Mid-session Outlook-2(26-05-2011)

Last 2 sessions consolidations between 5330-5370 and today some profit booking between 5390-5405. Next moves preparation range is 5350-5395 and Nifty will trade between this range in the coming hours. Let market prepare then view will be formed from intraday charts analysis and will be posted accordingly.

Mid-session Outlook(26-05-2011)

Pull Back rally is being seen today but its possibility has been continuously told in almost all the previous outlooks which were posted in last 2 days and bullish moves technical reasons were also explained in more than 7 previous topics.


Today intra day charts are showing consolidations and move above 5422 will be strong rally confirmation.

NIFTY-MAY F&O-1ST BUYING OF 25-05-2011-COVERING

NIFTY MAY F & O(BOUGHT ON 25-05-2011)-COVER AND BOOK PROFIT IMMEDIATELY(WE SHALL BUY AGAIN BUT FIRST COVER)-CMP-5383

NIFTY-MAY F&O-1ST BUYING OF 25-05-2011-MESSAGE

NIFTY MAY F & O(BOUGHT ON 25-05-2011)-PLEASE DO NOT COVER AT TARGET AND JUST WAIT FOR MY COVERING MESSAGE

Pull Back Rally Possible

Pre-Open Market Outlook(26-05-2011)

Technical Analysis and Researches have already been posted in following topics with 2 Charts therefore not being repeated:-

1- Technical Analysis of EOD Chart and Research For 26-05-2011
2- Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 26-05-2011

Conclusions

Indian markets slipped without intraday selling patterns and recent down moves were the impact of melting global markets also therefore Pull Back Rally possibility is strong and may begin any day. Trend reversal pattern of Falling wedge formation in 5th corrective wave therefore correction completion and fresh rally begining is also possible.

As consolidation patterns in the previous 2/3 sessions therefore up moves,Pull Back rally and positive market expected today.

US markets closed with minor gains,Asian markets are positive today morning and sentiment improved therefore positive opening will be seen, Previous sessions consolidations and Bullish trend reversal patterns formations therefore Green closing after whole day positive zone trading expected.

Technical Analysis of EOD Chart and Research For 26-05-2011

EOD Chart(25-05-2011)

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Main Features

1- 5th Corrective Wave is on
2- Falling Wedge(Bullish Pattern) Formation in 5th corrective Wave
3- Next 1st Support at 5348(Nifty closed at 5,348.95 on 25-05-2011)
4- Next 2nd Support at 5232
5- Next 3rd Support at 5177

Conclusions

All trends are down. 5th wave trend line and rising line continuation pattern has been broken down but Pull back rally and up moves hopes are possible because:-

1- Last 16 sessions down moves are without force.
2- 5th corrective wave is on and up moves are very much technically possible after its completion.
3- Trend reversal pattern Falling Wedge(Bullish Pattern) Formation in 5th corrective Wave.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 25-May-2011

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 26-05-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(25-05-2011):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Main Features

1- Falling Channel Pattern
2- Water Fall Bullish Pattern
3- Falling Channel Break Out
4- Consolidations between 5330-5340 in last 3 hours
5- Consolidations between 5342-5355

Conclusions

Technically Indian markets are weak but Pull back rally within couple of sessions was expected after yesterday intraday consolidation but Global storm was so heavy today morning that all the Asian markets were down and resultant Indian markets also could not survived at intraday higher levels and slipped in Water Fall Bullish Pattern(Falling Channel Pattern)

Last 3 hours consolidation between 5330-5355 and bounce back will be seen tomorrow.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(25-05-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed in Red except CD.
2- Weaker global cues led whole day negative zone trading.
3- Black Candle.
4- Last 3 hours lower levels consolidations.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio:  0.84
Nifty P/E Ratio(24-05-2011): 19.90


Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1071
BSE DECLINES : 1690
NSE ADVANCES :  477
NSE DECLINES :  917

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5300 CE(26-05-2011)- +1998750(+93.28%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(26-05-2011)- +775950(+9.69%)

Nifty- 5400 CE(26-05-2011)- +786550(+12.01%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(26-05-2011)- -1233800(-20.12%)

Nifty- 5500 CE(26-05-2011)- +128950(+1.77%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(26-05-2011)- -1202600(-31.41%)

Closing

Nifty- closed at 5,348.95(-45.90 Points & -0.85%)
Sensex- closed at 17,838.55(-173.42 Points & -0.96% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,760.00(-23.80 Points & -0.31%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 6,623.16(-38.06 Points & -0.57%)

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 25-May-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Mayket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 25-May-2011 2614.34 2985.13 -370.79

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Mayket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 25-May-2011 946.27 766.86 179.41

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 26-05-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5443
R2 5416
R1 5382
Avg 5355
S1 5321
S2 5294
S3 5260

