As some Medical emergency in the family therefore perhaps will not be able to update Blog in the next 1/2 or more days.
ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
Finally Rally Continuation after Follow up Consolidation between 8443-8520
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(12-07-2016)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (11-Jul-2016):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- More than 100 points up in 1st minute after gap up opening.
2- More than 6 hours trading between 8443-8467
3- Whole day actual trading between 8426-8475
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As 100 points up in 1st minute after gap up opening with more than 6 hours trading at 1.5% higher levels between 8443-8467 therefore strong signal of Indian markets strength and rally continuation possibility above day's highest(8475.25).
Following resistances were updated on 03-07-2016 in "Rally Continuation Expectations towards its Minimum Target at 8543.65" and also have been repeated more than 5 times in previous Outlooks:-
1- 8470-8520
2- 8575-8652
Nifty tested and closed below 1st resistance today and sentiment has also turned heated after strong rally today therefore coming 1/2 sessions may remain sideways between 8443-8520 for follow up consolidation but expected that finally rally will remain continued after fresh consolidation after confirmation of last week correction completion today.
8295/8398 Will Confirm Nifty Target at and above 9764.10
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Jul 11 to Jul 15,2016)
Nifty-EOD Chart (08-Jul-2016):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Impulsive Wave-1 beginning after bottom formation at 6825.80 on 29-02-2016
2- Wave-1(7992 on 28-04-2016)
3- Wave-2(7678.35 on 06-05-2016)
4- Wave-i of Wave-3(8294.95 on 07-06-2016)
5- Wave-ii of Wave-3(7927.05 on 24-06-2016)
6- Wave-iii of Wave-3(recent top formation at 8398.45 on 04-07-2016)
7- Short Term Correction continuation with recent bottom formation at 8287.55 on 08-07-2016
Huge Inverse Head and Shoulders formations in last 8 months
Nifty-EOD Chart (08-Jul-2016):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Head formation at 6825.80
2- Neckline of pattern beginning from 8336.30 on 26-10-2015 and completion at 8294.95 on 07-06-2016
3- 8294.95-6825.80= 1469.15 points minimum distance between Head and Neckline
4- Neckline was broken out on 01-07-2016 and last 5 sessions closing above it
5- Inverse Head and Shoulders Neckline broken out confirmation will mean next target of Nifty at 8294.95+1469.15=9764.10
Intra Day Chart Analysis(08-07-2016)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (08-Jul-2016):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Sharp down immediately after positive opening
2- Little up moves after strong opening of all European markets
3- More than 6 hours sideways trading with consolidation indications between 8288-8333
4- Whole day actual trading between 8288-8347
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although most Asian markets were weak last Friday morning but Indian markets out performed and opened positive. As Sharp down also immediately after positive opening therefore lost strength and under performed also through little up moves after strong opening of most European markets.
As more than 6 hours sideways trading with consolidation indications also between 8288-8333 therefore up moves beginning above day's highest(8347) have turned alive.
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
Trends of Nifty are as follows:-
1- Long Term Trend is up.
2- Intermediate Term Trend was sideways within previous 25 sessions most time trading range(8064-8295) but strong signals of its turning up through last 6 sessions closing above it.
3- Short Term Trend has turned down after last week Short Term Correction.
Short Term Correction of Wave-iii of Wave-3 is on and no confirmation of its completion yet. Although correction in previous week but as such good selling was not seen and sufficient consolidation patterns have also developed therefore expected that on going rally will remain continued without too much slipping.
Most Crucial level in the next week will be 8295 because final confirmation of sustaining above it will mean:-
1- Strong indication of last week started Short Term Correction completion
2- Neckline(8295) break out confirmation of last 8 months Huge Inverse Head and Shoulders
3- Fresh rally beginning after Wave-iii of Wave-3 correction completion
Last week correction between 8288-8398 and expected that Nifty will firstly trade within this range in next week,finally valid break out of this range will decide the fate of on going correction but expected that rally will remain continued after follow up consolidation within this range and it should also be kept in mind that confirmation of sustaining above 8295/8398 will open the doors of on going Post Budget Rally target at and above 9764.10 according to Huge Inverse Head and Shoulders formations.
