Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-03-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5557
R2 5528
R1 5495
Avg 5466
S1 5433
S2 5404
S3 5371

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5525     Trgt 2
H5 5511     Trgt 1
H4 5497     Long breakout
H3 5480    Go Short
H2 5474
H1 5468
L1 5457
L2 5451
L3 5445     Long
L4 5428     Short Breakout
L5 5414     Trgt 1
L6 5400     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-03-2012

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5611
R2 5576
R1 5541
Avg 5506
S1 5471
S2 5436
S3 5401

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5576     Trgt 2
H5 5560     Trgt 1
H4 5544     Long breakout
H3 5525     Go Short
H2 5518
H1 5512
L1 5499
L2 5493
L3 5486     Long
L4 5467     Short Breakout
L5 5451     Trgt 1
L6 5435     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-03-2012

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 11234
R2 11124
R1 11052
Avg 10942
S1 10870
S2 10760
S3 10688

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11165     Trgt 2
H5 11123     Trgt 1
H4 11081     Long breakout
H3 11031     Go Short
H2 11014
H1 10997
L1 10964
L2 10947
L3 10930     Long
L4 10880    Short Breakout
L5 10838     Trgt 1
L6 10796     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(14-03-2012)

sustaining beyond 5417-5438 should be firstly watched today for next moves confirmations. 

We told above line in:-

1- yesterday in Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today 
2- Today in Mid-session Outlook

Nifty retraced today after forming the lowest at:- 5437.80

Indian markets slipped immediately after opening and its technical reasons have already been explained in previous outlooks today. As news based market today therefore for precaution sustaining beyond today trading range will be watched for confirmation but Intraday patterns of today are showing consolidation formations and continuation of rally is expected in the coming sessions.

Mid-session Outlook(14-03-2012)

As higher levels selling was seen yesterday therefore following topic was posted yesterday:-

Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today

Following line was told in Post-open Outlook today:-

As some selling at higher levels yesterday therefore market is slipped from higher levels immediately after opening to consolidate and absorb yesterday intraday selling.

Following conclusive line was told yesterday in Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today

Follow up consolidation/distribution patterns and sustaining beyond 5417-5438 will be firstly watched tomorrow for next moves confirmations.

Huge gap up opening today after blasting Global cues but could not sustaining at higher levels because selling yesterday and slipped for cooling down of heated sentiment as well as to conoslidate and absorb yesterday intraday selling.

sustaining beyond 5417-5438 should be firstly watched today for next moves confirmations. 

Post-open Outlook(14-03-2012)

5458 was resistance but Nifty is well above after strong global cues today. As some selling at higher levels yesterday therefore market is slipped from higher levels immediately after opening to consolidate and absorb yesterday intraday selling.

Complete selling patterns on intraday and minimum on daily charts are required for any down move or correction and until that will not happen till then rally will remain continued.   

 Rally is on after correction completion on 07-03-2012 and its continuation is being seen today after strong Global cues.

Sparkling Rally after Blasting Global markets

Pre-open Outlook(14-03-2012)

As higher levels selling patterns were seen yesterday therefore view is cautious but strong rally in all the Global markets. Most Asian markets are 1% to 2% up after more than 1.6% positive closing in US markets therefore sentiment is blasting and Indian markets will consolidate at higher levels after gap up opening.

Rally is on after correction completion on 07-03-2012 and its continuation will be seen today after sparkling Global cues.

Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For

 14-03-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(13-Mar-2012):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view 

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Most time trading within 21 points between 5417-5438
2- Intraday selling patterns at higher levels between 5428-5438.
3- Up moves lacking force.
4- Whole day trading between 5406-5438

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

More than 3 hours good selling was seen between 5458-5422 on 29-02-2012 and it is last resistance of previous 12 sessions trading range also. Nifty traded almost whole day between and little below this range within 21 points between 5417-5438 today.

As clear selling patterns today between 29th Feb selling range therefore previous resistance range has strengthened today and view is cautious. Firstly sustaining above today intraday selling range(5428-5438) and after that sustaining above 29th Feb resistance range top(5458) is must for continuation of rally. 

Rally is on after completion of correction and only one day intraday selling patterns are not sufficient and more selling patterns are must to tell for rally termination.

Follow up consolidation/distribution patterns and sustaining beyond 5417-5438 will be firstly watched tomorrow for next moves confirmations.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 13-Mar-2012

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 13-Mar-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 13-Mar-2012 2758.88 1886.2 872.68

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 13-Mar-2012 943.46 1377.2 -433.74

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(13-Mar-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed in Green.
2- White Candle.
3- Whole day without force upmoves after gap up opening.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.12
Nifty P/E Ratio(13-Mar-2012): 19.18

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1716
BSE Declines : 1225
NSE Advances :  953
NSE Declines :  493

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5200 CE(Mar)- -171750(-5.99%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Mar)- +726600(+9.63%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Mar)- -308100(-9.22%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Mar)- +354,350(+6.49 %)

Nifty- 5400 CE(Mar)- -462350(-10.76%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Mar)- +941000(+24.50%)

Nifty- 5500 CE(Mar)- -61000(-1.17%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Mar)- +205050(+7.36%)