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6  5409    Trgt 2
H5  5395    Trgt 1
H4  5381    Long breakout
H3  5364    Go Short
H2  5359
H1  5353
L1  5342
L2  5336
L3  5331    Long
L4  5314    Short Breakout
L5  5300    Trgt 1
L6  5286    Trgt 2

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 26-05-2011

Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 5418
R2 5396
R1 5372
Avg 5350
S1 5326
S2 5304
S3 5280

Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6  5395    Trgt 2
H5  5384    Trgt 1
H4  5374    Long breakout
H3  5361    Go Short
H2  5357
H1  5353
L1  5344
L2  5340
L3  5336    Long
L4  5323    Short Breakout
L5  5313    Trgt 1
L6  5302    Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 26-05-2011

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels

R3 10507
R2 10473
R1 10418
Avg 10384
S1 10329
S2 10295
S3 10240

Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6  10453   Trgt 2
H5  10433   Trgt 1
H4  10412   Long breakout
H3  10388   Go Short
H2  10380
H1  10372
L1  10355
L2  10347
L3  10339   Long
L4  10315   Short Breakout
L5  10294   Trgt 1
L6  10274   Trgt 2

NIFTY-MAY F&O-1ST BUYING OF 25-05-2011-TRADE

NIFTY(MAY FUT-BUY-POSITIONAL)SL-5324-TGT-5384-CMP-5347

NIFTY(MAY CALL OPTION-BUY-POSITIONAL)SL-5324-TGT-5384-S.P.FOR CALL-5300,5400(MAY FUT-RATES FOR ALL OPTIONS)-CMP-5347

Pre-closing Outlook(25-05-2011)

Whole day down but intra day support seen at lower levels between 5330-5340 in last 3 hours.

Mid-session Outlook-2(25-05-2011)

Almost all the Asian markets were already down and weak Indian markets are pushed down by gap down European markets opening. Global storm is so heavy that next 1st support of 5348 has been broken and next suppot is at 5232. All round weakness and let market bottom out then any upmove will be considered. Continuous down moves today,intraday indicators are in oversold area and showing divergence therefore bounce back possibility can not be ruled out.

Mid-session Outlook(25-05-2011)

Dow's Futures is dipping and trading 100 points down at this moment. As Nifty consolidated between 5367-5422 yesterday therefore did not sustained below 5367 and traded most of the time between given range in first 2 hours with low at 5362.30.

Although consolidation yesterday but Global sentiment is depreseed due to some adverse news from Europe therefore sustaining below 5367-5422 will be watched for next moves confirmations.

Post-open Outlook(25-05-2011)

As US Futures is trading 75 points down today morning therefore Global sentiment is depressed and all Asian markets are trading in negative zone. Although SGX Nifty was 39 points down but opening was expected between 5367-5422 and Nifty is trading between 5372-5389 since opening today. As US Futures is trading 75 points down therefore sentiment is depressed and sustaining beyond 5367-5422 should be watched first for next moves confirmation.

Pre-open Outlook-2(25-05-2011)

US Futures is trading 75 points down today morning therefore Global sentiment is depressed and all Asian markets are trading in nehative zone.

sustaining beyond 5367-5422 will be watched first for next moves confirmation.

Pre-open Outlook(25-05-2011)

All the Asian markets are in Red therefore negative opening expected. As base formation in 2 previous sessions therefore Pull Back Rally expected in the coming sessions but next moves confirmation required today from break out of 5367-5422.

Just watch sustaining beyond 5367-5422 for next moves confirmation.

Pull Back Rally on Cards

Market Outlook
(25-05-2011)

Technical Analysis and Researches have already been posted in following topics with 2 Charts therefore not being repeated:-


1- Technical Analysis of EOD Chart and Research For 25-05-2011
2- Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 25-05-2011
3- Nifty- Correction in Continuation pattern Pennant Formations

Conclusions

All trends are down. Correction started from Diwali 2010 day with formation of 'ABC' and correction has been completed at 5177 and after its completion 4th corrective wave has alsocompleted. 5th impulsive wave and Rising Trend Line of Pennant started after that.

5th wave trend line and Rising line continuation Pennant pattern had been broken down in last 2 sessions but down moves were without force. Last 15 sessions down moves were also without force and trend reversal Falling Wedge(Bullish Pattern) Formation seen in 15 previous sessions also.

Nifty traded whole day between 5367-5422 on 24-05-2011 with intraday consolidation patterns and intraday chart formed 5 Waves of Falling Wedge(Bullish) reversal patterns. Some consolidation indications were also seen between 5375-5400 on 23-05-2011.

Strong indications of base formations between 5367-5422 in 2 previous sessions. Break out of 5367-5422 will be watched for next moves confirmations but sustaining above 5422 and begining of pull back rally expected in the coming couple of sessions.