Next Decisive moves Confirmation from 8295-8398 amid Global Markets high Volatility
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(08-07-2016)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (07-Jul-2016):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 8333-8345
2- Up moves after strong opening of European markets
3- High volatility in last 2 hours
4- Whole day actual trading between 8318-8361
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As soon as intraday charts started to show selling patterns formations then we told following lines today at 12:16 PM in "Mid-session Outlook(07-07-2016)":-
1- intraday charts are showing some selling patterns formations
2- firstly valid break out of today highest(8345.60) should be watched now for next up moves beginning confirmations.
As selling developed immediately after opening today therefore slipping and new intraday lowest formations but strong up moves were also seen immediately after more than 1.25% strong opening of most European markets. We updated 8345.60 for next up moves beginning confirmations and Nifty could not sustain above it and closed below it at 8337.90 despite strong trading of all European markets today.
As Global markets are also highly volatile in last 2/3 sessions and high volatility was seen in last 2 hours of Indian markets also today as well as technical positions reverses in such high news based high volatility therefore it will be better to get next decisive moves confirmation from sustaining beyond 8295-8398.
We told for selling today at 12:16 PM and FIIs and Diis were net sellers in all the segments today which is clear from following figures:-
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 07-Jul-2016:-
FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 07-Jul-2016:-
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FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 07-Jul-2016:-
Mid-session Outlook(07-07-2016)
Although flat market since opening today but intraday charts are showing some selling patterns formations also because Brexit led weakness was seen in all Global markets yesterday and its reaction is being seen in Indian markets today therefore firstly valid break out of today highest(8345.60) should be watched now for next up moves beginning confirmations.
Finally Rally Continuation after Crashing Global markets led Minor Correction
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(07-07-2016)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (05-Jul-2016):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidation between 8336-8346
2- Double Bottom support between 8320-8328
3- Whole day Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels
4- Whole day actual trading between 8320-8364
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although closing near the lower levels of the day but intraday selling patterns were not seen and on the contrary consolidation with lower levels double bottom supports also developed therefore view will not be Bearish. As consolidation through whole day Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels formations also therefore expected that finally rally above the top(8398.45) of on going rally will remain continued because intraday charts of last 2 sessions have also shown sufficient consolidation patterns formations.
As following news therefore now most European markets are now more than 2.00% down and Dow's Futures is also trading 108 points weak after deep Red closing of most Asian markets:-
1- Dow futures slide almost 100 points as Brexit fears keep nagging
2- European stocks veer lower as Brexit fears keep biting
(Just click above topic links of news and go through in details)
Although Global markets are crashing like today and if such situation lasts till tomorrow also then initial weakness can not be ruled out in Indian markets but finally rally will remain continued after Global markets led minor correction completion because Indian markets out performed after Brexit referendum in previous week and last 3 sessions intraday charts are showing consolidation patterns formations also.
Finally Rally Continuation amid Very Short Term Correction Possibility
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(05-07-2016)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (04-Jul-2016):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Intraday corrections
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels
3- Whole day actual trading between 8365-8398
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As some Asian markets were trading strong today morning therefore gap up opening of Indian markets but slipping also after some weakness in most European markets. Although whole day sideways trading within 33 points and today closing near the lower levels of the day but intraday charts are showing consolidation patterns through intraday corrections and Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels also therefore view will remain Bullish. As Short Term Indicators have turned over bought after last 7 sessions Rally therefore Very Short Term correction is due which may be seen any day but finally rally will remain continued above today highest(8398.45).
