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Pull Back continuation after some consolidations

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 22-12-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(21-dec-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation between 4602-4624.
2- Strong rally in last 55 minutes.
3- Last 29 minutes mixed patterns between 4684-4705.
4- Whole day trading between 4602-4705.

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis

Pull Back Rally confirmation after lower levels consolidation and last 55 minutes strong up moves. As last 29 minutes mixed patterns between 4684-4705 also therefore fresh consolidation is required for next up moves and continuation of today started strong Pull back rally.

Expected that today begun Pull Back Rally will remin continued after some more consolidations first.

Conclusions from only today intraday charts analysis have been posted above and more conclusions will be updated before the opening of tomorrow market and it will also be proved that:-

why and how 4693 is most crucial level for deciding the next big moves of coming months and years trend in Indian markets?
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FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 21-Dec-2011


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FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 21-Dec-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII21-Dec-20112208.252352.48-144.23


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII21-Dec-20111019.651152.91-133.26
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(21-Dec-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the indices closed in Green.
2- Long White Candle.
3- Closing near the highest of the day.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.85
Nifty P/E Ratio(21-Dec-2011): 17.00

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1673
BSE DECLINES : 1096
NSE ADVANCES : 936
NSE DECLINES : 506

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4600 CE(Dec)- -1857350(-35.66%)
Nifty- 4600 PE(Dec)- +1112150(+22.01%)

Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- -531250(-9.78%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- +1268250(+26.88%)

Nifty- 4800 CE(Dec)- -631050(-11.90%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Dec)- +440900(+13.52%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 4,693.15(+148.95 Points & +3.28%)
Sensex- closed at 15,685.21(+510.13 Points & +3.36% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,119.90(+82.80 Points & +1.37%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,522.19(+56.49 Points & +1.03%)
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-12-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 4839
R2 4773
R1 4733
Avg 4667
S1 4627
S2 4561
S3 4521

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 4801     Trgt 2
H5 4776     Trgt 1
H4 4751     Long breakout
H3 4722     Go Short
H2 4712
H1 4702
L1 4683
L2 4673
L3 4663     Long
L4 4634     Short Breakout
L5 4609     Trgt 1
L6 4584     Trgt 2
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Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-12-2011

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 4865
R2 4795
R1 4753
Avg 4683
S1 4641
S2 4571
S3 4529

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 4825     Trgt 2
H5 4798     Trgt 1
H4 4772     Long breakout
H3 4741     Go Short
H2 4731
H1 4721
L1 4700
L2 4690
L3 4680     Long
L4 4649     Short Breakout
L5 4623     Trgt 1
L6 4596     Trgt 2
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Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-12-2011

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 8636
R2 8442
R1 8320
Avg 8126
S1 8004
S2 7810
S3 7688

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 8524     Trgt 2
H5 8448     Trgt 1
H4 8371     Long breakout
H3 8284     Go Short
H2 8255
H1 8226
L1 8169
L2 8140
L3 8111     Long
L4 8024     Short Breakout
L5 7947     Trgt 1
L6 7871     Trgt 2
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Pre-Closing Outlook-2(21-12-2011)

Following confirmations after break out of 4645 today:-

1- Trend reversal after last 2 days base formations
2- Pull back rally confirmations after last 2 days consolidations
3- Survival confirmation of Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern

As Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern survival confirmation today therefore all the up moves hopes revived today which were buried after last Friday last 2 hours crash. Continuation of Pull Back Rally expected in the coming sessions. 
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Pre-Closing Outlook(21-12-2011)

Gap up opening and then Up moves seen after lower levels consolidations today but Nifty slipped from intraday higher levels after forming intraday high at 4645.30. Following line was told in Post-open Outlook today;-

Sustaining above 4640 will be survival confirmation of Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern.

Profit booking near 4640 seen today. As mixed intraday patterns today with lower levels consolidations and higher levels distribution therefore no clear positions formations yet and following lines should be kept in mind for next immediate moves confirmations;-

Break out by force or sustaining beyond today trading range(4602-4645) will be next moves confirmations.
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Mid-session Outlook-2(21-12-2011)


Intraday consolidation patterns confirmation today
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Mid-session Outlook(21-12-2011)

Range bound market between 5602-5625 with mixed intraday patterns and break out by force or sustaining beyond mentioned today trading range will be next moves confirmations.

Crucial levels have already been posted in previous Outlooks which should be kept in mind also for next trend confirmation.
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Post-open Outlook(21-12-2011)

Intraday consolidation was seen in last 2 sessions and it was updated also in the Outlooks. Confirm base formation between 4560-4590 and;-

1- Until Nifty will not sustain below 4560 till then down moves will not be considered.
2- Sustaining above 4640 will be survival confirmation of Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern.
3- Crossing of next resistance range(4750-4840) will be sustained rally confirmation.

