As busy therefore Stock Market Outlook of today(21-05-2020) is not being updated.
ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
Fresh consolidation between 8807-8918 will mean Pull Back rally
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(20-05-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (19-May-2020):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Volatility in first half hour after Green opening
2- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
3- Selling between 8957-9002
4- Sideways trading between 8858-8918 in last 2 hours
5- Whole day actual trading between 8856-9030
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
When most Bullish sentiments then we were cautious and told following conclusive lines at 12:34 AM today in "Firstly watch 8807-8948 after most Bullish Global markets sentiment due to hopes for potential coronavirus vaccine":-
firstly sustaining beyond 8807-8948 should be watched in the coming sessions for next decisive moves beginning confirmations.
Although strong opening today but not sustaining above 8948 and Nifty closed below it at 8879.10 today after selling at higher levels.
As sideways trading between 8858-8918 in last 2 hours today and minor consolidation was also seen within this range therefore firstly sustaining it beyond should be watched in the coming sessions for next decisive moves beginning confirmations because Short Term indicators have turned Oversold and if fresh consolidation develops between 8807-8918 then Pull Back rally will be seen in the next 2/3 sessions.
Firstly watch 8807-8948 after most Bullish Global markets sentiment due to hopes for potential coronavirus vaccine
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(19-05-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (18-May-2020):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- 76 Points fall in first 2 minutes
2- 200 Points fall in first 43 minutes
3- Last more than 5 hours sideways trading between 8807-8948
4- Whole day actual trading between 8807-9158
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although Dow Jones's Futures was trading more than 250 points up and all the Asian markets except Taiwan were trading in Green today morning but sharp fall was seen in Indian markets through 76 Points fall in first 2 minutes and 200 Points fall in first 43 minutes. In this manner Indian markets completely under performed all the Global markets because Nifty traded almost whole day more than 2% down despite more than 2% positive and strong trading of most European markets.
As Nifty traded sideways more than 5 hours at 2% to 3% down rates between 8807-8948 with such huge under performing Global markets therefore good selling can not be ruled out here and finally down moves below Day's lowest(8807) is expected despite following most Bullish Global markets at this moment today:-
1- Dow Jones is trading more than 900 points up.
2- Most European markets closed more than 4% up
3- SGX Nifty is now trading more than 200 points up.
As all the Global markets have surged on hopes for potential coronavirus vaccine therefore sentiment has turned most Bullish hence firstly sustaining beyond 8807-8948 should be watched in the coming sessions for next decisive moves beginning confirmations.
Trading should be according to supports and resistances of last 40 sessions Wave-B levels
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(May 18 to May 22,2020)
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Corrective Waves)
Nifty-EOD Chart (15-May-2020):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Impulsive Wave-5 completion at 12430.50 on 20-01-2020 and Wave-A of "corrective ABC Waves" beginning
2- Corrective Wave-A completion at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020 and Wave-B beginning
3- Wave-B continuation with recent top formation at 9889.05 on 30-04-2020
4- Short Term correction beginning with recent bottom formation at 9043.95 on 12-05-2020
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Corrective Waves)
Impulsive Wave-5 completed at 12430.50 on 20-01-2020 and after that Wave-A of "corrective ABC Waves" begun which finished at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020 and then Wave-B started,that is in continuation with recent top formation at 9889.05 on 30-04-2020. Now Short Term correction of Wave-B is on with recent bottom formation at 9043.95 on 12-05-2020.
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Averages & MACD)
Nifty-EOD Chart (15-May-2020):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- SMA(Simple Moving Averages)
A- 5-Day SMA is at 9219
B- 13-Day SMA is at 9316
C- 55-Day SMA is at 9520
D- 200-Day SMA is at 11081
2- MACD-(S,9,S,9,S,24 Close)(-7.62,211.94)
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis (Averages)
As Nifty has closed below all the above Long,Intermediate and Short term SMA and MACD is also showing downward cross over therefore strong signals of more down moves in next week.
