ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 20-Sep-2011
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(20-Sep-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Long White Candle.
2- Green Closing.
3- All the Indices closed in Green and most with good gains.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.18
Nifty P/E Ratio(20-Sep-2011): 18.56
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1838
BSE DECLINES : 977
NSE ADVANCES : 989
NSE DECLINES : 441
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5000 CE(Sep)- -408350(-7.09%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Sep)- +1465350(+18.29%)
Nifty- 5100 CE(Sep)- -555550(-10.13%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Sep)- +1898450(+50.30%)
Nifty- 5200 CE(Sep)- +546050(+8.72%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Sep)- +1277350(+74.71%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,140.20(+108.25 Points & +2.15%)
Sensex- closed at 17,099.28(+353.93 Points & +2.11% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,391.50(+59.65 Points & +0.81%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 7,300.17(+88.64 Points & +1.23%)
Accurate global sentiment recovery prediction at 01:34 AM Today
when Dow closed 108 points down at 01:30 AM and all the European markets closed in deep Red and sentiment was completely depressed then following line was told for Global markets sentiment in this Blog at 01:34 AM today
"global sentiment recovery is also expected today"
As was told for global sentiment,same happened today and Dow Futures was 60 points down in the morning today but recovered and 100 points up at this moment as we;ll as all the European markets are also 1.2% to 2.35% positive at this moment.
"global sentiment recovery is also expected today"
As was told for global sentiment,same happened today and Dow Futures was 60 points down in the morning today but recovered and 100 points up at this moment as we;ll as all the European markets are also 1.2% to 2.35% positive at this moment.
Proofs of Up Moves Prediction at 01:34 AM Today
More than 2% sharp rally seen in Indian markets today but when Dow closed 108 points down at 01:30 AM then positives market in following line was told only and only in this Blog at 01:34 AM today :-
As yesterday intraday good support at lower levels and global sentiment recovery is also expected today therefore yesterday range upward break out possibility can not be ruled out now.
As yesterday intraday good support at lower levels and global sentiment recovery is also expected today therefore yesterday range upward break out possibility can not be ruled out now.
Pre-Closing Outlook(20-09-2011)
Good consolidation yesterday and today patterns are also showing good consolidation formations. Trading at present between strong resistance range(5100-5130) but above it also multiple resistances upto 5220.
As good consolidation today also therefore crossing and sustaining above 5130 possibility is high now.
As good consolidation today also therefore crossing and sustaining above 5130 possibility is high now.
Mid-session Outlook-3(20-09-2011)
Dow Futures was 60 points down in the morning but recovered and 20 points up at this moment. All the European markets also moved up from lower levels today and now .75% to 1.75% positive at this moment.
Yesterday good support at lower levels and rally is continued because sentiment also improved today. Nifty is trading between strong resistance range(5100-5220) abd good consolidation is reqiuired within it for every rise.
Good selling was seen between 5100-5130 on 18-09-2011 and sustaining above 5130 will be first strong indication of up moves.
Mid-session Outlook-2(20-09-2011)
Good selling was between 5100-5130 on 18-09-2011 and sustaining above 5130 will be first step toward any up move and market require complete consolidation for crossing and sustaining above 5130. As strong resistances between 5120-5220 therefore follow up consolidation is must for any decisive rally.
Although profit booking signals emerged between 5085-5095 today but good lower level buying also seen yesterday and today therefore firstly sustaining beyond 5085-5095 today will be next moves first strong indication and should be watched first of all today.
Mid-session Outlook(20-09-2011)
Profit booking signals emerging between 5085-5095 today and sustaining beyond this range will be watched first..
Post-open Outlook(20-09-2011)
US markets closed at 01:30 AM today and its impact on Asian markets was updated at 01:34 AM and following lines were told which proved 100% immediately after opening today morning:-
"Asian markets will not crash today morning. Nifty traded yesterday between 5020-5060 with good support at lower levels therefore yesterday trading range break out will be watched firstly for next moves confirmations"
"expected today therefore yesterday range upward break out possibility can not be ruled out now"
Yesterday good support has already been explained in Technical Analysis,Researches & Market Outlook(20-09-2011)
Upmoves will be seen today.
"Asian markets will not crash today morning. Nifty traded yesterday between 5020-5060 with good support at lower levels therefore yesterday trading range break out will be watched firstly for next moves confirmations"
"expected today therefore yesterday range upward break out possibility can not be ruled out now"
Yesterday good support has already been explained in Technical Analysis,Researches & Market Outlook(20-09-2011)
Upmoves will be seen today.
Pre-open Outlook(20-09-2011)
US markets recovered nicely from intraday lower levels today therefore sentiment improved and Asian markets will not crash today morning. Nifty traded yesterday between 5020-5060 with good support at lower levels therefore yesterday trading range break out will be watched firstly for next moves confirmations.
As yesterday intraday good support at lower levels and global sentiment recovery is also expected today therefore yesterday range upward break out possibility can not be ruled out now.
