Sparkling Rally after Blasting Global markets

Pre-open Outlook(14-03-2012)

As higher levels selling patterns were seen yesterday therefore view is cautious but strong rally in all the Global markets. Most Asian markets are 1% to 2% up after more than 1.6% positive closing in US markets therefore sentiment is blasting and Indian markets will consolidate at higher levels after gap up opening.

Rally is on after correction completion on 07-03-2012 and its continuation will be seen today after sparkling Global cues.

Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For

 14-03-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(13-Mar-2012):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view 

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Most time trading within 21 points between 5417-5438
2- Intraday selling patterns at higher levels between 5428-5438.
3- Up moves lacking force.
4- Whole day trading between 5406-5438

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

More than 3 hours good selling was seen between 5458-5422 on 29-02-2012 and it is last resistance of previous 12 sessions trading range also. Nifty traded almost whole day between and little below this range within 21 points between 5417-5438 today.

As clear selling patterns today between 29th Feb selling range therefore previous resistance range has strengthened today and view is cautious. Firstly sustaining above today intraday selling range(5428-5438) and after that sustaining above 29th Feb resistance range top(5458) is must for continuation of rally. 

Rally is on after completion of correction and only one day intraday selling patterns are not sufficient and more selling patterns are must to tell for rally termination.

Follow up consolidation/distribution patterns and sustaining beyond 5417-5438 will be firstly watched tomorrow for next moves confirmations.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 13-Mar-2012

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 13-Mar-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 13-Mar-2012 2758.88 1886.2 872.68

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 13-Mar-2012 943.46 1377.2 -433.74

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(13-Mar-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed in Green.
2- White Candle.
3- Whole day without force upmoves after gap up opening.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.12
Nifty P/E Ratio(13-Mar-2012): 19.18

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1716
BSE Declines : 1225
NSE Advances :  953
NSE Declines :  493

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5200 CE(Mar)- -171750(-5.99%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Mar)- +726600(+9.63%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Mar)- -308100(-9.22%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Mar)- +354,350(+6.49 %)

Nifty- 5400 CE(Mar)- -462350(-10.76%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Mar)- +941000(+24.50%)

Nifty- 5500 CE(Mar)- -61000(-1.17%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Mar)- +205050(+7.36%)

Nifty- 5600 CE(Mar)- +634750(+12.10%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Mar)- +586100(+76.81%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,429.50(+69.95 Points & +1.31%)
Sensex- closed at 17,813.62(+225.95 Points & +1.28%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,831.55(+71.80 Points & +0.93%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,865.93(+69.67 Points & +1.03%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-03-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5496
R2 5467
R1 5448
Avg 5419
S1 5400
S2 5371
S3 5352

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5477     Trgt 2
H5 5466     Trgt 1
H4 5455     Long breakout
H3 5442     Go Short
H2 5437
H1 5433
L1 5424
L2 5420
L3 5415     Long
L4 5402     Short Breakout
L5 5391     Trgt 1
L6 5380     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-03-2012

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5612
R2 5544
R1 5506
Avg 5438
S1 5400
S2 5332
S3 5294

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5575     Trgt 2
H5 5551    Trgt 1
H4 5526    Long breakout
H3 5497     Go Short
H2 5487
H1 5477
L1 5458
L2 5448
L3 5438     Long
L4 5409     Short Breakout
L5 5384     Trgt 1
L6 5360     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-03-2012

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 10909
R2 10867
R1 10816
Avg 10774
S1 10723
S2 10681
S3 10630

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10858     Trgt 2
H5 10837     Trgt 1
H4 10816     Long breakout
H3 10790     Go Short
H2 10782
H1 10773
L1 10756
L2 10747
L3 10739     Long
L4 10713     Short Breakout
L5 10692    Trgt 1
L6 10671     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(13-03-2012)

Whole day trading with more than 1% gains and going to close also more than 1.30% up after more than 5 hours trading between 5417-5435 but today intraday patterns are mixed formations and selling patterns also seen therefore views is cautious now and firstly sustaining beyond mentioned range will be firstly watched for next moves confirmations.

Mid-session Outlook(13-03-2012)

Rally continuation was told within first 4 minutes today and it was seen also through more than first one hour up moves today. Although it was expected that Nifty will trade and prepare for up moves below 5390 but sentiment turned bullish after all Asian market good gains therefore Nifty is trading at higher levels between 5417-5435 for the last 4 hours.

More than 3 hours good selling was seen between 5458-5422 on 29-02-2012 and it is last resistance of previous 11 sessions trading range also. Nifty is trading between and little below this range for the last 4 hours and preparing for post Budget decisive moves.

Mixed formations and selling patterns also seen in last 4 yours range(5417-5435) therefore confirmations required through sustaining it beyond.As more than 4 hours trading range therefore crucial to decide post Budget moves and its break out should be firstly watched. 

