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Technical Analysis & Market Outlook(02-08-2011)


Nifty-Intra Day Chart(01-Aug-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5520-5545
2- Buying between 5490-5507
3- Whole day trading range 5490-5545

Conclusions

Whole day trading amid most bullish global sentiment but selling at high levels between 5520-5545 and buying at lower levels between 5490-5507. Nifty traded whole day between 5490-5545 and next resistance is just above it within 5560-5595 and support is also below today range between 5460-5485.

It is clear that Nifty traded between next supports and resistances with both intraday buying and selling patterns  on 02-08-2011. Global sentiments based high voltality is being seen nowadays and all the Global markets remained most bullish on the back of Dow's Futures whole day trading more than 150 points up on 02-08-2011 while Dow Jones is trading more than 75 points down at this moment. When such uncertainity is being observed then next trend will get confirmation through break out of any crucial support/resistance which are as follows:-

1- Next trend first indication range is sustaining beyond 5490-5545
2- Next trend confirmation range is sustaining beyond 5460-5595

Next moves confirmation levels have been given above but upmoves are also expected despite US markets deep Red trading because yesterday intraday pattern is suggesting consolidation formations.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 01-Aug-2011


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 01-Aug-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII01-Aug-20111860.61773.7786.83


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII01-Aug-2011956.141051.4-95.26

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(01-Aug-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Doji Candle.
2- Benchmark Indices closed in Green but Midcap and Smallcap closed in Red.
3- Market could not test any resistance level.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.01
Nifty P/E Ratio(01-Aug-2011): 19.81

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1174
BSE DECLINES : 1689
NSE ADVANCES : 562
NSE DECLINES : 875

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5400 CE(Aug)- -47500(-2.62%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Aug)- +521700(+8.59%)

Nifty- 5500 CE(Aug)- +198200(+4.13%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Aug)- +1070300(+24.74%)

Nifty- 5600 CE(Aug)- +295100(+4.85%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Aug)- +24400(+2.00%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,516.80(+34.80 Points & +0.63%)
Sensex- closed at 18,314.33(+ 117.13 Points & +0.64% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 8,007.35(-10.00 Points & -0.12%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,283.88(-21.70 Points & -0.26%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-08-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5614
R2 5582
R1 5549
Avg 5517
S1 5484
S2 5452
S3 5419

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5581     Trgt 2
H5 5566     Trgt 1
H4 5551     Long breakout
H3 5533     Go Short
H2 5527
H1 5521
L1 5510
L2 5504
L3 5498     Long
L4 5480     Short Breakout
L5 5465     Trgt 1
L6 5450     Trgt 2

Nifty(Aug Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-08-2011

Nifty(Aug Fut)-Levels

R3 5632
R2 5594
R1 5563
Avg 5525
S1 5494
S2 5456
S3 5425

Nifty(Aug Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5601     Trgt 2
H5 5585     Trgt 1
H4 5569     Long breakout
H3 5550     Go Short
H2 5544
H1 5538
L1 5525
L2 5519
L3 5513     Long
L4 5494     Short Breakout
L5 5478     Trgt 1
L6 5462     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Aug Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-08-2011

Bank Nifty(Aug Fut)-Levels

R3 11236
R2 11155
R1 11061
Avg 10980
S1 10886
S2 10805
S3 10711

Bank Nifty(Aug Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6  11143    Trgt 2
H5  11103    Trgt 1
H4  11063    Long breakout
H3  11015    Go Short
H2  10999
H1  10983
L1  10950
L2  10934
L3  10918    Long
L4  10870    Short Breakout
L5  10830    Trgt 1
L6  10790    Trgt 2

Pre-closing Outlook(01-08-2011)


Nifty traded whole day between 5490-5545 with selling between 5520-5545 and buying between 5490-5507. As both intraday buying and selling seen today and good consolidation seen at lower levels also therefore  mentioned today trading range will give next moves first indication.

पूर्व बंद Outlook (01-08-2011)

निफ्टी 5520-5545 के बीच बिक्री और खरीद के साथ 5490-5545 के बीच कारोबार पूरे दिन 5490-5507 के बीच. दोनों intraday खरीदने और आज और अच्छा निचले स्तर पर देखा समेकन देखा बेचने के रूप में भी इसलिए उल्लेख किया आज ट्रेडिंग रेंज break out अगली चाल पहला संकेत दे देंगे.

