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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-03-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5540
R2 5501
R1 5440
Avg 5401
S1 5340
S2 5301
S3 5240

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5480     Trgt 2
H5 5457     Trgt 1
H4 5435     Long breakout
H3 5407     Go Short
H2 5398
H1 5389
L1 5370
L2 5361
L3 5352     Long
L4 5325     Short Breakout
L5 5302     Trgt 1
L6 5279     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-03-2012

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5596
R2 5552
R1 5485
Avg 5441
S1 5374
S2 5330
S3 5263

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5530     Trgt 2
H5 5505    Trgt 1
H4 5480     Long breakout
H3 5449     Go Short
H2 5439
H1 5429
L1 5408
L2 5398
L3 5388     Long
L4 5357     Short Breakout
L5 5332     Trgt 1
L6 5307     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-03-2012

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 11288
R2 11143
R1 10898
Avg 10753
S1 10508
S2 10363
S3 10118

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11045     Trgt 2
H5 10957     Trgt 1
H4 10868     Long breakout
H3 10761     Go Short
H2 10725
H1 10689
L1 10618
L2 10582
L3 10546     Long
L4 10439     Short Breakout
L5 10350     Trgt 1
L6 10262     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(15-03-2012)

Higher levels selling and lower levels buying.Nifty will trade within today range tomorrow.



Mid-session Outlook(15-03-2012)

Day of negative news led sharp fall today today and correction of last 4 sessions surge just before Budget-2012. Although selling at higher levels today but next support is within 5334-5350 and will be first watched today and tomorrow for getting confirmation of rally continuation.

Status Quo in RBI Credit Policy


Market was expecting rates cut but no change in all the rates therefore sharp fall after Credit Policy announcement and Nifty slipped below 5417. Sustaining beyond 5417 will be firstly watched for the next decisive moves confirmations. 

Post-open Outlook(15-03-2012)


Sentiment dampened due to Railway Minister resignation issue and weakness in all the Asian markets(except Nikkei) therefore negative zone trading after weak opening. Railway Minister resignation issue will be resolved and today down moves are only sentimental impact.

Expected that Indian markets will get support and Nifty will not sustain below 5438 and finally on going rally will remain continued.

Next decisive moves confirmation range before and after Budget is sustaining beyond 5417-5463,precautionally should be kept in mind because market may be highly volatile also.

Rally despite whatsoever Union Budget-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(14-Mar-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view 
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation between 5438-5463
2- Whole day trading between 5438-5485

Conclusions 

As intraday selling therefore following guidance was given yesterday in Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today

sustaining beyond 5417-5438 will be firstly watched tomorrow for next moves confirmations.

Nifty got support exactly at 5437.80 after slipping from higher levels and whole day sustained above 5438. More than 3 hours good selling was seen between 5422-5458 on 29-02-2012 and Nifty consilidated within this range today between 5438-5463 therefore almost confirmation of this resistance range clearing.

Long and Short term trends were already up and Intermediate term trend(5340) turning up confirmation  today therefore rally will remain continued after all trends turning up and high testing possibility of following 2 resistance ranges of Dec 2011 started rally:-

1- 5485-5533
2- 5590-5627

Big events(RBI Credit Policy and Union Budget-2012) in the next 2 sessions therefore high volatility can not be ruled out but until Nifty will not sustain below today lowest(5438) till then any down move will not be considered because good consolidation above it today. Rally is on after completion of correction and crossing resistances therefore complete selling patterns are must minimum on intraday and daily charts for rally termination. As no such signal today therefore:-

 only rally continuation conclusion despite whatsoever RBI Credit Policy and Union Budget-2012.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 14-Mar-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 14-Mar-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII14-Mar-20123813.192153.911659.28

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII14-Mar-20121285.062142.17-857.11

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(14-Mar-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Green closing.
2- Black Candle.
3- Most Indices closed in Green but some closed in Red specially IT and Small Cap.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.13
Nifty P/E Ratio(14-Mar-2012): 19.31

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1364
BSE Declines : 1562
NSE Advances :  651
NSE Declines :  798

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5300 CE(Mar)- -136500(-4.51%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Mar)- +737300(+12.83%)

Nifty- 5400 CE(Mar)- -240000(-6.36%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Mar)- +285950(+6.05%)

Nifty- 5500 CE(Mar)- -91300(-1.80%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Mar)- +612400(+20.64%)

