Market Outlook(04-07-2011)

Technical Analysis and Research of Micro Analysis of Nifty Intra Day have already been explained in following topics with 1 Charts therefore not being repeated:-

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 04-07-2011

Nifty-EOD Chart(01-07-2011):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Forceful rally of 6 sessions reversed all trends and turned all the trends up. Nifty crossed 5600 and sustained 2 days above also but some selling was seen last Friday after good consolidations between 5600-5625 one day before. It is good support and next previous resistances are as follows:-

1- 5775
2- 5850 
3- 5944 

Higher levels selling was seen between 5655-5672 last Friday therefore Indian markets have to consolidate first near about this range today and then up moves will seen. As some selling was seen above crucial level of 5600 therefore consolidation is must today for sustaining above it confirmations

Although higher levels selling but whole day intraday patterns of last Friday showed consolidation indications therefore expected that follow up consolidations will be seen today and Nifty will finally sustain above 5600 and shoot up. Last 9 days Outlooks in this Blog are live proofs of this fact that We told more than 20 times only for Bullish rally and upmoves from the bottom of rally and never told for any Bearish market.

Indian markets will also open with good gains and close positive after whole day Green zone trading.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 04-07-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(01-07-2011):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Main Features

1- Selling between 5655-5672
2- Mixed Patterns between 5612-5640 in last 4 hours.

Conclusions

Intraday trading range is 5612-5672 and higher levels selling also but mixed patterns in last 4 hours at lower levels. Other Indices also showing mixed patterns today,while some are showing buying but some are showing selling also therefore it is confirm that consolidation is must within today range for any upmove from here.

Nifty sustained above 5600 whole day and all trends are up therefore expected that Indian markets will first consolidate within today range(5612 -5672) and after that next rally will begin.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(01-07-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Long Black Candle.
2- Mixed trends in Indices. Some closed positive and some negative.
3- Nifty sustained whole day above crucial level of 5600.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.22
Nifty P/E Ratio(01-07-2011): 20.75

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1682
BSE DECLINES : 1185
NSE ADVANCES :  851
NSE DECLINES :  553

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5500 CE(Jul)- -14800(-0.59%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Jul)- +357250(+10.26%)

Nifty- 5600 CE(Jul)- +194000(+5.02%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Jul)- +367700(+13.69%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Jul)- +1218850(+38.75%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Jul)- +320950(+44.89%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,627.20(-20.20 Points &-0.36%)
Sensex- closed at 18,762.80(-54.60 Points &-0.44% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 8,026.10(+83.07 Points & +0.68%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,224.41(+67.81 Points & +0.83%)

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 01-Jul-2011

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 01-Jul-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 01-Jul-2011 2603.52 2003.86 599.66

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 01-Jul-2011 1044.68 1499.99 -455.31

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-07-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5781
R2 5743
R1 5685
Avg 5647
S1 5589
S2 5551
S3 5493

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5723     Trgt 2
H5 5701     Trgt 1
H4 5679     Long breakout
H3 5653     Go Short
H2 5644
H1 5635
L1 5618
L2 5609
L3 5600     Long
L4 5574     Short Breakout
L5 5552     Trgt 1
L6 5530     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-07-2011

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 5774
R2 5738
R1 5688
Avg 5652
S1 5602
S2 5566
S3 5516

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5724     Trgt 2
H5 5704     Trgt 1
H4 5685     Long breakout
H3 5661    Go Short
H2 5653
H1 5645
L1 5630
L2 5622
L3 5614     Long
L4 5590     Short Breakout
L5 5571     Trgt 1
L6 5551     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-07-2011

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 11490
R2 11418
R1 11356
Avg 11284
S1 11222
S2 11150
S3 11088

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11429     Trgt 2
H5 11399     Trgt 1
H4 11368     Long breakout
H3 11331     Go Short
H2 11319
H1 11307
L1 11282
L2 11270
L3 11258    Long
L4 11221    Short Breakout
L5 11190    Trgt 1
L6 11160    Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jul 04 to Jul 08,2011)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 6014
R2 5859
R1 5743
Avg 5588
S1 5472
S2 5317
S3 5201

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5907     Trgt 2
H5 5841     Trgt 1
H4 5776     Long breakout
H3 5701     Go Short
H2 5676
H1 5651
L1 5602
L2 5577
L3 5552     Long
L4 5477     Short Breakout
L5 5412     Trgt 1
L6 5346     Trgt 2

Pre-closing Outlook(01-07-2011)

Although Positive closing was expected today but we understood immediately after opening that profit booking is being developed after weak opening therefore we told cautioned within first 8 minutes. Following lines was also told in Mid-session Outlook today:-

Good support between 5600-5625 and expected that Nifty will get support near about this range.

Nifty traded last 3 hours hours within 5612-5635 and today lowest is at 5609.75. Although last 3 hours intraday formations are showing mixed patterns but whole day intraday patterns of today are showing consolidation indications despite higher levels selling.

Expected that Nifty will trade and consolidate between 5600-5700 on next Monday/Tuesday and after that next rally will resume.

Mid-session Outlook(01-07-2011)

We always tell well in advance before any move in Indian stock markets. Although Indian markets were trading with good gains but we saw weakness and profit booking possibility.

we updated weakness and profit booking possibility within first 8 minutes today in  and regular fall seen after that. As per our views no business channel or website would have told for today Indian market weakness so early.

