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Pre-Budget Rally after Correction Completion

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Feb 11 to Feb 15,2013)
Nifty-EOD Chart (08-Feb-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- 4531.15 on 20-12-2011(Rally beginning after 13 Months correction completion)
2- Wave-1(5629.95 on 22-02-2012)
3- Wave-2(4770.35 on 04-06-2012)
4- Wave-3 continuation(4770.35 on 04-06-2012)
5- Sub Wave-1 gained 578.20 points(5348.55 on 10-07-2012)
6- Sub Wave-2(5032.40 on 26-07-2012)
7- Sub Wave-3 gained 782.95 points(5815.35 on 05-10-2012)
8- Sub Wave-4(5548.35 on 20-11-2012)
9- Sub Wave-5(6111.80 on 29-01-2013)

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Correction continuation after Sub Wave-5 completion and its recent bottom formation at 5883.65 on 08-02-2013. Sub-Wave-5 started from 5548 and completed at 6111 and its Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:-

38.2%- 5895
50.0%- 5829
61.8%- 5763

38.2%(5895) retracement has been completed on 08-02-2013 but closing was above it at 5903.50 and slipping below it will mean testing possibility of next support at 5823 as well as next retracement level at 5829.

As strong supports(5823)are lying near 50 %(5829) retracement levels therefore high possibility of correction completion and up moves beginning from near about these levels and will be certainly considered if intraday charts will start to show consolidations there. Expected that consolidation will start near about 5823 or above it in next week and Pre-Budget Rally will commence after on going correction completion.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 08-Feb-2013


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 08-Feb-2013



FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII08-Feb-2013 4385.022894.21490.82

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII08-Feb-2013 953.31662.66-709.36

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(08-Feb-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed in Red except CNX INFRA and CNX IT.
2- Closing at the lowest of the day.
3- Black Candle formation.

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.96
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.90
Nifty P/E Ratio(08-Feb-2013): 17.75

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,005
BSE Declines : 1,837 
NSE Advances :   449
NSE Declines : 1,077

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5700  CE(Feb)- -6,650(-2.20%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Feb)- -344,600(-5.58%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Feb)- 147,200(28.96%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Feb)- 736,300(%)

Nifty- 5900  CE(Feb)- 648,450(40.99%)
Nifty- 5900  PE(Feb)- 1,055,450(17.36%)

Nifty- 6000  CE(Feb)- 885,350(18.89%)
Nifty- 6000  PE(Feb)- -213,400(-5.01%)

Nifty- 6100  CE(Feb)- 268,550(3.61%)
Nifty- 6100  PE(Feb)- -57,150(-3.31%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,484.77(-95.55 Points & -0.49%)
Nifty- closed at 5,903.50(-35.30 Points & -0.59%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,109.45(-62.35 Points & -0.76%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at  3,502.20(-32.60 Points & -0.92%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-02-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6013
R2 5983
R1 5943
Avg 5913
S1 5873
S2 5843
S3 5803

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5973     Trgt 2
H5 5957     Trgt 1
H4 5941     Long breakout
H3 5922     Go Short
H2 5915
H1 5909
L1 5896
L2 5890
L3 5883     Long
L4 5864     Short Breakout
L5 5848     Trgt 1
L6 5832     Trgt 2

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-02-2013

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 6035
R2 6004
R1 5962
Avg 5931
S1 5889
S2 5858
S3 5816

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5994     Trgt 2 
H5 5977     Trgt 1
H4 5961     Long breakout 
H3 5941     Go Short 
H2 5934
H1 5927
L1 5914
L2 5907
L3 5900     Long 
L4 5880     Short Breakout 
L5 5864     Trgt 1 
L6 5847     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-02-2013

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 12567
R2 12508
R1 12428
Avg 12369
S1 12289
S2 12230
S3 12150

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12487     Trgt 2
H5 12455     Trgt 1
H4 12424     Long breakout
H3 12386     Go Short
H2 12373
H1 12360
L1 12335
L2 12322
L3 12309     Long
L4 12271     Short Breakout
L5 12240     Trgt 1
L6 12208     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Feb 11 to Feb 15,2013)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 6156
R2 6097
R1 6000
Avg 5941
S1 5844
S2 5785
S3 5688