Rally Continuation Expectations towards its Minimum Target at 8543.65
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Jul 04 to Jul 08,2016)
Nifty-EOD Chart (01-Jul-2016):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Impulsive Wave-1 beginning after bottom formation at 6825.80 on 29-02-2016
2- Wave-1(7992 on 28-04-2016)
3- Wave-2(7678.35 on 06-05-2016)
4- Wave-i of Wave-3(8294.95 on 07-06-2016)
5- Wave-ii of Wave-3(7927.05 on 24-06-2016)
6- Wave-iii of Wave-3 continuation with recent top formation at 8356.75 on 01-07-2016
Sideways corrections of whole Post-Budget Rally
Nifty-EOD Chart (01-Jul-2016):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Impulsive Wave-1 beginning after bottom formation at 6825.80 on 29-02-2016
2- Wave-1(7992 on 28-04-2016)
3- Wave-2(7678.35 on 06-05-2016)
4- Wave-3 continuation with recent top formation at 8356.75 on 01-07-2016
5- Sideways corrections after every 2/3 sessions up moves
6- Previous 25 sessions sideways trading range(8064-8295) broken down on 24-06-2016 but not sustaining below it and moved up after lowest formation at 7927.05
7- Previous 25 sessions sideways trading range(8064-8295) broken out and closing above it at 8328.35 on 01-07-2016
Intra Day Chart Analysis(01-07-2016)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (01-Jul-2016):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Minor selling patterns formation between 8345-8355
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels
3- Intraday corrections
4- Whole day actual trading between 8309-8356
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As Global markets cues were blasting therefore strong gap up opening and consolidation was also seen through sufficient intraday corrections and Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels but minor selling patterns formation also at higher levels of the day therefore some more consolidation is required for sustaining above day's highest. As both buying and selling patterns formations last Friday therefore expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next decisive moves within or near about day's trading range(8309-8356) in the beginning of next week but high possibility of on going rally continuation because more consolidation patterns formations than selling patterns.
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
Trends of Nifty are as follows:-
1- Long Term Trend is up through confirmation of sustaining above its decider 200 Day EMA(today at 7863).
2- Intermediate Term Trend was sideways within previous 25 sessions most time trading range(8064-8295) but first signal of its turning up through closing above it at 8328.35 after intraday highest formation at 8356.75 on 01-07-2016.
3- Short Term Trend has turned up after post Brexit strong rally.
It has been seen seen since the beginning of Post Budget-2016/17 Rally that market has corrected and consolidated within sideways trading range after every 2/3 sessions up moves,same was seen on 01-07-2016 also when previous 25 sessions sideways trading range(8064-8295) broken out and closing above it at 8328.35. It is confirm that once sustaining above 8295 will mean fresh rally towards following next resistances:-
1- 8470-8520
2- 8575-8652
As some higher levels intraday selling patterns formation and Bearish "Shooting Star Candle" formation on 01-07-2016 therefore some consolidation is firstly required in next week for fresh rally beginning and sustaining above last 25 sessions highest(8295).
As per Elliott Wave theory "Wave-3 should not be shorter than both Wave-1 and Wave-5". Impulsive Wave-3 is on and it should gain more points than Wave-1 gained.
Wave-i of Wave-3 gained 8294.95-7678.35=616.60 Points
Wave-iii of Wave-3 started from 7927.05 and and as per Elliott Wave theory it should gain minimum 616.60 points because it can not be shorter than Wave-i of Wave-3 therefore its minimum target is at:-
8543.65=7927.05(Wave-iii of Wave-3 started)+616.60(Wave-i of Wave-3)
As some selling patterns formations on 01-07-2016 therefore only sustaining above last 25 sessions highest(8295) should be firstly watched in next week because that will mean Nifty towards minimum target of 24-06-2016 started Wave-ii of Wave-3 at 8543.65. Indian markets are Bullish and expected that finally rally will remain continued towards and above 8543.65 after follow up consolidation in the coming 1/2 sessions.