Nifty
Last 10 Sessions intraday charts analysis
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (May 04 to May 15,2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in last 10 Sessions intraday charts
1- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels in first 4 sessions
2- Selling(Resistances) in last 10 sessions between
A- 9352-9426
B- 9300-9355
C- 9250-9281
D- 9200-9231
3- Consolidation(Supports) in last 10 sessions
A- 9050-9090
B- 9044-9146
4- 10 Sessions actual trading between 9044-9584
Conclusions from 10 Sessions intra day chart analysis
As firstly consolidation through Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels in first 4 sessions of last 10 sessions therefore decisive up moves were seen in last 4 sessions but fresh selling developed at higher levels hence slipping to lower levels of last 10 sessions trading range in last week.
Clear consolidation at lower levels between 9044-9146 in last 4 sessions and good selling also at higher levels between 9200-9426 in last 6 sessions therefore firstly Nifty will have to trade and prepare for next decisive moves within this range and finally sustaining beyond this range will generate next big moves in the coming week/weeks.
Nifty
Last 2 Sessions intraday charts analysis
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (May 14 & May 15,2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in last 2 Sessions intraday charts
1- Selling between 9250-9281 on 14-05-2020(Immediate Resistances)
2- Selling between 9200-9231 on 14-05-2020(Immediate Resistances)
3- Consolidation between 9050-9090 on 15-05-2020(Immediate Supports)
4- 2 Sessions actual trading between 9050-9281
Conclusions from 2 Sessions intra day chart analysis
Nifty consolidated between 9044-9146 on 12-05-2020 and again consolidated within this range between 9050-9090 as well as closed within this range at 9136.85 on 15-05-2020 therefore this range(9044-9146) has become most crucial because finally sustaining beyond this range will give first signal of next decisive moves beginning in next week.
As good selling also between 9200-9281 on 14-05-2020 therefore follow up consolidation is firstly required for sustaining above 9281 hence Nifty will firstly trade within 9044-9281 in next week and finally valid break out of this range will generate more than 3% one sided decisive moves.
Conclusions
(After Putting All Studies Together)
1- Long term trend is down.
2- Intermediate term trend is sideways between 9044-9584 for the last 10 sessions
3- Short term trend is down
Although 10% Lower circuit filter triggered on 13-03-2020 but Nifty recovered 1604.25 points from lower levels and closed at the higher levels of the day that day. Nifty opened much weaker on next trading day(16-03-2020) and since then trading sideways between 7512-9889 for the last 40 sessions. As Wave-B formation has been seen within this range therefore now whole Wave-B will be understood sideways within this range.
As no confirmation of Wave-B completion yet therefore its continuation will be considered with recent top formation at 9889.05 on 30-04-2020. Now Short Term correction of Wave-B is on with recent bottom formation at 9043.95 on 12-05-2020 and also no confirmation of its completion yet also.
Nifty is sideways between 9044-9584 for the last 10 sessions with higher levels good selling and lower levels some supports also within this range. Supports and resistances between 9044-9584 have been updated above and beyond this range are as follows:-
Next resistances above 9584 are as follows:-
1- 9850-9889
2- 9955-10142
Next supports below 9044 are as follows:-
1- 8913-8972
2- 8700-8750
3- 8361-8449
4- 8056-8107
5- 7512-7970
Last 40 sessions sideways trading between 7512-9889 with Covid-19 Global markets news led highly volatile which will remain continued until any 100% positive situation will not develop regarding it.
As above mentioned multiple supports and resistances are lying between 7512-9889 therefore Nifty will trade within this range in the coming weeks and months. Wave-B formation and its on going Short Term Correction is also lying within this range therefore finally break out of this sideways range will decide the life of Wave-B,let it happen then will be decided accordingly and till then trading should be done according to supports and resistances of last 40 sessions Wave-B levels.
Levels will confirm next targets
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(14-05-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (13-May-2020):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- 232 Points fall in first half hour after after 387 points gap up opening
2- Sideways trading between 9352-9426 in last 6 hours
3- Whole day actual trading between 9352-9584
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although firstly 387 points gap up opening after PM Modi ji 20 Lac Crore package yesterday but not sustaining at higher levels 232 Points sharp fall was seen in first half hour.