मध्य सत्र आउटलुक 2 (2011/01/08)

Folloiwng लाइन तकनीकी विश्लेषण और बाजार आउटलुक (01-08-2011) में आज कहा गया था: -

1 - पहली प्रतिरोध (5,560-5595) से ऊपर बनाए रखने की प्रवृत्ति को पहले की पुष्टि के लिए जरूरी है.

2 - अगले प्रवृत्ति से परे बनाए रखने के माध्यम से निर्णय लिया जाएगा अगले प्रतिरोध रेंज उल्लेख किया है.

बेचना बिल्कुल नीचे 5520-5545 के बीच आज का उल्लेख प्रतिरोध रेंज देखा इसलिए जब तक निफ्टी 5545 से ऊपर कदम नहीं तब तक किसी भी ऊपर ले जाएँ और अधिक चाल नीचे नहीं माना जा संभावनाओं नियम नहीं बाहर किया जा सकता होगा अगर निफ्टी 5490 के नीचे फिसल जाता है.

Mid-session Outlook-2(01-08-2011)

Folloiwng line was told in Technical Analysis & Market Outlook(01-08-2011) today:-

1- sustaining above first resistance(5560-5595) is must for up trend first confirmation.
2- next trend will be decided through sustaining beyond mentioned next resistance range.

Selling seen exactly below mentioned resistance range between 5520-5545 today therefore until Nifty will not move above 5545 till then any up move will not be considered and more down moves possibilities can not be rules out if Nifty slips below 5490.

मध्य सत्र Outlook (01-08-2011)


ग्रीन में भारतीय बाजार आज के उद्घाटन के बाद से व्यापार कर रहे हैं लेकिन मजबूत और बेच नहीं संकेत भी उच्च स्तर पर भी.

Mid-session Outlook(01-08-2011)

Indian markets are trading in Green since opening today but not strong and selling indications also at higher levels also.

तकनीकी विश्लेषण और बाजार आउटलुक (01/08/2011)

डो, फ्यूचर्स आज सुबह ओबामा रिपब्लिकन कांग्रेस के नेताओं के साथ एक समझौता करने के लिए देश की पहली कभी वित्तीय defaul से बचने पर समझौते के बाद 175 से अधिक अंकों के व्यापार है इसलिए सभी एशियाई बाजारों में सकारात्मक रहे हैं और कुछ से अधिक 1.5% अप भी कर रहे हैं. भारतीय बाजार भी मजबूत खोलने के साथ यह उत्साहजनक खबर के लिए प्रतिक्रिया होगी

निफ्टी - EOD चार्ट (29 जुलाई 2011): -
बस अपने बढ़े हुए देखने के लिए चार्ट पर क्लिक करें
पिछले 2 sssions में डबल doji संरचनाओं और निफ्टी 5455-5520 के बीच कारोबार किया. आज के उद्घाटन को अंतराल के बाद 5520 के ऊपर कायम रखना 5454-5740 और पिछले 2 सत्रों ट्रेडिंग रेंज के बीच मजबूत समर्थन के बीच रेंज बाउंड बाजार का पता लगाने जाएगा.

पिछला कमजोर व्यापार अमेरिकी ऋण संकट और आज के व्यापार की छाया के तहत किया गया था फिर से संकट से वसूली के उत्साहजनक खबर है इसलिए पार और पहली प्रतिरोध (5560-5595) से ऊपर बनाए रखने प्रवृत्ति को पहली पुष्टि के लिए जरूरी है द्वारा प्रभावित हो जाएगा.

मूड तेजी आज सुबह खोलने और पूरे दिन सकारात्मक क्षेत्र व्यापार के ऊपर अंतराल के बाद इसलिए सकारात्मक समापन और देखा जाएगा अगले प्रवृत्ति उल्लेख किया है अगले प्रतिरोध सीमा से परे बनाए रखने के माध्यम से निर्णय लिया जाएगा.

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts(01-08-2011)

Dow,Futures is trading more than 175 points up today morning after Obama agreement with Republican congressional leaders on a compromise to avoid the nation's first-ever financial defaul therefore all the Asian markets are positive and some are more than 1.5% up also. Indian markets will also react to this encouraging news with strong opening

Nifty-EOD Chart(29-Jul-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Double Doji formations in last 2 sssions and Nifty traded between 5455-5520. Sustaining above 5520 after gap up opening today will ascertain the range bound market between 5454-5740 and strong support between last 2 sessions trading range.

Previous weak trading was under the shadow of US debt crisis and today trading will again be influenced by encouraging news of recovery from crisis therefore crossing and sustaining above first resistance(5560-5595) is must for up trend first confirmation.

