ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
Watch Levels for next trend confirmations
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Oct 29 to Nov 01,2019)
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Waves structure)
Nifty-EOD Chart (25-Oct-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Impulsive Wave-1 beginning from 6825.80 on 29-02-2016 after 1 financial year(2015-16) correction completion.
2- Impulsive Wave-1 completion at 8968.70 on 07-09-2016 and corrective Wave-2 beginning
3- Corrective Wave-2 completion at 7893.80 on 26-12-2016 and impulsive Wave-3 beginning
4- Impulsive Wave-3 completion at 11760.20 on 28-08-2018 and corrective Wave-4 beginning
5- Corrective Wave-4 completion at 10004.55 on 26-10-2018 and impulsive Wave-5 beginning
6- Impulsive Wave-5 completion after life time top formation at 12103.00 on 03-06-2019 and corrective Wave-A beginning
7- Corrective Wave-A completion at 10637.15 on 23-08-2019
8- Wave-B continuation with recent top formations at 11714.40 on 22-10-2019
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Corrective Waves)
Nifty-EOD Chart (25-Oct-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Impulsive Wave-5 completion after life time top formation at 12103.00 on 03-06-2019 and corrective Wave-A of "ABC" correction beginning
2- Corrective Wave-A completion at 10637.15 on 23-08-2019
3- Wave-B continuation with recent top formations at 11714.40 on 22-10-2019
5- Last 5 Sessions sideways trading between 11491-11714
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
.
1- Long Term Trend is up.
2- Intermediate Term Trend is up.
3- Short Term Trend is sideways between 11491-11714 for the last 5 sessions.
Corrective Wave-A of "ABC" correction begun on 03-06-2019 after Impulsive Wave-5 completion at 12103.00 which completed at 10637.15 on 23-08-2019. Now Wave-B continuation with recent top formations at 11714.40 on 22-10-2019 and no confirmation of its completion yet.
Last 5 Sessions sideways trading near the top of Wave-B between 11491-11714 and finally valid break out of this range will confirm the fate of Wave-B in following manner:-
1- Sustaining above 11714 will mean Wave-B continuation and until Nifty will not move above the top of Wave-1(12103.00) till then above charts given Waves structure will remain valid and Waves will be recounted only after Nifty moving above Wave-1(12103.00).
2- Sustaining below 11491 will confirm Wave-C continuation after Wave-B completion at 11714.40 on 22-10-2019 which should below the bottom of Wave-A(10637.15).
As sustaining beyond last 5 Sessions sideways trading range(11491-11714) will give first indication of next trend therefore should be firstly watch in next week for its confirmation.
Up Moves expectations
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(25-10-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (24-Oct-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels
2- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
3- Minor selling
4- Consolidation between 11535-11576
5- Whole day actual trading between 11535-11679
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although negative closing near the lower levels of the day but most time consolidation was seen through Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels therefore some up moves are expected tomorrow.
As some selling was also seen through Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel therefore follow up consolidation is also required within today trading range and firstly sustaining beyond today trading range should be watched for the confirmation of next decisive move because technical positions reverses during today like Election results led volatility.
Watch Levels amid Assemble Election results led intraday volatility
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook(24-10-2019)Nifty-Intra Day Chart (23-Oct-2019):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels
2- Sharp up after lower levels consolidation
3- Mixed Patterns formation between 11612-11651
4- Sharp fall in last hour
5- Whole day actual trading between 11554-11651
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As all the Asian markets were trading in Red therefore firstly slipping after flat opening but lower levels consolidation developed through Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels.
Whole day good consolidation was seen yesterday and lower levels follow up consolidation developed in first hour today therefore sharp up moves were seen in Mid-session.
Although more than 4 hours trading with Mixed Patterns formation between 11612-11651 today but sharp fall was seen in last hour also therefore firstly sustaining beyond this 4 hours trading range(11612-11651) should be watched tomorrow because tomorrow sessions may be highly intraday volatile due to Maharashtra and Haryana Assembly Election results which will be declared during Indian trading hours.
Up moves expectations
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(23-10-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (22-Oct-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Whole day down moves in Bullish Falling Channels
2- Whole day actual trading between 11574-11,714
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although today closing was at lower levels of the day but intraday selling patterns were not seen and whole day down moves were in Bullish Falling Channels which is an indication of consolidation.
As Short Term indicators were overbought therefore Short Term correction correction was expected which was seen today but consolidation patterns have also developed today hence up moves are expected tomorrow and sustaining above today highest will confirm rally continuation towards next resistances(11936-11976).
