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Bullish Rally Strong Indication From Pennant Formation

Wave-4 Correction in Continuation Pattern Pennant Formation

Waves chart showing Uptrend in EOD Chart:-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Pennant pattern formation in Wave-4 Correction;-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Corrective Wave-4 begun on Diwali-2010 from 5338 and terminated at 5177 on 11-02-2011,impulsive Wave-5 begun from same point as well.

Market is in up trend and and EOD chart is showing Pennant pattern formation in its corrective move which is continuation pattern. It means continuation of on going trend because it is not a trend reversal pattern but trend continuation pattern. As on going trend is Bullish therefore its continuation expected after Pennant falling trend line upward intersection in the coming weeks.

Bullish Formation:Nifty- Weekly MACD upward Intersection


Just click on chart for its enlarged view
MACD

Most important development 3 week before that MACD line upward intersection of Average line and it is confirmation of rally. Weekly MACD cross over gives confirmation to long trend therefore strong confirmation to up trend 3 weeks before. Both lines started to move up near equilibrium line and MACD line has moved it above therefore it is strong indication of rally in the coming week.
Weekly Outlook(25-04 to 29-04-2011) and many other topics will be posted daily in next 3 days for guidance in next week trading and expected next Bull Rally also.

Post-closing Report(21-04-2011) & Monday Outlook

Following line was told in Post-open Outlook at 09:36:00 AM today:-

"Gap up opening but not strong"

As clearly told not strong within first half hour and today intra day results are as follows:-

1- Market did not moved up,closed at opening level and today Candle is 'Doji'(confusion)
2- MIDCAP and SMALL CAP slipped and closed near lower levels but not completely selling patterns.
3- Higher levels selling and it was also told with intraday chart at 12:49:00 PM today.
4- Confirm mixed patterns selling at higher levels and buying at lower levels.

Ratios:

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.14
Nifty P/E Ratio(21-04-2011):22.18

Advances & Declines:

BSE ADVANCES : 1405
BSE DECLINES : 1523
NSE ADVANCES :  634
NSE DECLINES :  775

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today:-

Nifty- 5700 CE(28APR2011)- -287450(-8.51%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(28APR2011)- +370300(+4.46%)

Nifty- 5800 CE(28APR2011)- -713200(-15.29%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(28APR2011)- +675850(+9.68%)

Nifty- 5900 CE(28APR2011)- -141000(-2.31%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(28APR2011)- +2506200(+50.50%)

Closing :-

Nifty- closed at 5,884.70(+33.05 Points & +0.56%)
Sensex- closed at 19,602.23(+131.25 Points & +0.67% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 8,313.95(+9.05 Points & +0.11%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,878.57(+2.77 Points & +0.03%)

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(21-04-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Monday(25-04-2011) Outlook

Market was not strong since opening today and it was told within first half hour and today intra day selling was also shown through intra day chart. Although Nifty and SENSEX closed positive with moderate gains but today intraday intra day charts are suggesting mixed formations.

Today intra day consolidation was technical requirements because:-

1- Yesterday last one hour Rising Wedge(Bearish Pattern) Formation between 5825-5855
2- Next immediate resistance range(5860-5940)

Following lines were told in Pre-open Outlook today  and again repeating today because already mentioned market moves will be seen in the coming sessions also:-

"Nifty will trade within immediate resistance range(5860-5940) therefore fresh consolidation and follow up buying is must to cross mentioned resistance."

Mixed patterns today and Market require more preparation for any side sustained moves and that will be done near today range on Monday. All trends are up and today consolidation signals also ssen today despite higher levels selling therefore consolidation and follow up buying possibility can not be ruled out on Monday .