Nifty- 5600 CE(Mar)- +634750(+12.10%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Mar)- +586100(+76.81%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,429.50(+69.95 Points & +1.31%)
Sensex- closed at 17,813.62(+225.95 Points & +1.28%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,831.55(+71.80 Points & +0.93%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,865.93(+69.67 Points & +1.03%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-03-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5496
R2 5467
R1 5448
Avg 5419
S1 5400
S2 5371
S3 5352

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5477     Trgt 2
H5 5466     Trgt 1
H4 5455     Long breakout
H3 5442     Go Short
H2 5437
H1 5433
L1 5424
L2 5420
L3 5415     Long
L4 5402     Short Breakout
L5 5391     Trgt 1
L6 5380     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-03-2012

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5612
R2 5544
R1 5506
Avg 5438
S1 5400
S2 5332
S3 5294

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5575     Trgt 2
H5 5551    Trgt 1
H4 5526    Long breakout
H3 5497     Go Short
H2 5487
H1 5477
L1 5458
L2 5448
L3 5438     Long
L4 5409     Short Breakout
L5 5384     Trgt 1
L6 5360     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-03-2012

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 10909
R2 10867
R1 10816
Avg 10774
S1 10723
S2 10681
S3 10630

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10858     Trgt 2
H5 10837     Trgt 1
H4 10816     Long breakout
H3 10790     Go Short
H2 10782
H1 10773
L1 10756
L2 10747
L3 10739     Long
L4 10713     Short Breakout
L5 10692    Trgt 1
L6 10671     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(13-03-2012)

Whole day trading with more than 1% gains and going to close also more than 1.30% up after more than 5 hours trading between 5417-5435 but today intraday patterns are mixed formations and selling patterns also seen therefore views is cautious now and firstly sustaining beyond mentioned range will be firstly watched for next moves confirmations.

Mid-session Outlook(13-03-2012)

Rally continuation was told within first 4 minutes today and it was seen also through more than first one hour up moves today. Although it was expected that Nifty will trade and prepare for up moves below 5390 but sentiment turned bullish after all Asian market good gains therefore Nifty is trading at higher levels between 5417-5435 for the last 4 hours.

More than 3 hours good selling was seen between 5458-5422 on 29-02-2012 and it is last resistance of previous 11 sessions trading range also. Nifty is trading between and little below this range for the last 4 hours and preparing for post Budget decisive moves.

Mixed formations and selling patterns also seen in last 4 yours range(5417-5435) therefore confirmations required through sustaining it beyond.As more than 4 hours trading range therefore crucial to decide post Budget moves and its break out should be firstly watched. 

Post-open Outlook(13-03-2012)

Following line was told in Pre-Closing Outlook and Pre-Budget trading between 5280-5390 before upward Break out yesterday:-

intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations therefore finally upward break out of today trading range is expected in the coming sessions.

Our above projection proved 100% accurate and Nifty is trading above yesterday trading range at 5410 immediately after opening today.

Rally is on and its continuation is expected after strong opening today

Pre-Budget trading between 5280-5390 before upward Break out

 Technical Analysis and Research For
 13-03-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(12-Mar-2012):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5366-5376
2- Buying between 5334-5350
3- Down moves in falling channel therefore consolidation indications
3- Whole day trading between 5328-5376

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Higher levels good selling on the back of positive news of CRR cut and above expectations IIP data and firstly down moves despite such good moves. Lower levels buying also seen therefore more preparations is required through follow up buying/selling for decisive moves beyond today trading range.

Although mixed trading positions but intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations therefore finally upward break out of today trading range is expected in the coming sessions.

Indian markets may be volatile because Petroleum rates hike news,RBI Credit Policy and advance tax numbers are due before Union Budget on 16-03-2012 and market will react on all these news as well as may hover near about today trading range. 

Nifty-EOD Chart(12-Mar-2012):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Long and Short term trends are up. Intermediate term trend is sideways and Nifty is moving around its decider 5340 for the last 11 sessions. Nifty traded most time between 5280-5390 in last 11 sessions and expected that Nifty will discount all the positive and negative news and trade within this range before Budget as well as this range will be broken out after the Budget.

Expected that Indian markets will consolidate in the coming 3 sessions before Budget and finally upward break out after the announcement of Budget because impulsive Wave-3 is on after completion of Wave-2 correction.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 12-Mar-2012

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(12-Mar-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed in Green except IT.
2- Black Candle formation.
3- Although big news but range bound trading.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.02
Nifty P/E Ratio(12-Mar-2012): 18.94

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1601
BSE Declines : 1267
NSE Advances :  861
NSE Declines :  577

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5200 CE(Mar)- -87150(-2.90%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Mar)- +322350(+4.45%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Mar)- -102900(-2.97%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Mar)- -493500(-8.14%)

Nifty- 5400 CE(Mar)- +266700(+6.34%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Mar)- +512250(+15.00%)

Nifty- 5500 CE(Mar)- +491050(+10.05%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Mar)- -9950(-0.35%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,359.55(+26.00 Points & +0.49%)
Sensex- closed at 17,587.67(+84.43 Points & +0.48% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,759.75(+70.25 Points & +91%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,796.26(+47.05 Points & +0.70%)

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 12-Mar-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 12-Mar-2012 4375.76 3077.12 1298.64

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 12-Mar-2012 1121.41 918.09 203.32