Remain cautious amid Wave-B rally continuation expectations
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Oct 22 to Oct 25,2019)
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Waves structure)
Nifty-EOD Chart (18-Oct-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Impulsive Wave-1 beginning from 6825.80 on 29-02-2016 after 1 financial year(2015-16) correction completion.
2- Impulsive Wave-1 completion at 8968.70 on 07-09-2016 and corrective Wave-2 beginning
3- Corrective Wave-2 completion at 7893.80 on 26-12-2016 and impulsive Wave-3 beginning
4- Impulsive Wave-3 completion at 11760.20 on 28-08-2018 and corrective Wave-4 beginning
5- Corrective Wave-4 completion at 10004.55 on 26-10-2018 and impulsive Wave-5 beginning
6- Impulsive Wave-5 completion after life time top formation at 12103.00 on 03-06-2019 and corrective Wave-A beginning
7- Corrective Wave-A completion at 10637.15 on 23-08-2019
8- Wave-B continuation with recent top formations at 11694.85 on 23-09-2019
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
All the trends have turned up after previous week rally which closed at the top of Wave-B last Friday. Next resistances above last Friday highest(11684.70) are between 11936-11976 therefore Wave-B rally continuation towards it will be expected.
It should be kept in mind that Short Term indicators have also turned overbought after previous week rally and Short Term correction may begin any day therefore remain cautious in next week.
Remain cautious after overbought Short Term indicators
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(18-10-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (17-Oct-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- More than 3 hours consolidation between 11450-11482
2- Last 3 hours up moves with intraday corrections
3- Whole day actual trading between 11450-11599
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As selling between 11446-11466 yesterday therefore Firstly 3 hours fresh consolidation between 11450-11482 and after that last 3 hours up moves with intraday corrections as well as selling patterns were not seen therefore on going rally continuation will be considered.
Last resistances of post Nirmala Sitaraman Press conference rally are between 11590-11660 and sustaining above 11660 after follow up consolidation will confirm rally towards 12000. As Short Term indicators have also turned overbought and Short Term correction may be seen any day therefore remain cautious also.
11412-11481 will confirm next decisive moves
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(17-10-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (16-Oct-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
2- Selling between 11446-11466
3- Consolidation between 11412-11436
4- Whole day actual trading between 11412-11481
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although closing was near the higher levels of the day after lower levels consolidation but some selling was also seen in Mid-session therefore intraday trading will be understood with Mixed patterns formations and firstly valid break out of Day's trading range(11412-11481) should be watched for next decisive moves confirmations.
Rally continuation towards next resistances
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(16-10-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (15-Oct-2019):-
 |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Slow up moves after flat opening
2- Consolidation between 11387-11414
3- Volatility between 11422-11462 in last 2 hours
4- Whole day actual trading between 11343-11462
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As Dow Futures was trading in Green and most Asian markets were also trading in positive zone therefore firstly flat opening and after that more than 3 hours continuation slow up moves up tp yesterday highest because selling was seen at these levels yesterday.
Although consolidation between 11387-11414 in Mid-Sessions but higher levels volatility was also seen in last 2 hours therefore fresh consolidation is required near about today highest for on going rally continuation. Next resistances are as follows:-
1- 11486 11510
2- 11521- 11581
3- 11590- 11660
As clear selling patterns were not seen and consolidation developed also today therefore rally continuation is expected towards above mentioned next resistances in the coning sessions.
Fresh down moves expectations
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(15-10-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (14-Oct-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Minor supports at lower levels
2- Selling between 11392-11420
3- Selling between 11353-11378
4- Sharp fall in last hour
5- Whole day actual trading between 11290-11420
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As positive development in US-China Trade War last Friday therefore Asian markets were blasting today morning resultant positive opening of Indian markets.
Although firstly slipping and getting supports at lower levels but higher levels good selling therefore fresh down moves below today lowest are expected in the coming sessions.