Possibilities have been discussed above but Indian market require more preparation for any side sustained moves and that will be done near about today range(5864-5912) on Monday. As intra day higher levels selling today therefore First 3/4 hours intraday patterns will certainly be watched first on Monday and follow up buying snd consolidation will be next rally confirmation.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 21-Apr-2011


Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(21-04-2011)


Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Following lines were told whole day for today market:-

1-Market will prepare for next week market today
2-market require some more consolidation to cross following 2 resistances

Following line was told for today market in Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(at 12:34 PM on 20-04-2011):-

Lower levels buying and higher levels selling today. Mixed patterns at this moment and let market prepare for one side move then confirmation will be possible.

Following today market conclusive lines are being told since morning in all the outlooks and not being told after watching today closing:-

Selling between 5908-5912
Selling between 5880-5896

Buying between 5870-5880
Buying between 5868-5876

Mixed patterns today therefore Indian market require more preperation for any side sustained moves and that will be done near today range(5864-5912) on Monday.

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 21-Apr-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Aprket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII21-Apr-20112799.782491.99307.79


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Aprket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII21-Apr-20111076.571346.19-269.61

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 25-04-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5957
R2 5934
R1 5909
Avg 5886
S1 5861
S2 5838
S3 5813

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5932     Trgt 2
H5 5921     Trgt 1
H4 5910     Long breakout
H3 5897     Go Short
H2 5892
H1 5888
L1 5879
L2 5875
L3 5870     Long
L4 5857     Short Breakout
L5 5846     Trgt 1
L6 5835     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 25-04-2011

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5980
R2 5955
R1 5929
Avg 5904
S1 5878
S2 5853
S3 5827

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5954     Trgt 2
H5 5942     Trgt 1
H4 5931     Long breakout
H3 5917     Go Short
H2 5912
H1 5907
L1 5898
L2 5893
L3 5888     Long
L4 5874     Short Breakout
L5 5863     Trgt 1
L6 5851     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 25-04-2011

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 12066
R2 12013
R1 11969
Avg 11916
S1 11872
S2 11819
S3 11775

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12023     Trgt 2
H5 12001     Trgt 1
H4 11979     Long breakout
H3 11952     Go Short
H2 11943
H1 11934
L1 11917
L2 11908
L3 11899     Long
L4 11872     Short Breakout
L5 11850     Trgt 1
L6 11828     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(25 Apr to 29-04-2011)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 6185
R2 6048
R1 5966
Avg 5829
S1 5747
S2 5610
S3 5528

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 6110     Trgt 2
H5 6057     Trgt 1
H4 6004     Long breakout
H3 5944     Go Short
H2 5924
H1 5904
L1 5863
L2 5843
L3 5823     Long
L4 5763     Short Breakout
L5 5710     Trgt 1
L6 5657     Trgt 2

Pre-closing Report(21-04-2011)

Following lines were told for today market

Market will prepare for next week market today
market require some more consolidation to cross following 2 resistances

Market traded whole day on expected lines and prepared within remained range bound moves between 5868-5910. As Patterns are mixed and selling also seen at higher levels therefore today trading range break out will give big move confirmation.

Market require more preperation for any side sustained moves and that will be done near today range on Monday.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(at 12:34 PM on 21-04-2011)

1
Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Lower levels buying abd higher levels selling today. Mixed patterns at this moment and let market prepare for one side move then confirmation will be possible.

Mid-session Outlook-2(21-04-2011)

Next immediate resistance range is- 5860-5940
Nifty First trading range is- 5872-5890

Nifty crossed 5890 and formed high at 5912.90 today and it is strong indication of today consolidation and follow up buying. Market require complete consolidation within 5860-5940 now to cross 5940 and sustain above.

First 2 hours of today market has indicated consolition and Nifty sustaining above 5890 will be its confirmation.

Market is prepring for next moves within resistance range,let this process complete and then next immediate moves will be decided according to confirmation from sustaining beyond mentioned crucial  levels.

Mid-session Outlook(21-04-2011)

Following lines were told for today market

Market will prepare for next week market today
market require some more consolidation to cross following 2 resistances

Nifty firstly traded between 5872-5890,prepared and crossed 5890. It is strong indication of today consolidation and follow up buying.