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 6059     Trgt 2 
H5 6024     Trgt 1
H4 5988     Long breakout 
H3 5945     Go Short 
H2 5931
H1 5917
L1 5888
L2 5874
L3 5860     Long 
L4 5817     Short Breakout 
L5 5781     Trgt 1 
L6 5746     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Feb 11 to Feb 15,2013)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 13065
R2 12894
R1 12587
Avg 12416
S1 12109
S2 11938
S3 11631

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 12759     Trgt 2 
H5 12651     Trgt 1
H4 12542     Long breakout 
H3 12411     Go Short 
H2 12367
H1 12323
L1 12236
L2 12192
L3 12148     Long 
L4 12017     Short Breakout 
L5 11908     Trgt 1 
L6 11800     Trgt 2

Post-closing Report(08-02-2013)

Certainly misunderstood market today.Sorry.

NIFTY-Feb Call Option(6000)-Positional Buying of 07-02-2013-Covering

NIFTY-Feb Call Option(6000)-Positional Bought on 07-02-2013-Cover immediately-CMP-38(Lalit39)

Mid-session Outlook(08-02-2013)

Although market slipped from higher levels and also trading below yesterday lowest but intraday patterns are not suggesting selling but on the contrary showing consolidation formations therefore up moves continuation hopes are still alive with same expectations which were updated yesterday in previous Outlook.

Up Moves after Correction Completion Today

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (07-Feb-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Support between 5928-5938
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
3- Whole day actual trading between 5928-5978 

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although previous support at 5941 broken down and trading below it also today but Whole day down moves in Bullish Falling Channel as well as lower levels supports therefore fresh up moves will begin from tomorrow and Nifty will trade between 6000-6100 in the coming sessions after correction completion today.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 07-Feb-2013


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 07-Feb-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII07-Feb-2013 3121.192294.05827.14

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII07-Feb-2013 827.751817.48-989.73

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(07-Feb-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed in Red except CNX IT and CNX AUTO.
2- Slipping after weaker GDP data.
3- Inverted Hammer/Gravestone Doji Bullish formation.

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.91
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.86
Nifty P/E Ratio(07-Feb-2013):17.85

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances :   966
BSE Declines : 1,868
NSE Advances :   445
NSE Declines : 1,043

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5700  CE(Feb)- -12,300(-3.91%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Feb)-  226,050(3.79%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Feb)- 53,200(11.48%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Feb)- 873,700(18.87%)

Nifty- 5900  CE(Feb)- 210,500(15.20%)
Nifty- 5900  PE(Feb)- 918,550(17.19%)

Nifty- 6000  CE(Feb)- 707,150(17.51%)
Nifty- 6000  PE(Feb)- 103,250(2.47%)

Nifty- 6100  CE(Feb)- 1,056,850(16.51%)
Nifty- 6100  PE(Feb)- -113,850(-6.17%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,580.32(-59.40 Points & -0.30%)
Nifty- closed at 5,938.80(-20.40 Points & -0.34%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,171.80(-66.45 Points & -0.81%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,534.80(-44.80 Points & -1.25%)

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-02-2013

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 6040
R2 6016
R1 5988
Avg 5964
S1 5936
S2 5912
S3 5884

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 6013     Trgt 2
H5 6001     Trgt 1
H4 5989     Long breakout
H3 5975     Go Short
H2 5970
H1 5965
L1 5956
L2 5951
L3 5946     Long
L4 5932     Short Breakout
L5 5920     Trgt 1
L6 5908     Trgt 2

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-02-2013

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 6040
R2 6016
R1 5988
Avg 5964
S1 5936
S2 5912
S3 5884

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 6013     Trgt 2 
H5 6001     Trgt 1
H4 5989     Long breakout 
H3 5975     Go Short 
H2 5970
H1 5965
L1 5956
L2 5951
L3 5946     Long 
L4 5932     Short Breakout 
L5 5920     Trgt 1 
L6 5908     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-02-2013

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 12680
R2 12606
R1 12512
Avg 12438
S1 12344
S2 12270
S3 12176

