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Technical Analysis,Researches & Market Outlook(11-10-2011)

Nifty-EOD Chart(10-Oct-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Correction begun on 05-11-2010  in Falling Trend Line from 6338
2- 43 sessions range bound market between 4720-5229 at the lowest levels of correction.

Conclusions

Don't be Bullish or Bearish & only wait for sustaining beyond or forceful break out of 4720-5229 for next long term trend confirmation and:-

1- Above 5229 will be strong indication of 11 months correction termination.
2- Below 4720 will be confirmation of correction continuation.As up side break out is expected therefore levels below 4720 is not being given at this moment.

We are not telling today for 43 sessions range bound(4720-5229) but when Nifty made 4728 on 04-10-2011 then also we told following line in Technical Analysis and Research For 05-10-2011:-

1- "expected that Nifty will not sustain below 4720 at this moment"

Following guidance was also given in same topic:-

2- "It is the character of range bound markets that markets becomes extremely depressed at that lower levels and over enthusiastic at higher levels and markets reverse form that point also therefore first of all sustaining beyond 4720 will be watched today and in the coming sessions"

Nifty could not move below 4720 and strong rally begun from 05-10-2011. Next resistances are as follows:-

1- 4960-5022(Now weak)
2- Minor resistances upto 5060
3- Gap resistance between 5060-5110( of 22-09-2011)
4- Resistance between 5145-5169(Strong)

Rally is continued and above resistances are also at higher levels therefore more consolidation is required. No selling signal yet and global markets are also shooting up therefore positive market and continuation of on going rally is expected today. 

Resistance between 5145-5169 is strong and sustaining beyond will be next moves first indication. 

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 10-Oct-20111


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 10-Oct-20111

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII10-Oct-201112439.482227.77211.71


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII10-Oct-201111133.521170.65-37.13

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(10-Oct-2011)


Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Long White Candle.
2- All the Indices closed in Green except HC
3- Tested and traded more than one hour within crucial resistance range 4960-5022,follow up consolidation and sustaining above 5022 will mean strong rally .

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.22
Nifty P/E Ratio(10-Oct-2011): 18.03

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1692
BSE DECLINES : 1095
NSE ADVANCES : 950
NSE DECLINES : 476

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4800 CE(Oct)- -690750(-24.34%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Oct)- +642800(+9.02%)

Nifty- 4900 CE(Oct)- -1035500(-28.62%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Oct)- +1497350(+42.11%)

Nifty- 5000 CE(Oct)- -297450(-6.66%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Oct)- +1221450(+52.17%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 4,979.60(+91.55 Points & +1.87%)
Sensex- closed at 16,557.23(+324.69 Points & +2.00%)
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,989.70(+92.75 Points & +1.35%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 6,786.96(+65.41 Points & +0.97%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-10-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5128
R2 5059
R1 5019
Avg 4950
S1 4910
S2 4841
S3 4801

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5090     Trgt 2
H5 5064     Trgt 1
H4 5038     Long breakout
H3 5008     Go Short
H2 4998
H1 4988
L1 4969
L2 4959
L3 4949     Long
L4 4919     Short Breakout
L5 4893     Trgt 1
L6 4867     Trgt 2

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-10-2011

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 5148
R2 5076
R1 5034
Avg 4962
S1 4920
S2 4848
S3 4806

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5109     Trgt 2
H5 5082     Trgt 1
H4 5055     Long breakout
H3 5024     Go Short
H2 5013
H1 5003
L1 4982
L2 4972
L3 4961     Long
L4 4930     Short Breakout
L5 4903     Trgt 1
L6 4876     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-10-2011

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 9502
R2 9358
R1 9274
Avg 9130
S1 9046
S2 8902
S3 8818

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9423     Trgt 2
H5 9369     Trgt 1
H4 9315     Long breakout
H3 9252     Go Short
H2 9231
H1 9210
L1 9169
L2 9148
L3 9127     Long
L4 9064     Short Breakout
L5 9010     Trgt 1
L6 8956     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(10-10-2011)

Whole day good intraday consolidation today and continuation of rally expected also. Nifty tested and trading between resistance range of 4960-5022 for the last one hour and sustaining above 5022 will mean strong rally.

Expected that Nifty will finally sustaiin above 5022 after more consolidations but sustaining above 5022 will be watched first for next up moves confirmations.

Up Moves Predictions of 05-Oct-2011 proved 100% true today

NIFTY is 74 Points up today and SENSEX is 250 points up today but when there was no up move cue and Indian markets closed at the lowest of the day on 05-10-2011 then we told for this week up moves: in following lines-

1- In Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(05-Oct-2011):- "Intraday charts are showing consolidationa and up moves beginning are expected from next week"

2- In Technical Analysis and Research For 07-10-2011:- "whole day intraday patterns are showing consolidations therefore up moves will begin in the coming 1/2 sessions"

We always speak with those proofs which all will always accept and no one can deny.

Our 4 Years record of daily 100% accurate predictions can be verified from this Blog ,our facebook.com big Groups(more than 13000 members) and orkut.com communities also.

Proofs of 100% accurate Nifty Predictions in our Blog


Following line was told in Pre-Closing Outlook on 07-10-2011:-

continuation of rally expected in the coming week.