Post-open Outlook(21-04-2011)


Gap up opening but not strong. Let market prepare for next moves then will be decided acording to intra day patterns formations.

Pre-Open Market Outlook(21-04-2011)

Today Outlook and Technical Positions have already been posted in following topic with 1 Chart yesterday therefore not repeated today:-

Post-closing Report(20-04-2011) & Tomorrow Outlook

Asian markets are equally as strong as US and European markets delivered cues yesrerday and Indian markers will open gap up. Yesterday last one hour Rising Wedge(Bearish Pattern) Formation between 5825-5855 and Nifty will trade within immediate resistance range(5860-5940) therefore fresh consolidation and follow up buying is must to cross mentioned resistance.

Sentiment heated today morning therefore profit booking possibility will also be kept in mind. Indian markets are technically poised for rally above 5940 but market require fresh consolidation and follow up buying within mentioned resistance range. Today trading session is crucial and will react on TCS results during trading hours and will also prepare for next Monday post RIL results market. Following points will be kept in mind today:-

1- TCS results during trading hours today.
2- RIL results after trading hours today.
3- Yesterday last one hour Rising Wedge(Bearish Pattern) Formation between 5825-5855
4- Today trading between resistance range(5860-5940)
5- Sentiment heated today therefore profit booking possibility
6- Next 3 Days holidays.

Market will prepare for next week market today and may be volatile also therefore  first 3/4 hours intraday patterns will be watched and then final conclusion will be drawn and will be posted accordingly. Rally above 5940 is very much possible in next week but today market will also be watched for next immediate move confirmations.

Rally has been Triggered

Post-closing Report(20-04-2011) & Tomorrow Outlook


Main features of today market are as follows


1- Long White Bullish Candle
2- All the indices closed with good gains near day's highest levels.
3- Confirmation of impulsive Sub Wave-G begining.
4- Good consolidation between 5760-5805
5- Rising Wedge(Bearish pattern) between 5825-5855.

Ratios:

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.89
Nifty P/E Ratio(19-04-2011):21.65

Advances & Declines:

BSE ADVANCES : 1957
BSE DECLINES :  961
NSE ADVANCES : 1040
NSE DECLINES :  366

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today:-

Nifty- 5800 CE(28APR2011)- -2397300(-33.34%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(28APR2011)- +2133750(+43.39%)

Nifty- 5900 CE(28APR2011)- -568800(-7.79%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(28APR2011)- +2414500(+93.04%)

Closing :-

Nifty- closed at 5,851.65(+110.90 Points & +1.93%)
Sensex- closed at 19,470.98(+349.15 Points & +1.83% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 8,304.90(+100.15 Points & +1.22%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,875.80(+113.15 Points & +1.29%)

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(20-04-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Tomorrow(21-04-2011) Outlook

Following 3 Bullish confirmations today:-

1- 'ABC' correction completion.
2- Sub Wave-F support at 38.2% retracement level.
3- Impulsive Sub Wave-G begining has confirmed.

Rally was confirmed yesterday on the basis of intra day base formations and lower levels support and since then only views were posted in all the outlooks. Intra day patterns of today  have already been discussed in Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart and market require some more consolidation to cross following 2 resistances:-

1- 5860-5900
2- 5910-5940

As bullish rally is on therefore higher level consolidation is very much possible in the coming sessions and after that sharp rally will be seen after sustaining above 5640 and once sustaining above 5940 will mean 6120 fast.

Only watch sustaining above 5940 for sharp rally confirmation. As Sub Wave-F has completed correction at 38.2% retracement level yesterday therefore consolidation near about above mentioned resistances and rally above 5940 expected in the coming sessions.

Rally has been Triggered and sustaining above 5940 is last formality. 

