Intraday selling between 5275-5300 seen after sharp down today therefore more down moves will be seen in the coming sessions.
ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
'DTAA renegotiation' news Triggered Indian Bear Markets
"India and Mauritius are expected to review the existing Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement (DTAA) soon"
34 sessions range broken down by force and Indian markets fell sharply on concerns that the India government may renegotiate its tax avoidance treaty with the island country, which could lead to lesser incentives to invest in the country via Mauritius route.
Bullish markets all hopes finished today after Nifty fall below 5329 because:-
1- 34 sessions range broken down
2- 18 Months Rising trend line broken down.
3- Last 4 months Head & shoulders neckline broken down.
All trends were already down and above 3 developments in EOD charts triggered bear markets confirmation after India and Mauritius Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement (DTAA) renegotiation news.
As soon as we got first indication of down moves then weakness was immediately told within first 8 minutes when Nifty was trading near higher levels of today and also gave next moves confirmation levels.
Post-open Outlook-2(20-06-2011)
Last 4 months Head & shoulders neckline and 18 months Rising trend line broken down today after moves below 5356. Although Indian markets were positive but showed weakness then it was immediately told within first 8 minutes when Nifty was trading near higher levels of today.
Nifty slipped below 5329 and forceful breaking down of last 34 sessions range therefore it means long bearish phase beginning.
Nifty slipped below 5329 and forceful breaking down of last 34 sessions range therefore it means long bearish phase beginning.
Post-open Outlook(20-06-2011)
Weak opening today morning. Follow up buying is must for any up move from here. Last Friday trading range(5356-5387)break out and sustaining beyond will be watched for next moves confirmations.
Pre-open Outlook(20-06-2011)
Most of the Asian markets are positive therefore sentiment is good today morning and expected that Nifty will trade within last Friday trading range(5356-5387) after positive opening. Nifty consolidated within this range last Friday therefore a bounce back is expected and follow up buying today will mean pull back rally possibility.
Expected that Nifty will firstly trade between 5356-5420 after Green opening and will finally close positive after more consolidations.
Expected that Nifty will firstly trade between 5356-5420 after Green opening and will finally close positive after more consolidations.
Weekly Outlook(Jun 20 to Jun 24,2011)
Technical Analysis and Research of EOD charts,Micro Analysis of Nifty Intra Day Chart,Technical Positions,next possibilities have already been explained in following topics with 2 Charts therefore not being repeated:-
1- Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 20-06-2011
2- Crucial Rising Trend line
3- Daily Indicators and Averages Analysis
34 Sessions range bound market
All trends are down and Nifty is sustaining below 200 Day EMA for the last 34 sessions and trading range bound between 5329-5604. Support and Resistances within this range are as follows;-
1- Support between 5329-5375
2- Resistance No.-1 between 5424-5442
3- Resistance No.-2 between 5480-5605
Supports below 5329:-
Support1- 5233
Support2- 5178
Resistance above 5604:-
Resistance1- 5775
Resistance2- 5850
Resistance3- 5944
Nifty-EOD Chart(17-06-2011) showing range bound market:-
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
Nifty is sustaining below 200 Day EMA for the last 34 sessions and all trends are down therefore Bearish market is confirm and only following 2 crucial lines are supporting Indian markets:-
1- 18 months old Rising Trend line and Nifty again got support on it last Friday at 5356.
2- Last 34 sessions range bound market in which Nifty got support at 5329 on 25-05-2011.
Only above 2 positive patterns on EOD charts and until Nifty is sustaining above 2 lines till then upmoves and rally hopes are alive. Nifty sustaining below above 2 lines will be Indian Bearish markets confirmation because Nifty is already sustaining below 200 Day EMA for the last 34 sessions and all trtends are already down.
18 months old Rising Trend line and it gave support 6 times therefore sustaining beyond this line will be confirmation of Bullish or Bearish phase. Sustaining below 5356 will be first strong indication of Bearish market and its confirmation will be sustaining below 5329.
Very short term indicators are suggesting bounce back and last Friday intraday charts are showing consolidation therefore an upmove expected on Monday but good selling at higher levels therefore market require complete consolidation for sustained rally and decisive up moves and its confirmation will be after crossing next crucial resistance(5442).
