NIFTY Sep F & O(Shorted on 28-09-2011)-Cover and book profit immediately-CMP-4908
ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
NIFTY-Sep F&O-1st Shorting of 28-09-2011-Covering
NIFTY Sep F & O(Shorted on 28-09-2011)-Cover and book profit immediately-CMP-4908
Pre-open Outlook(29-09-2011)
Technical Analysis and Micro Analysis of Nifty Intra Day Chart,Technical Positions,next possibilities have already been explained in following topics with 1 Charts therefore not being repeated:-
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 29-09-2011
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(Sep 27 to Sep 28,2011):-
Nifty traded last 2 days between 4907-4982 and most time trading between 4918-4982 with higher levels selling and minor lower levels support. Expected that Nifty will first trade between 4907-4950 after weak opening today,slipping below 4918 will be first indication and sustainiing below 4907 will be deep down confirmation.
Weakness expected in Indian markets today.
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 29-09-2011
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(Sep 27 to Sep 28,2011):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Weakness expected in Indian markets today.
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 29-09-2011
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(28-Sep-2011):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 4963-4978
2- Selling between 4952-4965
3- Support between 4918-4938
4- Whole day trading between 4918-78.
Conclusions
Following line was told in Pre-Closing Outlook yesterday:-
"mixed signals between 4955-4980 in last 2 hours"
Although Nifty opened at 5006.05 today but slipped to 4982 in first second and could not sustained within last 2 hours range(4955-4980) of yesterday therefore finally this range has proved a selling range.
Although lower levels support but higher levels good selling today also therefore expected that more weakness will be seen in the coming sessions.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 28-Sep-2011
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(28-Sep-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Negative closing after positive opening.
2- Black Candle.
3- Most Indices closed in Red except IT,FMCG,HC,Reality & Oil and Gas
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.03
Nifty P/E Ratio(28-Sep-2011): 17.86
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1038
BSE DECLINES : 1772
NSE ADVANCES : 426
NSE DECLINES : 1011
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4900 CE(Sep)- +1025200(+23.41%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Sep)- +678700(+10.15%)
Nifty- 5000 CE(Sep)- +653100(+9.71%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Sep)- -88550(-1.49%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,945.90(-25.35 Points & -0.51%)
Sensex- closed at 16,446.02(-78.01 Points & -0.47% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,109.20(-60.70 Points & -0.85%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 6,949.48(-67.79 Points & -0.97%)
1- Negative closing after positive opening.
2- Black Candle.
3- Most Indices closed in Red except IT,FMCG,HC,Reality & Oil and Gas
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.03
Nifty P/E Ratio(28-Sep-2011): 17.86
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1038
BSE DECLINES : 1772
NSE ADVANCES : 426
NSE DECLINES : 1011
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4900 CE(Sep)- +1025200(+23.41%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Sep)- +678700(+10.15%)
Nifty- 5000 CE(Sep)- +653100(+9.71%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Sep)- -88550(-1.49%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,945.90(-25.35 Points & -0.51%)
Sensex- closed at 16,446.02(-78.01 Points & -0.47% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,109.20(-60.70 Points & -0.85%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 6,949.48(-67.79 Points & -0.97%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 29-09-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5082
R2 5044
R1 4994
Avg 4956
S1 4906
S2 4868
S3 4818
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5033 Trgt 2
H5 5013 Trgt 1
H4 4993 Long breakout
H3 4969 Go Short
H2 4961
H1 4953
L1 4936
L2 4928
L3 4920 Long
L4 4896 Short Breakout
L5 4876 Trgt 1
L6 4856 Trgt 2
R3 5082
R2 5044
R1 4994
Avg 4956
S1 4906
S2 4868
S3 4818
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5033 Trgt 2
H5 5013 Trgt 1
H4 4993 Long breakout
H3 4969 Go Short
H2 4961
H1 4953
L1 4936
L2 4928
L3 4920 Long
L4 4896 Short Breakout
L5 4876 Trgt 1
L6 4856 Trgt 2
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 29-09-2011
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels
R3 5074
R2 5034
R1 4985
Avg 4945
S1 4896
S2 4856
S3 4807
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5025 Trgt 2
H5 5005 Trgt 1
H4 4984 Long breakout
H3 4960 Go Short
H2 4952
H1 4944
L1 4927
L2 4919
L3 4911 Long
L4 4887 Short Breakout
L5 4866 Trgt 1
L6 4846 Trgt 2
R3 5074
R2 5034
R1 4985
Avg 4945
S1 4896
S2 4856
S3 4807
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5025 Trgt 2
H5 5005 Trgt 1
H4 4984 Long breakout
H3 4960 Go Short
H2 4952
H1 4944
L1 4927
L2 4919
L3 4911 Long
L4 4887 Short Breakout
L5 4866 Trgt 1
L6 4846 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 29-09-2011
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels
R3 9918
R2 9803
R1 9650
Avg 9535
S1 9382
S2 9267
S3 9114
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 9768 Trgt 2
H5 9706 Trgt 1
H4 9645 Long breakout
H3 9571 Go Short
H2 9547
H1 9522
L1 9473
L2 9448
L3 9424 Long
L4 9350 Short Breakout
L5 9289 Trgt 1
L6 9227 Trgt 2
R3 9918
R2 9803
R1 9650
Avg 9535
S1 9382
S2 9267
S3 9114
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 9768 Trgt 2
H5 9706 Trgt 1
H4 9645 Long breakout
H3 9571 Go Short
H2 9547
H1 9522
L1 9473
L2 9448
L3 9424 Long
L4 9350 Short Breakout
L5 9289 Trgt 1
L6 9227 Trgt 2
NIFTY-Sep F&O-1st Selling of 28-09-2011-Trade
NIFTY(Sep Fut-Sell-Positional)SL-4976TGT-4886-CMP-4938
NIFTY(Sep Put Option-Buy-Positional)SL-4976TGT-4886-S.P.FOR Put-4900,5000(Sep Fut-Rates for all Options)-CMP-4938
Pre-Closing Outlook(28-09-2011)
Weakness with confirmation through sustaining below 4940 was told immediately after 1st hour today when Indian markets were positive and Indian markets slipped as well as hovering around 4840 for the last 4 hours. Range bound market today with selling at higher levels and buying also at lower levels.
