ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(11-Jan-2013)
1- All the Indices closed in Red except CNX IT and CNX MEDIA.
2- Heavy Firing on LOC news led down moves.
3- Black Candle formation.
Ratios
Index Options Put Call Ratio: 1.01
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.97
Nifty P/E Ratio(11-Jan-2013):18.68
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 954
BSE Declines :1,995
NSE Advances : 412
NSE Declines :1,336
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5700 CE(Jan)- 2,050(0.31%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Jan)- 1,271,300(19.24%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(Jan)- 36,800(3.70%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Jan)- 11,650(0.15%)
Nifty- 5900 CE(Jan)- 162,700(7.74%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Jan)- 613,250(9.01%)
Nifty- 6000 CE(Jan)- 402,900(8.12%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Jan)- -661,450(-14.89%)
Nifty- 6100 CE(Jan)- 31,150(11.71%)
Nifty- 6100 PE(Jan)- -77,450(-3.94%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 19,663.64(0.09 Points & 0.00%)
Nifty- closed at 5,951.30(-17.35 Points & -0.29%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,544.00(-155.55 Points & -1.79%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,801.50(-56.95 Points & -1.48%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-01-2013
R3 6077.33
R2 6047.67
R1 5999.33
Avg 5969.67
S1 5921.33
S2 5891.67
S3 5843.33
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 6029 Trgt 2
H5 6011 Trgt 1
H4 5993 Long breakout
H3 5972 Go Short
H2 5965
H1 5958
L1 5943
L2 5936
L3 5929 Long
L4 5908 Short Breakout
L5 5890 Trgt 1
L6 5872 Trgt 2
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-01-2013
R3 6089.33
R2 6063.67
R1 6020.33
Avg 5994.67
S1 5951.33
S2 5925.67
S3 5882.33
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 6046 Trgt 2
H5 6030 Trgt 1
H4 6014 Long breakout
H3 5995 Go Short
H2 5989
H1 5983
L1 5970
L2 5964
L3 5958 Long
L4 5939 Short Breakout
L5 5923 Trgt 1
L6 5907 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-01-2013
R3 13068.33
R2 12976.67
R1 12829.33
Avg 12737.67
S1 12590.33
S2 12498.67
S3 12351.33
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12921 Trgt 2
H5 12867 Trgt 1
H4 12813 Long breakout
H3 12747 Go Short
H2 12725
H1 12703
L1 12660
L2 12638
L3 12616 Long
L4 12550 Short Breakout
L5 12496 Trgt 1
L6 12442 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jan 14 to Jan 18,2013)
R3 6116.00
R2 6079.00
R1 6015.00
Avg 5978.00
S1 5914.00
S2 5877.00
S3 5813.00
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 6052 Trgt 2
H5 6029 Trgt 1
H4 6006 Long breakout
H3 5978 Go Short
H2 5969
H1 5960
L1 5941
L2 5932
L3 5923 Long
L4 5895 Short Breakout
L5 5872 Trgt 1
L6 5849 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jan 14 to Jan 18,2013)
R3 13029.00
R2 12933.00
R1 12775.00
Avg 12679.00
S1 12521.00
S2 12425.00
S3 12267.00
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 12871 Trgt 2
H5 12814 Trgt 1
H4 12756 Long breakout
H3 12686 Go Short
H2 12663
H1 12640
L1 12593
L2 12570
L3 12547 Long
L4 12477 Short Breakout
L5 12419 Trgt 1
L6 12362 Trgt 2
Negative News flow drag down market today.
As good intraday consolidation yesterday and 3 sessions closing above most crucial level(5965) therefore up moves were predicted and Indian markets bounced also as well as traded most time in positive zone today but sentiment dampened today due to following news:-
1- Heavy Firing on LOC,tension escalation with Pakistan.
2- India takes tough stand on cease fire violation.
3- Pakistan Govt. summoned Indian High Commissioner.
4- Pakistan stopped Indian Trucks and Bus.
5- News of Rajputana Rifles Jawans stopping to take food.
6- Demonstrations all over India against Indian soldiers killing by Pakistan Army.
7- Petroleum minister statement for Diesel and LPG Hike as quickly as possible.
As so much negative news flow today therefore Indian markets could not sustain at higher levels and slipped as well as closed below 5965.
1- Heavy Firing on LOC,tension escalation with Pakistan.
2- India takes tough stand on cease fire violation.