As sideways trading between 9352-9426 in last 6 hours and one sided clear patterns formations were not seen within it therefore firstly sustaining it beyond should be watched tomorrow for following next targets confirmations:-
1- Next supports below 9352 are between 9044-9146
2- Next resistances above 9426 are between 9850-9889
Decisive up moves after 20 Lac crores package by our most respected PM Narenda Modi ji
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(13-05-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (12-May-2020):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidation between 9044-9146(Immediate Supports)
2- Up moves with downward corrections in last hours
3- Whole day actual trading between 9044-9240
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As first 4 hours lower levels consolidation and after that Up moves with downward corrections in last hours therefore decisive up moves will be seen towards following next resistances because 20 Lac crores package was announced by our most respected PM Narenda Modi ji also.;-
1- 9850-9889
2- 9955-10142
9183 will confirm fresh down moves beginning
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(12-05-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (11-May-2020):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels
2- 2 Hours Slow up moves in Mid-session
3- Whole day actual trading between 9220-9439
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Following lines were told on 09-05-2020 in "Watch levels with expectations of up moves towards next resistances ":-
1- firstly sustaining beyond 9183-9450 will be watched in the coming week
2- just watch above levels with expectations of up moves towards next resistances.
As was told 100% same happened because up moves expectations was told and upper levels was given at 9450 was given and up moves upto 9439.90(just below 9450) was seen today.
Although today closing was at lower levels of the day but all the Down moves were in Bullish Falling Channels therefore indications of some up moves also. As some selling also can not be ruled out in Mid-session through 2 Hours Slow up moves and today down moves were due to 300 points fall of Dow Jones Futures during Indian trading hours therefore firstly sustaining beyond 9183 should be watched for decisive down moves beginning confirmations.
Watch levels with expectations of up moves towards next resistances
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(May 11 to May 15,2020)
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Waves structure of Wave-B)
Nifty-EOD Chart (30-Apr-2020):-
1- Impulsive Wave-1 of Wave-B beginning after corrective Wave-A completion at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020
2- Impulsive Wave-1 completion at 9038.90 on 27-03-2020 and corrective Wave-2 beginning
3- Corrective Wave-2 completion at 8055.80 on 03-04-2020 and impulsive Wave-3 beginning
4- Impulsive Wave-3 completion at 9390.85 on 20-04-2020 and corrective Wave-4 beginning
5- Corrective Wave-4 completion at 8909.40 on 21-04-2020 and impulsive Wave-5 beginning
6- Impulsive Wave-5 of Wave-B continuation with recent top formation at 9889.05 on 30-04-2020
7- Short Term correction beginning with recent bottom formation at 9116.50 on 06-05-2020
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Waves structure of Wave-B)
Short Term correction begun after impulsive Wave-5 of Wave-B recent top formation at 9889.05 on 30-04-2020 and now its continuation with recent bottom formation at 9116.50 on 06-05-2020.
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Averages & Stochastic)
Nifty-EOD Chart (08-May-2020):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Impulsive Wave-5 completion at 12430.50 on 20-01-2020 and Wave-A of "corrective ABC Waves" beginning
2- Corrective Wave-A completion at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020 and Wave-B beginning
3- Wave-B continuation with recent top formation at 9889.05 on 30-04-2020
4- SMA(Simple Moving Averages)
A- 5-Day SMA is at 9244
B- 13-Day SMA is at 9302
C- 55-Day SMA is at 9781
D- 200-Day SMA is at 11140
5- Stochastic-%K(5) is at 21.01 & %D(3) is at 13.85
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Averages & Stochastic)
Nifty is hovering around 5-Day SMA and 13-Day SMA and Short Term Indicator Stochastic has moved into Over sold zone therefore emergence of up moves indications.
Nifty
Last 5 Sessions intraday charts analysis
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (May 04 to May 08,2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in last 5 Sessions intraday charts
1- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels most times in last 5 sessions
2- Most time trading between 9183-9450 in last 5 sessions
3- 4 Sessions closing at lower levels of the day in last week
4- Last 5 Sessions actual trading between 9117-9533
Conclusions from 5 Sessions intra day chart analysis
Although previous week candle is Red and almost whole week Nifty slipped from higher levels as well as closed in 4 Sessions at lower levels of the day but view will not be Bearish.
As most times Down moves were in Bullish Falling Channels in all the 5 sessions of previous week and that is a consolidation indication therefore firstly sustaining beyond 9183-9450 should be watched in the coming weeks for next big moves beginning confirmations because Nifty traded most time within this range.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis
(08-May-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (08-May-2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- 5 Hours trading with Mixed Patterns formation between 9300-9355
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel in last 2 hours
3- Whole day actual trading between 9239-9382
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although strong 177 points gap up opening but not sustaining at higher levels and closing at lower levels of the day with only 52 points gains last Friday.
