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FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 12-Apr-2013


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 12-Apr-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII12-Apr-2013 2858.22886.79-28.59

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII12-Apr-2013 795.911107.83-311.92

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(12-Apr-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows
Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 1.02
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 1.00
Nifty P/E Ratio(12-Apr-2013): 16.71

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,031
BSE Declines : 1,275
NSE Advances :   548
NSE Declines :   761

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5400  CE(Apr)- -37,550(-3.74%)
Nifty- 5400  PE(Apr)- -529,000(-7.46%)

Nifty- 5500  CE(Apr)- 769,650(27.87%)
Nifty- 5500  PE(Apr)- -769,250(-10.44%)

Nifty- 5600  CE(Apr)- 1,208,750(20.79%)
Nifty- 5600  PE(Apr)- -871,800(-13.85%)

Nifty- 5700  CE(Apr)- 585,900(7.87%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Apr)- -204,100(-7.62%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Apr)- 303,400(4.35%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Apr)- -176,300(-13.20%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 18,242.56(-299.64 Points & -1.62%)
Nifty- closed at 5,528.55(-65.45 Points & -1.17%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,419.55(-6.00 Points & -0.08%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,129.00(-11.50 Points & -0.37%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-04-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5600
R2 5572
R1 5550
Avg 5522
S1 5500
S2 5472
S3 5450

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5578     Trgt 2
H5 5566     Trgt 1
H4 5555     Long breakout
H3 5541     Go Short
H2 5537
H1 5532
L1 5523
L2 5518
L3 5514     Long
L4 5500     Short Breakout
L5 5489     Trgt 1
L6 5477     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-04-2013

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5608
R2 5585
R1 5560
Avg 5537
S1 5512
S2 5489
S3 5464

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5583     Trgt 2
H5 5572     Trgt 1
H4 5561     Long breakout
H3 5548     Go Short
H2 5543
H1 5539
L1 5530
L2 5526
L3 5521     Long
L4 5508     Short Breakout
L5 5497     Trgt 1
L6 5486     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-04-2013

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 11806
R2 11626
R1 11513
Avg 11333
S1 11220
S2 11040
S3 10927

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11700     Trgt 2
H5 11631     Trgt 1
H4 11562     Long breakout
H3 11481     Go Short
H2 11454
H1 11427
L1 11374
L2 11347
L3 11320     Long
L4 11239     Short Breakout
L5 11170     Trgt 1
L6 11101     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Apr 15 to Apr 18,2013)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5734
R2 5672
R1 5600
Avg 5538
S1 5466
S2 5404
S3 5332

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5663     Trgt 2
H5 5632     Trgt 1
H4 5601     Long breakout
H3 5564     Go Short
H2 5552
H1 5540
L1 5515
L2 5503
L3 5491     Long
L4 5454     Short Breakout
L5 5423     Trgt 1
L6 5392     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Apr 15 to Apr 18,2013)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 12159
R2 11801
R1 11605
Avg 11247
S1 11051
S2 10693
S3 10497

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 11990     Trgt 2
H5 11852     Trgt 1
H4 11714     Long breakout
H3 11562     Go Short
H2 11511
H1 11460
L1 11359
L2 11308
L3 11257     Long
L4 11105     Short Breakout
L5 10967     Trgt 1
L6 10829     Trgt 2

Mid-session Outlook(12-04-2013)

Although first 3 hours trading without selling patterns between 5522-5543 but this range broken down because sentiment is depressed today therefore immediate much down moves not seen. As some supports also seen at lower levels today therefore Very Short Term view is not bearish and break out of today actual trading range(5508-5543) should be watched for next moves confirmations towards next wider trading range(5478-5610)

Post-open Outlook(12-04-2013)

When INFY was trading near the top of day after gaining more than Rs 100/- then following line was told yesterday at 02:29 PM in Pre-Closing Outlook:-

As INFY was more than 30% up after previous results therefore selling can not be ruled out on the back of such bullish psychology today

As was told same happened and INFY is down more than 17% today after yesterday selling.

