Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 30-08-2011

Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels

R3 9773
R2 9573
R1 9459
Avg 9259
S1 9145
S2 8945
S3 8831

Bank Nifty(Aug Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9668     Trgt 2
H5 9593     Trgt 1
H4 9517     Long breakout
H3 9431     Go Short
H2 9402
H1 9373
L1 9316
L2 9287
L3 9258     Long
L4 9172     Short Breakout
L5 9096     Trgt 1
L6 9021     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(29-08-2011)

Positive global cues triggered strong rally in the Indian markets and last resistance range of 6 previous sessions is between 4952-4960.

Pull Back Rally survival today,its continuation and strong rally confirmation will be after crossing of next resistance(4952-4960).

Global markets moves are violent for the last couple of months and huge voltality is being seen. If no big jolt from global markets then continuation of rally expected after crossing of mentioned resistance range.

Mid-session Outlook(29-08-2011)

Crossing of first resistance(4871) was expressed within first hour today in Post-open Outlook and it is Pull back rally survival strong indication. Strong rally and no sign of selling today.

Next resistance is at 4966 and its testing is possible in the coming sessions.

Post-open Outlook(29-08-2011)

Dow'Futures is more than 110 points up today morning and  all the Asian are 1% to 2% up except SSEC therefore good bounce back seen in Indian markets. Sentiment is strong and Nifty is trading between resistance range of 4827-4871. Pull Back Rally started on 19-08-2011 and sustaining above 4871 will be its survival confirmation.

Strong opening and trading today therefore possibility of crossing 4871 can not be rules out.

Blog will be updated after opening of market today. 
Sorry for  inconvenience.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 29-08-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(26-Sep-2011):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1-Selling between 4827-4871
2-Down moves started after opening of European markets at 12:30 PM
3-Selling between 4783-4814
4- Whole day trading between 5724-4871

Conclusions

4843 was crucial support and its breaking down today mean termination of last hope of Pull Back Rally survival below 4798. As Nifty broke this support by force therefore it is confirmation of more down moves. Indian markets are completely weak and  Bearish phase is so high that Pull Back Rally failed within 5 sessions.

Next supports and retrcelent levels will be updated in the coming topics and those levels will be Pull Back Rally or Bounce Back expectation.

When market was preparing for Pull Back rally termination near 4800 then it was updated in Mid-session Outlook today and following lines were told:-

As intraday selling also seen at higher levels today therefore slipping and sustaining below 4800 possibility is high now.

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 26-Aug-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 26-Aug-2011 2145.7 2371.95 -226.25

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 26-Aug-2011 1169.39 776.49 392.9

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(26-Aug-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Long Black Candle.
2- Crucial support levels of 4798 broken down.
3- 5 sessions before started pull back rally terminated.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.25
Nifty P/E Ratio(26-Aug-2011): 17.14

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 594
BSE DECLINES : 2287
NSE ADVANCES : 194
NSE DECLINES : 1255

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4700 CE(Aug)- +659100(+91.96%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Aug)- +751400(+17.23%)

Nifty- 4800 CE(Aug)- +834650(+51.59%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Aug)- +643150(+13.01%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 4,747.80 (-91.80 Points & -1.90%)
Sensex- closed at 15,848.83(-297.50 Points & -1.84% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,044.00(-149.15 Points & -2.07%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 6,911.36(-188.25 Points & -2.65%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 29-08-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 4991
R2 4931
R1 4839
Avg 4779
S1 4687
S2 4627
S3 4535

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 4899     Trgt 2
H5 4865     Trgt 1
H4 4830     Long breakout
H3 4788     Go Short
H2 4774
H1 4760
L1 4733
L2 4719
L3 4705     Long
L4 4663     Short Breakout
L5 4628     Trgt 1
L6 4594     Trgt 2

Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 29-08-2011

Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels

R3 5097
R2 4992
R1 4928
Avg 4823
S1 4759
S2 4654
S3 4590

Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5038     Trgt 2
H5 4997     Trgt 1
H4 4956     Long breakout
H3 4910     Go Short
H2 4894
H1 4879
L1 4848
L2 4833
L3 4817     Long
L4 4771     Short Breakout
L5 4730     Trgt 1
L6 4689     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 29-08-2011

Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels

R3 9686
R2 9470
R1 9337
Avg 9121
S1 8988
S2 8772
S3 8639

Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9564     Trgt 2
H5 9480     Trgt 1
H4 9395     Long breakout
H3 9299     Go Short
H2 9267
H1 9235
L1 9172
L2 9140
L3 9108     Long
L4 9012     Short Breakout
L5 8927     Trgt 1
L6 8843     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Aug 29 to Sep 02,2011)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5148
R2 5057
R1 4902
Avg 4811
S1 4656
S2 4565
S3 4410

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 4994     Trgt 2
H5 4938     Trgt 1
H4 4882     Long breakout
H3 4814     Go Short
H2 4792
H1 4769
L1 4724
L2 4701
L3 4679     Long
L4 4611     Short Breakout
L5 4555     Trgt 1
L6 4499     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(26-08-2011)

When Nifty was trading near 4800 then following lines were told in Mid-session Outlook today:-

As intraday selling also seen at higher levels today therefore slipping and sustaining below 4800 possibility is high now.