As first 5 Hours trading with Mixed Patterns and after that Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel in last 2 hours therefore view will not be Bearish and first signal for next decisive moves will be drawn from sustaining beyond last Friday trading range(9239-9382)
Conclusions
(After Putting All Studies Together)
1- Long term trend is down.
2- Intermediate term trend is up
3- Short term trend is sideways.
Short term trend has turned sideways between in last 5 sessions between 9183-9450 after 595 points fall last Monday because Nifty traded most time within this range in previous week.
Although Weekly Red Candle formation with closing near the lower levels in previous week but view will not be Bearish because good consolidation indication also developed through most times Down moves were in Bullish Falling Channels and firstly sustaining beyond 9183-9450 will be watched in the coming week for next decisive moves beginning towards following next resistances above 9450 and supports below 9183:-
Resistances:-
1- 9850-9889
2- 9955-10142
Supports:-
1- 8913-8972
2- 8700-8750
3- 8361-8449
4- 8056-8107
5- 7512-7970
As situation are changing fast due to Coronavirus led huge Global uncertainity therefore keep an eye on those developments also because markets are not working only on technical and reacting sharply on its daily basis news also hence just watch above levels with expectations of up moves towards next resistances.
Levels will confirm next big decisive moves
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(08-05-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (07-May-2020):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels
3- Last 2 hours sideways trading between 9180-9222
4- Whole day actual trading between 9180-9277
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although firstly some selling through up moves in Bearish Rising Channel but good consolidation was also seen in Mid-Session through Down moves in Bullish Falling Channels therefore view will not be Bearish despite 0.78% weaker today closing. As both buying and selling patterns formations therefore today trading will be understood with Mixed patterns formations and finally levels break out will confirm next decisive moves.
As last 2 sessions and today trading also with Mixed Patterns formation between 9125-9450 therefore Nifty will trade and prepare for next big decisive moves within this range and finally sustaining beyond this range will form next Short term trend which should be watched in the coming sessions/week.
Firstly up moves expectation but watch given levels if negative news led Global and Indian markets fall begins
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(06-05-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (05-May-2020):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- More than 4 hours trading with Mixed Patterns formation between 9305-9450
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel in last 2 hours
3- Whole day actual trading between 9191-9450
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Following lines were told at 12:42 AM on 05-05-2020 in "Up moves towards immediate Resistances if Global markets not crashing":-
1- up moves towards immediate Resistances(9350-9407) are expected
2- Next supports between 9154-9227
Up moves were seen towards and above immediate Resistances(9350-9407) but could not sustain at higher levels and Down moves were see in last 2 hours and today closing was within above mentioned supports(9154-9227) at 9205.60.
More than 4 hours trading was with Mixed Patterns formation(clear selling patterns were not seen) and last 2 hours down moves were in Bullish Falling Channel as well as these down moves were due to more then 200 points fall of Dow Jones's Futures therefore view will not be Bearish immediately despite today closing at lower levels of the day.
As last 2 hours down moves were in Bullish Falling Channel in last 2 hours which is a consolidation indication and today closing is within above mentioned next supports(9154-9227) therefore firstly sustaining it beyond should be watched tomorrow for following next moves:-
1- Above 9227 will mean up moves towards 9450
2- Below 9154 will mean down moves towards:-
A- Next supports between 8913-8972
B- 38.2% Retracement level(8980) which is crucial also
As last 2 hours down moves were in Bullish Falling therefore firstly up moves above 9227 and towards 9450 are expected but above given levels should be watched also if any negative news led Global and Indian markets fall begins.