Technical positions have already been updated in Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(12-04-2013) and INFY results led volatility today. As technical reverses sharply in such volatility therefore next moves will get confirmations after stabilising of market. 

It should be kept in mind that Technically nothing is left for Bulls after crucial levels broken down confirmations but FIIs bought more than 3200 Cr in Stock Futures during April 2013 and they were net buyers daily therefore firstly valid break out previous 2 sessions trading range(5478-5610) should be firstly watched for next trend confirmations because both buying and selling seen within this range and Nifty is trading within this range today amid most depressing sentiments.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(12-04-2013)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (11-Apr-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5574-5589 
2- Support between 5542-5562
3- High volatility in last 2 hours
3- Whole day actual trading between 5542-5610

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Totally mixed patterns and technical positions reverses also during High volatility therefore Indian markets are not prepared for any side decisive moves in the coming session. As Following 3 news today therefore again high volatility can not be ruled out:-

1- INFY results.
2- IIP numbers.
3- Inflation data.

Following crucial levels have already been broken down:-

1- 5548.35(Strong support because Wave v begun from this levels after almost 2 months range bound consolidations)
2- 5629.95(Top of Wave 1)
3- Long Term Trend decider 200 Day DMA at 5650 on 11-04-2012
4- Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA at 5666 on 11-04-2012

Although Bearish market confirmations through breaking down of above levels and until Nifty will not close and sustain above Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA(5666) till then trend reversal will not be considered but positive moves indication also due to following reasons:-

1- Nifty closed 5548.35 in last 2 sessions. 
2- Lower levels supports also seen in last 2 sessions.
3- FIIs bought more than 3200 Cr in Stock Futures during April 2013 and they were net buyers daily.

Such high buying in Stock Futures does also mean that sentiment made depressed through Indices stocks and Futures selling and making long positions created through Stock Futures buying therefore emergence of 1st signal of up moves and coming sessions follow up positions will decide next trend.

Technically nothing is left for Bulls after above mentioned all crucial levels broken down confirmations but above mentioned 3 indications of Positive markets also seen therefore firstly valid break out of previous 2 sessions trading range(5478-5610) should be firstly watched for next trend confirmations because both buying and selling seen within this range.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 11-Apr-2013


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 11-Apr-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII11-Apr-2013 3395.113358.4836.63

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII11-Apr-2013 659.02601.3157.71

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(11-Apr-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows
Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 1.01
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.98
Nifty P/E Ratio(11-Apr-2013): 16.83

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 869
BSE Declines : 812
NSE Advances : 700
NSE Declines : 611

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5700  CE(Apr)- -362,500(-11.60%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Apr)-  1,228,100(20.00%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Apr)- -145,200(-2.44%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Apr)-  628,450(11.09%)

Nifty- 5700  CE(Apr)- -863,150(-10.39%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Apr)-  151,650(6.00%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Apr)- -767,200(-9.91%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Apr)- -47,550(-3.44%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 18,542.20(127.75 Points & 0.69%)
Nifty- closed at 5,594.00(35.30 Points & 0.64%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,425.55(-9.25 Points & -0.12%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,140.50(2.25 Points & 0.07 %)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-04-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5690
R2 5650
R1 5622
Avg 5582
S1 5554
S2 5514
S3 5486

Trading Strategy

H6 5662     Trgt 2
H5 5647     Trgt 1
H4 5631     Long breakout
H3 5612     Go Short
H2 5606
H1 5600
L1 5587
L2 5581
L3 5575     Long
L4 5556     Short Breakout
L5 5540     Trgt 1
L6 5525     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-04-2013

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5701
R2 5659
R1 5626
Avg 5584
S1 5551
S2 5509
S3 5476

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5669     Trgt 2
H5 5652     Trgt 1
H4 5635     Long breakout
H3 5614     Go Short
H2 5607
H1 5600
L1 5587
L2 5580
L3 5573     Long
L4 5552     Short Breakout
L5 5535     Trgt 1
L6 5518     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-04-2013