Emergence of Fresh and Strong rally expectations above 8315 but after Complete Consolidation
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(01-07-2016)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (30-Jun-2016):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling Patterns between 8262-8277
2- 3 Hours Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
3- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
4- Mixed Patterns formations in last 2 hours between 8285-8308
5- Whole day actual trading between 8243-8308
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As all the Asian markets were blasting today morning therefore Strong gap up opening of Indian markets but continuous slipping in first 3 hours after some selling. As down moves were in Bullish Falling Channel and all the European markets recovered also after first 15 minutes weakness therefore fast up moves were seen in Indian markets.
Following resistances of Nifty with following line was updated on 16-06-2016 in "Finally Crucial Levels will decide Next Trend amid Brexit led Uncertainty" and were repeated also many times in previous Outlooks:-
1- 8242-8255
2- 8260-8315
3- 8470-8520
4- 8575-8652
(Sustaining above 2nd resistance range(8315) will be fresh strong rally confirmation)
Following topic was updated on 27-06-2016:-
Last 25 sessions most time trading between 8064-8295 and this range was broken down on 24-06-2016 after Brexit referendum but closed within it after lowest formation at 7927.05 and this range was broken out today also but again closed within it at 8287.75. It has been seen in all the post Budget 2016-17 Rally that market has completed all its corrections through sideways trading and it is also expected that on going 25 sessions sideways trading range will also broken out and fresh rally will start above last 25 sessions range highest(8295).
Nifty traded within 2nd resistance range with Mixed Patterns between 8285-8308 today because Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel were also seen within this range therefore Nifty slipped fast from higher levels. As Indian markets completely out performed European markets and moved up on its own technical strength today therefore emergence of fresh and strong rally expectations above 8315 but complete consolidation is firstly required in the coming sessions within or near about last 2 hours trading range(8285-8308) because it is lying between above mentioned 2nd resistance levels(8260-8315) and Mixed Patterns formations were also seen within it today.
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market
Outlook(30-06-2016)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (29-Jun-2016):-Outlook(30-06-2016)
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- First 3 hours trading with mixed Patterns formations between 8158-8186
2- Last 3 hours up moves after strong opening and continuous Rally of European markets
3- Whole day actual trading between 8158-8212
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As most Asian markets were trading strong today morning after Dow's rally of 269 points yesterday therefore strong gap up opening of Indian markets but traded sideways between 8158-8186 with mixed Patterns formations because both Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel and Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel were seen within this range.
Although today closing near the higher levels of the day but on the back of continuous more than 01.50% Rally of European markets after strong gap up opening. As Indian markets under performed Global markets and as such good intraday consolidation patterns were also not seen today therefore next trend will be decided according to fresh intraday trading patterns formations in the coming sessions.
As all the Global markets are highly volatile in this week after Braxit referendum and technical positions reverses also in such high volatility therefore sustaining beyond those next supports and resistances will decide next trend which have already been updated at 11:54 AM today in "Next Trend Confirmations from Supports & Resistances after Braxit led High Global markets Volatility"
Next Trend Confirmations from Supports & Resistances after Braxit led High Global markets Volatility
Mid-session Outlook(29-06-2016)
As Indian markets completely under performed Global markets yesterday therefore some down moves were expected today but all the Asian markets were trading with good gains today morning and some were more than 1% up after Dow's rally of 269 points yesterday therefore positive zone trading since opening in Indian markets today.
As selling yesterday therefore not sustaining at higher levels today and new intraday lowest formation at 11:17 AM after loosing all intraday gains.
All the Global markets are highly volatile in this week after Braxit referendum and technical positions reverses also in such high volatility also therefore sustaining beyond following next supports and resistances should be firstly watched for the confirmation of next trend.
Supports:-
1- 8070-8091
2- 7928-7970
Resistances:-
1- 8242-8255
2- 8260-8315
Firstly Watch 8040-8146 amid some Down Moves Expectations
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(29-06-2016)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (28-Jun-2016):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Mixed Patterns between 8106-8125
2- Slow up moves after more than 2% positive opening of European markets.