Up moves towards immediate Resistances if Global markets not crashing
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(05-05-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (04-May-2020):-
 |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Slipped 500 points in first hour after 325 points gap down opening
2- Selling between 9350-9407(Immediate Resistances)
3- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel in last hours
4- Supports at lower levels in last hour
5- Whole day actual trading between 9267-9533
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As crashing like situation in all the Global markets therefore firstly 325 points gap down opening and after that slipping also upto 500 points. Fresh selling between 9350-9407 in Mid-session but last hours Down moves were in Bullish Falling Channel and supports at lower levels in last hour therefore if crashing like situation does not develop in Global markets on 05-05-2020 then up moves towards immediate Resistances(9350-9407) are expected because:-
1- Very Short Term indicators have become Oversold
2- 27.0% retracement levels is just below day's lowest(9267) is at 9247.00
3- Next supports between 9154-9227 are also lying just below day's lowest(9267)
Firstly watch next supports amid Global markets led crashing like situation
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(May 04 to May 08,2020)
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Waves structure of Wave-B)
Nifty-EOD Chart (30-Apr-2020):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Impulsive Wave-1 of Wave-B beginning after corrective Wave-A completion at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020
2- Impulsive Wave-1 completion at 9038.90 on 27-03-2020 and corrective Wave-2 beginning
3- Corrective Wave-2 completion at 8055.80 on 03-04-2020 and impulsive Wave-3 beginning
4- Impulsive Wave-3 completion at 9390.85 on 20-04-2020 and corrective Wave-4 beginning
5- Corrective Wave-4 completion at 8909.40 on 21-04-2020 and impulsive Wave-5 beginning
6- Impulsive Wave-5 of Wave-B continuation with recent top formation at 9889.05 on 30-04-2020
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Waves structure of Wave-B)
Impulsive Wave-5 of Wave-B continuation with recent top formation at 9889.05 on 30-04-2020 no confirmation of its completion yet.
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Bollinger Band & Stochastic)
Nifty-EOD Chart (30-Apr-2020):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Impulsive Wave-5 completion at 12430.50 on 20-01-2020 and Wave-A of "corrective ABC Waves" beginning
2- Corrective Wave-A completion at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020 and Wave-B beginning
3- Wave-B continuation with recent top formation at 9889.05 on 30-04-2020
4- Wave-B tested upper band of Bollinger Band
5- Stochastic-%K(5) is at 93.61 & %D(3) is at 85.64
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Bollinger Band & Stochastic)
As on going Wave-B tested upper band of Bollinger Band and Short Term indicator(Stochastic) has also moved into Over bought zone therefore strong signals of short term correction beginning in next week.
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Fibonacci retracement levels of Wave-B)
Nifty-EOD Chart (30-Apr-2020):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Nifty-Fibonacci Retracement levels of corrective Wave-A(7511.1 to 9889.05):-
1- 13.0%- 9579.92
2- 23.6%- 9327.85
3- 27.0%- 9247.00
4- 38.2%- 8980.67 (Crucial)
5- 50.0%- 8700.07 (Crucial)
6- 61.8%- 8419.48 (Crucial)
7- 70.7%- 8207.84
8- 76.4%- 8072.30
9- 78.6%- 8019.98
10-88.6%- 7782.19
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Fibonacci retracement levels Wave-B)
As indicators are suggesting correction therefore above given retracement levels Wave-B should be watched for next targets of correction one by one.
Nifty-
Last 30 Sessions intraday charts analysis
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Mar 13 to Apr 30,2020):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling(Resistances) in last 30 sessions between
A- 9841-9889
B- 9955-10142
2- Consolidation(Supports) in last 30 sessions
A- 9770-9834
B- 9392-9518
C- 9154-9227
D- 8913-8972
E- 8700-8750
F- 8361-8449
G- 8056-8107
H- 7512-7970
3- Previous 28 Sessions actual trading between 7512-9602
4- Trading between 9732-9889 on 30-04-2020
5- Trading between 8556-10159 on 10% Lower circuit filter triggering day(13-03-2020)
6- Last 30 Sessions actual trading between 7512-10159
Conclusions from 30 Sessions intra day chart analysis
Although 10% Lower circuit filter triggered on 13-03-2020 and Nifty recovered 1604.25 points from lower levels as well as closed at the higher levels of the day but Nifty opened much weaker on next trading day(16-03-2020) and since then remained sideways in the next 28 Sessions between 7512-9602.
This 28 Sessions trading range was broken out on 30-04-2020 and Nifty traded whole day above it between 9732-9889 as well as good consolidation was seen but could not move above the highest of 13-03-2020 because there was good selling(resistances) between 9955-10142 on that day.
