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NIFTY-Sep F&O-1st Selling of 16-09-2011-Trade
NIFTY(Sep Fut-Sell-Positional)SL-5126-TGT-5036-CMP-5088
NIFTY(Sep Put Option-Buy-Positional)SL-5126-TGT-5036-S.P.FOR Put-5000,5100(Sep Fut-Rates
for all Options)-CMP-5088
Pre-Closing Outlook(16-09-2011)
Nifty is trading within mentioned range( 5095-5130) after credit policy and today intraday patterns are showing selling therefore weakness expected in the coming session.
Volatile Market after RBI Credit Policy
Volatile Market was told in following lines in Mid-session Outlook today before RBI Credit Policy today and voltality is clear in following today intraday chart of after credit policy:-
Volatile moves may be seen after credit policy announcement therefore cautious approach is required and sustaing beyond 5095-5130 will be next moves confirmation after credit policy announcement at 12:00 noon today.
Nifty could not sustained above 5120 and also moved below 5095 also. 25 Basis points rates increase and it is on expected lines also therefore if Nifty sustains below 5095 today then it will be negative reaction confirmation.
Sustaing beyond 5095 will be market reaction confirmation on credit policy and should be watched first today for next trend confirmations.
Volatile moves may be seen after credit policy announcement therefore cautious approach is required and sustaing beyond 5095-5130 will be next moves confirmation after credit policy announcement at 12:00 noon today.
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Sustaing beyond 5095 will be market reaction confirmation on credit policy and should be watched first today for next trend confirmations.
Mid-session Outlook(16-09-2011)
Only next resistance range(5120-5220) testing possibility was told in all the outlooks which were updated for today market and Nifty hovered around 5120 in first two hours today. It was also told again and again that 5120-5169 is next resistance and Nifty slipped below 5120 sharply after first 2 hours trading above it.
Completely news(strong global markets,petroleum rates hike and RBI Credit policy) based market today and technical positions reverses sharply in such markets also. Finally sustaining beyond 5120 will be next moves strong indication and will decide next trend also therefore this level should be watched first for next moves confirmation.
Volatile moves may be seen after credit policy announcement therefore cautious approach is required and sustaing beyond 5095-5130 will be next moves confirmation after credit policy announcement at 12:00 noon today..
Completely news(strong global markets,petroleum rates hike and RBI Credit policy) based market today and technical positions reverses sharply in such markets also. Finally sustaining beyond 5120 will be next moves strong indication and will decide next trend also therefore this level should be watched first for next moves confirmation.
Volatile moves may be seen after credit policy announcement therefore cautious approach is required and sustaing beyond 5095-5130 will be next moves confirmation after credit policy announcement at 12:00 noon today..
Long Term Trend Deciding 27 Sessions Range(4720-5229)
Technical Analysis and Research
Nifty-EOD Chart(15-Sep-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Falling trendline resistance at the top of 27 sesions range.
2- 10 Months Bearish market
3- 94 Points Gap on 05-08-2011
4- 27 sessions range bound markets between 4720-5229
5- Strong resistance range is 5120-5220 within 27 days range
Conclusions
All trends are down and Indian markets are slipping for the last 10 months. Nifty opened 94 points gap down on 05-08-2011 and since then 27 sessions range bound markets between 4720-5229.
Markets always require completion consolidation for any rally after such big fall. Big rally started in March 2009 after lower level 5 monthe range bound consolidations. As range bound markets signals are emerging between 4720-5229 therefore this range break out will decide that 10 months long long term correction is over or not.Investment decisions,long term positions and Portfolio management should be done according to break out of mentioned range.
Nifty will first trade between strong resistance range is 5120-5220 after positive opening today. Nifty failed to cross this range in previous after selling between 5120-5169 therefore it will be next resistance range.
Sustaining beyond 5120-5169 will be next moves strong indication therefore should be watched first after gap up opening today.
Nifty-EOD Chart(15-Sep-2011):-
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1- Falling trendline resistance at the top of 27 sesions range.