Levels will confirm big moves in next week
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Oct 14 to Oct 18,2019)
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis(Corrective Waves)
Nifty-EOD Chart (11-Oct-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Impulsive Wave-5 completion after life time top formation at 12103.00 on 03-06-2019 and corrective Wave-A of "ABC" correction beginning
2- Corrective Wave-A completion at 10637.15 on 23-08-2019
3- Wave-B continuation with recent top formations at 11694.85 on 23-09-2019
4- Wave-B correction is on with recent bottom formations at 11090.15 on 09-10-2019
5- Last 6 Sessions sideways trading between 11091-11400
Nifty-Last 6 Sessions intraday charts analysis
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Oct 03 to Oct 11,2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Last 6 Sessions trading with lower levels supports,higher levels selling and mixed Patterns formation
2- 6 Sessions actual trading between 11091-11400
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis(11-10-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (11-Oct-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Sharp up after opening
2- Selling between 11332-11362
3- Selling between 11300-11318
4- Mixed Patterns formation between 11232-11278
5- Whole day actual trading between 11190-11362
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Wave-A of "ABC" correction begun on 03-06-2019 from 12103.00 which completed at 10637.15 on 23-08-2019 and after that Wave-B started which is in continuation with recent top formations at 11694.85 on 23-09-2019. Now correction of Wave-B is on with recent bottom formations at 11090.15 on 09-10-2019.
Conclusions from 6 Sessions intra day chart analysis
As last 6 sessions trading between 11091-11400 with all consolidation,selling and mix patterns formations therefore firstly Nifty has to trade and prepare for next decisive moves within this range which will be done in next week and finally sustaining beyond or forceful break out of this range will be next decisive moves confirmations.
Next supports within last 6 sessions range are as follows:-
1- 11091-11141
2- 11209-11245
Next resistances within last 6 sessions range are as follows:-
1- 11300-11318
2- 11332-11362
3- 11362-11391
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although most time positive zone trading after strong opening but higher levels good selling therefore signals of some weakness in the beginning of next week.
As lower levels Mixed Patterns formation between 11232-11278 therefore silpping below 11232 after follow up selling will be 2nd signal of decisive down moves beginning and confirmation will be after sustaining below immediate support(11209)
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
1- Long Term Trend is at stake because Nifty is hovering around its decider 200-Day SMA(today at 112270) for the last 7 sessions
2- Intermediate Term Trend is sideways
3- Short Term Trend is sideways for the last 6 sessions.
As continuation of Wave-B correction and no signal of its completion yet as well as more down moves are expected in the beginning of next week because intraday charts of last Friday(11-10-2019) are showing higher levels selling therefore firstly sustaining beyond above mentioned supports should be watched next Monday.
Although US markets and all except one European markets closed with more than 1% gains on the back of most positive cues on US-China trade talks but we are not Bullish and still expecting that finally Indian markets will slip in the beginning of next week.
As last 6 Sessions sideways trading between 11091-11400 and finally valid break out of this range will confirm fate of Wave-B therefore it should be firstly watched in next week for next big moves confirmations because above 11400 will signal Wave-B continuation after correction completion and below 11091 will be strong signal of Wave-C formations for slipping below Wave-A lowest(10637.15).
Up moves expectations
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(11-10-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (10-Oct-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Mixed Patterns formation between 11255-11293
2- Consolidation between 11209-11245
3- Whole day actual trading between 11209-11293
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As yesterday rally was positive Global cues led and intraday consolidation patterns formations were not seen therefore our view was not Bullish and resultant we updated next resistance levels for rally continuation confirmations.
As no intraday consolidation patterns formations yesterday therefore whole day negative zone trading after weaker opening was seen today.
Although 0.70% weaker closing today but no intraday selling patterns formations and lower levels consolidation was seen today therefore up moves are expected tomorrow.
As Mixed Patterns formation between 11255-11293 therefore once sustaining above it after follow up consolidation will mean rally continuation towards and above following resistances:-
1- 11306-11317
2- 11346-11391
Next resistances will confirm rally continuation
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(10-10-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (09-Oct-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Correction continuation in first hour
2- Whole day up moves with minor intraday corrections.
3- Whole day actual trading between 11091-11321
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although firstly correction continuation in first hour but after that whole day up moves were seen because Dow Jones Futures recovered from lower levels and was trading 250 points up at the time of Indian markets closing as well as most European markets were trading strong after positive opening.
As today rally was Global cues led therefore firstly sustaining above next resistances(11346-11391) should be watched for today started rally continuation confirmations.
Firstly correction continuation towards next supports
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(09-10-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (07-Oct-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- More than 4 hours selling between 11186-11233(Immediate Resistances)
2- Sharp fall in last hour
3- Whole day actual trading between 11113-11233
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As more than 4 hours selling between 11186-11233 therefore it will be immediate resistance of Nifty and until Nifty will not sustain above it after complete consolidation till then decisive up moves will not be seen above last Monday highest.