3- Minor selling between 8129-8133
4- Whole day actual trading between 8106-8146
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although Whole day Dow's Futures traded 100 to 200 points up and European markets opened more than 2% positive but slow up moves were seen in Indian markets after such strong trading of all European markets therefore selling on the back of strong intraday Global cues can not be ruled out today. As minor selling patterns formations in last hours and first 3 hours trading with mixed Patterns formations therefore view will not be Bullish despite Green closing after whole day positive zone trading today.
Nifty out performed Global markets yesterday between 8040-8120 and under performed Global markets today between 8106-8146 as well as both buying and selling between 8040-8146 in last 2 sessions therefore Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next trend within this range.
As Indian markets completely under performed Global markets today therefore some down moves below today lowest(8106) is expected in the coming sessions and first indication of next decisive moves will be after valid break out of 8040-8146.
Correction Completion Signals at 7927.05 Last Friday
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(28-06-2016)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (27-Jun-2016):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Whole day volatility only
2- Whole day actual trading between 8040-8120
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As whole day volatility only and as such no intraday pattern formations therefore no view can be formed from only intraday charts of today but Indian markets completely out performed European markets and Dow's Futures because these markets were in deep Red but Nifty closed with minor gains. European markets and Dow's Futures were trading in following manner just before the closing of Indian markets:-
1- DAX was trading 131.66(-1.38%) points down
2- FTSE 100 was trading 77.69(-1.27%) points down
3- CAC 40 was trading 55.23(-1.34%) points down
4- Dow's Futures was trading 81.0 points down
As almost whole day today trading was above previous 20 sessions trading range lowest(8064-8295) and today closing was also above 8064 despite deep Red European markets and Dow's Futures therefore fresh buying on the back of depressed sentiments can not be ruled out today.
As Brexit news led heavy selling in most Global markets therefore view will be cautious and firstly sustaining beyond 8064 should be watched in the coming sessions for those decisive moves which have already been updated in previous Outlook yesterday but emergence of on going correction completion signals at 7927.05 last Friday after complete out performance by Indian markets today.
Next Trend Decider in coming week is 8064
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Jun 27 to Jul 01,2016)
Nifty-EOD Chart (24-Jun-2016):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Impulsive Wave-1 beginning after bottom formation at 6825.80 on 29-02-2016
2- Wave-1(7992 on 28-04-2016)
3- Wave-2(7678.35 on 06-05-2016)
4- Wave-3(8294.95 on 07-06-2016)
5- Short Term Correction continuation with recent bottom formation at 7927.05 on 24-06-2016
6- Previous 20 sessions trading between 8064-8295
7- Long Term Trend is up after sustaining above its decider 200 Day EMA(today at 7863)
Retracement Levels of Post Budget Rally
Nifty-EOD Chart (24-Jun-2016):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Impulsive Wave-1 beginning after bottom formation at 6825.80 on 29-02-2016
2- Wave-1(7992 on 28-04-2016)
3- Wave-2(7678.35 on 06-05-2016)
4- Wave-3(8294.95 on 07-06-2016)
5- Short Term Correction continuation with recent bottom formation at 7927.05 on 24-06-2016
Intra Day Chart Analysis(24-06-2016)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (24-Jun-2016):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Support between 7928-7970
2- Up moves beginning with fast recovery in European markets and Dow's Futures.
3- Last 3 hours up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
4- Whole day actual trading between 7928-8100
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Huge gap down opening after crashing like all Asian markets due to Brexit but last 3 hours up moves after some supports at lower levels. As up moves were in Bearish Rising Channel and on the back of fast recovery in European markets and Dow's Futures therefore sustaining above day's supports(7928) is must for on going correction completion confirmations.
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
Trends of Nifty are as follows:-
1- Long Term Trend is up through sustaining above its decider 200 Day EMA(today at 7863).
2- Intermediate Term Trend is sideways within previous 20 sessions trading range(8064-8295).
3- Short Term Trend is down.