As more selling at higher levels therefore weakness possibility in coming sessions turns higher.
Post-open Outlook-2(28-09-2011)
Nifty is trading between 4950-5000 since opening and slipped also from higher levels after today opening as well weakness indications from intraday charts also but confirmations will be sustaining below 4940 because market require complete selling patterns for any decisive down moves. Let market compeletely prepare then final conclusions will be drawn and will be updated.
Be Bearish below 4940 only.
Post-open Outlook(28-09-2011)
We never gossip and speculate as well as always try to update accurate projections. This fact can be verified from our last 4 years record in this Blog and orkut.com communities.
Whatsoever we told for today markets opening and firstly trading range in both previous outlooks all that proved 100% accurate. We posted following topic at 12:45:00 AM today,just go through and Keep in mind because you will get long term trend confirmations and trading policy in present market.
Long term trend decider 4720-5229
Flollowing line was told for today initial markets and 100% same is being seen after opening today:-
"firstly quiet markets expected near about yesterday closing(4971) and market will prepare for next moves between 4950-5000"
Nifty is trading and preparing for next moves between 4950-5000 since opening today. Let market prepare for next moves and then conclusion from intra day charts formations will be updated in next Mid-session Outlooks.
Fist hour intra day patterns are showing weakness indication and confirmation will be sustaining below 4940.
Pre-Open Market Outlook(28-09-2011)
Technical Analysis and Research of EOD,Technical Positions,next possibilities have already been explained in following topics with 1 Chart therefore not being repeated:-
Long term trend decider 4720-5229
Following lines were told for today opening in above mentioned topic:-
US markets are more than 2.5% up at this moment but Asian markets reaction will decide Indian markets opening and today trading first range.
Asian markets did not not reacted so strong and are mixed today morning. Indian markets also traded with mixed patterns within 4955-4980 in last 2 hours yesterday therefore sustaining above 4980 is must for next up moves today. Next immediate resistance is between 5020-5060 therefore firstly quiet markets expected near about yesterday closing(4971) and market will prepare for next moves between 4950-5000.
Long term trend decider 4720-5229
Following lines were told for today opening in above mentioned topic:-
US markets are more than 2.5% up at this moment but Asian markets reaction will decide Indian markets opening and today trading first range.
Asian markets did not not reacted so strong and are mixed today morning. Indian markets also traded with mixed patterns within 4955-4980 in last 2 hours yesterday therefore sustaining above 4980 is must for next up moves today. Next immediate resistance is between 5020-5060 therefore firstly quiet markets expected near about yesterday closing(4971) and market will prepare for next moves between 4950-5000.
Long term trend decider 4720-5229
Technical Analysis and Research For 28-09-2011
Nifty-EOD Chart(27-Sep-2011):-
Conclusions
Correction started on 05-11-2010 from 6339 and after 9 months correction Nifty is range bound within 4720-5229 for the last 35 sessions. Range bound moves and following lines are being continuously told for this market since 16.09-2011 and also being repeated again:-
1- Markets always require completion consolidation for any rally after such big fall. Big rally started in March 2009 after lower level 5 monthe range bound consolidations.
2- Investment decisions,long term positions and Portfolio management should be done according to break out of mentioned range.
3- As range bound markets therefore short term targets should remain within range with stop loss beyond range.
Break out of this range will give following moves confirmation:-
1- Sustaining above 5229 will be completion of last 10 months correction and strong rally will be seen to test minimum 200 Day EMA which is today at 5407. I would like add here that new top formation will also be considered after sustaining above 5740.
2- Sustaing below 4720 will mean crashing like situation and then deep down moves will be seen.
