Negative News flow drag down market today.

As good intraday consolidation yesterday and 3 sessions closing above most crucial level(5965) therefore up moves were predicted and Indian markets bounced also as well as traded most time in positive zone today but sentiment dampened today due to following news:-

1- Heavy Firing on LOC,tension escalation with Pakistan.
2- India takes tough stand on cease fire violation.
3- Pakistan Govt. summoned Indian High Commissioner.
4- Pakistan stopped Indian Trucks and Bus.
5- News of Rajputana Rifles Jawans stopping to take food.
6- Demonstrations all over India against Indian soldiers killing by Pakistan Army.
7- Petroleum minister statement for Diesel and LPG Hike as quickly as possible.

As so much negative news flow today therefore Indian markets could not sustain at higher levels and slipped as well as closed below 5965.

Detailed analysis will be posted after one or two days because now out of station due to sudden emergency  therefore could not update during trading hours also today

NIFTY Jan F&O- Buying of 10-01-2013-Covering

NIFTY Jan F&O( Bought on 10-01-2013)-Cover immediately-CMP-5986(Heavy Firing on LOC therefore covering today and not to carry over)

NIFTY Jan F&O- Buying of 10-01-2013-Message

NIFTY(Jan Fut and 6000 CE-Positional Bought on 10-01-2013)-SL-5944 & TGT-6104(Jan Fut-Rates are given for all trading)

Rally above 5965 & 6026 after Bullish patterns formations

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Jan 08 to Jan 10,2013):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Conclusions from 3 Sessions intra day chart analysis 

Long and Intermediate term trends are up and Short term trend is sideways for the last 7 sessions between 5948-6026. Nifty slipped below most Crucial and next up trend saviour 5965 in previous 3 sessions but recovered closed also above it in all 3 sessions. 

Trading positions around 5965 in next 3 sessions are as follows:-

1- 08-01-2013- Lowest was and 5964.40 closed at 6001.70
2- 09-01-2013- Lowest was and 5958.45 closed at 5971.50
3- 10-01-2013- Lowest was and 5947.30 closed at 5968.65

Importance of 5965 has already been updated on 07-01-2013 in "5965 is most Crucial for Bulls on 08-01-2013" and following line was specially told:-

"Sub Wave-3 should not dip or minimum close below the top of Sub Wave-1(5965)" 

As closing above 5965 in all 3 sessions therefore technically on going rally(impulsive Sub Wave-3) is safe.

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (10-Jan-2013):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Most of the time trading between Bullish Falling Channel. 
2- 3 Smaller Bullish Falling Channels formation within broader Bullish Falling Channel.  
3- Whole day actual trading between 5947-5997 

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Whole day down moves but with Bullish pattern formations therefore finally rally above  5965 & 6026 will be seen in the coming sessions despite whatsoever INFY 3rd Quarter financial results and IIP numbers tomorrow.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 10-Jan-2013

"

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 10-Jan-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 10-Jan-2013 3803.35 3553.85 249.5

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 10-Jan-2013 1340.33 1773.47 -433.14

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(10-Jan-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed flat in volatile market.

2- Most Indices closed flat with minor gains or loss.

3- Black Candle formation.

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.98

Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.94

Nifty P/E Ratio(10-Jan-2013): 18.78

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,163 

BSE Declines : 1,831 

NSE Advances :   575 

NSE Declines : 1,146  

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5800 CE(Jan)- 16,900(1.68 %)

Nifty- 5800 PE(Jan)- 550,950(7.70%)

Nifty- 5900 CE(Jan)- -58,600(-2.75%)

Nifty- 5900 PE(Jan)-  228,950(3.48%)

Nifty- 6000 CE(Jan)- 321,800(6.84%)

Nifty- 6000 PE(Jan)- -51,350(-1.14%)

Nifty- 6100 CE(Jan)- 51,950(0.81%)

Nifty- 6100 PE(Jan)- 226,950(13.06%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,663.55(-3.04 Points & -0.02%)

Nifty- closed at   5,968.65(-2.85 Points & -0.05%)

CNX Midcap - closed at 8,699.55(-42.50 Points & -0.49%)

CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,858.45(-3.70 Points & -0.10%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-01-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6057

R2 6031

R1 5999

Avg 5973

S1 5941

S2 5915

S3 5883

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 6026     Trgt 2 

H5 6013     Trgt 1

H4 5999     Long breakout 

H3 5983     Go Short 

H2 5978

H1 5973

L1 5962

L2 5957

L3 5952     Long 

L4 5936     Short Breakout 

L5 5922     Trgt 1 

L6 5909     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-01-2013

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 6081

R2 6057

R1 6030

Avg 6006

S1 5979

S2 5955

S3 5928

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 6054     Trgt 2 

H5 6042     Trgt 1

H4 6031     Long breakout 

H3 6017     Go Short 

H2 6012

H1 6007

L1 5998

L2 5993

L3 5988     Long 

L4 5974     Short Breakout 

L5 5963     Trgt 1 

L6 5951     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels &; Trading Strategy for 11-01-2013