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 20-Apr-2011


Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(20-04-2011)


Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Consolidation between 5760-5805 after gap up opening. As sentiment was heated therefore intraday panic bottom was seen in consolidation process. Last one hour Rising Wedge(Bearish Pattern) Formation between 5825-5855 therefore initial hours watching is required but Bullish rally is on and in Bullish rally higher levels consolidation possibility remains high. Until follow up selling will not develop till then any down move will not be seen.

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 20-Apr-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Aprket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII20-Apr-20112473.172280.17193


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Aprket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII20-Apr-2011993.171016.45-23.27

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 21-04-2011

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5882
R2 5878
R1 5874
Avg 5870
S1 5866
S2 5862
S3 5858

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5878   Trgt 2
H5 5876   Trgt 1
H4 5874   Long breakout
H3 5872    Go Short
H2 5871
H1 5870
L1 5869
L2 5868
L3 5867    Long
L4 5865    Short Breakout
L5 5863    Trgt 1
L6 5862    Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 21-04-2011

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 12128
R2 11994
R1 11918
Avg 11784
S1 11708
S2 11574
S3 11498

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12056     Trgt 2
H5 12007     Trgt 1
H4 11958     Long breakout
H3 11900     Go Short
H2 11881
H1 11862
L1 11823
L2 11804
L3 11785     Long
L4 11727     Short Breakout
L5 11678     Trgt 1
L6 11629     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 21-04-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5983
R2 5920
R1 5885
Avg 5822
S1 5787
S2 5724
S3 5689

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5950     Trgt 2
H5 5927     Trgt 1
H4 5904     Long breakout
H3 5877     Go Short
H2 5868
H1 5859
L1 5842
L2 5833
L3 5824    Long
L4 5797    Short Breakout
L5 5774     Trgt 1
L6 5751     Trgt 2

Pre-closing Outlook(20-04-2011)

Rally was told well in advance and it is continued. As no change in technicals of Indian markets therefore nothing is new and same bullish views are maintained which have already been explained in all 2 days outlooks.

Mid-session Outlook-2(20-04-2011)

As intra day down move was expected therefore today range lower levels was reduced to 5770 and intra day dip was seen also. It was also told in Mid-session Outlook that :-


"finally up moves are expected after fresh consolidation within mentioned today range"

As told,same happened and Indian markets shoot up. Rally is very much on and it was declared yesterday as well as also has been told in all the out looks from yesterday.

Mid-session Outlook(20-04-2011)

Range bound market(5783-5807) after gap up opening today. Sentiment heated due to strong global cues therefore consolidation expected within range bound moves and range for today is 5770-5810. Intra day charts are not suggesting any clear conclusion at this moment but finally up moves are expected after fresh consolidation within mentioned today range.

Pre-Open Market Outlook(20-04-2011)

Today Rally Possibility,Technical Positions and today Outlook have already been posted in following topic with 1 Chart yesterday therefore not repeated today:-

Post-closing Report(19-04-2011) & Tomorrow Outlook
                        
Following Chart was posted in Weekly Outlook(18-04-2011 to 21-04-2011) anb in that chart Wave-5 Sub Waves were shown:-

1- Wave-5 Sub Waves Chart;-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Corrective Sub Wave-F started on 06-04-2011 from 5644 and its completion strong signals yesterday after intra day support at 38.2%(5716) retracemnt level and corrective wave'C' 100% correction of Wave 'A' at 5716 yesterday.

Wave-5 Sub Waves complete structure is as follows:-

1- Sub Wave-E fast 596 points gains in 13 sessions
2- Corrective Sub Wave-F started on 06-04-2011
3- Corrective Sub Wave-F corrected in 'ABC'corrective waves.
4- 'C' completed 100% correction of Wave 'A' at 5716 on 19-04-2011.
5- Corrective Sub Wave-F has completed 38.2%(5716)  correction on 19-04-2011.
6- Correction completion strong and Sub Wave-G begining signals yesterday.

Wave-5 Sub Waves Chart:-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Consolidation between 5695-5735 yesterday and sustaining above 5762 is rally confirmation. Global cues are good today morning,Indian markets will open positive and Nifty will first trade between 5770-5800. Continuation of upmoves and positive closing expected today.