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 11586
R2 11467
R1 11388
Avg 11269
S1 11190
S2 11071
S3 10992

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11509     Trgt 2
H5 11463     Trgt 1
H4 11417     Long breakout
H3 11363     Go Short
H2 11345
H1 11327
L1 11290
L2 11272
L3 11254     Long
L4 11200     Short Breakout
L5 11154     Trgt 1
L6 11108     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(11-04-2013)

Sharp fall after first 3 hours selling indications between 5574-5589 and formation of new intraday low at 5542.85 but equally fast recovery and new trading high formation at 5610 which is above Next resistance(5590-5600). 3 Following news tomorrow:-                                                                          
1- INFY results.
2- IIP numbers.
3- Inflation data.

Pull Back rally continuation as per expectations and further up moves will depend on above news tomorrow but decisive rally confirmation will be after sustaining above those levels which have been updated in following topic yesterday:-


As INFY was more than 30% up after previous results therefore selling can not be ruled out on the back of such bullish psychology today. Let Nifty sustain above 5600 then up moves will be considered otherwise only intraday volatility and finally down moves because selling during first 3 hours today.

Mid-session Outlook(11-04-2013)

Next resistance is between 5590-5600 and today first 3 hours trading between 5574-5589 with selling indications therefore development of down moves possibilities.

Pull Back Rally Continuation

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (10-Apr-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation between 5488-5518
2- Sudden volatility
3- Up moves in Rising Channel which broken down also in last 15 minutes.
3- Whole day actual trading between 5478-5569

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis

Recovery from lower levels after first 3 hours consolidation and after that high volatility with both side new highs and lows formations. Finally up moves seen in Rising Channel during last hours but Rising Channel broken down also in last 15 minutes. Sentiment was extremely depressed due to 5 crucial levels broken down confirmation therefore Bounce back(Pull Back rally) was expected and that was seen also but complete consolidation patterns are required for any decisive rally and at present only Pull Back rally continuation will be considered.

US markets are more than 1% up at this moment and such closing today will mean strong sentiment tomorrow morning and all the Asian markets may be strong resultant Gap Up opening can not be ruled out in Indian markets but all trends are down and multiple resistances at higher levels therefore until Nifty will not sustain above Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA(today at 5666) till then any decisive rally will not be considered. Sustaining above following levels will give next up moves confirmations one by one and failure will result down moves continuation but after fresh selling patterns formations:-

1- 5548.35(Strong support because Wave v begun from this levels after almost 2 months range bound consolidations)
2- 5629.95(Top of Wave 1)
3- Long Term Trend decider 200 Day DMA at 5647 on 10-04-2012

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 10-Apr-2013


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 10-Apr-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII10-Apr-2013 2822.162781.9440.22

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII10-Apr-2013 841.82644.53197.29

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(10-Apr-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows
Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio:0.90
Total Options Put Call Ratio:0.88
Nifty P/E Ratio(10-Apr-2013):16.75

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 848
BSE Declines : 847
NSE Advances : 689
NSE Declines : 628

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5500  CE(Apr)- -269,050(-7.93%)
Nifty- 5500  PE(Apr)-  653,050(11.90%)

Nifty- 5600  CE(Apr)- -49,600(-0.83%)
Nifty- 5600  PE(Apr)- -210,200(-3.58%)

Nifty- 5700  CE(Apr)- -214,100(-2.51%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Apr)- -408,000(-13.90%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Apr)- -533,700(-6.45%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Apr)- -94,000(-6.36%)

Nifty- 5900  CE(Apr)- -20,950(-0.33%)
Nifty- 5900  PE(Apr)- -38,750(-4.57%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 18,414.45(187.97 Points & 1.03%)
Nifty- closed at 5,558.70(63.60 Points & 1.16%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,434.80(64.15 Points & 0.87%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,138.25(21.55 Points & 0.69%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-04-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5684
R2 5626
R1 5592
Avg 5534
S1 5500
S2 5442
S3 5408