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12586     Trgt 2 
H5 12548     Trgt 1
H4 12510     Long breakout 
H3 12464     Go Short 
H2 12448
H1 12433
L1 12402
L2 12387
L3 12371     Long 
L4 12325     Short Breakout 
L5 12287     Trgt 1 
L6 12249     Trgt 2

NIFTY-Feb Call Option-Buying Trade

NIFTY-Feb Call Option(6000)-Positional-SL-34-TGT-78-CMP-56(Lalit39)

Pre-Closing Outlook(07-02-2013)

Although down moves after weaker GDP data and now again slipped below 5941 but today down moves are without required force and in Bullish Falling Channel also therefore view is not bearish despite trading below 5941. Sustaining below today lows will be watched tomorrow for next down moves confirmations because lower levels supports seen today. 

Mid-session Outlook(07-02-2013)

Although sharp fall in CNX MIDCAP,CNX SMALLCAP and Nifty is trading below 5941 after loosing all intraday gains but negative news led down moves therefore view will be Bearish after sustaining below 5941 for next down moves toward 55823.

FY 13 GDP Growth forecast at 5%

As GDP below expectations therefore sentiment dampened and market slipped from intraday higher levels. Although all the positive and negative impact will be discounted within 5941-5984 and its valid break out will give next moves confirmation but down moves after GDP News are not forceful therefore view has not turned Bearish yet.

Post-open Outlook-3(07-02-2013)

As intraday charts showed consolidation patterns also despite higher levels selling and closing at lowest of the day yesterday therefore Indian markets are up while most Asian markets are in Red today. 

We did not posted Bearish views yesterday and told for valid break out of 5941-5984 for next trend confirmation. As good recovery from lower levels today therefore sustaining above 5984 should be firstly watched now for correction completion and Short term up moves confirmation.

Post-open Outlook-2(07-02-2013)

Indian markets out performed global cues today and now almost flat after recovering from lower levels while CNX MIDCAP and CNX SMALLCAP are 0.41% and 0.06% up respectively. Now expected that Nifty will firstly trade between 5941-5984 but resistances are at higher levels within this range and follow up consolidation is required for next up trend.

valid break out of 5941-5984 should be firstly watched today for next trend confirmation.

Post-open Outlook(07-02-2013)

As Asian markets are in Red therefore weak opening and Nifty is hovering around crucial support(5941). Firstly sustaining around 5941 should be watched today for those next moves which have already been discussed in previous Outlooks. 

Next Trend Decider 5941-5984

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Feb 05 & Feb 06,2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 2 Sessions intraday charts

1- Consolidations and good intraday supports between 5948-5960 on 06-02-2013
2- Selling between 5978-5984 on 07-02-2013
3- Follow up selling between 5967-5972 on 07-02-2013
4- 7 Times down moves in Bullish falling Channel in both days.
5- 2 Sessions actual trading between 5948-5984

Conclusions from 2 Sessions intra day chart analysis 

Indian markets ignored Global cues in both previous sessions and traded in following manner:-

1- on 06-02-2013- When all the Global markets were in deep Red and Asian markets were more than 1.5% down then Indian markets were only 0.50% down and in this manner out performed. Nifty got support and consolidated at lower levels between 5948-5960. 
2- on 07-02-2013- When all the Global markets were in Green,all Asian markets were were positive and Nikkei 225 closed 3.77% up then Indian markets closed flat after loosing all intraday gains and in this manner under performed. Firstly higher levels selling and after that follow up selling also seen before closing at lower levels of the day.

Rally started after consolidation between 5941-5970 in mid-Jan-2013 and supports was seen within this range yesterday. Although selling also seen above this range today but down moves were in Bullish falling Channel in both days therefore emergence of intraday consolidation patterns also and development of Short term up moves expectations as well. 

Nifty traded most time between 6000-6100 in previous 14 sessions and this range broken down but support also emerged above next support(5941) yesterday and selling also seen today.  As completely mixed intraday patterns in both previous sessions therefore valid break out of 5941-5984 should be firstly watched tomorrow for:-

1- Down moves toward 5823 below 5941.
2- Reentering into previous 14 sessions range(6000-6100) above 5984.