Rally on Cards

Post-closing Report(19-04-2011) & Tomorrow Outlook

Main features of today market are as follows

1- Green Candle
2- Confirm consolidation between 5695-5735
3- Most of the indices are showing lower levels consolidations.
4- Sub Wave-F of Wave-5 completed 38.2% correction of Sub Wave-E with lower levels supports.
5- 'C' corrective Leg of Sub Wave-F corrective wave is also completed at 5716 roday.

Ratios:

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.87
Nifty P/E Ratio(18-04-2011): 21.66

Advances & Declines:

BSE ADVANCES : 1374
BSE DECLINES : 1509
NSE ADVANCES :  645
NSE DECLINES :  763

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today:-

Nifty- 5700 CE(28APR2011)- +126950(+3.15%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(28APR2011)- +158250(+2.08%)

Nifty- 5800 CE(28APR2011)- +113500(+1.57%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(28APR2011)- +488400(+10.46%)

Nifty- 5900 CE(28APR2011)- +369450(+5.30%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(28APR2011)- -44600(-1.67%)


Closing :-

Nifty- closed at 5,740.75(+11.65 Points & +0.20%)
Sensex- closed at 19,121.83(+30.66 Points & +0.16% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 8,204.75(+7.45 Points & +0.09%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,762.65(+25.59 Points & +0.29%)

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(19-04-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Tomorrow(20-04-2011) Outlook

2 following crucial technical developments today:-

1- Sub Wave-F of Wave-5 completed 38.2% correction of Sub Wave-E with lower levels supports.
2- 'C' corrective Leg of Sub Wave-F corrective wave is also completed at 5716 roday.

Last 2 days following consolidation patterns:-

1- Falling Wedge(Bullish) Pattern on 15-04-2011
2- Water Fall(Bullish) Pattern on 18-04-2011

I told 2 times for support and base formation within 5695-5735  in Mid-session Outlooks and again repeating that keep in mind above technical developments and today intraday support as well as expect  rally.

For precaution telling for watching sustaining above 5762 only.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 19-Apr-2011


Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(19-04-2011)


Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Consolidation and Base formation seen between 5695-5735 today. Minor profit booking at higher levels signals but consolidation patterns in last 2 sessions also therefore Nifty sustaining above 5762 will mean strong rally possibility in the coming sessions.

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-04-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5839
R2 5800
R1 5770
Avg 5731
S1 5701
S2 5662
S3 5632                                

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5809     Trgt 2
H5 5793     Trgt 1
H4 5777     Long breakout
H3 5758     Go Short
H2 5752
H1 5746
L1 5733
L2 5727
L3 5721     Long
L4 5702     Short Breakout
L5 5686     Trgt 1
L6 5670     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-04-2011

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

5871.00
R2 5826
R1 5793
Avg 5748
S1 5715
S2 5670
S3 5637

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5838     Trgt 2
H5 5820    Trgt 1
H4 5802    Long breakout
H3 5781    Go Short
H2 5774
H1 5767
L1 5752
L2 5745
L3 5738     Long
L4 5717     Short Breakout
L5 5699     Trgt 1
L6 5681     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-04-2011

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 11863
R2 11769
R1 11700
Avg 11606
S1 11537
S2 11443
S3 11374

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11796     Trgt 2
H5 11759     Trgt 1
H4 11721     Long breakout
H3 11676     Go Short
H2 11661
H1 11646
L1 11617
L2 11602
L3 11587     Long
L4 11542     Short Breakout
L5 11504     Trgt 1
L6 11467     Trgt 2

Pre-closing Outlook(19-04-2011)


No change in technical positions therefore views are same which have already been expressed in Mid-session Outlook-2. As supports at lower levels therefore up moves expectations are higher.

