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NIFTY-FEB F&O-1ST BTST OF 08-02-2011-COVERING
NIFTY FEB F & O(1ST BTST BOUGHT ON 08-02-2011)-COVER IMMEDIATELY-CMP-5290(WE MAY BUY AGAIN BUT FIRST COVER FOR SAFETY)
NIFTY-FEB F&O-1ST BTST OF 08-02-2011-MESSAGE
NIFTY FEB F & O(1ST BTST BOUGHT ON 08-02-2011)-MARKET MAY BE VOLATILE.HOLD AND JUST WAIT MY COVERING MESSAGE FOR COVERING
Pull Back Rally expected from Today
Pre-Open Market Outlook(09-02-2011)
All trends are down and Nifty entered into strong support range(5210-5349) after steep intraday fall yesterday. Although Indian markets closed in deep Red yesterday but intraday charts are not suggesting selling patterns and showing consolidation formations therefore pull back rally/bouncing back possibility is alive today.
5335-5365 is first resistance range and its testing expected after positive opening today. As oversold indicators showing positive divergence therefore Pull Back Rally begining expected from today after yesterday intraday charts consolidation formations.
Positive opening to Green closing expected today.
NIFTY-FEB F&O-1ST BTST OF 08-02-2011-TRADE
NIFTY(FEB FUT-BUY-BTST)SL-5274-TGT-5384-CMP-5306
NIFTY(FEB CALL OPTION-BUY-BTST)-S.P.FOR CALL-5300,5400,5500-NIFTY(FEB FUT)-RATES ARE FOR SL-5274-TGT-5384 FOR ALL OPTIONS-CMP-5306
(NO COVERING TODAY.COVERING WILL BE DONE TOMORROW)
NIFTY(FEB CALL OPTION-BUY-BTST)-S.P.FOR CALL-5300,5400,5500-NIFTY(FEB FUT)-RATES ARE FOR SL-5274-TGT-5384 FOR ALL OPTIONS-CMP-5306
(NO COVERING TODAY.COVERING WILL BE DONE TOMORROW)
Mid-session outlook(08-02-2011)
Indian markets have entered into bear phase therefore trading long positions should not hold.Let up move confirm then fresh buying should be done.
Pre-Open Market Outlook(08-02-2011)
All trends are down. Nifty closd below Wave-3 trend line for the last 2 sessions and today closing below it will be trend line breaking down confirmation as well as technically confirmation bear market.
Wave-3 EOD Chart:-
Yesterday candle is "Harami Bullish" and intraday charts are showing mixed despite sharp slipping from higher levels. As mixed patterns therefore yesterday trading range(5380-5437) break out will be watched first for next move confirmations and break out implications are as follows:-
Breking out(crossing 5437) will mean minor pull back rally possibility with following resistances:-
1- 5450-5470
2- 5510-5560
Breking down(crossing 5380) will be 100% bear market confirmation and testing of following supports:-
1- 1st Support- 5349
2- 1st Strong Support Range-5210-5349.
Although Indicatiors started to show positive divergences in oversold zone but let down move stop and base formation start then any up move possibility will be considered. As supports at lower levels are strong therefore fresh distribution patterns are required to break supports.
Global cues are quiet today morning therefore Nifty will first hover around 5400 and prepare for next moves. As "Harami Bullish" candle yesterday therefore fresh selling today is must for breaking down yesterday range and fresh consolidation is also required to cross yesterday high therefore it is clear that Nifty will first prepare for next moves within yesterday range(5380-5437) and its break out will give next moves confirmations.
Better to watch break out 5380-5437 and get next immediate move confirmations.
Wave-3 EOD Chart:-
Yesterday candle is "Harami Bullish" and intraday charts are showing mixed despite sharp slipping from higher levels. As mixed patterns therefore yesterday trading range(5380-5437) break out will be watched first for next move confirmations and break out implications are as follows:-
Breking out(crossing 5437) will mean minor pull back rally possibility with following resistances:-
1- 5450-5470
2- 5510-5560
Breking down(crossing 5380) will be 100% bear market confirmation and testing of following supports:-
1- 1st Support- 5349
2- 1st Strong Support Range-5210-5349.