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 13026

R2 12957

R1 12912

Avg 12843

S1 12798

S2 12729

S3 12684

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12981     Trgt 2 

H5 12955     Trgt 1

H4 12929     Long breakout 

H3 12898     Go Short 

H2 12887

H1 12877

L1 12856

L2 12846

L3 12835     Long 

L4 12804     Short Breakout 

L5 12778     Trgt 1 

L6 12752     Trgt 2

NIFTY-Jan F&O-Buying Trade

NIFTY-Jan Fut-Buy at CMP and/or Jan Call Options(6000)-Buy at CMP-5993- SL and TGT will be given tomorrow 

Pre-Closing Outlook-3(10-01-2013)

As per our views negative news of Diesel and LPG price hike was falsely created by Business News Channel for the formation of fear psychology and selling by small traders as well as buying of Big Operators therefore we were not Bearish and when Indian markets were near the lowest of the day then we told following line in Pre-Closing Outlook(10-01-2013):-

Finally sustaining beyond 5965 will be firstly watched for next trend confirmation despite today lowest at 5,947.30.

3 Bullish Falling Channel formation today and until Nifty will not sustain below 5965 till then our view will not be Bearish despite as per Elliot Wave Theory Nifty should not close below 5965 for the continuation of on going rally(impulsive Wave). 

Pre-Closing Outlook-2(10-01-2013)

Although last more than 1 hour trading below 5965 but today intraday charts are showing 3 Bullish Falling Channel formation therefore view is not Bearish yet.

Pre-Closing Outlook(10-01-2013)

Following 2 mixed developments today:-

1 Although Business News Channel told continuously for Diesel and LPG price hike today but finally no discussion on Fuel price hike in Cabinet meeting today.
2- Higher levels selling but Bullish Falling Channel formation also in today intraday charts. 

As technical positions changes sharply in today like contradictory news led markets therefore Nifty again slipped below most crucial and next up trend deciding level(5965) today and closing it beyond today will be next trend confirmation also.

As last 3 sessions news led volatile markets and tomorrow INFY 3rd Quarter financial results as well as IIP numbers announcement also therefore high volatile markets. Finally sustaining beyond 5965 will be firstly watched for next trend confirmation despite today lowest at 5,947.30.

Fuel price hike news led Down Moves today

As Fuel price hike news on Business News Channels therefore sentiment weakened and Indian markets slipped after higher levels selling today. Intraday down moves of today are again negative news generated but Indian markets are showing Bullish Falling Channel formation also therefore rally continuation above 6026 hopes are very much alive.

As continuous 2 days market is negative news led and tomorrow INFY Quaterly financial results as well as IIP numbers announcement also therefore high volatility can not be ruled out and trading should be done with strict Stop Loss. Although expected that finally rally will be seen above 6026 after follow up consolidations but sustaining beyond 5965 should also be firstly watched for next trend confirmation.

Mid-session Outlook(10-01-2013)

Although strong opening today but selling development at intraday higher levels and under performance than Global markets also. Most crucial level for deciding next trend is 5965 and sustaining it beyond should be firstly watched now for next trend confirmation. 

Post-open Outlook-2(10-01-2013)

Again selling seen today and view is cautious,sustaining beyond 5965 should be firstly watched today for next trend confirmation. 

Post-open Outlook(10-01-2013)

Although sharp fall in last hour yesterday but we told following conclusive lines yesterday in Sideways market between 5965-6026 on 10-01-2013:-

1- today last hour fall was only negative news led panic bottom formation
2-  Until Nifty will not give 100% confirmation of sustaining below 5965 till then any down move will not be considered
3- rally continuation above 5965 will be expected.

Nifty is trading between strong resistance range(6000-6026) after positive opening but complete consolidation is required for decisive break out above 6026 and also expected that 

finally break out above 6026 will be seen within couple of sessions after follow up consolidations. 

Sideways market between 5965-6026 on 10-01-2013

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Jan 02 to Jan 092013):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in last 6 Sessions intraday charts

1- Buying between 5965-5995 in last 6 sesions.
2- Selling between 6000-6026 in last 6 sesions.
3- 6 Sessions actual trading between 5960-6026.

Conclusions from 6 Sessions intra day chart analysis 

Long and Intermediate term trends are up and Short term trend is sideways for the last 6 sessions between 5960-6026 with both higher levels selling and lower levels buying. Sharp fall in last hour today but before that Rising Wedge Bearish formation was seen and as soon as we got Bearish pattern formation confirmation then immediately cautioned in Mid-session Outlook-2(09-01-2013) and told following line:-

Rising Wedge Bearish formation in last 40 minutes therefore view turned cautious

Importance of 5965 has already been updated in following topic on 07-01-2013

5965 is most Crucial for Bulls on 08-01-2013

Nifty moved below 5965 in last 2 sessions and its today break down was negative news of Rail tariff rise generated and closing was above 5965 in both sessions also therefore no breaking down confirmation and sideways market continuation between 5960-6026.

As per our view today last hour fall was only negative news led panic bottom formation. Until Nifty will not give 100% confirmation of sustaining below 5965 till then any down move will not be considered and rally continuation above 5965 will be expected.

Sideways market and next moves preparation between 5965-6026 will be seen on 10-01-2013.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 09-Jan-2013

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 09-Jan-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 09-Jan-2013 3784.62 2935.67 848.95

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 09-Jan-2013 1111.15 1629.45 -518.3