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 06-Feb-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII06-Feb-2013 4047.232909.271137.96

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII06-Feb-2013 800.412024.48-1224.07

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(06-Feb-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed flat.
2- Closing at lower levels after slipping from higher levels.
3- Black Candle formation.

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.83
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.78
Nifty P/E Ratio(06-Feb-2013): 17.92

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,465
BSE Declines : 1,378
NSE Advances :   771
NSE Declines :   710

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5700  CE(Feb)- -3,050(-0.96%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Feb)-  717,650(13.70%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Feb)-  10,650(2.35%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Feb)-  330,600(7.67%)

Nifty- 5900  CE(Feb)-  298,600(28.05%)
Nifty- 5900  PE(Feb)-  377,100(7.34%)

Nifty- 6000  CE(Feb)-  474,650(13.01%)
Nifty- 6000  PE(Feb)-  28,350(0.68%)

Nifty- 6100  CE(Feb)-  803,650(13.66%)
Nifty- 6100  PE(Feb)-  13,700(0.75%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,639.72(-20.10 Points & -0.10%)
Nifty- closed at 5,959.20(2.30 Points & 0.04%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,238.25(8.35 Points & 0.10%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,579.60(0.00 Points & 0.00%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 07-02-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6018
R2 6004
R1 5981
Avg 5967
S1 5944
S2 5930
S3 5907

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5996     Trgt 2 
H5 5987     Trgt 1
H4 5979     Long breakout 
H3 5969     Go Short 
H2 5965
H1 5962
L1 5955
L2 5952
L3 5948     Long 
L4 5938     Short Breakout 
L5 5930     Trgt 1 
L6 5921     Trgt 2

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 07-02-2013

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 6015
R2 6004
R1 5988
Avg 5977
S1 5961
S2 5950
S3 5934

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5999     Trgt 2 
H5 5992     Trgt 1
H4 5986     Long breakout 
H3 5979     Go Short 
H2 5976
H1 5974
L1 5969
L2 5967
L3 5964     Long 
L4 5957     Short Breakout 
L5 5951     Trgt 1 
L6 5944     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 07-02-2013

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 12665
R2 12619
R1 12543
Avg 12497
S1 12421
S2 12375
S3 12299

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12589     Trgt 2 
H5 12561     Trgt 1
H4 12534     Long breakout 
H3 12500     Go Short 
H2 12489
H1 12478
L1 12455
L2 12444
L3 12433     Long 
L4 12399     Short Breakout 
L5 12372     Trgt 1 
L6 12344     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(06-02-2013)

Whole day narrow range 27 points trading between 5957-5984 with some intraday consolidation patterns formations therefore short term up moves expectations turned alive today despite higher levels selling patterns formations and market is going to close near lower levels also. 

Valid break out of 5940-5984 should also be watched now for next trend confirmations.

Mid-session Outlook(06-02-2013)

Indian markets under performed Global cues today,slipped from higher levels,intraday lowest broken down and now trading between yesterday trading range but today intraday charts are showing consolidation patterns also after some higher levels selling between 5978-5984. More follow up preparations are required for any side decisive moves and 5940-5985 should be watched now for those next trend confirmation which have already been updated in previous Outlook.

Post-open Outlook(06-02-2013)

Positive global cues led gap up opening but not sustaining at higher levels and immediate slipping today. Rally started after consolidation between 5940-5970 in mid-Jan-2013 and Nifty traded between 5948-5970 yesterday with lower levels consolidations and good intraday supports between 5948-5960 yesterday,follow up moves today will decide the fate of this support range. As good selling in previous 14 sessions at higher levels therefore complete consolidation is required for any decisive up move above 6000 and it will be decided today through follow up consolidations/distribution today.

Next trend deciding range is 5940-5970 and valid break out of this range should be firstly watched now for:-

1- Correction continuation toward 5823 or
2- Up moves after correction completion toward 6111/6239//6331
Blog will be updated during trading hours today

Mid-session Outlook-2(05-02-2013)

Although all the Global markets were down and some were in deep Red as well as gap down opening was seen in Indian markets also but we were not bearish and gave previous consolidation range(5940-5970) for next moves confirmations. As lower levels supports and consolidations patterns indications also today therefore until Nifty will not sustain below 5940 till then immediate down moves will not be considered. 