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5651     Trgt 2
H5 5629     Trgt 1
H4 5608     Long breakout
H3 5583     Go Short
H2 5574
H1 5566
L1 5549
L2 5541
L3 5532     Long
L4 5507     Short Breakout
L5 5486     Trgt 1
L6 5464     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-04-2013

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5697
R2 5637
R1 5600
Avg 5540
S1 5503
S2 5443
S3 5406

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5661     Trgt 2
H5 5638     Trgt 1
H4 5616     Long breakout
H3 5589     Go Short
H2 5580
H1 5571
L1 5554
L2 5545
L3 5536     Long
L4 5509     Short Breakout
L5 5487     Trgt 1
L6 5464     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-04-2013

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 11498
R2 11332
R1 11236
Avg 11070
S1 10974
S2 10808
S3 10712

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11407     Trgt 2
H5 11345     Trgt 1
H4 11284     Long breakout
H3 11212     Go Short
H2 11188
H1 11164
L1 11115
L2 11091
L3 11067     Long
L4 10995     Short Breakout
L5 10934     Trgt 1
L6 10872     Trgt 2

Mid-session Outlook(10-04-2013)

First 3 hours trading with consolidation pattern between 5488-5518 and after that high volatility as well as both side high and low broken out. Although finally bounce seen today but until complete consolidation will not happen till then any decisive rally will not be seen and only Pull Back rally will be considered at this moment after sustaining above 5548.35.

Pre-open Outlook(10-04-2013)

Short term indicators are oversold and yesterday closing within gap supports range(447.45-5526.95) as well as sentiment is positive after Green closing in US markets therefore some up moves and Pull Back Rally can not be ruled out but until Nifty will not sustain above Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA(today at 5667) till then any decisive rally will not be considered.

Bearish phase after crucial levels breaking down confirmations

                                   Nifty-EOD Chart (01-Apr-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- 4531.15 on 20-12-2011(Wave-3 beginning after 13 Months Wave-2 correction completion)
2- Wave 1(5629.95 on 22-02-2012)
3- Wave 2(4770.35 on 04-06-2012)
4- Wave 3(6111.80 on 29-01-2013)
5- Wave 4 correction beginning
6- Wave 4 bottom formation at 5487.00 on 09-04-2012
7- 200 Day EMA at 5667 on 09-04-2012
8- 200 Day DMA at 5645 on 09-04-2012
9- Neckline broken down of almost 7 months old Huge Bearish Head and Shoulders pattern which started on 14-09-2012.

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Following crucial levels broken down confirmation:-

1- 5629.95(Top of Wave 1)
2- Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA at 5667 on 09-04-2012
3- Long Term Trend decider 200 Day DMA at 5645 on 09-04-2012
4- 5548.35(Strong support because Wave v begun from this levels after almost 2 months range bound consolidations)
5- Neckline of almost 7 months old Huge Bearish Head and Shoulders pattern

Bearish phase beginning after breaking down confirmation of above most crucial levels and testing possibility of unbelievable lower levels in the coming months. Next supports are as follows which may generate Pull Back Rally:-

1- Gap Support between 5447.45-5526.95
2- Gap Support between 5260.60-5309.20
3- Support at 5215.70
4- Support at 5032.40
5- Support at 4770.35

Nifty(Apr Fut)- Intraday Trading levels , Strategy and Targets for 10-04-2013


 -------------------------------------------------
Buy at or above:-5513
-------------------------------
1st Targets:5528
2nd Targets:5547
3rd Targets:5566
4th Targets:5584
-------------------------------
Stop Loss:5494
-------------------------------------------------
Sell at or below:-5494
-------------------------------
1st Targets:5478
2nd Targets:5460
3rd Targets:5441
4th Targets:5423
-------------------------------
Stop Loss:5513
-------------------------------------------------
Trading guidance:-

1- Trade with Strict Stop Loss
2- Trade along the trend.
3- Cover at any Target or hold for next target with previous target as Stop Loss.
4- May reverse yours trade also according to market with previous level as Stop Loss.
5- Profitable intraday trading strategy in trending and volatile markets.
6- Firstly  go through today Outlooks also for better profits and more accuracy.

