FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 11-Mar-2013

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 11-Mar-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 11-Mar-2013 3240.64 2252.42 988.22

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 11-Mar-2013 830.63 1617.21 -786.58

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-03-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6006
R2 5988
R1 5965
Avg 5947
S1 5924
S2 5906
S3 5883

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5983     Trgt 2
H5 5973     Trgt 1
H4 5964     Long breakout
H3 5953     Go Short
H2 5949
H1 5945
L1 5938
L2 5934
L3 5930     Long
L4 5919     Short Breakout
L5 5910     Trgt 1
L6 5900     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-03-2013

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 6024
R2 6007
R1 5982
Avg 5965
S1 5940
S2 5923
S3 5898

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5999     Trgt 2
H5 5989     Trgt 1
H4 5980     Long breakout
H3 5968     Go Short
H2 5964
H1 5960
L1 5953
L2 5949
L3 5945     Long
L4 5933     Short Breakout
L5 5924     Trgt 1
L6 5914     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-03-2013

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 12395
R2 12344
R1 12269
Avg 12218
S1 12143
S2 12092
S3 12017

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12320     Trgt 2
H5 12291     Trgt 1
H4 12263     Long breakout
H3 12228     Go Short
H2 12217
H1 12205
L1 12182
L2 12170
L3 12159     Long
L4 12124     Short Breakout
L5 12096     Trgt 1
L6 12067     Trgt 2

NIFTY-Mar Put Option-Buying Trade

NIFTY-Mar Put Option(5900)-Buy-Positional-SL-29-TGT-69-CMP-47(Lalit39)

Pre-Closing Outlook(11-03-2013)

Importance of next resistance range(5940-5970) was told in all previous Outlooks and Nifty honored through most of the time trading between this range today. As mixed intraday patterns formations today therefore valid break out of following range will next decisive moves strong indication and should be firstly watched in the coming sessions.

5936-5970

Mid-session Outlook(11-03-2013)

Although good up moves were seen after 01:15 PM last Friday but were on the back of Glabal cues therefore need of consolidation before next up move was told at 03:05:00 PM on 08-03-2013. CNX MIDCAP and CNX SMALLCAP did not showed such up moves after 01:15 PM and remained range bound as well as showed selling patterns therefore following lines were told in Trading within Range Market and not Trending 

"Expected that Nifty will firstly trade between 5890-5970 in the coming sessions and will prepared for next moves"

Pull Back rally gained 298 points in last 6 sessions and today most time trading between next resistance(5940-5970) which is crucial because Intermediate term trend will be up above 5970.

Correction started from 6111 after completion of Wave-5 therefore that whole up move has to be corrected which begun from 4770.35 on 04-06-2012. Just click following link for Retracement Levels of on going correction:-

Long Term Trend Decider 5548

Nifty traded between mentioned next resistance range(5940-5970) for the last more than 3 hours(today and last Friday) and this range break out will be next moves 1st strong signal. As selling patterns formations also seen within this range therefore its breaking down possibility can not be ruled out.

Firstly watch today valid break out of 5936-5970 for next moves strong signal.

Trading within Range Market and not Trending

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook 

(Mar 11 to Mar 15,2013)

Nifty-EOD Chart (08-Mar-2013):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Sub Wave-4(5548.35 on 20-11-2012)
2- Sub Wave-5(6111.80 on 29-01-2013)
3- 'ABC' correction after Sub Wave-5 completion.
4- 61 Sessions actual trading between 5823-6111 with Bearish Head and Shoulders pattern formations and its Neckline(5823) broken down on 26-02-2013
5- Last 2 sessions closing between 61 Sessions trading range after 7 sessions trading below it.

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Pull Back rally continuation after 'ABC' correction completion and reentering into 61 Sessions trading range but multiple resistances upto 6111 therefore follow up consolidation is required in the coming week for rally above 6111. Next resistance range is between 5940-5970,Nifty traded between this range on 08-03-2013 and firstly technical positions of intraday charts wil be understood for next moves in the beginning of next week.

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (08-Mar-2013):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- First 4 hours trading between 5890-5914 with selling patterns between 5902-5914.
2- Up moves beginning at 01:15 PM and 4 hours trading range broken out.
3- Higher levels consolidation patterns between 5917-5935.
4- Last 50 minutes trading with mixed patterns between 5941-5952.
5- Whole day actual trading between 5890-5952.

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

First 4 hours trading between 5890-5914 with selling patterns between 5902-5914 but Up moves beginning at 01:15 PM and 4 hours trading range broken out despite selling because following sharp up moves beginning in global markets:-

1- At 01:15 PM- Dow Futures was trading at 14348 and moved up sharply to 14388 within 30 minutes.
2- At 01:15 PM- Dax Futures was trading at 7969 and moved up sharply to 7999 within 30 minutes.
3- At 12:25 PM- FTSE 100 Futures was trading at 6445 and moved up sharply to 6470 within 85 minutes.
4- At 12:25 PM- CAC 40 Futures was trading at 3803 and moved up sharply to 3825 within 85 minutes.

Nifty was trading at 5906 at 01:15 PM and moved up sharply to 5929 within 30 minutes exactly in lines with US and European markets. Although some intraday consolidation patterns and mixed patterns were seen between 5917-5952 in last more than 2 hours but up moves were heated sentiment generated therefore require more confirmations.

Although Nifty moved up after 01:15 PM but broad based CNX MIDCAP and CNX SMALLCAP did not showed such up moves and remained range bound as well as showed selling patterns formations despite closing positive near higher levels of the day.