It means that follow up consolidation is firstly required for moving and sustaining above 10142 and if fresh selling develops in next week and Nifty sustains below Previous 28 Sessions trading range highest(9602) then that will mean again sideways market between 7512-9889 and break out of 30-04-2020 will be understood only sentiments driven false break out.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis
(13-Mar-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (13-Mar-2020):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- 10% Lower circuit filter triggered in first 3 minutes
2- Nifty recovered 1604.25 points from lower levels
3- Selling between 9955-10142(Immediate Resistances)
4- Whole day actual trading between 8556-10159
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As WHO declared the worldwide outbreak of the new Coronavirus a pandemic therefore all the Global markets crashed and resultant Nifty triggered 10% lower circuit filter within first 3 minutes on 13-03-2020. As soon as market opened after circuit filter then Nifty recovered more than 600 points within first 10 minutes and after up moves remains continued as well as Nifty gained 1604.25 points from lower levels.
Although closing was near the higher levels of the day but sentiment improved due to some positive news flow during trading hours that day therefore selling developed between 9955-10142 and Nifty tested as well as closed within this range on 30-04-2020. As 9955-10142 is immediate Resistance of Nifty therefore complete fresh consolidation is firstly required for moving and sustaining above 10142.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis
(30-Apr-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (30-Apr-2020):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Up moves after gap up strong opening with downward corrections
2- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
3- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
4- Consolidation between 9770-9834
5- Sharp up in last hour
6- Whole day actual trading between 9732-9889
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As sentiment turned heated after strong Global markets therefore strong gap up opening and after that up moves with downward corrections also but higher levels some profit booking was seen through Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel hence down moves seen in Mid-session. These down moves were in Bullish Falling Channel and after that consolidation was also seen between 9770-9834 therefore sharp up moves in last hour and closing was near the higher levels of the day.
As minor selling at higher levels and whole day good consolidation as wel as good selling not seen yet therefore view will not be Bearish only from intraday charts paterns formations.
Conclusions
(After Putting All Studies Together)
1- Long term trend is down.
2- Intermediate term trend is up.
3- Short term trend is up.
As Dow Jones slipped more than 900 points after Indian markets closing last Thursday and SGX Nifty has moved down more than 500 Points in last 2 sessions therefore weaker gap down opening will be seen in Indian markets also if same depressing sentiment persists till next Monday morning also.
Wave-B is very much on and no confirmation of its completion yet. As going Wave-B tested upper band of Bollinger Band and Short Term indicator(Stochastic) has also moved into Over bought zone therefore strong signals of short term correction beginning in next week but intraday charts have not shown sufficient selling patterns yet therefore fresh selling patterns are firstly required for decisive down moves beginning which may be seen at lower levels also if most depressing sentiments led weaker opening will be seen.
Fibonacci retracement levels Wave-B and all the 8 supports of Wave-B have been updated above and those levels should be watched in next week for Very Short up moves and until Nifty will not sustain above last resistances(9955-10142) of previous 30 sessions trading range after complete fresh cosolidation till then decisive up moves will not be seen as well as Nifty will be understood sideways within last 29 sessions trading range(7511-9889).
If Global markets led crashing like situation remains continued in next week then trades should be between above given 8 supports/retracement levels one by one and top of last 29 sessions trading range(9889)
Up moves above today highest if Global markets not crashing
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(30-04-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (29-Apr-2020):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidation between 9392-9518
2- Sharp up moves
3- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel in last hour
4- Whole day actual trading between 9392-9599
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As some selling patterns formations yesterday therefore we were expecting down moves for today but as soon as we saw positive sentiment today morning due to Bullish news flow then we told following lines at 08:300 AM today in "Pre-open Outlook(27-04-2020)":-
As selling patterns formation below 9403 yesterday therefore firstly sustaing above it should be watched today because firstly follow up moves and finally sustaining it beyond will confirm next short Term moves.
Although Nifty slipped below 9403 but firstly consolidated more than 4 hours between 9392-9518 because next resistances above 9403 were between 9430-9584 and then sharp up moves were seen. As more consolidation was required for sustaining above next resistances(9430-9584) therefore it was seen in last hour through Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel.
As whole day good consolidation today within above mentioned resistances therefore up moves are expected above today highest(9,599.85) if Global markets not crashing.
