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Technical Analysis and Research For 07-10-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(Oct 04 and Oct 05,2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 2 sessions intraday charts

Lower levels good consolidations and base formations between 4740-4790 in last 2 days

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(05-Oct-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Good consolidations and base formations between 4742-4790 
2- Whole day intraday consolidation patterns
3- Whole day trading between 4742-4825


Conclusions

41 sessions lowest is at 4720 and consolidations as well as base formation seen above this crucial level in last 2 days. Although Red closing on 05-10-2011 but whole day intraday patterns are showing consolidations therefore up moves will begin in the coming 1/2 sessions and range bound character(4720-5229) of last 41 sessions will remain continued in the coming week. 
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(05-Oct-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Most Indices closed near day's lowest.
2- Most Indices closed in Red except HC,FMCG,Reality and IT.
3- Intraday charts are showing consolidationa and up moves beginning are expected from next week.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.09
Nifty P/E Ratio(05-Oct-2011): 17.16

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1061
BSE DECLINES : 1711
NSE ADVANCES : 492
NSE DECLINES : 940

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4700 CE(Oct)- +22100(+2.13%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Oct)- +97350(+1.31%)

Nifty- 4800 CE(Oct)- +560650(+20.09%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Oct)- -58600(-0.90%)

Nifty- 4900 CE(Oct)- +211900(+6.36%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Oct)- -28300(-0.96%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 4,751.30(-20.85 Points & -0.44%)
Sensex- closed at 15,792.41(-72.45 Points & -0.46% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,821.00(-53.30 Points & -0.78%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 6,644.90(-60.03 Points & -0.90%)
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FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 05-Oct-2011


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FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 05-Oct-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII05-Oct-20112025.783034.65-1008.87


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII05-Oct-20111153.21830.81322.4
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 07-10-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 4891
R2 4859
R1 4805
Avg 4773
S1 4719
S2 4687
S3 4633

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 4837     Trgt 2
H5 4817     Trgt 1
H4 4798     Long breakout
H3 4774     Go Short
H2 4766
H1 4758
L1 4743
L2 4735
L3 4727     Long
L4 4703     Short Breakout
L5 4684     Trgt 1
L6 4664     Trgt 2
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Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 07-10-2011

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 4923
R2 4883
R1 4826
Avg 4786
S1 4729
S2 4689
S3 4632

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 4866     Trgt 2
H5 4844     Trgt 1
H4 4822     Long breakout
H3 4795     Go Short
H2 4786
H1 4777
L1 4760
L2 4751
L3 4742     Long
L4 4715     Short Breakout
L5 4693     Trgt 1
L6 4671     Trgt 2
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Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 07-10-2011

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 9290
R2 9145
R1 8927
Avg 8782
S1 8564
S2 8419
S3 8201

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9076     Trgt 2
H5 8992     Trgt 1
H4 8909     Long breakout
H3 8809     Go Short
H2 8776
H1 8743
L1 8676
L2 8643
L3 8610     Long
L4 8510     Short Breakout
L5 8427     Trgt 1
L6 8343     Trgt 2
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Pre-Closing Outlook(05-10-2011)


US Futures led huge intraday Volatility is latest feature in Indian markets. Dow's Futures recovered from 115 down and When 55 points down then resultant good recovery seen in Indian markets also and Nifty was 50 points up from today Mid-Session lower levels. As soon as we saw such fall we immediately updated in Mid-session Outlook-2 and also updated 4760 for geting down moves confirmations.

Nifty moved up and again down and now hovering around 4760. Global cues led highly volatile market today and sustaining beyond following two ranges will be next moves confirmations:-

1- 4760-4780(First indication)
2- 4740-4830(Final Confirmation)
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Mid-session Outlook-3(05-10-2011)

Global markets fallen therefore down moves seen in last one hour but some recovery also seen form lower levels after some up moves in Dow's Futures. Nifty is above 7260 and sustaining beyond 5760 will be next moves first indication therefore will be watched first today.

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Mid-session Outlook-2(05-10-2011)


Dow Futures is 115 points down and and all the European markets srarted to slip after huge

gap up opening therefore Indian markets also slips from intraday higher levels.  Nifty moved above 4800 but could not sustain and moveed below 4760 also. Sustaining below 4760 will be confirmation of more down moves confirmation and will be watched first
.
http://enjoydailyprofits.blogspot.com/2011/10/mid-session-outlook-205-10-2011.html
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Mid-session Outlook-2(05-10-2011)

Dow Futures is 115 points down and and all the European markets srarted to slip after huge gap up opening therefore Indian markets also slips from intraday higher levels.  Nifty moved above 4800 but could not sustain and moveed below 4760 also. Sustaining below 4760 will be confirmation of more down moves confirmation and will be watched first
.
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Mid-session Outlook(05-10-2011)


Following line was told in Pre-open Outlook which proved 100% acccurate in first 3 hours today:-

expected that Nifty will first trade near about 4780. Finally some up moves are expected after consolidation within first trading range of 4760-4800

Anyone can verify fom today intraday charts that Nifty traded first 3 hours within mentioned trading range(4760-4800) and after that Nifty moved up according to our up moves expectations.