Technical Analysis,Researches & Market Outlook(20-09-2011)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(19-Sep-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 5050-5060
2- Buying between 5020-5030
3- Following Bullish Formations in last 4 hours:-
A- 4 Falling Channel formations
B- Break out of all falling channels
C- Bullish falling Wedge pattern formation in 3rd Falling Channel.
4- Whole day trading between 5020-5060
Conclusions
Nifty traded whole day between 40 points with minor intraday selling at higher levels and lower levels buying also but last 4 hours intraday patterns are showing consolidation patterns between 5020-5045 which has been explained above.
Global markets are crashing today and all the US and European markets are more than 2% down at this moment and more weakness may be seen tomorrow because all trends are down and good selling between 5100-5220 in Indian markets.
Although Nifty got support at lower levels and last 4 hours intraday consolidation patterns also between 5020-5045 today but global cues are most depressing therefore firstly slipping below 5020 and then sustaining below following strong supports levels will be deeper down moves confirmation:-
1- 4969-5000
2- 4912-4936
Crashing global markets and Nifty is trading between 4720-5229 for the last 29 sessions with strong supports at lower levels and good resistance at higher levels. Multiple supports and resistances between 29 session range and next moves will get confirmation from break out of any side level one by one. Final next long term trend confirmation will be sustaining beyond mentioned 29 session range and detailed analysis of this range has already been explained on September 16, 2011,which is being reproduced as follows:-
Technical Analysis and Research
Nifty-EOD Chart(15-Sep-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Falling trendline resistance at the top of 27 sesions range.
2- 10 Months Bearish market
3- 94 Points Gap on 05-08-2011
4- 27 sessions range bound markets between 4720-5229
5- Strong resistance range is 5120-5220 within 27 days range
Conclusions
All trends are down and Indian markets are slipping for the last 10 months. Nifty opened 94 points gap down on 05-08-2011 and since then 27 sessions range bound markets between 4720-5229.
Markets always require completion consolidation for any rally after such big fall. Big rally started in March 2009 after lower level 5 monthe range bound consolidations. As range bound markets signals are emerging between 4720-5229 therefore this range break out will decide that 10 months long long term correction is over or not.Investment decisions,long term positions and Portfolio management should be done according to break out of mentioned range.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 5050-5060
2- Buying between 5020-5030
3- Following Bullish Formations in last 4 hours:-
A- 4 Falling Channel formations
B- Break out of all falling channels
C- Bullish falling Wedge pattern formation in 3rd Falling Channel.
4- Whole day trading between 5020-5060
Conclusions
Nifty traded whole day between 40 points with minor intraday selling at higher levels and lower levels buying also but last 4 hours intraday patterns are showing consolidation patterns between 5020-5045 which has been explained above.
Global markets are crashing today and all the US and European markets are more than 2% down at this moment and more weakness may be seen tomorrow because all trends are down and good selling between 5100-5220 in Indian markets.
Although Nifty got support at lower levels and last 4 hours intraday consolidation patterns also between 5020-5045 today but global cues are most depressing therefore firstly slipping below 5020 and then sustaining below following strong supports levels will be deeper down moves confirmation:-
1- 4969-5000
2- 4912-4936
Crashing global markets and Nifty is trading between 4720-5229 for the last 29 sessions with strong supports at lower levels and good resistance at higher levels. Multiple supports and resistances between 29 session range and next moves will get confirmation from break out of any side level one by one. Final next long term trend confirmation will be sustaining beyond mentioned 29 session range and detailed analysis of this range has already been explained on September 16, 2011,which is being reproduced as follows:-
Long Term Trend Deciding 27 Sessions Range(4720-5229)
Nifty-EOD Chart(15-Sep-2011):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Falling trendline resistance at the top of 27 sesions range.
2- 10 Months Bearish market
3- 94 Points Gap on 05-08-2011
4- 27 sessions range bound markets between 4720-5229
5- Strong resistance range is 5120-5220 within 27 days range
Conclusions
All trends are down and Indian markets are slipping for the last 10 months. Nifty opened 94 points gap down on 05-08-2011 and since then 27 sessions range bound markets between 4720-5229.
Markets always require completion consolidation for any rally after such big fall. Big rally started in March 2009 after lower level 5 monthe range bound consolidations. As range bound markets signals are emerging between 4720-5229 therefore this range break out will decide that 10 months long long term correction is over or not.Investment decisions,long term positions and Portfolio management should be done according to break out of mentioned range.