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)- Intraday Trading levels,Strategy and Targets for 10-04-2013

-------------------------------------------------
Buy at or above:-10946
-------------------------------
1st Targets:10967
2nd Targets:10993
3rd Targets:11019
4th Targets:11045
-------------------------------
Stop Loss:10920
-------------------------------------------------
Sell at or below:-10920
-------------------------------
1st Targets:10899
2nd Targets:10873
3rd Targets:10847
4th Targets:10821
-------------------------------
Stop Loss:10946
-------------------------------------------------
Trading guidance:-

1- Trade with Strict Stop Loss
2- Trade along the trend.
3- Cover at any Target or hold for next target with previous target as Stop Loss.
4- May reverse yours trade also according to market with previous level as Stop Loss.
5- Profitable intraday trading strategy in trending and volatile markets.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 09-Apr-2013


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 09-Apr-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII09-Apr-2013 2080.022744.92-664.9

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII09-Apr-2013 1628.17640.36987.81

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(09-Apr-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio:0.93
Total Options Put Call Ratio:0.90
Nifty P/E Ratio(09-Apr-2013):16.59

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances :  544
BSE Declines :1,147
NSE Advances :  419
NSE Declines :  902

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5300  CE(Apr)- 18,400(5.18%)
Nifty- 5300  PE(Apr)- -224,650(-5.48%)

Nifty- 5400  CE(Apr)- 312,250(42.16%)
Nifty- 5400  PE(Apr)- 745,450(17.25%)

Nifty- 5500  CE(Apr)- 1,537,050(82.82%)
Nifty- 5500  PE(Apr)- -190,050(-3.35%)

Nifty- 5600  CE(Apr)- 531,300(9.70%)
Nifty- 5600  PE(Apr)- 367,800(6.68%)

Nifty- 5700  CE(Apr)- -191,950(-2.20%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Apr)- -712,550(-19.53%)

Closing

Sensex- closed at 18,226.48(-211.30 Points & -1.15%)
Nifty- closed at 5,495.10(-47.85 Points & -0.86%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,370.65(-58.95 Points & -0.79%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 1,925.55(-21.00 Points & -1.08%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 10-04-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

3 5685
R2 5644
R1 5569
Avg 5528
S1 5453
S2 5412
S3 5337

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5611     Trgt 2
H5 5584     Trgt 1
H4 5558     Long breakout
H3 5526     Go Short
H2 5516
H1 5505
L1 5484
L2 5473
L3 5463     Long
L4 5431     Short Breakout
L5 5405     Trgt 1
L6 5378     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 10-04-2013

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5711
R2 5666
R1 5583
Avg 5538
S1 5455
S2 5410
S3 5327

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5628     Trgt 2
H5 5599     Trgt 1
H4 5570     Long breakout
H3 5535     Go Short
H2 5523
H1 5511
L1 5488
L2 5476
L3 5464     Long
L4 5429     Short Breakout
L5 5400     Trgt 1
L6 5371     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 10-04-2013

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 11477
R2 11362
R1 11153
Avg 11038
S1 10829
S2 10714
S3 10505

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11268     Trgt 2
H5 11195     Trgt 1
H4 11122     Long breakout
H3 11033     Go Short
H2 11003
H1 10973
L1 10914
L2 10884
L3 10854     Long
L4 10765     Short Breakout
L5 10692     Trgt 1
L6 10619     Trgt 2

CRUDEOIL-Apr Fut-Selling Trade

CRUDEOIL-Apr Fut-Sell-Intraday/Positional-SL-5126 & TGT-5026-CMP-5092(Lalit39)

Pre-Closing Outlook(09-04-2013)

5535 broken down and with this termination of Bullish markets hopes as well as those crucial levels broken down confirmation which were told in Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(09-04-2013).