Nifty slipped and formed bottom at 4720 today and Nifty is trading at 4750 st this moment but Pull Back rally temination confirmation below 4800 therefore more lower levels are expected now.

Mid-session Outlook(26-08-2011)

Indian markets tumbled after the weak opening of European markets. European markets present trading positions are as follows:-

 Germany 30 5464.00 -2.15%
 UK 100 5093.00 5131.10 -0.74%
 France 40 3090.50 -0.91%

Nifty is trading near 4800 for the last 45 minutes. As intraday selling also seen at higher levels today therefore slipping and sustaining below 4800 possibility is high now.

Post-open Outlook-2(26-08-2011)

Although Indian markets closed 1% down yesterday but bearish views were not posted and following lines were told yesterday in Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 26-08-2011

Although Indian markets slipped from higher levels and trading at lower levels but intraday trading patterns are not suggesting pure selling today and consolidation patterns are also seen in today intraday chart.

consolidation patterns were told for yesterday and Nifty is 25 points up and Sensex was 90 points up within first 45 minutes today.

Only following line was told again and again for watching:-

watch last 5 seesions support range(4798-4850)

Nifty is trading above 4850 and sustaining above it today will be confirmation of beginning of pull back rally after higher bottom formation therefore just watch it first of all.

Post-open Outlook(26-08-2011)

Indian markets completely ignored Global cues today and firstly traded positive. Today market will reply this question that 5 sessions before started rally is surviving or not. As yesterday intra day patterns did not suggesting selling despite 1% down market and today today outperforming global markets are suggesting to watch last 5 seesions support range(4798-4850) and its survival will decide that:-

1- Deep down below 4798 or
2- Continuation of rally after formation of higher(or double) bottom above 4850.

Hopes of Pull Back Rally survival are completely alive after watching today opening and and first 25 minutes trading.

Pre-open Outlook(26-08-2011)

Although US markets closed more than 1.5% down yesterday but Asian markets are trading with marginal loss and are from .10% to.75% down. Sentiment is moderately weak and Indian markets will open little down and will trade between last 5 seesions support range(4798-4850)

Nifty traded last half hour between last 5 seesions support range(4798-4850) yesterday and coming session will decide that this support is surviving or not. Breaking out of 4798-4850 should be watched first of all for next moves and survival of Pull Back Rally confirmations.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 25-Aug-2011

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 25-Aug-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 25-Aug-2011 3102.79 4543.34 -1440.55

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 25-Aug-2011 1271.59 886.58 385.01

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 26-08-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(25-Aug-2011):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Down moves in Falling Channel
2- Up moves in Rising Channel
3- Mixed Patterns between 5850-5870
4- Whole day trading between 4826-4911

Conclusions

As good selling between 4898-4960 yesterday therefore down moves were seen today despite strong global cues. Today down movs possibility was told in all the outlooks which were updated for today trading.

Although Indian markets slipped from higher levels and trading at lower levels but intraday trading patterns are not suggesting pure selling today and consolidation patterns are also seen in today intraday chart.

Nifty traded last half hour between last 5 seesions support range(4798-4850) and coming session will decide that this support is surviving or not. Breaking out of 4798-4850 should be watched first of all for next moves and survival of Pull Back Rally confirmations.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(25-Aug-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Long Back Candle.
2- Weak Indian markets despite strong global cues.
3- All the Indices closed in Red except Reality and HC.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.05
Nifty P/E Ratio(25-Aug-2011): 17.47

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1074
BSE DECLINES : 1712
NSE ADVANCES : 475
NSE DECLINES : 940

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4800 CE(Aug)- +275750(+20.56%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Aug)- +675150(+15.52%)

Nifty- 4900 CE(Aug)- +670400(+32.08%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Aug)- -2107950(-50.90%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 4,839.60(-49.30 Points & -1.01%)
Sensex- closed at 16,146.33(-138.65 Points & -0.85% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,193.15(-73.15 Points & -1.01%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 7,099.61(-59.03 Points & -0.82%)