Only first signal of correction completion today and complete follow up consolidation is required for valid break out and moves above 5970 as well as reentering into previous 14 sessions range(5989-6111).

Mid-session Outlook(05-02-2013)

Rally was started after consolidation between 5940-5970 in mid-Jan-2013 and Nifty is trading between 5948-5970 since opening today. Follow up technical positions within this range and its valid break out(5940-5970) will be those next moves confirmations which have already been updated in previous Outlook today.

Post-open Outlook(05-02-2013)

Next support is at 5943,minimum 5950 was expected and market achieved its first target after lowest formation at 5,947.90 today. Follow up technical positions today will give indications of following next moves:-

1- After follow up selling correction continuation toward 5823 or
2- Up moves after consolidation and correction completion between 5950-6000

Let market prepare and intraday charts start formations then will be updated according to intraday charts patterns formations. 

Although some Asian markets are more than 1.5% down but Indian markets are 0.50% down therefore outperforming and sustaining beyond 5950 should be firstly watched today for above mentioned next moves confirmations.

NIFTY-Feb Put Option(5900)-Positional BUYing of 04-02-2013-Covering

NIFTY-Feb Put Option(5900)-Positional Bought on 04-02-2013-Premium not increasing,Cover and book profit immediately-CMP-48(Lalit39)

NIFTY-Feb Put Option(5900)-Positional buying of 04-02-2013-Message

NIFTY-Feb Put Option(5900)-Positional Bought on 04-02-2013-Global markets are down.Hold and cover after my covering message(Lalit39)

Correction after 14 Sessions range broken down Confirmation

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (04-Feb-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 6015-6032
3- Whole day actual trading between 5982-6032 

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As intraday selling today therefore following lines were told in Mid-session Outlooks today:-

1- At 11:39 AM in Mid-session Outlook:-"intraday selling confirmation at higher levels today" 
2- At 01:31 PM in Mid-session Outlook-3:-"more down moves confirmations below 6000 and possibility of 5950 as well" 
2- At 03:22 PM in Pre-Closing Outlook:-"high possibility of more down moves toward next supports near 5950"

14 Previous sessions actual trading between 5989-6111 with good selling between 6050-6111 and again follow up selling today between previous support range(5989-6033) therefore supports weakened and broken down as well. As 14 sessions range broken down after selling between support range therefore expected that deeper correction will be seen and following supports may also be tested in the coming sessions:- 

1- 5941
2- 5823

Sub-Wave-5 started from 5548 and completed at 6111 therefore its following Fibonacci retracement levels testing possibility should also be kept in mind:-

38.2%- 5895
50.0%- 5829
61.8%- 5763

Expected Picture of on going correction

Sub-Wave-3 of Sub-Wave-5 correction was expected and will be seen also in the coming sessions but strong supports are just above 5548 therefore will not be easily broken and expected that on going correction will complete near about above mentioned levels. As supports(5823)are lying near 50 %(5829) retracement levels therefore correction completion and up moves beginning from near about these levels will be considered if intraday charts will start to show consolidations there. Some up moves after on going correction completion and finally much deeper correction beginning is expected near about Union Budget-2013 from 6111/6239//6331.  

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 04-Feb-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII04-Feb-2013 3489.132632.19856.94

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII04-Feb-2013 746.781339.11-592.33

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 04-Feb-2013


Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(04-Feb-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Red.
2- Down moves after good selling.
3- Black Candle formation.

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.86
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.82
Nifty P/E Ratio(04-Feb-2013): 18.00

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,178
BSE Declines : 1,712 
NSE Advances :   538
NSE Declines :   973

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5700  CE(Feb)- -5,400(-1.58%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Feb)- 82,150(1.81%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Feb)- 33,800(8.64%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Feb)- 644,350(18.16%)

Nifty- 5900  CE(Feb)- 94,000(14.01%)
Nifty- 5900  PE(Feb)- 951,200(29.62%)

Nifty- 6000  CE(Feb)- 1,036,450(52.62%)
Nifty- 6000  PE(Feb)- 356,750(8.12%)

