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FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 02-Jan-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 02-Jan-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII02-Jan-2012458.53552.4-93.87

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII02-Jan-2012579.04494.784.34

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(02-Jan-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed with minor gains or loss.
2- Bullish Hammer Candle formation.
3- Intraday support at lower levels

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.88
Nifty P/E Ratio(02-Jan-2012): 16.79

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1415
BSE JanLINES : 1267
NSE ADVANCES : 748
NSE JanLINES : 662

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4500 CE(Jan)- +291900(+44.83%)
Nifty- 4500 PE(Jan)- +527450(+10.99%)

Nifty- 4600 CE(Jan)- +395300(+23.51%)
Nifty- 4600 PE(Jan)- +560450(+15.30%)

Nifty- 4700 CE(Jan)- +404950(+11.28%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Jan)- -61050(-2.44%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 4,636.75(+12.45 Points & +0.2%)
Sensex- closed at 15,517.92(+63 Points & +0.41%)
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,095.50(-16.35 Points & -0.27%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,550.14(+5.15 Points & +0.09%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-01-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 4715
R2 4680
R1 4658
Avg 4623
S1 4601
S2 4566
S3 4544

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 4693     Trgt 2
H5 4680     Trgt 1
H4 4667     Long breakout
H3 4651     Go Short
H2 4646
H1 4641
L1 4630
L2 4625
L3 4620     Long
L4 4604     Short Breakout
L5 4591     Trgt 1
L6 4578     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-01-2012

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 4730
R2 4687
R1 4677
Avg 4634
S1 4624
S2 4581
S3 4571

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 4732     Trgt 2
H5 4717     Trgt 1
H4 4702     Long breakout
H3 4684     Go Short
H2 4678
H1 4672
L1 4661
L2 4655
L3 4649     Long
L4 4631     Short Breakout
L5 4616     Trgt 1
L6 4601     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-01-2012

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 8199
R2 8110
R1 8058
Avg 7969
S1 7917
S2 7828
S3 7776

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 8150     Trgt 2
H5 8117     Trgt 1
H4 8084     Long breakout
H3 8045     Go Short
H2 8032
H1 8019
L1 7994
L2 7981
L3 7968     Long
L4 7929     Short Breakout
L5 7896     Trgt 1
L6 7863     Trgt 2

NIFTY-Jan F&O-1st Buying of 30-12-2011-Covering


NIFTY Jan F & O(Bought on 30-12-2011)-Sir is in train and told for covering immediately after opening today

Wish You All Happy New Year 2012

Wish you all a very Blessful, Bright, Prosperous, Happy, Healthy & Wealthy New Year 2012

Last Over of the Bull/Bear Match in 1st Week of 2012

Wishing you all Happy,Healthy & Prosperous 2012

Weekly Outlook(Jan 02 to Jan 06,2012)

Nifty-Monthly Chart(30-Dec-2011)
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in Monthly charts

1- All trends are down.
2- Down moves in Falling Channel.
3- Monthly closing at 30 months lowest on the last day of 2011

Conclusions from Monthly chart analysis 

2011 begun from long bearish Candle and finished also with long bearish candle and corrected that rally which begun in March 2009.

Nifty-Weekly Chart(30-Dec-2011)
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in Weekly charts

1- Weekly closing below the top of Wave-1(4693) at 4624.30

Conclusions from Weekly chart analysis 

As per Elliot Wave Theory:-


"The bottom of wave 4 should not dip below the top of wave 1 of the same degree,at least on a closing price level"

Top of wave 1 was at 4693 and previous Weekly closing is below 4693 therefore Wave-4 is at stake and with this whole 38 months Waves structure which begum on 27-10-2008 from 2252 will break after confirmation of Wave-4 failure.

Nifty-EOD Chart(30-Dec-2011)
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern at the bottom of 13 months correction is still intact.
2- 97 Sessions sideways market between 4720-5229 broken down.

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

All trends are down after 13 months correction and above mentioned 2 trend reversal formations for the last 97 months and in which sideways market structure has been broken down. Last hope of Bulls survival is that Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern which is still intact.


Nifty-Intra Day Chart(30-Dec-2011)
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 4675-4687
2- Sharp fall
2- Last more than one hour support between 4610-4627
3- Whole day trading between 4610-4627

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although selling at higher levels but intraday support also during last more than one hour seen therefore minor upmove is expected in the beginning of next week

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

All trends are down at the end of 2011.

As per Elliot Wave Theory:-


"The bottom of wave 4 should not dip below the top of wave 1 of the same degree,at least on a closing price level"

Top of wave 1 was at 4693 and Nifty closed below 4693 last Friday. It means that Wave 4 of Nifty dipped and closed below the top of wave 1. As Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern at the bottom of 13 months correction is still intact therefore it will be understood that 38 months waves structure(Patient) is on ventilator and structure termation will get confirmation throgh sustaining below 4693 and dipping below the falling lower line of Broadening Pattern.

