Wave-5 Rally continuation towards its maximum target at 18793
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly
Outlook(Sep 27 to Oct 01,2021)
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Waves structure)
Nifty-EOD Chart (24-Sep-2021):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Corrective Wave-C completion and Impulsive Wave-1 beginning from 7511.10 on 24-03-2020
2- Impulsive Wave-1 completion at 11794.30 on 31-08-2020
3- Wave-1 gained 4283.20 points
4- Corrective Wave-2 completion at 10790.20 on 24-09-2020
5- Impulsive Wave-3 completion at 15431.8 on 16-02-2021
6- Wave-3 gained 4641.60 points
7- Corrective Wave-4 completion at 14151.4 on 22-04-2021
8- Impulsive Wave-5 continuation with recent high and new life time top formation at 17947.65 on 24-09-2021
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Waves structure)
Impulsive Wave-5 continuation in full force with recent high and new life time top formation at 17947.65 on 24-09-2021 and no indication of Wave-5 completion yet on EOD and intraday chartS except Doji Black Candle formation last Friday.
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Stochastic & MACD)
Nifty-EOD Chart (24-Sep-2021):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Impulsive Wave-5 continuation with recent high and new life time top formation at 17947.65 on 24-09-2021
2- Stochastic- %K(5) is at 76.00 & %D(3) is at 58.62
3- Stochastic- %K(5) line has intersected %D(3) line upward and both lines are moving towards Over bought zone.
4- Stochastic is showing negative divergence.
5- In MACD- MACD line has intersected Average line downward and its both lines are moving downward in positive zone.
6- MACD is showing negative divergence.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Stochastic & MACD)
As in Stochastic %K(5) line has intersected %D(3) line upward and both lines are moving towards Over bought zone therefore indications of some up moves but %K is just below Overbought zone and this indicator is showing negative divergence also hence Short Term Correction may begin after some up moves.
As in MACD both lines are falling in positive zone after MACD line downward intersection of Average line therefore MACD is indicating downward trend formations and its possibility increases also because this indicator is showing negative divergence as well.
Conclusions
(After Putting All Studies Together)
All the trends are up and Bullish rally continuation forcefully in the form of Impulsive Wave-5 and no indication of its completion yet on EOD Charts except Over bought Weekly indicators.
As Short term indicators are showing signals of Short Term correction but after some more up moves and more selling patterns formations therefore let fresh selling firstly develop in next week then Short Term correction beginning will be considered accordingly.
As per above given Waves structure maximum target of Nifty is at 18793.00 and its calculations are as follows:-
As per Elliott Wave theory "Wave-3 should not be shorter than both Wave-1 and Wave-5. Now impulsive Wave-5 is on and it should not gain more points than Wave-3 has gained.
Impulsive Wave-1 gained=4283.20 points(11794.30-7511.10)
Impulsive Wave-3 gained=4641.60 points(15431.80-10790.20)
Impulsive Wave-5 has gained 3796.25 points till 24-09-2021(17947.65-14151.40)
As according to Elliott Wave theory Wave-5 can not gain more points than Wave-3 gained therefore on going impulsive Wave-5 will gain lesser points than 4641.60.
Impulsive Wave-5 started from 14151.4 on 22-04-2021 and it has to gain less than 4641.60 points therefore maximum target of on going impulsive Wave-5 is 18793.00(14151.40+4641.60)
As some higher levels good intraday selling was seen therefore Doji Black Candle was formed last Friday hence firstly sustaining beyond last Friday trading range(17819-17947) should be firstly watched in the beginning of next week for immediate rally towards 18793.00 after sustaining above 17947 or Rally after Short term correction after sustaining below 17819. Next supports below 17819 are as follows:-
1- 17360-17411
2- 17280-17305
3- 17213-17270
We posted following topic telling maximum of Nifty at 18793.00 on 07-08-2021 also when previous closing of Nifty was at 16238.20 on 06-08-2021:-