Good intraday support sen within mentioned range and up moves continuation are expected.
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Pre-open Outlook(05-10-2011)

Technical Analysis and Research of EOD ChartS,Technical Positions,next possibilities have already been explained in following topic with 2 Charts therefore not being repeated:-

Technical Analysis and Research For 05-10-2011 

Market moves on technicals,news and sentiments in intraday and short term.Huge volatility and high voltage contradictory news flows nowadays. Steep fall seen in Indian markets after S.B.I. downgrading news and European markets big fall but 4720 saved and expected that Nifty will sustain above it today and in the coming sessions.

Mixed Global cues today morning and expected that Nifty will first trade near about 4780. Finally some up moves are expected after consolidation within first trading range of 4760-4800 and next moves first indication will sustaining beyond this range.
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Technical Analysis and Research For 05-10-2011

Nifty-EOD Chart(04-Oct-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Nifty-EOD Chart(04-Oct-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Conclusions

11 months old correction continuation and Nifty is trading in range bound mode for the last 40 sessions within 4720-5229,its importance is continuously being updated for the last one month. Nifty tested its lower level and formed low at 4728 yesterday. Indian markets are discounting all the positive and negative developments within this range and break down as well as sustaining below 4720 will be confirmation of overruling by negative views and developments.

Nifty is trading and sustaining above 4720 for the last 2 years,sustaining below 4720 will mean breaking down of 2 years Unbrella and it may result like cloud burst therefore 4720 is survival is crucial for next long term trend formation.

It is the character of range bound markets that markets becomes extremely depressed at that lower levels and over enthusiastic at higher levels and markets reverse form that point also therefore first of all sustaining beyond 4720 will be watched today and in the coming sessions. As Global markets are melting and sentiment is completely depressed therefore retesting of 4720 or minor slipping without force below 4720 may be seen but forceful breaking down,huge gap down or sustaining below 4720 is must for its breaking down confirmation.

Long term trend and future of Indian markets is at stake and sustaining beyond 4720 will decide long term future of Indian markets. Although Final conclusions will be drawn according to intraday charts formations and will be updated during trading hours but expected that Nifty will not sustain below 4720 at this moment and 40 sessions range bound market will remain continued despite whatsoever depressing Global sentiments.
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FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 04-Oct-2011


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FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 04-Oct-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII04-Oct-20112062.413033.85-971.44


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII04-Oct-20111578.451022.64555.81
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(04-Oct-2011)


Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Black Candle.
2- Deep Red closing.
3- All the Indices closed in Red except CG.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.22
Nifty P/E Ratio(04-Oct-2011): 17.23

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 992
BSE DECLINES : 1771
NSE ADVANCES : 430
NSE DECLINES : 995

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4700 CE(Oct)- +611300(+138.66%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Oct)- +602350(+8.63%)

Nifty- 4800 CE(Oct)- +1025400(+57.36%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Oct)- +429450(+6.63%)

Nifty- 4900 CE(Oct)- +935950(+36.36%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Oct)- -268200(-7.83%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 4,772.25(-77.35 Points & -1.60%)
Sensex- closed at 15,864.86(-286.59 Points & -1.77% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,876.80(-84.40 Points & -1.21%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 6,704.93(-74.23 Points & -1.09%)
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-10-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 4992
R2 4930
R1 4851
Avg 4789
S1 4710
S2 4648
S3 4569

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 4914     Trgt 2
H5 4881     Trgt 1
H4 4849     Long breakout
H3 4810     Go Short
H2 4797
H1 4784
L1 4759
L2 4746
L3 4733     Long
L4 4694     Short Breakout
L5 4662     Trgt 1
L6 4629     Trgt 2
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Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-10-2011

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 5023
R2 4953
R1 4864
Avg 4794
S1 4705
S2 4635
S3 4546

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 4935     Trgt 2
H5 4899     Trgt 1
H4 4862     Long breakout
H3 4818     Go Short
H2 4804
H1 4789
L1 4760
L2 4745
L3 4731     Long
L4 4687     Short Breakout
L5 4650     Trgt 1
L6 4614     Trgt 2
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Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-10-2011

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 9646
R2 9458
R1 9175
Avg 8987
S1 8704
S2 8516
S3 8233

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9369     Trgt 2
H5 9260     Trgt 1
H4 9152     Long breakout
H3 9022     Go Short
H2 8979
H1 8936
L1 8849
L2 8806
L3 8763     Long
L4 8633     Short Breakout
L5 8525     Trgt 1
L6 8416     Trgt 2
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Pre-Closing Outlook(04-10-2011)


All trends are down and modt depressed global markets are melting therefore Indian markers tumbled after US Futures and European markets sharp declines. 40 Sessions lows almost tested and today lowest is at 4728 and sustaining beyond this level will write the story of next big moves in the coming sessions.
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