2- 10 Months Bearish market
3- 94 Points Gap on 05-08-2011
4- 27 sessions range bound markets between 4720-5229
5- Strong resistance range is 5120-5220 within 27 days range
Conclusions
All trends are down and Indian markets are slipping for the last 10 months. Nifty opened 94 points gap down on 05-08-2011 and since then 27 sessions range bound markets between 4720-5229.
Markets always require completion consolidation for any rally after such big fall. Big rally started in March 2009 after lower level 5 monthe range bound consolidations. As range bound markets signals are emerging between 4720-5229 therefore this range break out will decide that 10 months long long term correction is over or not.Investment decisions,long term positions and Portfolio management should be done according to break out of mentioned range.
Nifty will first trade between strong resistance range is 5120-5220 after positive opening today. Nifty failed to cross this range in previous after selling between 5120-5169 therefore it will be next resistance range.
Sustaining beyond 5120-5169 will be next moves strong indication therefore should be watched first after gap up opening today.
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 16-09-2011
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(15-Sep-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Consolidation between 4969-5000
2- Whole day trading between 4969-5089.
3- Up moves between 5000-5055 without force.
4- Last half hour sharp forceful break out above 5055.
Conclusions
Long term and Intermediate term trends are down and short term trend is up. Highly volatile markets in first sessions and Nifty got support between 4969-5000. As without force up moves started after opening of European markets between 5000-5055 therefore down moves was also a possibility but on the contrary last half hour sharp forceful break out seen above 5055.
Nifty closed at the top of the day and sentiment turned strong also therefore next resistance range(5120-5169) testing may be seen if Asian markets remains completely strong tomorrow morning because Petrol Price hike news after today market and Indian markets will firstly react on that tomorrow.
Technically on going up moves continuation possibility is alive but Indian markets will react on Petrol Price hike and Credit policy tomorrow as well as without force upmoves between 5000-5055 also.
Sustaining above 5055 will be ongoing upmoves confirmation and should be watched first.
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1- Consolidation between 4969-5000
2- Whole day trading between 4969-5089.
3- Up moves between 5000-5055 without force.
4- Last half hour sharp forceful break out above 5055.
Conclusions
Long term and Intermediate term trends are down and short term trend is up. Highly volatile markets in first sessions and Nifty got support between 4969-5000. As without force up moves started after opening of European markets between 5000-5055 therefore down moves was also a possibility but on the contrary last half hour sharp forceful break out seen above 5055.
Nifty closed at the top of the day and sentiment turned strong also therefore next resistance range(5120-5169) testing may be seen if Asian markets remains completely strong tomorrow morning because Petrol Price hike news after today market and Indian markets will firstly react on that tomorrow.
Technically on going up moves continuation possibility is alive but Indian markets will react on Petrol Price hike and Credit policy tomorrow as well as without force upmoves between 5000-5055 also.
Sustaining above 5055 will be ongoing upmoves confirmation and should be watched first.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 15-Sep-2011
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(15-Sep-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- All the sectors closed in Green except CG.
2- Bullish Hammer Candle.