Pre-open Outlook(27-04-2020)
As folowing positive developments today morning therefore Green opening will be seen today morning:-
1- Union cabinet meeting to discuss economic relief package
2- Dow Jone's Futures is trading more than 200 points up
3- All the Asian markets are trading in Green and most are more than 0.60% up.
As selling patterns formation below 9403 yesterday therefore firstly sustaing above it should be watched today because firstly follow up moves and finally sustaining it beyond will confirm next short Term moves.
Expectations of down moves towards next supports
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(29-04-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (28-Apr-2020):-(29-04-2020)
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- 144 Points fall in first hour
1- All the Up moves in Bearish Rising Channels during last 5 hours
3- Whole day actual trading between 9260-9404
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Following lines were told on 25-04-2020 in "Short term trading levels will produce first indication of next big moves":-
.
1- Selling(Resistances) in last 21 sessions between:-
A- 9254-9403
B- 9430-9584
first signal will be after sustaining beyond last 21 sessions trading range(8822-9390)
Nifty honoured above levels in following manner today:-
1- 1st Resistances was told between 9254-9403 and today highest formation was at 9404.40
2- First signal was told after sustaining beyond beyond 8822-9390 and Nifty closed below 9390 at 9380.90 today.
Although Nifty closed at the highest of on going rally and tested also upper levels of above given ranges but view will not be Bullish because all the Up moves of today were in Bearish Rising Channels and some selling cannot be ruled out on the back of these up moves.
Let Nifty to consolidate and sustain above given levels(9390 and 9403) only then immediate up moves will be considered otherwise if Nifty fails to sustain above and follow up selling develop tomorrow then decisive down moves will be seen towards next supports and it is expected also:-
1- 8913-8972
2- 8700-8750
3- 8361-8449
Live Proofs of Our 100% accurate Bullish & Bearish Predictions of Nifty & Indian Stock Markets
Who told in whole India
for deeper correction
at 12113.50 on 15-02-2020
&
Rock Bottom support
at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020
for deeper correction
at 12113.50 on 15-02-2020
&
Rock Bottom support
at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020
Bullish Predictions
When Nifty formed bottom at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020 then we told following lines on 28-03-2020 in "More than 20% Rally of Nifty and up moves above 10000 if Coronavirus situation does not worsen":-1- We told "4 Times" that "7511.10 is Rock bottom support"
2- We also told for 7511.10 that "it will not be easily broken down"
Nifty is trading above 7511.10 since then despite Corona Virus led huge problems.
Bearish Predictions
when previous closing of Nifty was at 12113.5 then we told following lines on 15-02-2020 in "Strong signals of deeper correction beginning from next week":-
Correction is expected in next week which may be deeper also.
Deeper correction was told and Nifty crashed 4600 points after our above Prediction
(Just click above topic links and see its live proofs on yours own)
Short term trading levels will produce first indication of next big moves
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Apr 27 to Apr 30,2020)
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Waves structure)
Nifty-EOD Chart (24-Apr-2020):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Impulsive Wave-1 beginning from 6825.80 on 29-02-2016 after 1 financial year(2015-16) correction completion
2- Impulsive Wave-1 completion at 8968.70 on 07-09-2016 and corrective Wave-2 beginning
3- Corrective Wave-2 completion at 7893.80 on 26-12-2016 and impulsive Wave-3 beginning
4- Impulsive Wave-3 completion at 11171.50 on 29-01-2018 and corrective Wave-4 beginning
5- Corrective Wave-4 completion at 9951.90 on 23-03-2018 and impulsive Wave-5 beginning
6- Impulsive Wave-5 completion after new life time high formation at 12430.50 on 20-01-2020 and Wave-A of "corrective ABC Waves" beginning
7- Corrective Wave-A completion at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020 and Wave-B beginning
8- Wave-B continuation with recent top formation at 9390.85 on 20-04-2020
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis(Waves structure)
The rally which started from 6825.80 on 29-02-2016 completed at 12430.50 on 20-01-2020 and then corrective Wave-A of its "ABC" correction begun which completed at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020.
Now impulsive Wave-B of "ABC" correction continuation with recent top formation at 9390.85 on 20-04-2020 and no confirmation of its completion yet.
