market capped between 5175-5305

Nifty traded whole day between 5208.35-5298.20 today. As lower levels support within 5175-5236 and higher levels resistance between 5275-5305 therefore above topic was posted.  Nifty tested higher levels Resistance after getting lower levels support. Following 5 resistances were updated on 14-04-2012 in Crucial Supports and Resistances of 36 sessions Correction:-

5- 5588-5625
4- 5418-5487
3- 5357-5377
2- 5318-5337
1- 5275-5305

As good support and strong moves today therefore rally is expected after correction completion but technically rally beginning confirmations are must through sustaining above minimum above 1st Resistance and that is at 5305.

Above upmoves  are not being  projected after watching more than 1.30% positive moves in US markets but almost following same views were updated at 01:25:00 PM today in Mid-session Outlook-2(17-04-2012):-

"Firstly lower levels support before Credit Policy today and after that again higher bottom formation and support therefore first signal of upmoves but sustaining above 5265 should also be watched for strong indication"

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 17-Apr-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 17-Apr-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII17-Apr-20122403.641962.49441.15

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII17-Apr-2012964.091177.3-213.21

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(17-Apr-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Green closing.
2- White Candle.
3- Closing near Day's highs after highly volatile market.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio:1.03
Nifty P/E Ratio(17-Apr-2012):18.63

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1662
BSE Declines : 1178
NSE Advances :  860
NSE Declines :  565

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5200 CE(Apr)- +5000(+0.15%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Apr)- +888650(+14.01%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Apr)- +16750(+0.34%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Apr)- +993250(+29.33%)

Nifty- 5400 CE(Apr)- +343450(+4.60%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Apr)- +376900(+22.75%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,289.70(+63.50 Points & +1.22%)
Sensex- closed at 17,357.94(+206.99 Points & +1.21% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,672.00(+67.60 Points & +0.89%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,880.36(+43.10 Points & +0.63%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-04-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5412
R2 5355
R1 5322
Avg 5265
S1 5232
S2 5175
S3 5142

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5380     Trgt 2
H5 5359     Trgt 1
H4 5338    Long breakout
H3 5313     Go Short
H2 5305
H1 5297
L1 5280
L2 5272
L3 5264    Long
L4 5239     Short Breakout
L5 5218     Trgt 1
L6 5197     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-04-2012

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5459
R2 5392
R1 5355
Avg 5288
S1 5251
S2 5184
S3 5147

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5424     Trgt 2
H5 5400     Trgt 1
H4 5376     Long breakout
H3 5347     Go Short
H2 5338
H1 5328
L1 5309
L2 5299
L3 5290     Long
L4 5261     Short Breakout
L5 5237     Trgt 1
L6 5213     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-04-2012

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5459
R2 5392
R1 5355
Avg 5288
S1 5251
S2 5184
S3 5147

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5424     Trgt 2
H5 5400     Trgt 1
H4 5376     Long breakout
H3 5347     Go Short
H2 5338
H1 5328
L1 5309
L2 5299
L3 5290     Long
L4 5261     Short Breakout
L5 5237     Trgt 1
L6 5213     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-04-2012

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 11137
R2 10897
R1 10735
Avg 10495
S1 10333
S2 10093
S3 9931

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10987     Trgt 2
H5 10890     Trgt 1
H4 10794     Long breakout
H3 10683     Go Short
H2 10646
H1 10609
L1 10536
L2 10499
L3 10462     Long
L4 10351     Short Breakout
L5 10255     Trgt 1
L6 10158    Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(17-04-2012)

Firstly high volatility after 50 basis points Repo Rates cut by RBI and lower levels supports as well as higher bottom formation also with closing near day's higher levels today are strong indications of rally after correction completion.

Following lines were told yesterday in Market capped between 5175-5305:-

1- Free Trading zone between 5231-5275 and expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves within this range,break out of this range will be first indication
2- sustaining beyond 5175-5305 will be next decisive trend confirmation.
3- strong multiple resistances at higher levels also therefore equally complete consolidation is required to sustaining above next Resistance(5275-5305) and until Nifty will not sustain above 5305 till then any decisive up move will not be considered
4-Nifty will trade next 2/3 sessions between 5175-5305 and prepare.

All above 4 projections of yesterday proved accurate today. Good support and strong moves today but rally beginning confirmations are must after correction completion through sustaining above minimum above 1st Resistance and that is at 5305.

Mid-session Outlook-2(17-04-2012)

Firstly lower levels support before Credit Policy today and after that again higher bottom formation and support therefore first signal of upmoves but sustaining above 5265 should also be watched for strong indication.

Mid-session Outlook(17-04-2012)

Market shoot up after RBI announcement of 50 basis points Repo Rates cut but could not cross Selling range of 13-04-20129(Resistance between 5275-5305). Following lines were told yesterday in Market capped between 5175-5305:-

"multiple resistances at higher levels also therefore equally complete consolidation is required to sustaining above next Resistance(5275-5305) and until Nifty will not sustain above 5305 till then any decisive up move will not be considered"

Market is not prepared for any side  decisive moves therefore following topic was posted yesterdaY:-

Market capped between 5175-5305

Detailed analysis have already been updated in above topic yesterday therefore just click above topic link and go through.