Although Indicatiors started to show positive divergences in oversold zone but let down move stop and base formation start then any up move possibility will be considered. As supports at lower levels are strong therefore fresh distribution patterns are required to break supports.
Global cues are quiet today morning therefore Nifty will first hover around 5400 and prepare for next moves. As "Harami Bullish" candle yesterday therefore fresh selling today is must for breaking down yesterday range and fresh consolidation is also required to cross yesterday high therefore it is clear that Nifty will first prepare for next moves within yesterday range(5380-5437) and its break out will give next moves confirmations.
Better to watch break out 5380-5437 and get next immediate move confirmations.
NIFTY-FEB F&O-1ST BTST OF 04-02-2011-COVERING
NIFTY FEB F & O(BTST BOUGHT ON 04-02-2011)-COVER AND BOOK PROFIT IMMEDIATELY-CMP-5402
Weekly Analysis- 07-02-2011 to 11-02-2011
Nifty sustained below 200-Day EMA And Nifty traded whole last week near Wave-3 trend line(5460) but sharply slipped below it in last one hour last Friday as well closed more than 1% down below it. These are technically Bear markets confirmation levels and moves.
Next support are as follows:-
1st Support- 5349
1st Strong Support Range-5210-5349.
It is clear that moving below 5210 will mean steep fall to test levels below 5000 but Nifty will not easily break 5210 because 5210-5349 is strong support range and complete selling requires to break it down.
Oscillators are oversold and also showing positive divergence therefore Minor pull back rally possibility can not be ruled out but long term trend is confirm down and until Nifty will not sustain above 200-Day EMA(5640) till then will not be up.
Weekly top and bottom formed in volatile last Friday(5369-5556) and its break out will be watched first in the coming sessions then final views for remaining whole week will be formed after confirmations.
NIFTY-FEB F&O-1ST BUYING OF 04-02-2011-TRADE
NIFTY(FEB FUT-BUY-BTST)SL-5324-TGT-5515-CMP-5365
NIFTY(FEB CALL OPTION-BUY-BTST)-S.P.FOR CALL-5400,5500-NIFTY(FEB FUT)-RATES ARE
FOR SL-5324-TGT-5515 FOR ALL OPTIONS-CMP-5365
(NO COVERING TODAY.COVERING WILL BE DONE IN NEXT WEEK)
NIFTY(FEB CALL OPTION-BUY-BTST)-S.P.FOR CALL-5400,5500-NIFTY(FEB FUT)-RATES ARE
FOR SL-5324-TGT-5515 FOR ALL OPTIONS-CMP-5365
(NO COVERING TODAY.COVERING WILL BE DONE IN NEXT WEEK)
Pre-Open Market Outlook(04-02-2011)
Following lines were told yesterday after last hour sharp fall following A.Raja arrest one day before:-
"Reasons for next bullish market view have been posted in previous outlooks and expecting rally in the coming weeks after sustaining above 5460."
Technically nothing was left to hope for bull markets except Wave-3 trend line(5460) and I non stop continuously told for the expectations of its survival. It was broken down but Nifty could not sustain below it and recovered nicely yesterday.
Technical requirements for next rally are as follows:-
1- Sustaining above 5460.
2- Sustaining above 200-day EMA(5643).
3- Crossing next resistance range(5680-5800)
As I have already told many times that Jan 2011 sharp down moves are only result of non stop big negative news. Last month begun with strong Bullish outlook and finished with most Bearish notes. Last month sharp falls are only on negative news based without much distribution patterns therefore resistances at higher levels are not much stronger. Let rally begun then sharp upmoves will be seen.
'ABC' correction was on for the last 4 months and its 'c' wave has been finished in last 3 sessions move near 5460. Fresh rally expected after 4 months correction completion.
Positive closing expected today.
RIL & ICICI BANK-FEB F&O-1ST BUYING OF 02-02-2011-COVERING
RIL & ICICI BANK- FEB F & O(BOUGHT ON 02-02-2011)-COVER AND BOOK PROFIT IMMEDIATELY-CMP-937 & 1032
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