Correction of that rally is on which begun on Union Budget day(29-02-2016) from 6825.80. Sideways correction was seen in Previous 20 sessions between 8064-8295 and this range was broken down but closing within this range at 8088.60 last Friday therefore still Nifty will be understood range bound within this range(8064-8295) and deeper correction will be considered after sustaining below 8064 because that will be Intermediate Term Trend turning down confirmation also. Next supports below 8064 are as follows:-
1- 7928-7970
2- 7684-7768
3- 7527-7567
Retracement levels of post Union Budget Rally(6826-8295) are as follows:-
1- 13.0%- 8,104
2- 23.6%- 7,948
3- 27.0%- 7,898
4- 38.2%- 7,733(Crucial)
5- 50.0%- 7,560(Crucial)
6- 61.8%- 7,387(Crucial)
7- 70.7%- 7,256
8- 76.4%- 7,172
9- 78.6%- 7,140
10-88.6%- 6,993
As last Friday highly volatile market was due to Brexit and closing was within 20 sessions trading range(8064-8295) after strong recovery from lower levels therefore sustaining beyond 8064 should be firstly watched in the coming 1/2 sessions because it is the most crucial level now and it will decide Intermediate Term Trend also. Once sustaining below it will mean strong possibility of correction continuation towards 2nd support range(7684-7768) because as such no good supports above it and 38.2% Crucial retracement level(7733) is also lying within this support range.
Last Friday down moves were due to Brexit and next trend will be decided from 8064 in next week. Finally sustaining above it will mean entering into previous 20 sessions range(8064-8295) after correction completion at 7927.05 last Friday and sustaining below it will mean high possibility of correction continuation towards 38.2% Crucial retracement level(7733).
8315 will confirm Fresh,Strong and Sharp Rally
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(24-06-2016)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (23-Jun-2016):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidation indications between 8191-8203
2- Up moves beginning after strong opening of European markets.
3- Sudden sharp jump afer fresh strong up moves in European markets and Dow's Futures.
4- Whole day actual trading between 8189-8285
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
1- some consolidation indications were also seen today and supports were seen between 8154-8203 yesterday
2- good selling between 8213-8238 in last 2 sessions
3- firstly valid break out 8154-8238 should be watched for first and strong indication of Brexit poll results reaction on Indian markets.
Sideways market till the opening of European markets and up moves begun after more than 1% positive opening of all European markets. As soon as European markets and Dow's Futures jumped sharply and European markets were up by more than 3% and Dow's Futures was also trading more than 175 points up then sudden sharp jump was seen in Indian markets also. Just click following topic links and understand today Global markets moves:-
1- European stocks surge to 3-week high as Brexit vote gets under way
2- Dow industrials futures jumped 160 points
As today up moves were due to Brexit news and Global markets reaction on it and not technical based therefore firstly watch following resistances for the confirmation of fresh rally:-
1- 8242-8255
2- 8260-8315
3- 8470-8520
4- 8575-8652
As not much difference between 1st and 2nd resistance range therefore until Nifty will not sustain above 2nd resistance range(8315) after complete consolidation till then fresh rally will not be considered.
Last 20 sessions sideways trading between 8064-8295 and today closing near the higher levels of this range on the expectations of Remain victory and no Exit of Britain from Europe which will be decided tomorrow. It should be kept in mind that once sustaining above 8315 after Remain victory will mean fresh,strong and sharp rally because that will be break out confirmation of last 20 sessions range(8064-8295) also and there is no resistance between 8315-8470.
Just Watch 8154-8238 for first and strong indication of Brexit poll results reaction on Indian markets
Mid-session Outlook(23-06-2016)
Although most time negative zone trading between 8191-8203 since opening today but Nifty got supports above yesterday supports range(8154-8187). As some consolidation indications were also seen today and supports were seen between 8154-8203 yesterday as well as good selling between 8213-8238 in last 2 sessions therefore firstly valid break out 8154-8238 should be watched for first and strong indication of Brexit poll results reaction on Indian markets.