Next immediate supports are as follows:-

1- 4602-4624
2- 4560-4590

First of all it has to be decided that Nifty is getting support at above mentioned supports or not. As intraday support seen last Friday between 4610-4627 therefore sustaining beyond above support will be firstly watched in the beginning of next week and finally sustaining below 4560 will be confirmation of 38 months waves structure failure and in that situation much lower levels will be expected. Sustaining above 4627 be confirmation of survival hopes revival and any rally will get up moves confirmation according to crossing of crucial higher levels and multiple resistances.

Most depressed sentiment at the beginning of 2012 because lowest closing of 2011 and first of all sustaining beyond 4610-4627 will be firstly watched. Finally sustaining beyond 4560 will give following confirmation in next week;-

1- Below 4560 will mean Bear victory with sharp down.
2- Above 4560 will mean revival of Bull's survival hopes.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 30-Dec-2011


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 30-Dec-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII30-Dec-2011969.11147.25-178.15


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII30-Dec-2011853.68587.08266.6

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(30-Dec-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Red.
2- Black Candle
3- Midcap and Small cap Indices closed in Green

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.09
Nifty P/E Ratio(30-Jan-2011): 16.75

Advances & Janlines

BSE ADVANCES : 1313
BSE JanLINES : 1491
NSE ADVANCES : 689
NSE JanLINES : 729

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4600 CE(Jan)- +257100(+17.97%)
Nifty- 4600 PE(Jan)- +708250(+23.59%)

Nifty- 4700 CE(Jan)- +1017350(+39.24%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Jan)- +184100(+7.85%)

Nifty- 4800 CE(Jan)- +706400(+27.11%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Jan)- +51000(+3.27%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at  4,624.30(-21.95Points & -0.47%)
Sensex- closed at  15,454.92(-89.01Points & -0.57%)
CNX MIDCAP - closed at  6,111.85(+33.45Points & +0.55%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at  5,550.14(+5.15Points & +0.09%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-01-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 4755
R2 4722
R1 4673
Avg 4640
S1 4591
S2 4558
S3 4509

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 4706     Trgt 2
H5 4687     Trgt 1
H4 4669     Long breakout
H3 4646     Go Short
H2 4639
H1 4631
L1 4616
L2 4608
L3 4601     Long
L4 4578     Short Breakout
L5 4560     Trgt 1
L6 4541     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-01-2012

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 4784
R2 4746
R1 4690
Avg 4652
S1 4596
S2 4558
S3 4502

Nifty( Jan  Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 4728     Trgt 2
H5 4707     Trgt 1
H4 4685     Long breakout
H3 4659     Go Short
H2 4651
H1 4642
L1 4625
L2 4616
L3 4608     Long
L4 4582     Short Breakout
L5 4560     Trgt 1
L6 4539     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-01-2012

Bank Nifty( Jan  Fut)-Levels

R3 8304
R2 8216
R1 8080
Avg 7992
S1 7856
S2 7768
S3 7632

Bank Nifty( Jan  Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 8169     Trgt 2
H5 8118     Trgt 1
H4 8067     Long breakout
H3 8005     Go Short
H2 7985
H1 7964
L1 7923
L2 7902
L3 7882     Long
L4 7820     Short Breakout
L5 7769     Trgt 1
L6 7718     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jan 02 to Jan 06,2011)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 4940
R2 4870
R1 4747
Avg 4677
S1 4554
S2 4484
S3 4361

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 4817     Trgt 2
H5 4773     Trgt 1
H4 4730     Long breakout
H3 4677     Go Short
H2 4659
H1 4641
L1 4606
L2 4588
L3 4570     Long
L4 4517     Short Breakout
L5 4474     Trgt 1
L6 4430     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jan 02 to Jan 06,2011)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 8778
R2 8599
R1 8283
Avg 8104
S1 7788
S2 7609
S3 7293

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 8465     Trgt 2
H5 8352     Trgt 1
H4 8240     Long breakout
H3 8104     Go Short
H2 8058
H1 8013
L1 7922
L2 7877
L3 7831     Long
L4 7695     Short Breakout
L5 7583     Trgt 1
L6 7470     Trgt 2

NIFTY-Jan F&O-1st Buying of 30-12-2011-Trade


NIFTY(Jan Fut-Buy-Positional)SL-4614-TGT-4684-CMP-4631

NIFTY(Jan Call Option-Buy-Positional)SL-4614-TGT-4684-S.P.FOR Call-4600,4700(Jan Fut-Rates for all Options)-CMP-4630
(No covering today)

Pre-Closing Outlook(30-12-2011)


Lower levels supports testing posibility has already been was told in  previous outlooks and immediate supports have also been given.

Although selling at higher levels but intraday support also during last one hour seen today therefore minor upmove is expected on Monday

Mid-session Outlook-2(30-12-2011)

Market moved up after opening but selling developed and Nifty could not cross next resistance as well as slipped. Next supports have been updated in previous outlooks and that will be tested now.

Mid-session Outlook(30-12-2011)

Crucial and next moves deciding levels for today have already been posted in Pre-open Outlook today and Nifty is trading between 4660-4687 since opening with minor consolidation indications but lot of consolidation is required for any sustained up move from here. Most uncertain cues from global markets therefore will be better to get confirmation through sustaining beyond following next support/resistance range:-

Support- 4602-4624
Resistance- 4680-4700

As minor consolidation indications today therefore up moves are expected and sustaining above 4700 will confirmation level.