Following line was also told and being repeated:-

Below 5535 will mean crashing like situation in Indian markets and testing of unbelievable lower levels

Mid-session Outlook-2(09-04-2013)

Although forceful break out of previous 2 sessions trading range but not sustaining at higher levels and again slipping into mentioned range. Now again trading within mentioned range(5535-5575) amid high volatility and no other way but to wait for valid break out of mentioned range for next moves confirmations.

Mid-session Outlook(09-04-2013)

Last 2 sessions trading range(5535-5575) broken out forcefully and out performing Global markets as well therefore first strong indication of impulsive Wave 5 beginning after 48 sessions Wave 4 correction completion and confirmation will be after sustaining above Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA(5669). 

Post-open Outlook(09-04-2013)

Strong global cues led gap up opening and most time trading within last 2 sessions trading range(5535-5575). Although first 2 minutes trading above 5575 today but its break out confirmation is required and that is must because today positive trading is only Global markets reaction.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(09-04-2013)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Apr 05 & Apr 08,2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 2 Sessions intraday charts

1- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel on 05-04-2013
2- Support at lower levels between 5535-5546 in both sessions.
3- Selling Patterns between 5551-5560 on 08-04-2013
4- 2 Sessions actual trading between 5535-5575 

Conclusions from 2 Sessions intra day chart analysis 

Following Crucial levels have been broken down:-

1- 5629.95(Top of Wave 1)
2- 5669(200 Day EMA on 08-04-2012)
3- 5643(200 Day DMA at 08-04-2012)
4- 5548.35(Strong support because Wave v begun from this levels after almost 2 months range bound consolidations)

Only breaking down confirmations of above levels is left and that will be through valid break out of last 2 sessions 40 points narrow trading  range(5535-5575) for following big moves:- 

1- Below 5535 will mean crashing like situation in Indian markets and testing of unbelievable lower levels.
2- Above 5575 will mean Wave 5 beginning to form new highs above 6111 but after sustaining above Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA(5669)

As last 2 sessions trading with mixed intraday patterns formations between 5535-5575 therefore valid break out of this range must be firstly watched for above mentioned next trend confirmations.

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 08-Apr-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII08-Apr-2013 1546.881710.83-163.95

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII08-Apr-2013 777.09564.37212.72

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 09-04-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5593
R2 5581
R1 5561
Avg 5549
S1 5529
S2 5517
S3 5497

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5574     Trgt 2
H5 5566     Trgt 1
H4 5559     Long breakout
H3 5550     Go Short
H2 5547
H1 5544
L1 5539
L2 5536
L3 5533     Long
L4 5524     Short Breakout
L5 5517     Trgt 1
L6 5509     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 09-04-2013

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

3 5617
R2 5602
R1 5580
Avg 5565
S1 5543
S2 5528
S3 5506

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5596     Trgt 2
H5 5587     Trgt 1
H4 5579     Long breakout
H3 5569     Go Short
H2 5565
H1 5562
L1 5555
L2 5552
L3 5548     Long
L4 5538     Short Breakout
L5 5530     Trgt 1
L6 5521     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 09-04-2013

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 11296
R2 11241
R1 11144
Avg 11089
S1 10992
S2 10937
S3 10840

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11199     Trgt 2
H5 11164     Trgt 1
H4 11130     Long breakout
H3 11088     Go Short
H2 11074
H1 11060
L1 11033
L2 11019
L3 11005     Long
L4 10963     Short Breakout
L5 10929     Trgt 1
L6 10894     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(08-04-2013)

2 Sessions trading between 5535-5575 with good consolidations last Friday and today lower levels supports but selling patterns formations at higher levels also seen today therefore View is cautious and valid break out of mentioned trading range should be firstly watched for next decisive moves and Trend confirmation.

Mid-session Outlook-2(08-04-2013)

Quiet market between 5538-5568 with selling indications at higher levels but lower levels good supports also therefore valid break out of mentioned today trading range will be next decisive moves and Trend confirmation.

Mid-session Outlook(08-04-2013)

Although consolidation patterns formations last Friday but selling indications today therefore view is cautious and will be Bullish only after sustaining above those crucial levels which have been updated in previous Outlook. 