Nifty- 6100  CE(Feb)- 805,100(17.90%)
Nifty- 6100  PE(Feb)- -157,200(-7.26%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,751.19(-30.00 Points & -0.15%)
Nifty- closed at 5,987.25(-11.65 Points & -0.19%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,287.35(-70.10 Points & -0.84%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,603.25(-39.55 Points & -1.09%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-02-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6080
R2 6059
R1 6023
Avg 6002
S1 5966
S2 5945
S3 5909

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 6044     Trgt 2 
H5 6031     Trgt 1
H4 6018     Long breakout 
H3 6002     Go Short 
H2 5997
H1 5992
L1 5981
L2 5976
L3 5971     Long 
L4 5955     Short Breakout 
L5 5942     Trgt 1 
L6 5929     Trgt 2

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-02-2013

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 6115
R2 6089
R1 6042
Avg 6016
S1 5969
S2 5943
S3 5896

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 6069     Trgt 2 
H5 6052     Trgt 1
H4 6036     Long breakout 
H3 6016     Go Short 
H2 6009
H1 6002
L1 5989
L2 5982
L3 5975     Long 
L4 5955     Short Breakout 
L5 5939     Trgt 1 
L6 5922     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-02-2013

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 12923
R2 12844
R1 12714
Avg 12635
S1 12505
S2 12426
S3 12296

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12793     Trgt 2
H5 12746     Trgt 1
H4 12698     Long breakout
H3 12641     Go Short
H2 12622
H1 12603
L1 12564
L2 12545
L3 12526     Long
L4 12469     Short Breakout
L5 12421     Trgt 1
L6 12374     Trgt 2

NIFTY-Feb Put Option-Buying Trade

NIFTY-Feb Put Option(5900)-Buy-Positional-SL-24-TGT-64-CMP-42Lalit39)

Pre-Closing Outlook(04-02-2013)

Previous support was between 5989-6033 and it was broken down today after intraday selling between this range therefore high possibility of more down moves toward next supports near 5950.

Mid-session Outlook-3(04-02-2013)

Lower intraday top formation,with this more down moves confirmations below 6000 and possibility of 5950 as well.

Mid-session Outlook-2(04-02-2013)

As Nifty Jan Fut. is trading in Red and its intraday patterns are showing selling formations also therefore selling confirmation but Nifty spot intraday patterns have not shown as such selling patterns and trading 0.30% up also therefore mixed indications and more down moves confirmations are required through breaking down of 5989.

Mid-session Outlook(04-02-2013)

Intraday selling confirmation at higher levels today

Post-open Outlook(04-02-2013)

Although Nifty slipped immediately after opening but strong opening and now strong as well despite at present trading at the lowest of today. It is only a signal of up move and complete consolidation is required for any up move above 6050 as well as sustaining above 5989 should also be firstly watched for any up move confirmation.

Deeper Correction require Confirmations

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Feb 04 to Feb 08,2013)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Jan 15 to Feb 01,2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 14 Sessions intraday charts

1- Support between 5989-6033
2- Resistance between 6050-6111
3- 14 Sessions actual trading between 5989-6111 

Conclusions from 14 Sessions intra day chart analysis 

14 Sessions lowest closing last Friday after good selling at higher levels and breaking down of above mentioned supports therefore more down moves can not be ruled out.

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (01-Feb-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Whole day down moves in Bullish Falling channel
2- Whole day actual trading between 5989-6052

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Whole day down moves but in Bullish Falling channel and 14 sessions lowest broken down as well.

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

Detailed analysis with EOD charts have already be updated on 26-01-2013 in following topic:

Correction On 29th Jan or From 1st Week of Feb 2013

Just click above topic link and understand Short Term Outlook.

Correction was clearly told on 26-01-2013 and Nifty closed at weekly lowest as well as 14 Sessions lowest formation on 01-02-2013. As last Friday down moves showed Bullish Falling channel formation therefore firstly requiring confirmations through sustaining beyond psychological level of 6000 in the beginning of next week.

Sustaining below 6000 will mean deeper correction because Bearish patterns formation in Daily charts and sustaining above 6000 will mean some up moves but strong resistances above 6050 and complete consolidation is required for any sustained move above 6050/6111.