Nifty- 5600 CE(Mar)- +741000(+13.24%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Mar)- +172000(+13.06%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Mar)- +473700(+10.18%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Mar)- +233700(+77.15%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,463.90(+34.40 Points & +0.63%)
Sensex- closed at 17,919.30(+105.68 Points & +0.59%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,886.35(+54.80 Points & +0.70%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,846.64(-19.29 Points & -0.28%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-03-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5557
R2 5528
R1 5495
Avg 5466
S1 5433
S2 5404
S3 5371

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5525     Trgt 2
H5 5511     Trgt 1
H4 5497     Long breakout
H3 5480    Go Short
H2 5474
H1 5468
L1 5457
L2 5451
L3 5445     Long
L4 5428     Short Breakout
L5 5414     Trgt 1
L6 5400     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-03-2012

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5611
R2 5576
R1 5541
Avg 5506
S1 5471
S2 5436
S3 5401

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5576     Trgt 2
H5 5560     Trgt 1
H4 5544     Long breakout
H3 5525     Go Short
H2 5518
H1 5512
L1 5499
L2 5493
L3 5486     Long
L4 5467     Short Breakout
L5 5451     Trgt 1
L6 5435     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-03-2012

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 11234
R2 11124
R1 11052
Avg 10942
S1 10870
S2 10760
S3 10688

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11165     Trgt 2
H5 11123     Trgt 1
H4 11081     Long breakout
H3 11031     Go Short
H2 11014
H1 10997
L1 10964
L2 10947
L3 10930     Long
L4 10880    Short Breakout
L5 10838     Trgt 1
L6 10796     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(14-03-2012)

sustaining beyond 5417-5438 should be firstly watched today for next moves confirmations. 

We told above line in:-

1- yesterday in Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today 
2- Today in Mid-session Outlook

Nifty retraced today after forming the lowest at:- 5437.80

Indian markets slipped immediately after opening and its technical reasons have already been explained in previous outlooks today. As news based market today therefore for precaution sustaining beyond today trading range will be watched for confirmation but Intraday patterns of today are showing consolidation formations and continuation of rally is expected in the coming sessions.

Mid-session Outlook(14-03-2012)

As higher levels selling was seen yesterday therefore following topic was posted yesterday:-

Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today

Following line was told in Post-open Outlook today:-

As some selling at higher levels yesterday therefore market is slipped from higher levels immediately after opening to consolidate and absorb yesterday intraday selling.

Following conclusive line was told yesterday in Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today

Follow up consolidation/distribution patterns and sustaining beyond 5417-5438 will be firstly watched tomorrow for next moves confirmations.

Huge gap up opening today after blasting Global cues but could not sustaining at higher levels because selling yesterday and slipped for cooling down of heated sentiment as well as to conoslidate and absorb yesterday intraday selling.

sustaining beyond 5417-5438 should be firstly watched today for next moves confirmations. 

Post-open Outlook(14-03-2012)

5458 was resistance but Nifty is well above after strong global cues today. As some selling at higher levels yesterday therefore market is slipped from higher levels immediately after opening to consolidate and absorb yesterday intraday selling.

Complete selling patterns on intraday and minimum on daily charts are required for any down move or correction and until that will not happen till then rally will remain continued.   

 Rally is on after correction completion on 07-03-2012 and its continuation is being seen today after strong Global cues.

Sparkling Rally after Blasting Global markets

Pre-open Outlook(14-03-2012)

As higher levels selling patterns were seen yesterday therefore view is cautious but strong rally in all the Global markets. Most Asian markets are 1% to 2% up after more than 1.6% positive closing in US markets therefore sentiment is blasting and Indian markets will consolidate at higher levels after gap up opening.

Rally is on after correction completion on 07-03-2012 and its continuation will be seen today after sparkling Global cues.

Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For
 14-03-2012
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(13-Mar-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view 
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Most time trading within 21 points between 5417-5438
2- Intraday selling patterns at higher levels between 5428-5438.
3- Up moves lacking force.
4- Whole day trading between 5406-5438

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

More than 3 hours good selling was seen between 5458-5422 on 29-02-2012 and it is last resistance of previous 12 sessions trading range also. Nifty traded almost whole day between and little below this range within 21 points between 5417-5438 today.

As clear selling patterns today between 29th Feb selling range therefore previous resistance range has strengthened today and view is cautious. Firstly sustaining above today intraday selling range(5428-5438) and after that sustaining above 29th Feb resistance range top(5458) is must for continuation of rally. 

Rally is on after completion of correction and only one day intraday selling patterns are not sufficient and more selling patterns are must to tell for rally termination.

Follow up consolidation/distribution patterns and sustaining beyond 5417-5438 will be firstly watched tomorrow for next moves confirmations.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 13-Mar-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 13-Mar-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII13-Mar-20122758.881886.2872.68

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII13-Mar-2012943.461377.2-433.74