Mid-session Outlook-2(19-04-2011)

Following line was told in Mid-session Outlook today

"if nifty consolidate within this range then consolidation and up move confirmation point will be crossing 5762."

Nifty moved up could not cross 5762 and again retraced and trading within 5695-5735. Nifty moved up after some base formation today but could not sustain 2 times  at higher levels as well therefore profit booking possibility between 5735-5760 can not be ruled out today.Intra day technical positions of today are as follows;-

1- Base formation between- 5695-5735
2- Profit Booking between 5735-5760

Correction is on and its completion confirmation not received yet. confirmation points are as follows:-

1- Crossing 5762 will mean correction is complete.
2- Dipping below 5695 will mean more down to test 5651/5561

Mixed patterns between 5695-5762 and its break out will be next moves confirmation. Let market take positions within this range and its conclusions will be drawn from micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart formations.

Mid-session Outlook(19-04-2011)


Today intra day base formation between 5695-5735,after that small spike upto 5762 and then Nifty reversed and trading again within this range. Yesterday last 4 hours consolidation pattern and after that if nifty consolidate within this range then consolidation and up move confirmation point will be crossing 5762.

Post-open Outlook(19-04-2011)

Indian markets out performed global markets and almost flat despite most global markets are more than 1% down. sustaining beyond 5680-5716 is next moves confirmation levels for today. As lower levels consolidation patterns yesterday and if Nifty holds above 5716 today then it will be correction completion confirmation.

Pre-open Outlook(19-04-2011)

Opening expected between 5680-5716 and this range will be watched also for next immediate moves confirmations. Correction is on and long positions should be created after confirm support and base formation minimum on intra day levels.

Post-closing Report(18-04-2011) & Tomorrow Outlook


Main features of today market is as follows:-

1- Long Red Candle
2- Selling between 5870-5890
3- Last 4 hours down move in Water Fall Pattern and it is bullish Formation
4- All Indices closed in Red
5- Higher levels selling and lower levels buying patterns in intra day chart.

Ratios:

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.91
Nifty P/E Ratio(18-04-2011): 21.66

Advances & Declines:

BSE ADVANCES : 1075
BSE DECLINES : 1844
NSE ADVANCES :  374
NSE DECLINES : 1040

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today:-

Nifty- 5700 CE(28APR2011)- +1674650(+69.73%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(28APR2011)- +391450(+5.40%)

Nifty- 5800 CE(28APR2011)- +2412350(+48.73%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(28APR2011)- -167200(-3.31%)

Nifty- 5900 CE(28APR2011)- +1117150(+18.96%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(28APR2011)- -593750(-17.96%)

Closing :-

Nifty- closed at 5,729.10(-95.45 Points &-1.64%)
Sensex- closed at 19,091.17(-295.65 Points & -1.53% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 8,197.30(-120.55 Points & -1.45%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,737.06(-71.10 Points & -0.81%)

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(18-04-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Tomorrow(19-04-2011) Outlook

Correction is on and lower levels consolidation patterns in last 2 sessions:-
1- Falling Wedge(Bullish) Pattern on 15-04-2011
2- Water Fall(Bullish) Pattern on 18-04-2011

As lower levels consolidation patterns therefore only correction and Bear market possibility is negligible.

US markets are trading more than 1.5% down today and such weak closing will certainly hamper the sentiment tomorrow therefore and expected that in that situation most of the Asian markets will be weak and Indian markets gap sown opening possibility can not be ruled out tomorrow. Following levels testing possibility is also on in on going correction:-

1- 5716
2- 5680
2- 5651
3- 5561

Slipping is very much possible in tomorrow like market and above mentilned levels will be watched for correction completion confirmationans;-


1- Firstly stopping of down move
2- after that minimum intra day consolidation and then
3- crossing minimum 1 resistance will be next upmove confirmation.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(18-04-2011)


Just click on chart for its enlarged view

1- Selling between 5870-5890
2- Last 4 hours down move in Water Fall Pattern and it is bullish Formation

Conclusions

Same patterns in most of the Indices intraday charts of today. Higher levels selling and last 4 hours Water Fall consolidation patterns between 5790-5725 today. Although 5736 broken down but with consolidation pattern therefore fresh selling is required within 5790-5725 or below for down move confirmaions and fresh consolidation near or above 5700 will mean sharp rally.