3- Strong recovery from Intraday lower levels.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.13
Nifty P/E Ratio(15-Sep-2011): 18.33
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1514
BSE DECLINES : 1281
NSE ADVANCES : 818
NSE DECLINES : 604
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4900 CE(Sep)- -83900(-2.20%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Sep)- +307650(+4.40%)
Nifty- 5000 CE(Sep)- +180050(+3.30%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Sep)- +1046350(+16.93%)
Nifty- 5100 CE(Sep)- +334700(+6.09%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Sep)- +644850(+21.64%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,075.70(+63.15 Points & +1.26%)
Sensex- closed at 16,876.54(+166.94 Points & +1.000% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,340.40(+77.65 Points & +1.07%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 7,213.76(+18.36 Points & +0.26%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-09-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5245
R2 5168
R1 5121
Avg 5044
S1 4997
S2 4920
S3 4873
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5201 Trgt 2
H5 5172 Trgt 1
H4 5143 Long breakout
H3 5109 Go Short
H2 5097
H1 5086
L1 5063
L2 5052
L3 5040 Long
L4 5006 Short Breakout
L5 4977 Trgt 1
L6 4948 Trgt 2
R3 5245
R2 5168
R1 5121
Avg 5044
S1 4997
S2 4920
S3 4873
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5201 Trgt 2
H5 5172 Trgt 1
H4 5143 Long breakout
H3 5109 Go Short
H2 5097
H1 5086
L1 5063
L2 5052
L3 5040 Long
L4 5006 Short Breakout
L5 4977 Trgt 1
L6 4948 Trgt 2
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-09-2011
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels
R3 5278
R2 5189
R1 5135
Avg 5046
S1 4992
S2 4903
S3 4849
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5227 Trgt 2
H5 5193 Trgt 1
H4 5159 Long breakout
H3 5120 Go Short
H2 5107
H1 5094
L1 5067
L2 5054
L3 5041 Long
L4 5002 Short Breakout
L5 4968 Trgt 1
L6 4934 Trgt 2
R3 5278
R2 5189
R1 5135
Avg 5046
S1 4992
S2 4903
S3 4849
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5227 Trgt 2
H5 5193 Trgt 1
H4 5159 Long breakout
H3 5120 Go Short
H2 5107
H1 5094
L1 5067
L2 5054
L3 5041 Long
L4 5002 Short Breakout
L5 4968 Trgt 1
L6 4934 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-09-2011
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels
R3 10182
R2 9961
R1 9817
Avg 9596
S1 9452
S2 9231
S3 9087
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10049 Trgt 2
H5 9961 Trgt 1
H4 9873 Long breakout
H3 9773 Go Short
H2 9739
H1 9706
L1 9639
L2 9606
L3 9572 Long
L4 9472 Short Breakout
L5 9384 Trgt 1
L6 9296 Trgt 2
R3 10182
R2 9961
R1 9817
Avg 9596
S1 9452
S2 9231
S3 9087
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10049 Trgt 2
H5 9961 Trgt 1
H4 9873 Long breakout
H3 9773 Go Short
H2 9739
H1 9706
L1 9639
L2 9606
L3 9572 Long
L4 9472 Short Breakout
L5 9384 Trgt 1
L6 9296 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(1509-2011)
Following conclusive line was told before the beginning of today market in Technical Analysis,Researches & Market Outlook:-
Expected that Nifty will sustain above 5055 after fresh intraday consolidations and yesterday begun rally will remain continued.
Good supprt and consolidation at lower level. Nifty crossed and sustained above 5028(Resistance) also therefore more up moves are expected in the coming sessions and Nifty will test next resistance range 5120-5169..
Expected that Nifty will sustain above 5055 after fresh intraday consolidations and yesterday begun rally will remain continued.
Good supprt and consolidation at lower level. Nifty crossed and sustained above 5028(Resistance) also therefore more up moves are expected in the coming sessions and Nifty will test next resistance range 5120-5169..
Mid-session Outlook(1509-2011)
Voltale market and lower level good support also today. Nifty is hovering around mentioned resistance (5020-5028) for the last 45 minutes.
Just watch sustaining around or forceful break out of 5020-5028 for next moves confirmations.
Just watch sustaining around or forceful break out of 5020-5028 for next moves confirmations.
Post-open Outlook(15--09-2011)
Following possibilities were clearly told and next up moves confirmation levels were also updated before the beginning of today in Technical Analysis,Researches & Market Outlook.
1- Sentiment heated today morning therefore profit booking and intraday voltale market possibility will be kept in mind.
2- Next up moves confirmation will be firstly crossing 5028 and then sustaining above 5055.
Profit booking seen immediately after opening and Nifty could not trade above 5055 as well as slipped below 5028 also. Nifty is trading in Red and below mentioned 1st resistance range(5020-5028).
Weakness seen immediately after opening today and sustaining beyond mentioned 1st mentioned resistance range(5020-5028) will be next moves confirmations.