As intraday consolidation patterns therefore positive market expected on next Monday. Expected that Nifty will trade within 5329-5604 in the coming week.
Sustaining beyond 18 months old Rising Trend Line(last Friday at 5356) will be first strong Indication of Next Indian markets therefore it should be watched first of all for next move confirmations
1- Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 20-06-2011
2- Crucial Rising Trend line
3- Daily Indicators and Averages Analysis
34 Sessions range bound market
All trends are down and Nifty is sustaining below 200 Day EMA for the last 34 sessions and trading range bound between 5329-5604. Support and Resistances within this range are as follows;-
1- Support between 5329-5375
2- Resistance No.-1 between 5424-5442
3- Resistance No.-2 between 5480-5605
Supports below 5329:-
Support1- 5233
Support2- 5178
Resistance above 5604:-
Resistance1- 5775
Resistance2- 5850
Resistance3- 5944
Nifty-EOD Chart(17-06-2011) showing range bound market:-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Nifty is sustaining below 200 Day EMA for the last 34 sessions and all trends are down therefore Bearish market is confirm and only following 2 crucial lines are supporting Indian markets:-
1- 18 months old Rising Trend line and Nifty again got support on it last Friday at 5356.
2- Last 34 sessions range bound market in which Nifty got support at 5329 on 25-05-2011.
Only above 2 positive patterns on EOD charts and until Nifty is sustaining above 2 lines till then upmoves and rally hopes are alive. Nifty sustaining below above 2 lines will be Indian Bearish markets confirmation because Nifty is already sustaining below 200 Day EMA for the last 34 sessions and all trtends are already down.
18 months old Rising Trend line and it gave support 6 times therefore sustaining beyond this line will be confirmation of Bullish or Bearish phase. Sustaining below 5356 will be first strong indication of Bearish market and its confirmation will be sustaining below 5329.
Very short term indicators are suggesting bounce back and last Friday intraday charts are showing consolidation therefore an upmove expected on Monday but good selling at higher levels therefore market require complete consolidation for sustained rally and decisive up moves and its confirmation will be after crossing next crucial resistance(5442).
As intraday consolidation patterns therefore positive market expected on next Monday. Expected that Nifty will trade within 5329-5604 in the coming week.
Sustaining beyond 18 months old Rising Trend Line(last Friday at 5356) will be first strong Indication of Next Indian markets therefore it should be watched first of all for next move confirmations
Daily Indicators and Averages Analysis
Daily Indicators and Averages Analysis Chart:-
Conclusions
1- Averages(EMA-8,21,55,200)- All lower period EMAs are below higher period EMAs and Nifty is trading below all the averages. It is most bearish situation.
2- Bollinger Band- Nifty closed near Lower Band and a bounce back can be expected if market consolidate here.
3- MACD- MACD line intersected downward Average Line and it is down move beginning strong indication.
4- ROC & RSI- Both lines are below equalibrium line and above oversold line. Both are in negative zone without any divergence and RSI is slipping therefore indicating more possibility of down moves.
5- Slow Stochastic & William %R- Both very short term indicators are in oversold zone therefore indicating a bounce back possibility after some more consolidations.
Conclusions (After Putting All Indicators Together)
Indicators are showing more weakness. As very short term indicators are oversold and suggesting bounce back possibility only after some more consolidations.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Averages(EMA-8,21,55,200)- All lower period EMAs are below higher period EMAs and Nifty is trading below all the averages. It is most bearish situation.
2- Bollinger Band- Nifty closed near Lower Band and a bounce back can be expected if market consolidate here.
3- MACD- MACD line intersected downward Average Line and it is down move beginning strong indication.
4- ROC & RSI- Both lines are below equalibrium line and above oversold line. Both are in negative zone without any divergence and RSI is slipping therefore indicating more possibility of down moves.
5- Slow Stochastic & William %R- Both very short term indicators are in oversold zone therefore indicating a bounce back possibility after some more consolidations.
Conclusions (After Putting All Indicators Together)
Indicators are showing more weakness. As very short term indicators are oversold and suggesting bounce back possibility only after some more consolidations.
Crucial Rising Trend line
Technical Analysis and Research
Nifty-EOD Chart(17-06-2011):-
Main Features
1- started on 03/11/2009 from 4538
2- Nifty got support on it 6 times in last 18 months
3- 1st support in Feb 2010
4- 2nd support in May 2010
5- Both Supports at 200 Day EMA
6- 4 Times support on Rising Trend line in last 4 months(Lowest at 5177).