Following line was also told in Post-open Outlook today

finally up moves are also expected

As we told same happened and Nifty is more than 1.2% up today

We always speak with those proofs which all will always accept and no one can deny.


Our 4 Years record of 100% accurate predictions can be verified from this Blog ,our facebook.com big Groups(more than 13000 members) and orkut.com communities also.

Post-open Outlook(10-10-2011)

Following line was told in Pre-Closing Outlook on 07-10-2011:-

"As mixed trading patterns today therefore Next moves confirmation will be sustaining beyond today trading range(4862-4922)"

Today first hour trading range is 4882.05-4914.75

Dow's Futures is more than 150 points up but Asian markets are flat mixed as well as Indian markets are also trading with minor gains. Intraday patterns are showing consolidations signals at lower levels today as well as finally up moves are also expected also. Sustaining beyond 4862-4922 will be next moves confirmations.
Lalit Sir is out of station therefore Blog will be updated after 10:00 AM today.

Manish(Staff)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 10-10-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 4980
R2 4951
R1 4919
Avg 4890
S1 4858
S2 4829
S3 4797

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 4949     Trgt 2
H5 4935     Trgt 1
H4 4921     Long breakout
H3 4904     Go Short
H2 4899
H1 4893
L1 4882
L2 4876
L3 4871     Long
L4 4854     Short Breakout
L5 4840     Trgt 1
L6 4826     Trgt 2

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 10-10-2011

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 5001
R2 4970
R1 4934
Avg 4903
S1 4867
S2 4836
S3 4800

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 4965     Trgt 2
H5 4950     Trgt 1
H4 4934     Long breakout
H3 4916     Go Short
H2 4910
H1 4904
L1 4891
L2 4885
L3 4879     Long
L4 4861     Short Breakout
L5 4845     Trgt 1
L6 4830     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 10-10-2011

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 9370
R2 9255
R1 9149
Avg 9034
S1 8928
S2 8813
S3 8707

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9267     Trgt 2
H5 9215     Trgt 1
H4 9164     Long breakout
H3 9103     Go Short
H2 9083
H1 9063
L1 9022
L2 9002
L3 8982     Long
L4 8921     Short Breakout
L5 8870     Trgt 1
L6 8818     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Oct 10 to Oct 14,2011)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5158
R2 5040
R1 4964
Avg 4846
S1 4770
S2 4652
S3 4576

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5088     Trgt 2
H5 5041     Trgt 1
H4 4994     Long breakout
H3 4941     Go Short
H2 4923
H1 4905
L1 4870
L2 4852
L3 4834     Long
L4 4781     Short Breakout
L5 4734     Trgt 1
L6 4687     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Oct 10 to Oct 14,2011)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 10082
R2 9707
R1 9375
Avg 9000
S1 8668
S2 8293
S3 7961

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 9784     Trgt 2
H5 9608     Trgt 1
H4 9431     Long breakout
H3 9237     Go Short
H2 9172
H1 9107
L1 8978
L2 8913
L3 8848     Long
L4 8654     Short Breakout
L5 8477     Trgt 1
L6 8301     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(07-10-2011)

Dow's Futures is more 40 points down and all the European markets also slipped from intraday higher levels and now more than .40% down. Although Indian markets slipped from higher levels but intraday patterns are not showing pure selling and are mixed as well as support also seen at lower levels between 4862-4872. As mixed trading patterns today therefore Next moves confirmation will be sustaining beyond today trading range(4862-4922)

Firstly more consolidation and then continuation of rally expected in the coming week.

Post-open Outlook(07-10-2011)

We told only and only for lower levels at 4720 in all the last 2 months outlooks and never gave any level below 4720 and Indian markets rebounded exactly from 4728 on 04-10-2011.

Anyone can verify above fact from our outlooks in this Blog.

As consolidation therefore we were expecting upmoves but down moves were seen due to crashing global markets. As soon as Global markets recovers then huge gap up opening and strong Indian markets seen today. We gave following resistance in Pre-open Outlook(07-10-2011):-

4879-4924(Gap of 03-10-2011)

Nifty is trading between 4890-4910 for the last 40 minutes today. Follow up buying and strong closing as well as continuation of today started rally expected after crossing of above resistance.

Pre-open Outlook(07-10-2011)

Strong Global markets therefore positive opening will be seen today but when there was no such cue and Indian markets closed at the lowest of the day on  05-10-2011 then we told 2 days before for today up moves and told following lines:-

1- In Technical Analysis and Research For 07-10-2011:- "whole day intraday patterns are showing consolidations therefore up moves will begin in the coming 1/2 sessions"

2- In Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(05-Oct-2011):- "Intraday charts are showing consolidationa and up moves beginning are expected from next week"

Good consolidations as well as base formation was seen above this crucial level of 4720 in last 2 days and Global markets strong also therefore up moves will be seen today and following resistances crossing will be strong rally confirmation:-

1- 4830-4875
3- 4879-4924(Gap of 03-10-2011)

As good consolidations and base formations in last 2 sessions therefore firstly follow up buying and then Green closing after whole day positive zone trading expected today.