CNX MIDCAP-Intra Day Chart (08-Mar-2013):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

CNX SMALLCAP-Intra Day Chart (08-Mar-2013):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

Long Term and Short term trends are up and Intermediate term trend is down that will be up above 5970 after crossing of next resistance(5940-5970). Pull Back rally continuation between 61 Sessions trading range(5823-6111) and multiple resistances at higher levels between this range therefore market require complete continuous consolidations for rally continuation above 6111.

Although strong rally on 08-03-2013 but without intraday charts complete consolidations and on the back of strong Global cues therefore market is not prepared for next sustained up moves. As Nifty traded between and below next resistance(5940-5970) with intraday charts selling patterns formations also therefore Nifty is not prepared for decisive up moves above 5970.

Expected that Nifty will firstly trade between 5890-5970 in the coming sessions and will prepared for next moves. Now trading range market and not trending,previous week up moves will be understood only Pull Back Rally and following ranges break out will decide next trend:-

1- 5890-5970(First indication) 
2- 5823-6111(61 sessions range break out) 
3- 5664-6111(Next trend confirmation) 

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 08-Mar-2013

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 08-Mar-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 08-Mar-2013 3442.45 2158.87 1283.58

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 08-Mar-2013 868.5 1705.08 -836.58

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-03-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6039
R2 5995
R1 5970
Avg 5926
S1 5901
S2 5857
S3 5832

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 6014     Trgt 2
H5 5998     Trgt 1
H4 5982     Long breakout
H3 5963     Go Short
H2 5957
H1 5951
L1 5938
L2 5932
L3 5926     Long
L4 5907     Short Breakout
L5 5891     Trgt 1
L6 5875     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-03-2013

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 6079
R2 6030
R1 5999
Avg 5950
S1 5919
S2 5870
S3 5839

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 6048     Trgt 2
H5 6030     Trgt 1
H4 6012     Long breakout
H3 5990     Go Short
H2 5982
H1 5975
L1 5960
L2 5953
L3 5946     Long
L4 5924     Short Breakout
L5 5905     Trgt 1
L6 5887     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-03-2013

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 12569
R2 12421
R1 12332
Avg 12184
S1 12095
S2 11947
S3 11858

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12484     Trgt 2
H5 12428     Trgt 1
H4 12373     Long breakout
H3 12308     Go Short
H2 12286
H1 12264
L1 12221
L2 12199
L3 12177     Long
L4 12112     Short Breakout
L5 12057     Trgt 1
L6 12001     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Mar 11 to Mar 15,2013)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 6331
R2 6141
R1 6043
Avg 5853
S1 5755
S2 5565
S3 5467

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 6247     Trgt 2
H5 6175     Trgt 1
H4 6103     Long breakout
H3 6024     Go Short
H2 5997
H1 5971
L1 5918
L2 5892
L3 5865     Long
L4 5786     Short Breakout
L5 5714     Trgt 1
L6 5642     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Mar 11 to Mar 15,2013)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 13225
R2 12722
R1 12459
Avg 11956
S1 11693
S2 11190
S3 10927

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 13012     Trgt 2
H5 12815     Trgt 1
H4 12618     Long breakout
H3 12407     Go Short
H2 12337
H1 12267
L1 12126
L2 12056
L3 11986     Long
L4 11775     Short Breakout
L5 11578     Trgt 1
L6 11381     Trgt 2

NATURAL GAS-Mar Fut-Selling Trade

NATURAL GAS-Mar Fut-Sell-Intraday/Positional-SL-197.60 & TGT-192.10-CMP-195.40(Lalit39)

US and European markets triggered strong Rally today

1- At 01:15 PM- Dow Futures was trading at 14348 and moved up sharply to 14388 within 30 minutes.
2- At 01:15 PM- Dax Futures was trading at 7969 and moved up sharply to 7999 within 30 minutes.
3- At 12:25 PM- FTSE 100 Futures was trading at 6445 and moved up sharply to 6470 within 85 minutes.
4- At 12:25 PM- CAC 40 Futures was trading at 3803 and moved up sharply to 3825 within 85 minutes.

Nifty was trading at 5906 at 01:15 PM and moved up sharply to 5929 within 30 minutes exactly in lines with US and European markets.  

Indian markets consolidated at higher levels after strong gap up opening of all European markets and now trading between next resistance range(5940-5970). Rally continuation after clearing of resistances but multiple resistances up to 6111 therefore will consolidate firstly before next up move.

Once clearing of 5970 will mean strong rally continuation in next week. 

Mid-session Outlook-2(08-03-2013)

Most time trading between 5899-5914 today and this range was firstly broken down after some higher levels selling  but again moved into mentioned range after lowest formation at 5892. Now broken out and new high formation at 5924. Intraday volatility and only sustaining beyond 5899-5915 will be next moves confirmation.

Now trading above 5815 and sustaining it above will mean rally continuation toward next resistance range(5940-5970)

Mid-session Outlook(08-03-2013)

Nifty is trading above previous resistance range(5800-5895) for the last 2 hours. Next resistance ranges are as follows:-

1- 5900-5915
2- 5940-5970

Nifty is again trading between resistance range(5900-5915) for the last more than 2 hours and valid break out of this range will decide next stronger trend. Although emergence of selling signals also but confirmation is also required through valid break out.

Mid-session Outlook(08-03-2013)

Nifty is trading between 5899-5914 for the last 2 hours after gap up opening and this range break out will be next immediate trend confirmation. Intermediate term trend will be up above 5971.