All trends are up and today down move is on going correction. Today intraday charts are suggesting consolidation signals and follow up buying in the coming sessions will mean possibility of sharp rally. Highly volatile markets between 5725-5940 in last 5 sessions without one sided patterns and let market prepare for one side moves then final conclusions will be drawn.

As per my view All trends are up,last 8 session moves are short term correction and after its completion sharp rally will be seen.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 18-Apr-2011


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 18-Apr-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Aprket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII18-Apr-20112528.23509.76-981.56


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Aprket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII18-Apr-20111395.14733.67661.47

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-04-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6018
R2 5957
R1 5843
Avg 5782
S1 5668
S2 5607
S3 5493

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5904     Trgt 2
H5 5864     Trgt 1
H4 5825     Long breakout
H3 5777     Go Short
H2 5761
H1 5745
L1 5712
L2 5696
L3 5680     Long
L4 5632     Short Breakout
L5 5593     Trgt 1
L6 5553     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-04-2011

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 6054
R2 5987
R1 5861
Avg 5794
S1 5668
S2 5601
S3 5475

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5929     Trgt 2
H5 5885    Trgt 1
H4 5842     Long breakout
H3 5789     Go Short
H2 5771
H1 5753
L1 5718
L2 5700
L3 5682     Long
L4 5629     Short Breakout
L5 5586     Trgt 1
L6 5542     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-04-2011

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 12214
R2 12077
R1 11826
Avg 11689
S1 11438
S2 11301
S3 11050

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11963     Trgt 2
H5 11876     Trgt 1
H4 11788     Long breakout
H3 11681    Go Short
H2 11646
H1 11610
L1 11539
L2 11503
L3 11468     Long
L4 11361     Short Breakout
L5 11273     Trgt 1
L6 11186     Trgt 2

Pre-closing Outlook(18-04-2011)


As Dow's futures is trading more than 40 points down therefore all the global markets showed weakness. Nifty slipped below 5736 and trading below also but last 4 hours intra day charts are not suggesting genuine selling therefore if Nifty will sustain below 5736 tomorrow then that will be deeper correction confirmation.

Highly volatile markets and trend will be confirmed through sustaining beyond only.

Mid-session Outlook-3(18-04-2011)

All the Asian markets slipped from higher levels and closed flat to negative and European markets also opened in Red but Indian markets under performed all and 1.5% down. 5800 broken down forcefully and Nifty sustained below as well. Nifty slipped below 5736 a short while ago and if sustains below then it will be deeper correction confirmation.

Market is down but patterns  are not suggesting genuine selling therefore therefore deeper correction confirmation level is sustaining below 5736.

Mid-session Outlook-2(18-04-2011)

Highly volatile markets therefore in all the outlooks I gave the condition of sustaining above 5875 for rally confirmation. Nifty could not sustain above 5875 and slipped sharply.

It will be better to draw final conclusions in highly volatile markets from sustaining  beyond and present range is sustaining beyond 5800-5875

Mid-session Outlook(18-04-2011)

When most people were telling for bearish markets then following lines for today markets were told at 01:42:00 PM on 16-04-2011 in following topic:-

Positive Market on 18-04-2011

Intra day patterns of last Friday showed lower level support and bullish pattern also therefore Nifty will not dip and will firstly trade between 5810-5875. As minor correction has been completed and bullish intraday pattern(Falling Wedge) also last Friday therefore firstly fresh consolidations and follow up buying between 5810-5875 will be seen after positive opening next Monday

Just verify above lines(which were told 2 days before) from today market and that will prove that today story was written 2 days before.