We are having 4 years record of such accurate predictions therefore we have written following slogan at the left top of this Blog:-

 Indian Stock Markets Operators can never deceive this Blog's Outlooks

Intraday correction was due and it is being seen at this moment. Good support between 5600-5625 and expected that Nifty will get support near about this range.

Post-open Outlook(01-07-2011)

Gap up but Weak opening. Profit booking possibility will also be considered.

Pre-open Outlook(01-07-2011)

All trends are up.Nifty crossed 5600 and Intraday charts of yesterday are showing consolidations above 5600 therefore sustaining above 5600 is confirm now. Indian markets broken out 39 sessions range,worst is over and rally is on.

As global cues are positive therefore Green zone trading after gap up opening will be seen today. Market require complete selling for any correction signal and no such indication till yesterday. Strong rally expected after 5600 break out but sentiment is heated therefore intraday voltality may be seen but finally positive closing expected today.

(Postings were interrupted yesterday due to some unavoidable reasons and will remain continued now)

Bull Market 4 Strong Confirmations

As posting was not possible in Blog due to technical problem in blogger.com therefore posting was not done in my Blog but Today Outlook was posted in My face book Group today. Same outlook is being reproduced  in following lines now.

As we always talk with proofs therefore my Face book group link is being given below.for anyone verifications;-

http://www.facebook.com/home.php?sk=group_117590304976168&ap=1

Market Outlook(30-06-2011)

Bullish markets 4 confirmations are as follows:-

1- Nifty traded most of the time above 200 Day EMA(5577) with intraday consolidation pattern yesterday therefore long term trend turning up possibility is high now.


2- Nifty cleared all the resistances and closed at the top of 38 trading sessions range(5329-5604) yesterday.


3- Nifty recovered 12 sessions fall in just 4 previous sessions and these forceful moves are strong indication of rally.


4- MACD is stronger indicator of trend confirmation and is positive after MACD line upward intersection of Average line.

First 4 days consolidation and base formation after spreading 'DTAA renegotiation'(Mauritious treaty) news by Business Channels and then 4 days consolidations below 5329 was seen. Last 4 sessions forceful up moves are strong indication of rally above 5600 after 38 sessions range bound market.

As Very short term indicators are overbought therefore voltality may be seen after minor profit booking but it should be kept in mind that indicators remains overbought for longer period in Bullish markets and corrections are seen at higher levels.

Global cues are positive today morning therefore gap up opening and trading above 5600 will be seen. Although technical confirmation formality of 3 days sustaining above 5604/3% move above 5604 is left but very much expected that worst of Indian markets is over after 38 sessions range bound market and strong rally above 5600 will be seen in Indian marlkets because all the bullish trend lines turned valid after last 4 sessions rally.

Whole day positive market after gap up opening and June derivative series closing at new top will be seen today.

4 Strong Confirmations of Bull Market have been explained above today but all the outlooks of last 7 sessions from the bottom of rally are live proofs of this fact that only up moves were projected more than 50 times daily in last 7 days and never told for any down move. It is open fact and anyone can verify any time.

As technical problem in blogger.com therefore Blog could not be updated since morning today. Now Blog is working properly therefore posting will be begin now but will be little late.


Sorry for inconvenience.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 29-06-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(29-06-2011):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Main Features

1-Consolidation between 5575-5596
2-Whole day intraday consolidations

Conclusions

Consolidation at the top of resistance range clearly means its crossing and trading above 5600 tomorrow. As very short term indicators are overbought therefore intraday voltality may be seen.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(29-06-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- White Candle after gap up opening.
2- All the Indices are showing consolidations.
3- Closing at the top of 38 range bound sessions.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 20.65
Nifty P/E Ratio(29-06-2011): 1.10

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1813
BSE DECLINES : 1072
NSE ADVANCES :  939
NSE DECLINES :  469

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5500 CE(Jun)- -1012250(-20.48%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Jun)- +1801350(+24.62%)

Nifty- 5600 CE(Jun)- +425000(+5.57%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Jun)- +2877100(+65.06%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Jun)- +2761500(+46.63%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Jun)- +107150(+32.32%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at +5,600.45(+55.15 Points & +0.99%%)
Sensex- closed at +18,693.86(+201.41 Points & +1.09%)
CNX MIDCAP - closed at +7,966.75(+41.90 Points & +0.53%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at +8,110.30(+76.67 Points & +0.95%)

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 29-Jun-2011

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 29-Jun-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Junket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 29-Jun-2011 3099.16 2429.81 669.35

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Junket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 29-Jun-2011 1290.67 1531.26 -240.59

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 30-06-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5658
R2 5633
R1 5616
Avg 5591
S1 5574
S2 5549
S3 5532

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5642     Trgt 2
H5 5632     Trgt 1
H4 5623     Long breakout
H3 5611     Go Short
H2 5607
H1 5603
L1 5596
L2 5592
L3 5588     Long
L4 5576     Short Breakout
L5 5567     Trgt 1
L6 5557     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 30-06-2011

Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels

R3 5670
R2 5641
R1 5622
Avg 5593
S1 5574
S2 5545
S3 5526

Nifty(Jun Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5652     Trgt 2
H5 5641     Trgt 1
H4 5630     Long breakout
H3 5617     Go Short
H2 5612
H1 5608
L1 5599
L2 5595
L3 5590     Long
L4 5577     Short Breakout
L5 5566     Trgt 1
L6 5555     Trgt 2