Mood is bullish today morning therefore positive closing after gap up opening and whole day positive zone trading will be seen and next trend will be decided through sustaining beyond mentioned next resistance range.

ओबामा: कांग्रेस एक ऋण समझौते तक पहुँचने

वॉशिंगटन (एपी) - एक खतरनाक गतिरोध समाप्त, राष्ट्रपति बराक ओबामा समझौता देश की पहली कभी वित्तीय डिफ़ॉल्ट से बचने के लिए एक समझौते पर रिपब्लिकन कांग्रेस के नेताओं के साथ रविवार की रात की घोषणा की. सौदा एक दशक से अधिक संघीय खर्च से अधिक से अधिक $ 2 ट्रिलियन में कटौती करेगा.
डिफ़ॉल्ट "हमारी अर्थव्यवस्था पर एक विनाशकारी प्रभाव पड़ता था," ओबामा ने व्हाइट हाउस, relaying में अमेरिकी लोगों और दुनिया भर के वित्तीय बाजारों के लिए खबर ने कहा. उन्होंने दोनों दलों के नेताओं को धन्यवाद दिया.


स्रोत:-  http://news.yahoo.com/obama-congress-reach-debt-deal-003853348.html



Obama: Congress reach a debt deal

WASHINGTON (AP) — Ending a perilous stalemate, President Barack Obama announced agreement Sunday night with Republican congressional leaders on a compromise to avoid the nation's first-ever financial default. The deal would cut more than $2 trillion from federal spending over a decade.
Default "would have had a devastating effect on our economy," Obama said at the White House, relaying the news to the American people and financial markets around the world. He thanked the leaders of both parties.

Source:- http://news.yahoo.com/obama-congress-reach-debt-deal-003853348.html

Senate defeats House debt-ceiling bill


WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The Senate voted Friday night to set aside a House-passed bill that would raise the U.S. debt limit and cut the deficit, paving the way for a vote on Senate Democrats’ own measure and intense compromise talks as the clock ticked toward a potential government default next week.

Boehner: ‘I stuck my neck out’

In addressing the House of Representatives, Speaker John Boehner called on Democrats to "put something on the table." Courtesy Fox News.
The House bill passed 218-210 earlier Friday, after Republican leaders won over conservatives by tying an increase in the $14.3 trillion debt limit to passing a balanced-budget amendment. President Barack Obama opposes the House bill and is backing the rival measure from Senate Democratic Leader Harry Reid.
The House and Senate bills share key similarities, but a sticking point is how much and when to raise the government’s borrowing limit.
Senate leaders were working furiously on a compromise measure, and comments from Republicans including Sens. Olympia Snowe of Maine and Scott Brown of Massachusetts indicated a deal could win bipartisan support. Snowe said she was reviewing plans by Reid, of Nevada, and Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky and hoped they would work through their differences, according to The Wall Street Journal.
Obama continued to warn that the debt limit needs to be raised by Tuesday to avoid default. Payments on Treasury debt, veterans’ benefits and government employees’ salaries would halt if the government can’t pay its bills, the White House says.
On Saturday, the Republican-controlled House plans to reject Sen. Reid’s debt-ceiling bill, which would cut around $2 trillion in spending over 10 years and raise the debt limit by about $2.4 trillion. That’s enough to last past the 2012 elections and avoid a new fight over the debt ceiling before voters go to the polls.
Reid is hoping to ultimately pass his bill in the Senate after negotiating with Republicans and has set a vote to cut off debate on it for early Sunday morning. Final passage would then come Tuesday.

Source:-http://www.marketwatch.com/story/house-passes-bill-to-boost-debt-ceiling-2011-07-29?siteid=yhoof

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 29-Jul-2011


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 29-Jul-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII29-Jul-20112771.533235.56-464.03


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII29-Jul-20111564.711152.89411.82

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(29-Jul-2011)


Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Red closing with minor losses.
2- Mixed closing of Indices.Some closed with gains while others with loss.
3- Today Candle is Doji.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio:1.00
Nifty P/E Ratio(28-Jul-2011): 19.76

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1105
BSE DECLINES : 1772
NSE ADVANCES : 485
NSE DECLINES : 921

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5400 CE(Jul)- +151950(+9.14%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Jul)- +1514800(+30.69%)

Nifty- 5500 CE(Jul)- +905000(+22.79%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Jul)- +524250(+13.01%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,482.00(-5.75 Points & -00.10%)
Sensex- closed at 18,197.20(-12.32 Points & -0.07%)
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 8,017.35(-28.85 Points & -0.36%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,305.58(-55.84 Points & -0.67%)