Following topics were also posted in last 2 days just go through for guidance and confirmation of Indian markets:-

1- Two Positive Formation in Weekly Chart
2- Weekly Outlook(18-04-2011 to 21-04-2011)

Sustaining above 5875 will be first strong indication of Bull rally and crossing 5945 will be confirmation of fast 6120

Post-open Outlook(18-04-2011)

Today outlook was posted in Following Topic with giving lines at 01:42:00 PM on 16-04-2011

Positive Market on 18-04-2011

Intraday patterns of last Friday showed lower level support and bullish pattern also therefore Nifty will not dip and will firstly trade between 5810-5875. As minor correction has been completed and bullish intraday pattern(Falling Wedge) also last Friday therefore firstly fresh consolidations and follow up buying between 5810-5875 will be seen after positive opening next Monday

Just verify above lines(which were told 2 days before) from today market and that will prove that today story was written 2 days before.

Nifty is trading at 5875 and sustaining above today will mean sharp rally.

Weekly Outlook(18-04-2011 to 21-04-2011)


Corrective Sub Wave-F of Wave-5 is on after Sub Wave-E fast 596 points gains in 13 sessions. All trends are up therefore Bullish market is very much alive. Indian markets reacted sharply on vews in previous week, firstly 125.80 points sharp surge on sudden $7 fall and after that  86.95(61.8%) Points down on so called INFY below expectation results. Nifty traded between 5736-5944 in last 2 weks and this range break out will give following conclusions:-

1- Sustaining above 5944 will mean rally after correction completion to test minimum 6120 fast.
2- Sustaining below 5736 will mean correction continuation to test 5651/5561.

Wave-5 Sub Waves with immediate Support & Resistance
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Next trading range is 5736-5944 and contrary developments of news and technicals which are as follows:-

1- Negative news of Inflation rise,Crude rates rise again and sharp fall after Infy results.As per my view INFY over reacted after  results and closed 9.58% down after announcing good results and guidance
2- Positive technical formations are as follows:-
a- Falling Wedge(Bullish) Pattern between 5850-5812 on 15-04-2011.
b- Weekly MACD Line Positive Cross Over and its means long up trend formation possibility.
c- Continuation Pattern 'Pennant'Formations and its means continuation of on going trend which is Up Trend. Falling trend line(5940) cross-over will be its confirmation.

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

Wave-5 is on After 'ABC' Correction Completion Chart
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Nifty will trade first between 5736-5944 and prepare for next moves between this range. Nifty crossed almost all the resistances in sharp rally on 13-04-2011 but slipped also on 15-04-2011 and selling patterns seen in Bank,Reality and Auto Stocks therefore for any rally market require consolidation firstly.

Most Asian markets showed consolidation patterns therefore good sentiment expected Monday morning after positive trading Asian markets as well as Green opening also expected in Indian markets and Nifty will trade between first between 5800-5875.

Falling Wedge(Bullish) Pattern between 5850-5812 and buying between 5808-5826 seen on 15-04-2011 therefore any down move will be considered after sustaining below 5808 and for this fresh commencement of selling required between 5800-5875 on 18-04-2011. Any down move or voltality may be possible between 5736-5944 but Two Positive Formation in Weekly Chart therefore until complete selling will not develop between 5736-5944 till then any down move will not be possible.

Wave-5 is on after 'ABC' correction completion,intraday charts signalling consolidations and weekly charts positive developments also therefore consolidation begining and positive closing expected in the coming week. As some selling also last Friday therefore 5800/5736 will be watched for more correction confirmation. Crossing 5875 and sustaining above 5944 will be confirmation of 6120 fast.

As mixed intra day patterns after INFY led steep fall last Friday therefore confirmations are must. As soon as trend will clear then will be posted accoedingly in the coming sessions.

Corrective Sub Wave-F of Wave-5


Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Corrective Sub Wave-F of Wave-5 is on after Sub Wave-E fast 596 points gains in 13 sessions.