Technical Analysis,Researches & Market Outlook(15-09-2011)
Nifty-Micro Analysis of 10 days Intra Day Charts(Aug 30 to Sep 14,2011)
Nifty-Intra Day Chartt(Aug 30 to Sep 14,2011):-
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1- 3 Sessions buying between 4912-4936
2- 3 Sessions buying between 4922-4960
3- 3 Sessions selling between 5120-5169
Nifty-Micro Analysis of 2 days Intra Day Charts(Sep 13 and Sep 14,2011)
Nifty-Intra Day Chartt(Sep 13 and Sep 14,2011):-
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1- Buying between 4912-4936
2- Selling between 5020-5028
Conclusions
Strong support and base formation at lower levels in last 10 days and strong Global cues also today after yesterday sharp recovery from lower levels. Sentiment heated today morning therefore profit booking and intraday voltale market possibility will be kept in mind.
Next up moves confirmation will be firstly crossing 5028 and then sustaining above 5055. It is clear from 10 days intraday chart that no resistance between 5028-5120 therefore Sharp surge is very much possible after sustaining above 5055.
Expected that Nifty will sustain above 5055 after fresh intraday consolidations and yesterday begun rally will remain continued.
Pre-Closing Outlook(14-09-2011)
Nifty moved up sharply but could not test last 2 sessions resistance range of 5020-5028 and today high at this moment is 5017.90.
Strong up move today after lower level good consolidation as well as intraday charts of last 2 hours are also showing consolidation patterns. Fresh up moves are expected in the coming sessions if no big blow from Global markets.
Strong up move today after lower level good consolidation as well as intraday charts of last 2 hours are also showing consolidation patterns. Fresh up moves are expected in the coming sessions if no big blow from Global markets.
Live Proof of Today Up Moves Accurate Prediction
Nifty is 65 points up but when Nifty was in Red then following lines were told today in Technical Analysis and Research(14-09-2011) :-
"intraday patterns are also suggesting consolidations today therefore Up moves from here possibilities can not be ruled out"
Daily such accurate predictions and We have its record of more 4 years also. Anyone can verify this fact from this Blog and from our orkut.com communities.
Mid-session Outlook(14-09-2011)
Although first 3 hours Indian markets intraday charts are showing consolidation patterns but Dow' Futures is 145 point down and European markets Futures are also more than 1% down therefore more confirmations are required for next moves confirmations. Indian markets are out performing Asian markets also today but next moves confirmation will be sustaining beyond 4912-4970 and should be watched first.
Technical Analysis and Research(14-09-2011)
Mid-session Outlook(14-09-2011)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(Sep 12 & Sep 13,2011):-
Higher levels selling but lower levels buying also in last 2 days and Nifty is trading at lower levels of last 2 sessions range since opening today between 4918-4969.
Volatile market immediately after opening and Nifty could not sustained at higher levels also but lower levels good support also today at 4918. As Nifty got support at 4912 in last sessions therefore this level break out will decide next long trend. Slipping and sustaining below 4912 should be watched for next moves confirmation for commencement of fresh down moves. Follow up confirm support today will mean correction completion strong indication and up moves within yesterday range(4912-5028) will be seen first.
Nifty got support at 4912 in last 2 sessions and again got support a little above it today also and intraday patterns are also suggesting consolidations today therefore Up moves from here possibilities can not be ruled out.
4912-4970 break out will give next immediate moves confirmations and should be watched first.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(Sep 12 & Sep 13,2011):-
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Volatile market immediately after opening and Nifty could not sustained at higher levels also but lower levels good support also today at 4918. As Nifty got support at 4912 in last sessions therefore this level break out will decide next long trend. Slipping and sustaining below 4912 should be watched for next moves confirmation for commencement of fresh down moves. Follow up confirm support today will mean correction completion strong indication and up moves within yesterday range(4912-5028) will be seen first.
Nifty got support at 4912 in last 2 sessions and again got support a little above it today also and intraday patterns are also suggesting consolidations today therefore Up moves from here possibilities can not be ruled out.
4912-4970 break out will give next immediate moves confirmations and should be watched first.
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