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Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 17-05-2013

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 6258
R2 6228
R1 6203
Avg 6173
S1 6148
S2 6118
S3 6093

Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 6233     Trgt 2
H5 6220     Trgt 1
H4 6208     Long breakout
H3 6193     Go Short
H2 6188
H1 6183
L1 6172
L2 6167
L3 6162     Long
L4 6147     Short Breakout
L5 6135     Trgt 1
L6 6122     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 17-05-2013

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 13531
R2 13390
R1 13282
Avg 13141
S1 13033
S2 12892
S3 12784

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 13427     Trgt 2
H5 13369     Trgt 1
H4 13311     Long breakout
H3 13243     Go Short
H2 13220
H1 13197
L1 13152
L2 13129
L3 13106     Long
L4 13038     Short Breakout
L5 12980     Trgt 1
L6 12922     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook-2(16-05-2013)

Whole day narrow range trading in Green with higher levels selling and lower levels supports today therefore sustaining beyond today actual trading range(6156-6186) will be next very short term term trend confirmation but down moves possibilities are more because good selling seen at higher levels today. 

Pre-Closing Outlook(16-05-2013)

As higher levels selling and lower levels supports seen today therefore sustaining beyond today actual trading range(6156-6186) and follow up moves tomorrow will decide next very short term term trend.

Mid-session Outlook(16-05-2013)

Although Green zone trading since opening today but intraday charts are showing selling patterns formations at higher levels.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(16-05-2013)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (15-May-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Whole day strong rally.
2- Higher levels narrow range trading between 6105-6125 with consolidation indications.
3- Whole day actual trading between 6031-6152
-
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

All trends are up and Whole day strong rally yesterday after RBI governor ststement that he has taken note of falling inflation, reinforcing bets about future rate cuts. Running Bullish rally is very much on and such types of rally runs fast despite overbought negative divergence showing indicators as well as correct after higher levels consolidations therefore until complete selling patterns will not form on EOD charts till then any deeper correction will not be considered. 

As strong up moves yesterday therefore some intraday corrections may be seen today but higher levels narrow range trading between 6105-6125 with consolidation indications yesterday therefore firstly sustaining beyond this range should be watched for the confirmations of:-

1- Rally continuation without any correction above 6125 or
2- Very short term correction below 6105 and until clear intraday selling patterns will not develop till then only such correction will be considered. .

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 15-May-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII 15-May-2013 4362.42715.451646.95

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII 15-May-2013 1244.051991.16-747.11

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 15-May-2013


Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-05-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6335
R2 6246
R1 6196
Avg 6107
S1 6057
S2 5968
S3 5918

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6  6287    Trgt 2
H5  6255    Trgt 1
H4  6222    Long breakout
H3  6184    Go Short
H2  6171
H1  6158
L1  6133
L2  6120
L3  6107    Long
L4  6069    Short Breakout
L5  6036    Trgt 1
L6  6004    Trgt 2

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-05-2013

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 6352
R2 6260
R1 6210
Avg 6118
S1 6068
S2 5976
S3 5926

Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 6306     Trgt 2
H5 6272     Trgt 1
H4 6239     Long breakout
H3 6200     Go Short
H2 6187
H1 6174
L1 6147
L2 6134
L3 6121    Long
L4 6082     Short Breakout
L5 6049     Trgt 1
L6 6015     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-05-2013

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 13689
R2 13377
R1 13209
Avg 12897
S1 12729
S2 12417
S3 12249

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 13539     Trgt 2
H5 13422     Trgt 1
H4 13306     Long breakout
H3 13174     Go Short
H2 13130
H1 13086
L1 12998
L2 12954
L3 12910     Long
L4 12778     Short Breakout
L5 12661     Trgt 1
L6 12544     Trgt 2

Mid-session Outlook(15-05-2013)

As sharp Correction on 11-05-2013 after previous week 5 sessions selling and intraday charts of yesterday also showed selling formations therefore correction was expected but RBI governor sparked rate cut hopes and rally seen in Bond and Stock markets. Although today rally is without previous sessions consolidations and on the other hand selling also in previous sessions but Bull markets consolidate at higher levels after such positive news flow therefore strong rally is being seen today.

Impulsive Wave-5 is on and correction will be possible only after complete selling patterns formations,let it happen then then correction will be considered otherwise rally will remain continued.

Sensex, bonds rally as RBI governor sparks rate cut hopes

(Reuters) - Bonds and Sensex rallied on Wednesday, sending key indicators to their highest in several years, after the hawkish RBI governor said he had taken note of falling inflation, reinforcing bets about future rate cuts.

Just click following links for detailed news:-

http://in.reuters.com/article/2013/05/15/sensex-nifty-banks-rbi-inflation-icici-t-idINDEE94E02W20130515

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/bonds/bonds-extend-rally-rbi-governor-sparks-rate-cut-hopes/articleshow/20061846.cms

Post-open Outlook-2(15-05-2013)

Although no positive reaction yesterday on good news of more than 1% reduction of WPI Inflation but strong rally immediately after opening today and cleared immediate resistance range(6055-6095) as well as new high of the rally formation today. As market did not showed positive reaction on such good news yesterday therefore correction continuation was expected but strong rally today and rally continuation will be considered after sustaining confirmation above immediate resistance range(6055-6095) 

Post-open Outlook(15-05-2013)

Good up moves today on the back of strong Global cues and immediate resistances are also between 6055-6095. Correction continuation is still expected but sustaining beyond mentioned resistance range should also be firstly watched for next trend confirmations.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(15-05-2013)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (14-May-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel.
1- Selling between 6006-6025
3- Whole day actual trading between 5970-6025

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Firstly more than first 2 hours up moves in Bearish Rising channel and it was broken down despite good news of more than 1% reduction of WPI Inflation as well as higher levels selling formations therefore suggesting down moves and correction continuation.

Pre-open Outlook(15-05-2013)

Most of the Asian markets are in Green after strong closing of US and European markets yesterday therefore sentiment is good today morning and some up moves will be seen after positive opening today. Some recovery can not be ruled out today on the back of strong global cues but higher levels selling yesterday therefore expected that finally Nifty will not sustain above 6025 and will slip in the coming sessions.

For next immediate trend confirmations sustaining beyond yesterday trading range should also be watched.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 14-May-2013


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 14-May-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII 14-May-2013 2276.291855.3420.99

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII 14-May-2013 552.49965.15-412.66

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-05-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6080
R2 6053
R1 6024
Avg 5997
S1 5968
S2 5941
S3 5912

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 6051     Trgt 2
H5 6038     Trgt 1
H4 6025     Long breakout
H3 6010     Go Short
H2 6005
H1 6000
L1 5989
L2 5984
L3 5979     Long
L4 5964     Short Breakout
L5 5951     Trgt 1
L6 5938     Trgt 2

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-05-2013

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 6095
R2 6067
R1 6036
Avg 6008
S1 5977
S2 5949
S3 5918

Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 6065     Trgt 2
H5 6051     Trgt 1
H4 6038     Long breakout
H3 6022     Go Short
H2 6016
H1 6011
L1 6000
L2 5995
L3 5989     Long
L4 5973     Short Breakout
L5 5960     Trgt 1
L6 5946     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-05-2013

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 12855
R2 12765
R1 12648
Avg 12558
S1 12441
S2 12351
S3 12234

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12739     Trgt 2
H5 12691     Trgt 1
H4 12644     Long breakout
H3 12587     Go Short
H2 12568
H1 12549
L1 12512
L2 12493
L3 12474     Long
L4 12417     Short Breakout
L5 12370     Trgt 1
L6 12322     Trgt 2