3- Pakistan Govt. summoned Indian High Commissioner.
4- Pakistan stopped Indian Trucks and Bus.
5- News of Rajputana Rifles Jawans stopping to take food.
6- Demonstrations all over India against Indian soldiers killing by Pakistan Army.
7- Petroleum minister statement for Diesel and LPG Hike as quickly as possible.
As so much negative news flow today therefore Indian markets could not sustain at higher levels and slipped as well as closed below 5965.
Detailed analysis will be posted after one or two days because now out of station due to sudden emergency therefore could not update during trading hours also today
NIFTY Jan F&O- Buying of 10-01-2013-Covering
NIFTY Jan F&O( Bought on 10-01-2013)-Cover immediately-CMP-5986(Heavy Firing on LOC therefore covering today and not to carry over)
NIFTY Jan F&O- Buying of 10-01-2013-Message
NIFTY(Jan Fut and 6000 CE-Positional Bought on 10-01-2013)-SL-5944 & TGT-6104(Jan Fut-Rates are given for all trading)
Rally above 5965 & 6026 after Bullish patterns formations
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Jan 08 to Jan 10,2013):-
Long and Intermediate term trends are up and Short term trend is sideways for the last 7 sessions between 5948-6026. Nifty slipped below most Crucial and next up trend saviour 5965 in previous 3 sessions but recovered closed also above it in all 3 sessions.
Trading positions around 5965 in next 3 sessions are as follows:-
1- 08-01-2013- Lowest was and 5964.40 closed at 6001.70
2- 09-01-2013- Lowest was and 5958.45 closed at 5971.50
3- 10-01-2013- Lowest was and 5947.30 closed at 5968.65
Importance of 5965 has already been updated on 07-01-2013 in "5965 is most Crucial for Bulls on 08-01-2013" and following line was specially told:-
"Sub Wave-3 should not dip or minimum close below the top of Sub Wave-1(5965)"
As closing above 5965 in all 3 sessions therefore technically on going rally(impulsive Sub Wave-3) is safe.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (10-Jan-2013):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Most of the time trading between Bullish Falling Channel.
2- 3 Smaller Bullish Falling Channels formation within broader Bullish Falling Channel.
3- Whole day actual trading between 5947-5997
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Conclusions from 3 Sessions intra day chart analysis
Long and Intermediate term trends are up and Short term trend is sideways for the last 7 sessions between 5948-6026. Nifty slipped below most Crucial and next up trend saviour 5965 in previous 3 sessions but recovered closed also above it in all 3 sessions.
Trading positions around 5965 in next 3 sessions are as follows:-
1- 08-01-2013- Lowest was and 5964.40 closed at 6001.70
2- 09-01-2013- Lowest was and 5958.45 closed at 5971.50
3- 10-01-2013- Lowest was and 5947.30 closed at 5968.65
Importance of 5965 has already been updated on 07-01-2013 in "5965 is most Crucial for Bulls on 08-01-2013" and following line was specially told:-
"Sub Wave-3 should not dip or minimum close below the top of Sub Wave-1(5965)"
As closing above 5965 in all 3 sessions therefore technically on going rally(impulsive Sub Wave-3) is safe.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (10-Jan-2013):-
 |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Most of the time trading between Bullish Falling Channel.
2- 3 Smaller Bullish Falling Channels formation within broader Bullish Falling Channel.
3- Whole day actual trading between 5947-5997
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Whole day down moves but with Bullish pattern formations therefore finally rally above 5965 & 6026 will be seen in the coming sessions despite whatsoever INFY 3rd Quarter financial results and IIP numbers tomorrow.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 10-Jan-2013
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(10-Jan-2013)
1- Benchmark Indices closed flat in volatile market.
2- Most Indices closed flat with minor gains or loss.
3- Black Candle formation.