Post-open Outlook(13-03-2012)

Following line was told in Pre-Closing Outlook and Pre-Budget trading between 5280-5390 before upward Break out yesterday:-

intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations therefore finally upward break out of today trading range is expected in the coming sessions.

Our above projection proved 100% accurate and Nifty is trading above yesterday trading range at 5410 immediately after opening today.

Rally is on and its continuation is expected after strong opening today

Pre-Budget trading between 5280-5390 before upward Break out

 Technical Analysis and Research For
 13-03-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(12-Mar-2012):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5366-5376
2- Buying between 5334-5350
3- Down moves in falling channel therefore consolidation indications
3- Whole day trading between 5328-5376

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Higher levels good selling on the back of positive news of CRR cut and above expectations IIP data and firstly down moves despite such good moves. Lower levels buying also seen therefore more preparations is required through follow up buying/selling for decisive moves beyond today trading range.

Although mixed trading positions but intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations therefore finally upward break out of today trading range is expected in the coming sessions.

Indian markets may be volatile because Petroleum rates hike news,RBI Credit Policy and advance tax numbers are due before Union Budget on 16-03-2012 and market will react on all these news as well as may hover near about today trading range. 

Nifty-EOD Chart(12-Mar-2012):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Long and Short term trends are up. Intermediate term trend is sideways and Nifty is moving around its decider 5340 for the last 11 sessions. Nifty traded most time between 5280-5390 in last 11 sessions and expected that Nifty will discount all the positive and negative news and trade within this range before Budget as well as this range will be broken out after the Budget.

Expected that Indian markets will consolidate in the coming 3 sessions before Budget and finally upward break out after the announcement of Budget because impulsive Wave-3 is on after completion of Wave-2 correction.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 12-Mar-2012

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(12-Mar-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed in Green except IT.
2- Black Candle formation.
3- Although big news but range bound trading.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.02
Nifty P/E Ratio(12-Mar-2012): 18.94

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1601
BSE Declines : 1267
NSE Advances :  861
NSE Declines :  577

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5200 CE(Mar)- -87150(-2.90%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Mar)- +322350(+4.45%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Mar)- -102900(-2.97%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Mar)- -493500(-8.14%)

Nifty- 5400 CE(Mar)- +266700(+6.34%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Mar)- +512250(+15.00%)

Nifty- 5500 CE(Mar)- +491050(+10.05%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Mar)- -9950(-0.35%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,359.55(+26.00 Points & +0.49%)
Sensex- closed at 17,587.67(+84.43 Points & +0.48% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,759.75(+70.25 Points & +91%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,796.26(+47.05 Points & +0.70%)

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 12-Mar-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 12-Mar-2012 4375.76 3077.12 1298.64

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 12-Mar-2012 1121.41 918.09 203.32

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-03-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5505
R2 5463
R1 5411
Avg 5369
S1 5317
S2 5275
S3 5223

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5453     Trgt 2
H5 5432     Trgt 1
H4 5410     Long breakout
H3 5384     Go Short
H2 5376
H1 5367
L1 5350
L2 5341
L3 5333     Long
L4 5307     Short Breakout
L5 5285     Trgt 1
L6 5264     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-03-2012

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5522
R2 5478
R1 5433
Avg 5389
S1 5344
S2 5300
S3 5255

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5477      Trgt 2
H5 5457     Trgt 1
H4 5436     Long breakout
H3 5412     Go Short
H2 5404
H1 5396
L1 5379
L2 5371
L3 5363     Long
L4 5339     Short Breakout
L5 5318     Trgt 1
L6 5298    Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-03-2012

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 11074
R2 10950
R1 10818
Avg 10694
S1 10562
S2 10438
S3 10306

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10945     Trgt 2
H5 10886     Trgt 1
H4 10827     Long breakout
H3 10757    Go Short
H2 10733
H1 10710
L1 10663
L2 10640
L3 10616     Long
L4 10546     Short Breakout
L5 10487     Trgt 1
L6 10428     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(12-03-2012)

Although higher levels selling and lower levels buying but intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations therefore finally upward break out of today trading range is expected in the coming sessions.

Mid-session Outlook(12-03-2012)

Fositive news based first 2 hours selling between 5366-5376 and last one hours trading with mixed intraday trading patterns between 5350-5362 today.

Fristly forceful break out or sustaining beyond 5350-5362 and then break out of 5330-5380 will be short term next moves confirmation.

Mid-session Outlook(12-03-2012)

Heated sentiment in Indian markets due to following 2 news;-

1- 75 Basis points CRR cut by RBI.
2- Good increase of Jan IIP at 6.8% vs 1.8% in Dec.

Cooling down exercise through slipping from higher levels and Nifty is hovering around intermediate term trend decider 5340. As profit booking on the back of positive news today therefore firstly sustaining beyond 5340 should be watched for next moves confimations.