7- 4 Times Resistances at 200 Day EMA in last 4 months(Highest at 5604).
(Above Research is revealed first time only in this Blog and will not be not be available in any other Website or Business news Channel. Final conclusions and its implications will be posted in the coming topics within 20 hours)
Nifty-EOD Chart(17-06-2011):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- started on 03/11/2009 from 4538
2- Nifty got support on it 6 times in last 18 months
3- 1st support in Feb 2010
4- 2nd support in May 2010
5- Both Supports at 200 Day EMA
6- 4 Times support on Rising Trend line in last 4 months(Lowest at 5177).
7- 4 Times Resistances at 200 Day EMA in last 4 months(Highest at 5604).
(Above Research is revealed first time only in this Blog and will not be not be available in any other Website or Business news Channel. Final conclusions and its implications will be posted in the coming topics within 20 hours)
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 17-Jun-2011
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11 Recent Topics,Technical Analysis,News & Research For 20-06-2011 Trading
11 Topics have been posted for 20-06-2011 trading and more topics will be posted today and in next 2 days.Just click at following topics names and go through as well as analyse Chart:-
Topics prepared by Enjoy Daily Profits
1-Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jun 20 to Jun 24,2011)
2-Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-06-2011
3-Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-06-2011
4-Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-06-2011
5-Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(17-06-2011)
6-Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 20-06-2011
7-FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 17-Jun-2011
8-FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 17-Jun-2011
Important News
1-Pranab asks banks to improve asset quality
2-RBI says it has no magic wand to bring down inflation
3-Sensex posts worst weekly fall in six
Topics prepared by Enjoy Daily Profits
1-Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jun 20 to Jun 24,2011)
2-Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-06-2011
3-Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-06-2011
4-Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-06-2011
5-Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(17-06-2011)
6-Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 20-06-2011
7-FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 17-Jun-2011
8-FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 17-Jun-2011
Important News
1-Pranab asks banks to improve asset quality
2-RBI says it has no magic wand to bring down inflation
3-Sensex posts worst weekly fall in six
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 20-06-2011
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(17-06-2011):-
Main Features
1- First 2 hours Mixed patterns between 5375-5387
2- Last 3 hours Consolidation pattern between 5355-5375
Conclusions
Indian markets closed near lowest levels of the week but today intraday patterns are suggesting consolidaations(buying) within crucial support range(5329-5370). Although Indian markets closed in Red today but today consolidation patterns are indicating very short term up move on next Monday.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- First 2 hours Mixed patterns between 5375-5387
2- Last 3 hours Consolidation pattern between 5355-5375
Conclusions
Indian markets closed near lowest levels of the week but today intraday patterns are suggesting consolidaations(buying) within crucial support range(5329-5370). Although Indian markets closed in Red today but today consolidation patterns are indicating very short term up move on next Monday.
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(17-06-2011)
1- Long Black Candle.
2- Most Indices closed in Red except BANKEX,CD AND Power.
3- Whole day intraday consolidation(buying).