View is cautious and not Bearish at this moment because only selling indications today.

NIFTY-Apr Call Option(5700)-Buying of 05-04-2013-Covering

NIFTY-Apr CE(5700)-Bought on 05-04-2013-cover immediately-CMP-26(Lalit39)

NIFTY-Apr Call Option(5700)- Buying of 05-04-2013-Message

NIFTY-Apr CE(5700)- Bought on 05-04-2013-Weak Global markets but just hold and cover after my covering message(Lalit39)
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Apr 08 to Apr 12,2013)
Nifty-EOD Chart (05-Apr-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- 4531.15 on 20-12-2011(Wave-3 beginning after 13 Months Wave-2 correction completion)
2- Wave 1(5629.95 on 22-02-2012)
3- Wave 2(4770.35 on 04-06-2012)
4- Wave 3(6111.80 on 29-01-2013)
5- Wave 4 correction beginning
6- Wave A(5663.60 on 04-03-2012)
7- Wave A retraced 448.20 points.
8- Wave B(5971.20 on 11-03-2012)
9- Wave B gained 307.60 points
7- Wave B(5971.20 on 11-03-2012)
10- Wave C of Wave 4 bottom formation at 5534.70 on 05-04-2012
12- Wave C has retraced 436.50 points yet.
13- Corrective Wave C of Wave 4 continuation.
14- 200 Day EMA at 5670 on 05-04-2012
15- 200 Day DMA at 5641 on 05-04-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (05-Apr-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel.
2- Support between 5535-5545
3- Whole day actual trading between 5535-5575

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

As Per Elliot Wave Theory:-

The bottom of Wave-4 should not dip below the top of Wave 1,at least on a closing basis.

Top of Wave 1 is at 5629.95 and Nifty closed below it in last 2 sessions therefore it means recounting of Waves which started from 4531.15 on 20-12-2011 but as per our view last 2 sessions down closing was due to negative news flow from Global markets therefore breaking down confirmation is required through sustaining below 5629.95. Although Nifty closed below 200 Day EMA and DMA but Long Term Trend turning down confirmation is required yet through sustaining below both mentioned Averages.

Following target with following calculation was told on 26-03-2013 in Long Term Trend is at stake:-

ABC Waves of Wave 4 continuation and Wave A retraced 448.20 points therefore equal 100% retracement of Wave c can not be ruled out. Wave C correction continuation is expectd target is at:-

5971.20(Wave B)-448.20(Wave A lost)=5523.00 

As bottom formation at 5534.70 on 05-04-2012 which is near above given target therefore possibility of Wave 4 correction completion is still alive. Previous week down moves were due to weaker Global cues therefore finally sustaining beyond following levels will be next trend confirmations and should be firstly watched in next week:-

1- 5629.95(Top of Wave 1)
2- 5670(200 Day EMA on 05-04-2012)
3- 5641(200 Day DMA at 05-04-2012)

Although negative closing last Friday but consolidation patterns formation through Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel and lower levels supports as well therefore strong indications of up moves in the beginning of next week.

Nifty(Apr Fut)- Intraday Trading levels , Strategy and Targets for 08-04-2013

 -------------------------------------------------
Buy at or above:-5587 
-------------------------------
1st Targets:5603
2nd Targets:5622
3rd Targets:5640
4th Targets:5659
-------------------------------
Stop Loss:5568
-------------------------------------------------
Sell at or below:-5568
-------------------------------
1st Targets:5553
2nd Targets:5534
3rd Targets:5515
4th Targets:5497
-------------------------------
Stop Loss:5587
-------------------------------------------------
Trading guidance:-

1- Trade with Strict Stop Loss
2- Trade along the trend.
3- Cover at any Target or hold for next target with previous target as Stop Loss.
4- May reverse yours trade also according to market with previous level as Stop Loss.
5- Profitable intraday trading strategy in trending and volatile markets.
6- Firstly  go through today Outlooks also for better profits and more accuracy.