Resistances and supports between 4720-5229 are as follows:-
Next supports:-
1- Consolidation between 4758-4805
2 Consolidation between 4832-4881
Next resistances:-
1- Next immediate resistance 5020-5060
2- Strong resistance No.1- 5120-5160
3- Strong resistance No.2- 5167-5220
Global cues led violently volatile markets for the last many sessions and above mentioned ranges as well as technical positions within them will give next decisive moves first indication. I clearly mean to say that:-
1- Selling patterns within supports ranges will be breaking down(crossing 4720) strong indication.
2- Consolidation patterns within resistances ranges will be breaking out(crossing 5229) strong indication.
Market Outlook(28-09-2011)
US markets are more than 2.5% up at this moment but Asian markets reaction will decide Indian markets opening and today trading first range. Next resistance is at 5020 and its testing is possible but sustaining above 5060 will be next sharp up moves confirmation.
Market require complete selling patterns for any type of down moves and until fresh selling will not develop till then down moves will not be considered.
Nifty-EOD Chart(27-Sep-2011):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Correction started on 05-11-2010 from 6339 and after 9 months correction Nifty is range bound within 4720-5229 for the last 35 sessions. Range bound moves and following lines are being continuously told for this market since 16.09-2011 and also being repeated again:-
1- Markets always require completion consolidation for any rally after such big fall. Big rally started in March 2009 after lower level 5 monthe range bound consolidations.
2- Investment decisions,long term positions and Portfolio management should be done according to break out of mentioned range.
3- As range bound markets therefore short term targets should remain within range with stop loss beyond range.
Break out of this range will give following moves confirmation:-
1- Sustaining above 5229 will be completion of last 10 months correction and strong rally will be seen to test minimum 200 Day EMA which is today at 5407. I would like add here that new top formation will also be considered after sustaining above 5740.
2- Sustaing below 4720 will mean crashing like situation and then deep down moves will be seen.
Resistances and supports between 4720-5229 are as follows:-
Next supports:-
1- Consolidation between 4758-4805
2 Consolidation between 4832-4881
Next resistances:-
1- Next immediate resistance 5020-5060
2- Strong resistance No.1- 5120-5160
3- Strong resistance No.2- 5167-5220
Global cues led violently volatile markets for the last many sessions and above mentioned ranges as well as technical positions within them will give next decisive moves first indication. I clearly mean to say that:-
1- Selling patterns within supports ranges will be breaking down(crossing 4720) strong indication.
2- Consolidation patterns within resistances ranges will be breaking out(crossing 5229) strong indication.
Market Outlook(28-09-2011)
US markets are more than 2.5% up at this moment but Asian markets reaction will decide Indian markets opening and today trading first range. Next resistance is at 5020 and its testing is possible but sustaining above 5060 will be next sharp up moves confirmation.
Market require complete selling patterns for any type of down moves and until fresh selling will not develop till then down moves will not be considered.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 27-Sep-2011
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(27-Sep-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Long White Candle.
2- All the Indices closed in Green.
3- Global cues led strong markets today.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.99
Nifty P/E Ratio(27-Sep-2011): 17.95
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1877
BSE DECLINES : 953
NSE ADVANCES : 1133
NSE DECLINES : 299
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4900 CE(Sep)- -567800(-10.88%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Sep)- +2660500(+58.03%)
Nifty- 5000 CE(Sep)- +543850(+8.02%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Sep)- +2583500(+62.27%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,971.25(+135.85 Points & +2.81%)
Sensex- closed at 16,524.03(+472.93 Points & +2.95% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,169.90(+97.95 Points & +1.39%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 7,017.27(+93.86 Points & +1.36%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 28-09-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5077
R2 5029
R1 5000
Avg 4952
S1 4923
S2 4875
S3 4846
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5049 Trgt 2
H5 5031 Trgt 1
H4 5013 Long breakout
H3 4992 Go Short
H2 4985
H1 4978
L1 4963
L2 4956
L3 4949 Long
L4 4928 Short Breakout
L5 4910 Trgt 1
L6 4892 Trgt 2
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 28-09-2011
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels
R3 5093
R2 5041
R1 5009
Avg 4957
S1 4925
S2 4873
S3 4841
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5062 Trgt 2
H5 5042 Trgt 1
H4 5023 Long breakout
H3 5000 Go Short
H2 4992
H1 4984
L1 4969
L2 4961
L3 4953 Long
L4 4930 Short Breakout
L5 4911 Trgt 1
L6 4891 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 28-09-2011
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels
R3 9885
R2 9780
R1 9711
Avg 9606
S1 9537
S2 9432
S3 9363
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 9819 Trgt 2
H5 9779 Trgt 1
H4 9738 Long breakout
H3 9690 Go Short
H2 9674
H1 9658
L1 9627
L2 9611
L3 9595 Long
L4 9547 Short Breakout
L5 9506 Trgt 1
L6 9466 Trgt 2
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