As Short Term Correction is on and no signal of its completion yet as well as next supports below last Monday lowest are near 10700 therefore now correction continuation will be considered towards it and if fresh consolidation develops only then a Pull Back rally will be seen towards 11233 because Short Term Indicators have also turned oversold.
Up moves expectations towards next resistances
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(01-10-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (30-Sep-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- More than 4 hours consolidation between 11391-11440(immediate supports)
2- Mixed Patterns formation in last hour between 11458-11508
3- Whole day actual trading between 11391-11508
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As lower levels good consolidation between 11391-11440 therefore up moves are expected towards next resistances(11540-11610)because clear selling patterns were not seen and Mixed Patterns formation in last hour.
Sustaining beyond crucial levels will confirm next decisive moves
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Sep 30 to Oct 04,2019)
Nifty-EOD Chart (27-Sep-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Impulsive Wave-5 completion after life time top formation at 12103.00 on 03-06-2019 and corrective Wave-A of "ABC" correction beginning
2- Corrective Wave-A completion at 10637.15 on 23-08-2019 and Wave-B beginning
3- Wave-B continuation with recent top formations at 11694.90 on 20-09-2019
4- Last 5 sessions sideways trading between 11417-11694
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
All the trands are up because Nifty has also sustained above Long Term Trend decider 200-Day SMA(today at 112247) therefore Long Tern Trend turning up confirmation also.
Last 5 sessions sideways trading between 11417-11694 with lower levels supports and higher levels selling and at present Nifty is not prepared for sustaining beyond this range therefore Nifty will firstly trade and prepare in the coming week for next decisive moves beyond this range.
As per Eliot Wave Theory Wave-B is on and once sustaining above last 5 sessions highest(11694) will mean its continuation towards the top of Wave-5(12103.00). Until Nifty will not move above it(12103.00) till then "ABC" correction structure will remain alive and possibility of Wave-C slipping below the bottom of Wave-A(10637.15) can not be ruled out and sustaining below Last 5 sessions lowest(11417) will be first indication of Wave-C beginning.
As last 5 sessions trading range(11417-11694) has become crucial and sustaining it beyond should be firstly watch in next week for above mentioned decisive moves confirmations.
Firstly watch levels for next decisive moves confirmations
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(27-09-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (26-Sep-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 11551-11610
2- Selling between 11540-11590
3- Whole day actual trading between 11467-11670
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although today closing was near the higher levels of the day but good intraday selling patterns formations also therefore fresh consolidation is required for sustaining above today highest and slipping below today lowest will confirm decisive down moves beginning.
As good supports also below today lowest therefore firstly follow up moves and valid break out of last 4 sessions trading range(11417-11694) should be firstly watched for next decisive moves confirmations.
Finally rally after 2 sessions 1003 points rally correction completion
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(26-09-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (25-Sep-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- 4 Hours Mixed Patterns formation between 11464-11525
2- Consolidation between 11417-11458
3- Whole day actual trading between 11417-11538
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As weaker closing of US markets yesterday therefore all the Asian markets were trading in negative zone today morning hence sentiment turned dampened and resultant sharp down moves were seen after weak opening in Indian markets.
Although 1.28% negative closing today but clear selling patterns were not seen and lower levels consolidation also developed after 4 Hours Mixed Patterns formation therefore emergence of rally continuation expectations because selling patterns were not seen yesterday also and today down moves were due to weakness in all the Global markets.
As 1003 points like huge rally in only 2 sessions after Nirmala Sitaraman Press conference therefore its correction is on and expected that finally rally will be seen above the top of last Monday highest(11694.9) but follow up consolidation for cooling down is also required because sentiment has turned heated after Modi ji meetings with many Industrialists in USA and market favoring big announcements by Nirmala Sitaraman in Press conference last Friday.
Finally rally continuation after fresh consolidation
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(25-09-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (24-Sep-2019):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels
2- Consolidation between 11540-11604
3- Whole day actual trading between 11540-11655
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although most time negative zone trading and Red closing also but intraday patterns are shoring consolidation patterns formations therefore on going rally continuation is expected.
As 2 sessions extremely strong rally from the beginning of Nirmala Sitaraman Press conference last Friday therefore Very Short Indicators have turned overbought and sentiment is also heated therefore 1/2 sessions sideways trading for cooling down is being seen and fresh consolidation has also developed today hence finally rally will be seen.
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