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)- Intraday Trading levels,Strategy and Targets for 08-04-2013

-------------------------------------------------
Buy at or above:-11156
-------------------------------
1st Targets:11177
2nd Targets:11203
3rd Targets:11230
4th Targets:11256
-------------------------------
Stop Loss:11130
-------------------------------------------------
Sell at or below:-11109
-------------------------------
1st Targets:11130
2nd Targets:11083
3rd Targets:11056
4th Targets:11030
-------------------------------
Stop Loss:11156
-------------------------------------------------
Trading guidance:-

1- Trade with Strict Stop Loss
2- Trade along the trend.
3- Cover at any Target or hold for next target with previous target as Stop Loss.
4- May reverse yours trade also according to market with previous level as Stop Loss.
5- Profitable intraday trading strategy in trending and volatile markets.

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 05-Apr-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII05-Apr-2013 2018.732221.92-203.19

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII05-Apr-2013 963.91942.4421.47

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(05-Apr-2013)

Main features of  trading are as follows

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.92
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.90
Nifty P/E Ratio(05-Apr-2013): 16.82

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,408
BSE Declines : 1,343
NSE Advances :   740
NSE Declines :   773

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5500  CE(Apr)- 513,400(42.79%)
Nifty- 5500  PE(Apr)- 10,300(0.19%)

Nifty- 5600  CE(Apr)- 1,127,900(29.26%)
Nifty- 5600  PE(Apr)- -1,236,900(-17.57%)

Nifty- 5700  CE(Apr)- 1,012,550(14.38%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Apr)- -609,300(-14.17%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Apr)-  870,750(12.55%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Apr)- -101,100(-5.93%)

Nifty- 5900  CE(Apr)- 489,300(8.00%)
Nifty- 5900  PE(Apr)- -80,500(-8.28%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 18,450.23(-59.47 Points & -0.32%)
Nifty- closed at 5,553.25(-21.50 Points & -0.39%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,422.75(20.05 Points & 0.27%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,176.65(3.75 Points & 0.12%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-04-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5618
R2 5597
R1 5575
Avg 5554
S1 5532
S2 5511
S3 5489

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5596     Trgt 2
H5 5586     Trgt 1
H4 5576     Long breakout
H3 5564     Go Short
H2 5560
H1 5556
L1 5549
L2 5545
L3 5541     Long
L4 5529     Short Breakout
L5 5519     Trgt 1
L6 5509     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-04-2013

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5635
R2 5614
R1 5593
Avg 5572
S1 5551
S2 5530
S3 5509

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5614     Trgt 2
H5 5604     Trgt 1
H4 5595     Long breakout
H3 5583     Go Short
H2 5579
H1 5575
L1 5568
L2 5564
L3 5560     Long
L4 5548     Short Breakout
L5 5539     Trgt 1
L6 5529     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-04-2013

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 11373
R2 11296
R1 11219
Avg 11142
S1 11065
S2 10988
S3 10911

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11297     Trgt 2
H5 11261     Trgt 1
H4 11226     Long breakout
H3 11184     Go Short
H2 11170
H1 11156
L1 11127
L2 11113
L3 11099     Long
L4 11057     Short Breakout
L5 11022     Trgt 1
L6 10986     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Apr 08 to Apr 12,2013)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5915
R2 5835
R1 5694
Avg 5614
S1 5473
S2 5393
S3 5252

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 4577     Trgt 2
H5 5724     Trgt 1
H4 5674     Long breakout
H3 5613     Go Short
H2 5593
H1 5573
L1 5532
L2 5512
L3 5492     Long
L4 5431     Short Breakout
L5 5381     Trgt 1
L6 5331     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Apr 08 to Apr 12,2013)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 12022
R2 11806
R1 11452
Avg 11236
S1 10882
S2 10666
S3 10312

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6  11671    Trgt 2
H5  11541    Trgt 1
H4  11411    Long breakout
H3  11254    Go Short
H2  11202
H1  11150
L1  11045
L2  10993
L3  10941    Long
L4  10784    Short Breakout
L5  10654   Trgt 1
L6  10524    Trgt 2