Pre-open Outlook(17-04-2012)

Sentiment is depressed today morning because most Asian markets are trading in Red.

RBI Credit Policy at 11:00AM today and volatility immediately before and after its announcement may be seen. As RBI expressed worries on inflation in Micro Economic Review yesterday evening therefore cofusion on rates cut increased and SGX Nifty is more than 40 points today morning.

Market is capped between 5175-5305 today and follow up moves before and after Credit Policy will decide next market as well as break out of this range will be next moves confirmations.

Detailed analysis has already been updated yesterday in following topic:-

Market capped between 5175-5305

Market capped between 5175-5305

Nifty-Micro Analysis of 2 days Intra Day Chart
(Apr 13 & Apr 16,2012)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Apr 13 & Apr 16,2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 2 days intraday charts

1- Selling and Resistance between 5275-5305 on 13-04-2012
2- Mixed Patterns between 5200-5236 after Panic Bottom on 13-04-2012
3- Support and Consolidation between 5190-5205 on 16-04-2012
4- Mixed Patterns between 5217-5231 on 16-04-2012
5- Free Trading zone between 5231-5275

Conclusions from 2 days intra day chart analysis 

Strong old support range of 5175-5236 was told many times in last one week and Nifty traded whole day today between this range within 5183.50-5233.50 with lower levels supports and intraday consolidation patterns. Certainly mentioned old support range has strengthened today but strong multiple resistances at higher levels also therefore equally complete consolidation is required to sustaining above next Resistance(5275-5305) and until Nifty will not sustain above 5305 till then any decisive up move will not be considered. As strong supports are lying between 5175-5236 therefore more selling is also equally required to sustain below.

Free Trading zone between 5231-5275 and expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves within this range,break out of this range will be first indication and sustaining beyond 5175-5305 will be next decisive trend confirmation. If any big news will not be visible then expected that Nifty will trade next 2/3 sessions between 5175-5305 and prepare.

Detailed Technical analysis have been posted with EOD and Intraday charts in following topics in last 3 days. Just click Topic Link below and understand Indian markets:- 

1- Last corrective Wave before Strong Bullish Rally
2- Strong Rally Confirmations from Long Term Charts
3- Crucial Supports and Resistances of 36 sessions Correction
4- Lower Tops and Lower Bottoms Formation In On Going Correction
5- Correction is on & Firstly Watch Next Supports
6- Next Monday Asian markets reaction on Western Markets Bloodshed
7- Panic bottom formation on 13-04-2012
8- Market capped between Supports and Resistances

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 16-Apr-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 16-Apr-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII16-Apr-20121341.241850.67-509.43

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII16-Apr-2012932.45714.22218.23

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(16-Apr-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green.
2- White Candle.
3- Closing near the higher levels of the day.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio:0.92
Nifty P/E Ratio(16-Apr-2012):18.41

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1554
BSE Declines : 1258
NSE Advances :  811
NSE Declines :  620

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5100 CE(Apr)- -268550(-25.41%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Apr)- +81050(+1.35%)

Nifty- 5200 CE(Apr)- +260100(+8.47%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Apr)- -97850(-1.52%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Apr)- +495700(+10.70%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Apr)- +110100(+3.35%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,226.20(+18.75 Points & +0.36%)
Sensex- closed at 17,150.95(+56.44 Points & +0.33% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,604.40(+24.80 Points & +0.33%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,837.26(+38.03 Points & +0.56%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 17-04-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5295
R2 5264
R1 5245
Avg 5214
S1 5195
S2 5164
S3 5145

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5276     Trgt 2
H5 5264     Trgt 1
H4 5253     Long breakout
H3 5239     Go Short
H2 5235
H1 5230
L1 5221
L2 5216
L3 5212     Long
L4 5198     Short Breakout
L5 5187     Trgt 1
L6 5175     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 17-04-2012

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5351
R2 5304
R1 5276
Avg 5229
S1 5201
S2 5154
S3 5126

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5323     Trgt 2
H5 5306     Trgt 1
H4 5289     Long breakout
H3 5268     Go Short
H2 5261
H1 5254
L1 5241
L2 5234
L3 5227     Long
L4 5206     Short Breakout
L5 5189     Trgt 1
L6 5172     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 17-04-2012

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 10824
R2 10662
R1 10574
Avg 10412
S1 10324
S2 10162
S3 10074

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10742     Trgt 2
H5 10683     Trgt 1
H4 10624    Long breakout
H3 10555     Go Short
H2 10532
H1 10509
L1 10464
L2 10441
L3 10418     Long
L4 10349     Short Breakout
L5 10290     Trgt 1
L6 10231     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(16-04-2012)

Whole day trading today between crucial and strong support range(5175-5236) with lower levels supports and intraday consolidation patterns.

RBI Credit Policy led moves market will be seen tomorrow and sustaining beyond above mentioned range will be next decisive trend confirmation therefore should be firstly watched.

Mid-session Outlook(16-04-2012)

Following strong support range has been posted more than 5 times in last 7 sessions Outlooks;-

5175-5236 

Nifty is trading between this range since opening today and firstly sustaining beyond this range should be watched.

Possibilities of next moves beyond this range has already been updated in 8 Outlooks which have been posted in last 3 days.

Now volatility within this range is suggesting to adopt Cautious approach.