As  all trends are down therefore above mentioned confirmations are required for decisive upmoves confirmations otherwise more upmoves and continuation of today begun rally is expected.
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Short Term Up Trend On Cards

Nifty-Micro Analysis of 2 days Intra Day Chart(Dec 19 & Dec 20,2011)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(Dec 19 & Dec 20,2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 2 sessions intraday charts

1- Two days consolidation 4560-4590 in last 2 days
2- Last half hour consolidation between 4532-4552 on 20-12-2011

Conclusions

Indian markets closed today at the lowest of 2 days and also at 13 months lowest but intraday patterns of last 2 days are showing confolidation formations therefore last 9 days down move stopping and its retracement is possible from today lowest( 4531.15). Following levels and ranges will be watched tomorrow for next short term trend confirmation:-

1- Last two sessions consolidations- 4532-4552 & 4560-4590
2- Last two sessions trading range- 4532-4620.
3- 4640

As last two sessions consolidation patterns therefore short term up trend possibility is alive and one by one following levels will give next moves confirmations:-

1- 4590(Above will mean strong indication of up moves after consolidation) 
2- 4620(Above will be confirmation last 2 days consolidations)
3- 4640(Sustaining above will be survival confirmation of Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern.

Up moves are expected above levels will be short term up trend confirmations.
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(20-Dec-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the indices closed in Red near Day's lowest levels
2- Long Black Candle.
3- Closing at lowest of 13 months correction.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.84
Nifty P/E Ratio(20-Dec-2011): 16.46

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 866
BSE DECLINES : 1885
NSE ADVANCES : 364
NSE DECLINES : 1095

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4500 CE(Dec)- +1073750(+65.98%)
Nifty- 4500 PE(Dec)- 409650(+5.69%)

Nifty- 4600 CE(Dec)- +1256600(+31.04%)
Nifty- 4600 PE(Dec)- -249600(-4.39%)

Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- +730750(+15.45%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- -299950(-5.58%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 4,544.20(-68.90 Points & -1.49%)
Sensex- closed at 15,175.08(-204.26 Points & -1.33% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,037.10(-132.35 Points & -2.15%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,465.70(-80.46 Points & -1.45%)
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 21-12-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 4716
R2 4676
R1 4610
Avg 4570
S1 4504
S2 4464
S3 4398

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 4650     Trgt 2
H5 4626     Trgt 1
H4 4602     Long breakout
H3 4573     Go Short
H2 4563
H1 4553
L1 4534
L2 4524
L3 4514     Long
L4 4485     Short Breakout
L5 4461     Trgt 1
L6 4437     Trgt 2
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Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 21-12-2011

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 4718
R2 4679
R1 4616
Avg 4577
S1 4514
S2 4475
S3 4412

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 4656     Trgt 2
H5 4633     Trgt 1
H4 4610     Long breakout
H3 4582     Go Short
H2 4572
H1 4563
L1 4544
L2 4535
L3 4525     Long
L4 4497     Short Breakout
L5 4474     Trgt 1
L6 4451     Trgt 2
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Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 21-12-2011

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 8149
R2 8060
R1 7928
Avg 7839
S1 7707
S2 7618
S3 7486

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 8019     Trgt 2
H5 7968     Trgt 1
H4 7918     Long breakout
H3 7857     Go Short
H2 7837
H1 7817
L1 7776
L2 7756
L3 7736     Long
L4 7675     Short Breakout
L5 7625     Trgt 1
L6 7574     Trgt 2
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Pre-Closing Outlook(20-12-2011)

Intraday up moves after lower levels intraday support but sharp fall from intraday highs and highly volatile market today. Condition of sustaining beyond 4640 was told slipped today after forming high at 4637.25.

Although 1.5% down today but intraday patterns of today are not showing selling patterns but intraday consolidation formations seen therefore next down moves confirmation is required through sustaining below 4531.
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Post-open Outlook(20-12-2011)

Nifty moves up today but slipped after forming high at 4637.25 today and Nifty is trading between yesterday range. Nifty got support between 4560-4578 yesterday and Nifty is trading above it since opening today,sustaining below this range will be next down moves confirmation and up moves will be considered above 4640.

Nifty is trading between yesterday range(4560-4620) and preparing for next moves.Although Nifty slipped from higher levels today but intraday consolidation indications and next short term trend will also get confirmation according to sustaining beyond yesterday range(4560-4620).

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4640 is Next Trend Decider

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(19-dec-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation between 4560-4578
2- Mixed Patterns between 4600-4620
3- Whole day trading between 4560-4620

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Clear intraday support at lower levels today and up moves are possible tomorrow also. Finally sustaining above 4640 will be decisive up moves confirmation and it will be firstly watched tomorrow and next short term trend will be considered according to sustaining beyond 4640.
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FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 19-Dec-2011



FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII19-Dec-20112259.172709.54-450.37


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII19-Dec-20111138.831120.2318.6
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