8154 Will Confirm Deeper and Sharp Correction
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(23-06-2016)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (22-Jun-2016):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling Patterns between 8213-8238
2- Support between 8154-8187
3- Whole day actual trading between 8154-8238
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Following lines were told on 21-06-2016 in "Emergence of Short Term but Sharp correction Possibility":-
emergence of some down moves possibilities below day's lowest (8202.15).
As was told 100% same happened and Nifty slipped below 8202.15 as well as closed just above it at 8203.70 after intraday lowest formation at 8153.25
Follow up was seen selling between 8213-8238 after previous session selling between 8221-8230 therefore levels between 8213-8238 have become immediate and strong resistance,until Nifty will not sustain above 8238 after complete consolidation till then any decisive up move will not be seen. Once sustaining below 8213 after fresh selling between day's support range(8154-8187) will mean fresh down moves towards next strong supports(8064)
As selling indications and patterns in last 4 sessions therefore some more down moves are expected towards and below 8154 but view should be cautious because Brexit poll results led high volatility may be seen in the next 2 sessions and finally sustaining below 8154 will mean deeper and sharp correction.
Emergence of Short Term but Sharp correction Possibility
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(22-06-2016)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (21-Jun-2016):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Whole day sideways trading within 30 points
2- Minor selling between 8221-8230
3- Whole day actual trading between 8203-8233
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As whole day sideways trading with minor selling between 8221-8230 therefore emergence of some down moves possibilities below day's lowest (8202.15). Brexit picture will be clear after 23-06-2016 and till then its uncertainty led Global markets high volatility can not be ruled out.
As some indications of selling in last 2 sessions and selling patterns formations were seen today also therefore Short Term but sharp correction may be seen any day before or after Brexit decision despite Bullish European markets and Dow's Futures more than 60 points up at this moment as well as most Asian markets closing with good gains today.
First Watch Next Resistances after Indian markets Complete Under Performance
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(21-06-2016)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (20-Jun-2016):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Sharp up immediately after gap down opening
2- Last 5 hours slow up moves
3- Whole day actual trading between 8108-8244
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As SGX Nifty was trading more than 60 points down today morning therefore news channels were telling it is due to RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan exit but we told following lines today at 08:50 AM in "Firstly Watch Next Strong Supports after Such Weak SGX Nifty today":-
1- As per our view it should not be the reason of such deeper down SGX Nifty because in real sense Mr Raghuram Rajan was creating hurdles through not cutting Repo Rates and each time gave baseless reasons for it.
2- As Indian markets completely under performed Global markets and some selling patterns were also seen last Friday therefore some weakness can not be ruled out but strong supports are lying between 8064-8091 and firstly sustaining it beyond should be watched today for the confirmation of next trend.
When markets moves up then same news channels were telling in the afternoon today that market has ignored Raghuram Rajan exit and moved up. We told only for some weakness and that was seen also immediately after opening,we also updated strong supports between 8064-8091 and Nifty could not slip below it as well as moved up after today lowest formation at 8107.35.
Following resistances of Nifty were updated on 16-06-2016 in "Finally Crucial Levels will decide Next Trend amid Brexit led Uncertainty":-
1- 8242-8255
2- 8260-8315
3- 8470-8520
4- 8575-8652
Nifty faced resistance in 1st resistance range today and closed at 8238.50 after today intraday highest formation at 8244.15.
Although Nifty closed 0.84% positive today but completely under performed all the Global markets because most Asian markets closed more than 1.40% up and all the European markets opened and traded more than 2.5% up as well as Dow's Futures was trading more than 200 points positive. As such high under performance by Indian markets today therefore good selling on the back of such strong Global cues can not be ruled out today.
As now Brexit Polls showing swing to 'Remain' therefore all the Global markets may remain strong in the coming sessions also like today but until Nifty will not sustain above 2nd resistance range(8315) after complete consolidation till then fresh rally will not be considered because absolute under performance by Indian markets today and good selling on the back of such strong Global cues can not be ruled out.
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