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Corrective Waves)
Nifty-EOD Chart (27-Mar-2020):-
1- Impulsive Wave-5 completion at 12430.50 on 20-01-2020 and Wave-A of "corrective ABC Waves" beginning
2- Corrective Wave-A completion at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020 and Wave-B beginning
3- Wave-B continuation with recent top formation at 9390.85 on 20-04-2020
4- Last 26 Sessions sideways trading between 7512-9602
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Corrective Waves)
"ABC" correction which started from 12430.50 on 20-01-2020 is very much on,its corrective Wave-A completed at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020 and now its impulsive Wave-B continuation with recent top formation at 9390.85 on 20-04-2020.
Nifty
Last 26 Sessions intraday charts analysis
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Mar 16 to Apr 24,2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in last 26 Sessions intraday charts
1- Selling(Resistances) in last 21 sessions between
A- 9254-9403
B- 9430-9584
2- Consolidation(Supports) in last 21 sessions
A- 8913-8972
B- 8700-8750
C- 8361-8449
D- 8056-8107
E- 7512-7970
3- Last 10 sessions(09-04-2020 & 24-04-2020) trading between 8822-9390
4- 26 Sessions actual trading between 7512-9602
Conclusions from 26 Sessions intra day chart analysis
As Last 26 Sessions sideways trading between 7512-9602 with above mentioned higher levels 2 resistances and lower levels 5 supports therefore it will be understood that at present Nifty is not prepared for any side big moves and firstly will have to trade and prepare for those big moves within this range which will be firstly done in next week.
Let market prepare then will be decided according to intraday charts preparation and sustaining beyond or forceful break out of last 26 Sessions trading range(7512-9602) and its first signal will be after sustaining beyond last 10 sessions trading range(8822-9390).
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis
(24-Apr-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (24-Apr-2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- Consolidation between 9154-9227
2- Package news led volatility in last 4 hours
3- Whole day actual trading between 9142-9296
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As the news of Finance minister meeting with Prime Minister at 12 o'clock for Package to industry was in all the Business news channels since last Friday morning therefore firstly up moves were seen after lower levels consolidation between 9154-9227 but could not sustain at higher levels and slipped in last 3 hours after the news of meeting postponement.
Although closing was near the lower levels of the day but lower levels consolidation and volatility was seen in last 4 hours as well as clear selling patterns have not developed therefore firstly sustaining beyond last Friday lowest(9142) should be watched in the beginning of next week for decisive down/up moves beginning confirmations.
Conclusions
(After Putting All Studies Together)
1- Long term trend is down.
2- Intermediate term trend is sideways between 7512-9602 for the last 26 Sessions.
3- Short term trend is up.
Now Wave-B continuation with recent top formation at 9390.85 on 20-04-2020. As last 26 Sessions sideways trading between 7512-9602 and Wave-B is trading within this range since its beginning therefore finally break out of this range will confirm the life of Wave-B hence should be firstly watched in the coming week/weeks for Wave-B continuation/completion.
As 26 Sessions like big sideways trading period therefore finally break out of this range(7512-9602) will give more than 10% one sided following big moves:-
1- Above 9602 will mean Wave-B continuation towards following crucial Wave-A retracement levels:-
A- 50.0%- 9970 (Crucial)
B- 61.8%- 10551(Crucial)
{Fibonacci Retracement levels of Wave-A were updated in previous weekly Outlook(Apr 20 to Apr 24,2020)}
2- Below 7512 will mean corrective Wave-C(deeper correction) beginning after Wave-B completion confirmations.
As last 10 sessions(Short term) trading between 8822-9390 and finally sustaining beyond this range will produce first indication of above mentioned next big moves therefore should also be firstly watched in the coming week/weeks.
Watch levels also amid down moves expectations
Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook
(24-04-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (23-Apr-2020):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channels
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel in Mid-Session
3- Sideways trading between 9309-9343 in last hour
4- Whole day actual trading between 9171-9343
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although today closing was near the higher levels of the day but all the Up moves were in Bearish Rising Channels therefore emergence of selling signals and resultant down moves expectations have developed today.
As some buying through Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel up to 9240 in Mid-Session and sideways trading between 9309-9343 in last hour therefore if fresh selling develops then correction beginning confirmation will be after sustaining below 9240.
Expected that Nifty will firstly trade prepare for next moves within and near about 9240-9403 and finally sustaining beyond this range will confirm next decisive moves which should also be watched amid down moves expectations below 9240.
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