Market Outlook(04-02-2013) 

As US markets closed with good gains last Friday and Asian markets may also react positive therefore Green zone trading possibility can not be ruled out in Indian markets on 04-02-2013. Correction is very much due and only it has to be watched that it will start within next 1/2 sessions or after passing some more time above 6000 and follow up buying/selling in next couple of sessions will reply this possibility. 

Expected that Nifty will firstly trade between 5989-6050 and this range valid break out will finally show following moves:-

1- Below 5989 will mean deeper correction
2- Above 6050 will mean slow up moves up to 6111 and any rally will be possibile only after complete confirmation of sustaining above 6111 but maximum up to  6239.95/6331.  

Market is well prepared for deeper correction but sustaining beyond 6000 should also be firstly watched in the beginning of next week for immedite moves confirmations.

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 01-Feb-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII01-Feb-2013 3325.943325.94763.28

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII01-Feb-2013 772.151860.77-1088.62

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 01-Feb-2013


Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(01-Feb-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Red.
2- Closing near the lower levels of the day.
3- Black Candle formation.

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.99
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.94
Nifty P/E Ratio(01-Feb-2013): 18.11

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,227 
BSE Declines : 1,619 
NSE Advances :   649
NSE Declines :   865

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5700  CE(Feb)- 8,850(2.67%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Feb)-  1,590,750(54.17%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Feb)- -60,600(-13.42%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Feb)-   278,750(8.52%)

Nifty- 5900  CE(Feb)- -128,050(-16.03%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Feb)-   509,500(18.86%)

Nifty- 6000  CE(Feb)- 411,750(26.43%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Feb)-  930,600(26.87%)

Nifty- 6100  CE(Feb)- 1,328,250(41.91%)
Nifty- 6100 PE(Feb)-  189,050(9.57%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,781.19(-113.79 Points & -0.57%)
Nifty- closed at 5,998.90(-35.85 Points & -0.59%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,357.45(-6.25 Points & -0.07%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,642.80(3.85 Points & 0.11%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-02-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6108
R2 6080
R1 6039
Avg 6011
S1 5970
S2 5942
S3 5901

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 6067     Trgt 2 
H5 6051     Trgt 1
H4 6035     Long breakout 
H3 6016     Go Short 
H2 6010
H1 6004
L1 5991
L2 5985
L3 5979     Long 
L4 5960     Short Breakout 
L5 5944     Trgt 1 
L6 5928     Trgt 2

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-02-2013

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 6119
R2 6098
R1 6067
Avg 6046
S1 6015
S2 5994
S3 5963

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 6088     Trgt 2
H5 6076     Trgt 1
H4 6064     Long breakout
H3 6050     Go Short
H2 6045
H1 6040
L1 6031
L2 6026
L3 6021     Long
L4 6007     Short Breakout
L5 5995     Trgt 1
L6 5983     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-02-2013

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 12937
R2 12873
R1 12778
Avg 12714
S1 12619
S2 12555
S3 12460

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12843     Trgt 2
H5 12807     Trgt 1
H4 12771     Long breakout
H3 12727     Go Short
H2 12713
H1 12698
L1 12669
L2 12654
L3 12640     Long
L4 12596     Short Breakout
L5 12560     Trgt 1
L6 12524     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Feb 04 to Feb 08,2013)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Level

R3 6208
R2 6160
R1 6079
Avg 6031
S1 5950
S2 5902
S3 5821

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 6127     Trgt 2 
H5 6098     Trgt 1
H4 6068     Long breakout 
H3 6033     Go Short 
H2 6021
H1 6009
L1 5986
L2 5974
L3 5962     Long 
L4 5927     Short Breakout 
L5 5897     Trgt 1 
L6 5868     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Feb 04 to Feb 08,2013)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 13232
R2 13096
R1 12851
Avg 12715
S1 12470
S2 12334
S3 12089

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 12987     Trgt 2 
H5 12901     Trgt 1
H4 12815     Long breakout 
H3 12710     Go Short 
H2 12675
H1 12640
L1 12571
L2 12536
L3 12501     Long 
L4 12396     Short Breakout 
L5 12310     Trgt 1 
L6 12224     Trgt 2