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(19-Sep-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Red Closing
2- Black Candle
3- All the Indices closed in Red except Auto and CD.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.20
Nifty P/E Ratio(19-Sep-2011): 18.17
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1333
BSE DECLINES : 1452
NSE ADVANCES : 635
NSE DECLINES : 783
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5000 CE(Sep)- +167300(+2.99%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Sep)- -7150(-0.09%)
Nifty- 5100 CE(Sep)- -73600(-1.32%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Sep)- -135600(-3.47%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,031.95(+52.30 Points & +1.03%)
Sensex- closed at 16,745.35(-188.48 Points & -1.11% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,331.85(-14.60Points & -0.20%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 7,211.53(+-1.49 Points &-0.02%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-09-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5108
R2 5088
R1 5059
Avg 5039
S1 5010
S2 4990
S3 4961
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5080 Trgt 2
H5 5069 Trgt 1
H4 5057 Long breakout
H3 5044 Go Short
H2 5039
H1 5035
L1 5026
L2 5022
L3 5017 Long
L4 5004 Short Breakout
L5 4992 Trgt 1
L6 4981 Trgt 2
R3 5108
R2 5088
R1 5059
Avg 5039
S1 5010
S2 4990
S3 4961
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5080 Trgt 2
H5 5069 Trgt 1
H4 5057 Long breakout
H3 5044 Go Short
H2 5039
H1 5035
L1 5026
L2 5022
L3 5017 Long
L4 5004 Short Breakout
L5 4992 Trgt 1
L6 4981 Trgt 2
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-09-2011
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels
R3 5107
R2 5085
R1 5061
Avg 5039
S1 5015
S2 4993
S3 4969
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5083 Trgt 2
H5 5072 Trgt 1
H4 5062 Long breakout
H3 5049 Go Short
H2 5045
H1 5041
L1 5032
L2 5028
L3 5024 Long
L4 5011 Short Breakout
L5 5001 Trgt 1
L6 4990 Trgt 2
R3 5107
R2 5085
R1 5061
Avg 5039
S1 5015
S2 4993
S3 4969
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5083 Trgt 2
H5 5072 Trgt 1
H4 5062 Long breakout
H3 5049 Go Short
H2 5045
H1 5041
L1 5032
L2 5028
L3 5024 Long
L4 5011 Short Breakout
L5 5001 Trgt 1
L6 4990 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-09-2011
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels
R3 9765
R2 9710
R1 9636
Avg 9581
S1 9507
S2 9452
S3 9378
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 9692 Trgt 2
H5 9663 Trgt 1
H4 9633 Long breakout
H3 9598 Go Short
H2 9586
H1 9574
L1 9551
L2 9539
L3 9527 Long
L4 9492 Short Breakout
L5 9462 Trgt 1
L6 9433 Trgt 2
R3 9765
R2 9710
R1 9636
Avg 9581
S1 9507
S2 9452
S3 9378
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 9692 Trgt 2
H5 9663 Trgt 1
H4 9633 Long breakout
H3 9598 Go Short
H2 9586
H1 9574
L1 9551
L2 9539
L3 9527 Long
L4 9492 Short Breakout
L5 9462 Trgt 1
L6 9433 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(19-09-2011)
It was clearly told that Indian markets are not prepared for any side decisive moves and will prepare for next moves today. Nifty traded whole day between 5024-5060 and could not test mentioned ranges in previous outlooks today.
Minor selling(5050-5060) seen at higher levels and minor support also seen at lower levels between 5024-5030 today.
Indian markets out performed whole day global markets and now trading 1.00% down while US futures is more than 165 points down and European markets are also trading 2% to 3% down as well as all other Asian markets closed 1% to 2.75% down.
Both intraday selling patterns and buying formations but Indian markets out performed global markets today therefore today trading range(5024-5060) break out will be next moves confirmations and should be watched first in the coming sessions.
Minor selling(5050-5060) seen at higher levels and minor support also seen at lower levels between 5024-5030 today.
Indian markets out performed whole day global markets and now trading 1.00% down while US futures is more than 165 points down and European markets are also trading 2% to 3% down as well as all other Asian markets closed 1% to 2.75% down.
Both intraday selling patterns and buying formations but Indian markets out performed global markets today therefore today trading range(5024-5060) break out will be next moves confirmations and should be watched first in the coming sessions.
Post-open Outlook-2(19-09-2011)
Dow's Futures is trading more than 140 points down and European markets Futures are also .95% to 1:50% down today. All Asian markets are .75% to 2.10% down therefore sentiment is dampened today morning and negative zone trading is being seen after gap down opening today but Indian markets are out performing Global markets and now 60% down.
As good selling at higher levels above 5100 and good buying at lower levels also below 5000 therefore market require complete prepartion for next decisive moves. Coming hours intraday charts formations will give next moves first indication and and conclusions will be updated in the Blog.
Following levels break out will also give next moves indications therefore should be watched also;-
1- 5030-5075 for 1st indication.
2- 4969-5130 for confirmations.
Post-open Outlook(19-09-2011)
Selling and higher levels between 5100-5130 and buying at lower levels between 4969-5000 in two previous sessions. Next moves preparation range is 5000-5100 and Nifty will trade between this range today and prepare for next moves. Follow up buying/selling will decide that Nifty will break 5130 or 4969 for next decisive trend.
Let market prepare for next moves then will be updated in the Blog according to intraday charts formations.
NIFTY-Sep F&O-1st Shorting of 16-09-2011-Covering
NIFTY Sep F & O(Shorted on 16-09-2011)-Cover and book profit immediately-CMP- 5041
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