Ratios
Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.98
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.94
Nifty P/E Ratio(10-Jan-2013): 18.78
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1,163
BSE Declines : 1,831
NSE Advances : 575
NSE Declines : 1,146
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5800 CE(Jan)- 16,900(1.68 %)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Jan)- 550,950(7.70%)
Nifty- 5900 CE(Jan)- -58,600(-2.75%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Jan)- 228,950(3.48%)
Nifty- 6000 CE(Jan)- 321,800(6.84%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Jan)- -51,350(-1.14%)
Nifty- 6100 CE(Jan)- 51,950(0.81%)
Nifty- 6100 PE(Jan)- 226,950(13.06%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 19,663.55(-3.04 Points & -0.02%)
Nifty- closed at 5,968.65(-2.85 Points & -0.05%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,699.55(-42.50 Points & -0.49%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,858.45(-3.70 Points & -0.10%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-01-2013
R3 6057
R2 6031
R1 5999
Avg 5973
S1 5941
S2 5915
S3 5883
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 6026 Trgt 2
H5 6013 Trgt 1
H4 5999 Long breakout
H3 5983 Go Short
H2 5978
H1 5973
L1 5962
L2 5957
L3 5952 Long
L4 5936 Short Breakout
L5 5922 Trgt 1
L6 5909 Trgt 2
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-01-2013
R3 6081
R2 6057
R1 6030
Avg 6006
S1 5979
S2 5955
S3 5928
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 6054 Trgt 2
H5 6042 Trgt 1
H4 6031 Long breakout
H3 6017 Go Short
H2 6012
H1 6007
L1 5998
L2 5993
L3 5988 Long
L4 5974 Short Breakout
L5 5963 Trgt 1
L6 5951 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels &; Trading Strategy for 11-01-2013
R3 13026
R2 12957
R1 12912
Avg 12843
S1 12798
S2 12729
S3 12684
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12981 Trgt 2
H5 12955 Trgt 1
H4 12929 Long breakout
H3 12898 Go Short
H2 12887
H1 12877
L1 12856
L2 12846
L3 12835 Long
L4 12804 Short Breakout
L5 12778 Trgt 1
L6 12752 Trgt 2
NIFTY-Jan F&O-Buying Trade
NIFTY-Jan Fut-Buy at CMP and/or Jan Call Options(6000)-Buy at CMP-5993- SL and TGT will be given tomorrow
Pre-Closing Outlook-3(10-01-2013)
As per our views negative news of Diesel and LPG price hike was falsely created by Business News Channel for the formation of fear psychology and selling by small traders as well as buying of Big Operators therefore we were not Bearish and when Indian markets were near the lowest of the day then we told following line in Pre-Closing Outlook(10-01-2013):-
Finally sustaining beyond 5965 will be firstly watched for next trend confirmation despite today lowest at 5,947.30.
3 Bullish Falling Channel formation today and until Nifty will not sustain below 5965 till then our view will not be Bearish despite as per Elliot Wave Theory Nifty should not close below 5965 for the continuation of on going rally(impulsive Wave).
Finally sustaining beyond 5965 will be firstly watched for next trend confirmation despite today lowest at 5,947.30.
3 Bullish Falling Channel formation today and until Nifty will not sustain below 5965 till then our view will not be Bearish despite as per Elliot Wave Theory Nifty should not close below 5965 for the continuation of on going rally(impulsive Wave).
Pre-Closing Outlook-2(10-01-2013)
Although last more than 1 hour trading below 5965 but today intraday charts are showing 3 Bullish Falling Channel formation therefore view is not Bearish yet.
Pre-Closing Outlook(10-01-2013)
Following 2 mixed developments today:-
1 Although Business News Channel told continuously for Diesel and LPG price hike today but finally no discussion on Fuel price hike in Cabinet meeting today.
2- Higher levels selling but Bullish Falling Channel formation also in today intraday charts.
As technical positions changes sharply in today like contradictory news led markets therefore Nifty again slipped below most crucial and next up trend deciding level(5965) today and closing it beyond today will be next trend confirmation also.
As last 3 sessions news led volatile markets and tomorrow INFY 3rd Quarter financial results as well as IIP numbers announcement also therefore high volatile markets. Finally sustaining beyond 5965 will be firstly watched for next trend confirmation despite today lowest at 5,947.30.
1 Although Business News Channel told continuously for Diesel and LPG price hike today but finally no discussion on Fuel price hike in Cabinet meeting today.
2- Higher levels selling but Bullish Falling Channel formation also in today intraday charts.
As technical positions changes sharply in today like contradictory news led markets therefore Nifty again slipped below most crucial and next up trend deciding level(5965) today and closing it beyond today will be next trend confirmation also.
As last 3 sessions news led volatile markets and tomorrow INFY 3rd Quarter financial results as well as IIP numbers announcement also therefore high volatile markets. Finally sustaining beyond 5965 will be firstly watched for next trend confirmation despite today lowest at 5,947.30.
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