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 19.82
Nifty P/E Ratio(17-06-2011): 0.80
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 908
BSE DECLINES : 2005
NSE ADVANCES : 362
NSE DECLINES : 1065
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5300 CE(Jun)- +682050(+51.38%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Jun)- +460250(+6.30%)
Nifty- 5400 CE(Jun)- +671250(+15.51%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Jun)- -441650(-5.56%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Jun)- +1486750(+20.87%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Jun)- -479550(-11.27%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,366.40(-30.35 Points & -0.56%)
Sensex- closed at 17,870.53(-115.35 Points & -0.64%)
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,921.15(-53.00 Points & -0.66%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,174.49(-75.49 Points & -0.92%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-06-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5472
R2 5446
R1 5406
Avg 5380
S1 5340
S2 5314
S3 5274
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5432 Trgt 2
H5 5417 Trgt 1
H4 5402 Long breakout
H3 5384 Go Short
H2 5378
H1 5372
L1 5359
L2 5353
L3 5347 Long
L4 5329 Short Breakout
L5 5314 Trgt 1
L6 5299 Trgt 2
R3 5472
R2 5446
R1 5406
Avg 5380
S1 5340
S2 5314
S3 5274
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5432 Trgt 2
H5 5417 Trgt 1
H4 5402 Long breakout
H3 5384 Go Short
H2 5378
H1 5372
L1 5359
L2 5353
L3 5347 Long
L4 5329 Short Breakout
L5 5314 Trgt 1
L6 5299 Trgt 2
Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-06-2011
Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels
R3 5478
R2 5451
R1 5415
Avg 5388
S1 5352
S2 5325
S3 5289
Nifty(Jun Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5443 Trgt 2
H5 5428 Trgt 1
H4 5414 Long breakout
H3 5397 Go Short
H2 5391
H1 5385
L1 5374
L2 5368
L3 5362 Long
L4 5345 Short Breakout
L5 5331 Trgt 1
L6 5316 Trgt 2
R3 5478
R2 5451
R1 5415
Avg 5388
S1 5352
S2 5325
S3 5289
Nifty(Jun Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5443 Trgt 2
H5 5428 Trgt 1
H4 5414 Long breakout
H3 5397 Go Short
H2 5391
H1 5385
L1 5374
L2 5368
L3 5362 Long
L4 5345 Short Breakout
L5 5331 Trgt 1
L6 5316 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-06-2011
Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels
R3 10747
R2 10698
R1 10660
Avg 10611
S1 10573
S2 10524
S3 10486
Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10709 Trgt 2
H5 10689 Trgt 1
H4 10669 Long breakout
H3 10645 Go Short
H2 10637
H1 10629
L1 10614
L2 10606
L3 10598 Long
L4 10574 Short Breakout
L5 10554 Trgt 1
L6 10534 Trgt 2
R3 10747
R2 10698
R1 10660
Avg 10611
S1 10573
S2 10524
S3 10486
Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10709 Trgt 2
H5 10689 Trgt 1
H4 10669 Long breakout
H3 10645 Go Short
H2 10637
H1 10629
L1 10614
L2 10606
L3 10598 Long
L4 10574 Short Breakout
L5 10554 Trgt 1
L6 10534 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jun 20 to Jun 24,2011)
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 5590
R2 5555
R1 5460
Avg 5425
S1 5330
S2 5295
S3 5200
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 5495 Trgt 2
H5 5466 Trgt 1
H4 5437 Long breakout
H3 5401 Go Short
H2 5389
H1 5377
L1 5354
L2 5342
L3 5330 Long
L4 5294 Short Breakout
L5 5265 Trgt 1
L6 5236 Trgt 2
R3 5590
R2 5555
R1 5460
Avg 5425
S1 5330
S2 5295
S3 5200
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 5495 Trgt 2
H5 5466 Trgt 1
H4 5437 Long breakout
H3 5401 Go Short
H2 5389
H1 5377
L1 5354
L2 5342
L3 5330 Long
L4 5294 Short Breakout
L5 5265 Trgt 1
L6 5236 Trgt 2
Pre-closing Outlook(17-06-2011)
Nifty slipped below 5375 but lacking force. it should be kept in mind that 5329-5370 is strong support range and Indian markets requires complete selling patterns within this range for breaking 5329.
Intraday patterns between 5355-5375 showing consolidation patterns today therefore this range strengthened the support of 5329-5370 today.
Trading range of today 5355-5390 should be kept in mind for next move confirmations. Intraday patterns of today are suggesting consolidaations(buying) and only confirmation is required.
Intraday patterns between 5355-5375 showing consolidation patterns today therefore this range strengthened the support of 5329-5370 today.
Trading range of today 5355-5390 should be kept in mind for next move confirmations. Intraday patterns of today are suggesting consolidaations(buying) and only confirmation is required.
Mid-session Outlook(17-06-2011)
Nifty is trading between 5375-5387 for the last 2 hours and patterns are mixed therefore sustaining beyond will be next move first signal.
Post-open Outlook(17-06-2011)
Today trading range was given 5375-5410 and Nifty is traded within this range most of the time today. Strong support range at lower level within 5329-5370 and market require complete selling patterns for dipping within this range.
Although Indian markets slipped after opening today but patterns are not suggesting selling therefore sustaining beyond 5375 will be watched first.
Although Indian markets slipped after opening today but patterns are not suggesting selling therefore sustaining beyond 5375 will be watched first.
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